Updates for #Rune

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Worldcoin updates #wld #worldcoin

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FTX will begin paying creditors on February 18

This is the Bahamian branch of the company.

Payments will be received by users who have claims of no more than $50,000. The rest will receive the money later.
I wouldn’t be surprised why, only now, after two years, people are miraculously starting to get their funds back—and only gradually!

Imagine yourself as a crypto investor who had their funds frozen on a scam exchange. When their assets were locked, Bitcoin was worth $16,000–$20,000. They watched helplessly as the market took off without them.

Now, they suddenly have the chance to recover $20,000–$50,000. What’s the first thing they’ll do? Most likely, they’ve already come to terms with their loss and covered their expenses over the past two years. So, they won’t use this money for their everyday life. Instead, they’ll pour it back into the crypto market—because they still want to make a profit!

At first, they won’t invest the full amount, but once they see potential market growth in the spring, not only will they reinvest those recovered funds, but they’ll likely add even more!

Then, around May or perhaps after summer, the bulk of the funds will start being returned to other investors. And those amounts will be even larger! Now, imagine what those investors will do—they’ll throw their money back into the market again! But this time, they’ll be entering a falling market, and they’ll suffer the most. Imagine waiting three years for a payout from a collapsed exchange, reinvesting in crypto, only to lose everything again—it would be devastating!

Two key emotions will be at play here:

Fear of missing out (FOMO)—"Everyone else made money, but I didn’t!"
Frustration and revenge trading—A desperate urge to make up for losses and punish this damn casino!
So, after the 18th, we’ll start seeing new (or rather, old) liquidity entering the market—the kind that has been missing for a proper rally. I expect some positive news to follow around that time.

Let’s just hope that the 10,000 armed Mexicans at the U.S. border don’t start a shootout! I assume you're keeping an eye on macro news?

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If I Had Only $1,000, These Are the 5 Cryptos I’d Bet On!

Don't take this video as financial advice. I've already posted detailed analyses of all these tokens. I just want to see what potential gains these five could offer if I were starting from scratch.

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If you want to visualize liquidity and understand why this "season" is different, imagine the market as a giant funnel:

1. Liquidity Flow Has Changed – Unlike previous cycles, where retail money poured in freely, this time institutions, funds, and insiders control the majority of capital. The easy retail-driven pumps are less frequent.

2. Distribution Over Hype – Before, hype alone could send alts to new all-time highs (ATH). Now, many tokens have high FDVs (fully diluted valuations), meaning early investors and insiders have large, unlocked bags to offload on retail.

3. Exit Liquidity is Scarce – If everyone is waiting for ATHs, who will be the new buyers? If the expectation is that altcoins will "eventually" reach previous highs, liquidity might not be there to support it at the levels traders hope for.

Key Differences This Cycle
- ETF-driven liquidity – Bitcoin dominance remains high, with institutional demand focused on BTC and ETH rather than speculative alts.
- Retail participation is weaker – Less fresh capital is entering the market compared to previous bull runs.
- Macro uncertainty – Trade wars, interest rate policy, and liquidity tightening affect overall market flows.

🔍 In 2022 marked, unfortunally during bull run (and yeas we are in a bull run but not in altseason) people will loose the same amount of money like in bear market! And marked not all alts will hit new ath! Showed million times examples on Dash, Iota, BCH (open charts 2018-2021) If you're waiting for every altcoin to reach new ATHs, it might be time to adjust your expectations. Liquidity isn't infinite, and this cycle's mechanics are fundamentally different. Better finish cycle with smaller profit but in profit than wait x100 for each token and stuck for next 3 years!

For newbies who perceives any non-native post as bearish and capitulation (its not a bearish post, no i dont think its an end of cycle)

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Take some time to watch the entire 40-minute podcast from start to finish! You can play it in the background and listen to the insights. Buy, hold, and sell are no longer as simple as they used to be! I'll share my thoughts on what I would do, what I am doing, and what I plan to do. Developing a strategy for investing in the crypto market right now—including the psychology behind investing. #education #crypto #podcast

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Has the fundamental aspect of the Chia project changed since 2021? No! Have its concept, purpose, or utility changed? No!

A question for those who believe in fundamentals: if this is a project with strong fundamentals, how can its price drop from $2,000 to $7? #chia #xch

When the market starts rising, everyone will say, "See? It's because this is a fundamentally strong project!"—but in reality, we’ll just be moving from one liquidity pool to another, where Tier 1 and Tier 2 funds that bought in during 2020-2021 at unknown prices will simply offload their tokens onto retail investors once again.

Yes, Chia is one of those projects where I might look for an exit at break-even. All key targets remain relevant! But moving forward, I’ve learned one thing: fundamentals have absolutely no impact on price action on the chart.

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Wow! TradingView just rolled out a new feature!

Now you can create a watchlist and set an alert for all assets in that watchlist at once! For example, I just tested setting an alert for the Buy line level across all assets in my watchlist. I’m not sure exactly how notifications will be sent—probably separately for each token when the condition is triggered.

This feature is incredibly useful! Now I can create a watchlist for swing trade tokens, set alerts for key levels like Buy Line or Money Inflow, and get notified when any token reaches the target. It saves a lot of time since there's no need to manually set the same alert for each coin individually!

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Big updates for #ICP $ICP

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immutable x updates #imx $IMX

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Friends, I want to show a visualization using STRK as an example—what if we are potentially expecting an altseason, but the token has dropped below the listing price, leading to an invalidation of the IAP model?

According to the rules, yes, the model is invalidated, and below the listing price, there is an absolutely empty zone—an open space for unrestricted freefall since there is no data to work with. No one knows the exact zone or price level where funds and market makers will decide to stop the decline. However, if the project remains active and continues to be listed on exchanges, all targets remain relevant. This is why visualization is important.

According to the model, if we stop at the first zone, the growth to the profit-taking area would be around 200%.
If the token drops into an optimal buy zone, the potential growth could be 400-500%, followed by new highs similar to the case of TIA and further upward movement.

If we fall even lower, then the growth from the lowest point to the profit-taking zone could bring more than 1200% in returns. This means that while the targets remain the same, the lower we fall, the harder they become to achieve. As a result, 1200% might already act as the final peak since, in percentage terms, this is a significant profit. This is similar to the case where, if the token had stopped in the first zone, a 1200% increase would have brought it to $11.
However, from the current lowest point, an $11 target for STRK would already mean over 6000% growth.

So, friends, after the invalidation of an idea, this visualization serves as a great tool for continuing to work with potential profit in percentage terms.
In previous cycles, altcoins grew conservatively by 2000-5000-10000%.
Now, with a massive number of tokens in the market, it's clear that setting conservative, realistic profit targets based on the last price where the token stabilizes is the best approach. Something to think about!

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In simple words explained and create for you #ENA dashboard

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Bera after listing immediately dump -50%) looks like someone need faster deliver this speculation to zones of interest) #bera #berachain

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Never say never part 2) Neiro landed in W fvg

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Guys if you participated in Arkham season2 - CLICK
Check your accounts for Airdrops

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Price updates for Arkham! Spoiler, i think we will see new ath! #arkham #arkm

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Some Thoughts on the Market, Specifically Timing

1. I also don’t believe that the bull market has ended, nor that the altseason is over! It can’t end if it never really started. However, I definitely don’t expect anything as spectacular as 2017-2021. There are simply too many coins and far too little liquidity. The world is completely different in every aspect compared to four years ago. It's better to set conservative targets for altcoins from current levels. If you believe in higher prices, keep 30% of your tokens for potentially massive gains. If the market reaches peak levels but some of your coins are only at breakeven, it's better to exit. What might be a breakeven point for you could already be +900% for someone else.

2. It may sound cliché, but I have a feeling the market reversal could happen right on the last day of the Chinese New Year, after February 12. Keep a close eye on Bitcoin dominance and the ETH/BTC pair! If this plays out, I’ll once again believe that the crypto market is controlled by a bunch of occultists who align it with astrological dates and events.

3. Will the market peak in April or May 2025? No one knows! In spring, we'll likely see the launch of Ethereum options, another Ethereum upgrade, and hopefully, my geopolitical ideas will materialize, triggering maximum euphoria and the illusion that everything in the world is finally going to be great. I also think they’ll push some mass adoption narratives—more as rumors than reality. The media will heavily speculate on the idea of the U.S. creating a Bitcoin reserve (which likely won’t happen this year), but the market will rally on these rumors and insider leaks. We’ll definitely see another wave of ETF filings for various tokens. I expect one of SOL, XRP, or LTC to get ETF approval, either in spring or fall 2025. Keep in mind—this won’t be a buying event, but a selling one.

4. At some point, gold will stop rising, and as always, Bitcoin will lag behind! I still expect Bitcoin to reach around $139K, as I mentioned before. There’s no new money flowing into the market, and I don’t think they’ll start printing again, but liquidity from FTX creditor payouts will flow back into crypto.

5. Another (and likely the last) meme coin wave will happen! In 2025, I expect various celebrities to launch tokens following Trump’s lead. The chaos and madness will end quickly.

6. Search the chat or channel for posts about the 18-year real estate cycle—it will give you a better understanding of my thoughts on timing. AI will also end in nothing good. I still believe the market will crash due to some AI-related crisis. As I’ve said before, they’ll let everyone make money, but by the end of the year, they’ll remind you that all the risk you took on—investing your money in crypto and making a profit—comes with a price: taxes. Regulation is coming whether you like it or not. Personally, I see it as more of a positive than a negative.

There’s a lot more to discuss, from trade wars to Trumpism. I’ll continue sharing my observations periodically.

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We need to start evaluating token declines differently. A token cannot drop more than 100%, yet we always measure declines from the high to the low. For example, Popcat has dropped by -92%.

The problem is that this measurement is subjective and depends on the reference point. A more accurate way to assess the decline would be to calculate how much the token needs to rise to return to its previous high. In this case, the token would need to grow by +1211% to recover its losses. in other words, yes Popcat dumped -1211% down!

Many investors mistakenly assume that if a token has dropped by -92%, a +100% increase would cover their loss and put them at +8%. This misconception misleads beginners.

Evaluating tokens in this way provides a better understanding of whether an asset is worth buying and how much potential upside it realistically has.

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