Key Events for This Week
In addition to trade wars, we have a few major events that will bring volatility! Time will tell whether the market moves up or down.
Right now, market sentiment is not just bearishβit looks like complete loss of faith in crypto. The mood is terrible, and maybe thatβs exactly what the main players want to achieve! After all, here we have BlackRock, ETFs, and institutional moves behind the scenes.
At times like these, I always ask myself:
π What have "utility" projects been working so hard on for the last 3 years?
If after all that effort, their tokens are at historic bottoms, then what was the point?
π¨ Be careful with futures positions today, especially during the opening of the U.S. session!
π I also expect a response from the European Union and China regarding Trumpβs tariffs, which could trigger further market reactions!
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In addition to trade wars, we have a few major events that will bring volatility! Time will tell whether the market moves up or down.
Right now, market sentiment is not just bearishβit looks like complete loss of faith in crypto. The mood is terrible, and maybe thatβs exactly what the main players want to achieve! After all, here we have BlackRock, ETFs, and institutional moves behind the scenes.
At times like these, I always ask myself:
π What have "utility" projects been working so hard on for the last 3 years?
If after all that effort, their tokens are at historic bottoms, then what was the point?
π¨ Be careful with futures positions today, especially during the opening of the U.S. session!
π I also expect a response from the European Union and China regarding Trumpβs tariffs, which could trigger further market reactions!
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My top investment mistakes in this cycle!
Since the portfolio is formed, I can say for sure that this is
BBL / Venom / XCH / GENE and probably DYDX because wasted time with this coin in a range.!π
Yes, mistakes happened
Mistakes happen, the example with BBL is a great example that if there are large funds on board and a beautiful token idea, it means nothing! Venom, the same story) Entry points for venom and dydx of course imply possible profit since I bought low but the price still went more than -50%, then with bbl and chia it is most likely not a fact that I will even break even! Gene if they present anything at all about the game with their Tamagotchi)) maybe I'll be lucky enough to break even!
Break even for me would mean the possibility of a lucky chance to leave the token at 0 or with minimal losses, and even if the token continues to grow further, I won't look at this asset! Never again
Good experience that can be measured in numbers equivalent to USD)
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Since the portfolio is formed, I can say for sure that this is
BBL / Venom / XCH / GENE and probably DYDX because wasted time with this coin in a range.!
Yes, mistakes happened
Mistakes happen, the example with BBL is a great example that if there are large funds on board and a beautiful token idea, it means nothing! Venom, the same story) Entry points for venom and dydx of course imply possible profit since I bought low but the price still went more than -50%, then with bbl and chia it is most likely not a fact that I will even break even! Gene if they present anything at all about the game with their Tamagotchi)) maybe I'll be lucky enough to break even!
Break even for me would mean the possibility of a lucky chance to leave the token at 0 or with minimal losses, and even if the token continues to grow further, I won't look at this asset! Never again
Good experience that can be measured in numbers equivalent to USD)
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52π14π³3π€1
Guys TradingView launched new The Leap competition! Where we can trade paper account and with prizes (real money or tradingview free plan upgrades)!
Its a demo accounts so youll loose nothing, but can practice
https://www.tradingview.com/the-leap/
Its a demo accounts so youll loose nothing, but can practice
https://www.tradingview.com/the-leap/
5π4
BTC and ETH on USA session open today and this week
π€ NY opening
π€ fund reaction
π€ ETH close 50% of the wick that was left below or sweep that low and go close the GAPs above
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5π5
Recommend you to read about tariffs!
π - https://x.com/dgt10011/status/1886125163642552606
My targets for BTC personally for me relevant! For Alts also ETH/BTC pair targets, Btc dominance also.
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My targets for BTC personally for me relevant! For Alts also ETH/BTC pair targets, Btc dominance also.
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6π5π₯4
First video was in August! In February we came to the zone of interest! Remember three things
1 - old patterns of asset behavior on the crypto market do not work, adapt
2 - Binance, Upbit listings are sales, not purchases
3 - IAP model works in 90% of cases
π₯ Watch FULL video nowπ₯
https://youtu.be/3Y1MwRvn30c
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1 - old patterns of asset behavior on the crypto market do not work, adapt
2 - Binance, Upbit listings are sales, not purchases
3 - IAP model works in 90% of cases
https://youtu.be/3Y1MwRvn30c
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5π1
Updates for #Rune
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https://youtu.be/ETFZJa5kPGY
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Worldcoin updates #wld #worldcoin
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https://youtu.be/WCq9CK3gUFo
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FTX will begin paying creditors on February 18
This is the Bahamian branch of the company.
Payments will be received by users who have claims of no more than $50,000. The rest will receive the money later.
I wouldnβt be surprised why, only now, after two years, people are miraculously starting to get their funds backβand only gradually!
Imagine yourself as a crypto investor who had their funds frozen on a scam exchange. When their assets were locked, Bitcoin was worth $16,000β$20,000. They watched helplessly as the market took off without them.
Now, they suddenly have the chance to recover $20,000β$50,000. Whatβs the first thing theyβll do? Most likely, theyβve already come to terms with their loss and covered their expenses over the past two years. So, they wonβt use this money for their everyday life. Instead, theyβll pour it back into the crypto marketβbecause they still want to make a profit!
At first, they wonβt invest the full amount, but once they see potential market growth in the spring, not only will they reinvest those recovered funds, but theyβll likely add even more!
Then, around May or perhaps after summer, the bulk of the funds will start being returned to other investors. And those amounts will be even larger! Now, imagine what those investors will doβtheyβll throw their money back into the market again! But this time, theyβll be entering a falling market, and theyβll suffer the most. Imagine waiting three years for a payout from a collapsed exchange, reinvesting in crypto, only to lose everything againβit would be devastating!
Two key emotions will be at play here:
Fear of missing out (FOMO)β"Everyone else made money, but I didnβt!"
Frustration and revenge tradingβA desperate urge to make up for losses and punish this damn casino!
So, after the 18th, weβll start seeing new (or rather, old) liquidity entering the marketβthe kind that has been missing for a proper rally. I expect some positive news to follow around that time.
Letβs just hope that the 10,000 armed Mexicans at the U.S. border donβt start a shootout! I assume you're keeping an eye on macro news?
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This is the Bahamian branch of the company.
Payments will be received by users who have claims of no more than $50,000. The rest will receive the money later.
I wouldnβt be surprised why, only now, after two years, people are miraculously starting to get their funds backβand only gradually!
Imagine yourself as a crypto investor who had their funds frozen on a scam exchange. When their assets were locked, Bitcoin was worth $16,000β$20,000. They watched helplessly as the market took off without them.
Now, they suddenly have the chance to recover $20,000β$50,000. Whatβs the first thing theyβll do? Most likely, theyβve already come to terms with their loss and covered their expenses over the past two years. So, they wonβt use this money for their everyday life. Instead, theyβll pour it back into the crypto marketβbecause they still want to make a profit!
At first, they wonβt invest the full amount, but once they see potential market growth in the spring, not only will they reinvest those recovered funds, but theyβll likely add even more!
Then, around May or perhaps after summer, the bulk of the funds will start being returned to other investors. And those amounts will be even larger! Now, imagine what those investors will doβtheyβll throw their money back into the market again! But this time, theyβll be entering a falling market, and theyβll suffer the most. Imagine waiting three years for a payout from a collapsed exchange, reinvesting in crypto, only to lose everything againβit would be devastating!
Two key emotions will be at play here:
Fear of missing out (FOMO)β"Everyone else made money, but I didnβt!"
Frustration and revenge tradingβA desperate urge to make up for losses and punish this damn casino!
So, after the 18th, weβll start seeing new (or rather, old) liquidity entering the marketβthe kind that has been missing for a proper rally. I expect some positive news to follow around that time.
Letβs just hope that the 10,000 armed Mexicans at the U.S. border donβt start a shootout! I assume you're keeping an eye on macro news?
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5π7π₯2π³2
If I Had Only $1,000, These Are the 5 Cryptos Iβd Bet On!
Don't take this video as financial advice. I've already posted detailed analyses of all these tokens. I just want to see what potential gains these five could offer if I were starting from scratch.
π₯ Watch FULL video nowπ₯
https://youtu.be/M4c1XXeUXbk
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Don't take this video as financial advice. I've already posted detailed analyses of all these tokens. I just want to see what potential gains these five could offer if I were starting from scratch.
https://youtu.be/M4c1XXeUXbk
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5π7π₯1π€―1
If you want to visualize liquidity and understand why this "season" is different, imagine the market as a giant funnel:
1. Liquidity Flow Has Changed β Unlike previous cycles, where retail money poured in freely, this time institutions, funds, and insiders control the majority of capital. The easy retail-driven pumps are less frequent.
2. Distribution Over Hype β Before, hype alone could send alts to new all-time highs (ATH). Now, many tokens have high FDVs (fully diluted valuations), meaning early investors and insiders have large, unlocked bags to offload on retail.
3. Exit Liquidity is Scarce β If everyone is waiting for ATHs, who will be the new buyers? If the expectation is that altcoins will "eventually" reach previous highs, liquidity might not be there to support it at the levels traders hope for.
Key Differences This Cycle
- ETF-driven liquidity β Bitcoin dominance remains high, with institutional demand focused on BTC and ETH rather than speculative alts.
- Retail participation is weaker β Less fresh capital is entering the market compared to previous bull runs.
- Macro uncertainty β Trade wars, interest rate policy, and liquidity tightening affect overall market flows.
π In 2022 marked, unfortunally during bull run (and yeas we are in a bull run but not in altseason) people will loose the same amount of money like in bear market! And marked not all alts will hit new ath! Showed million times examples on Dash, Iota, BCH (open charts 2018-2021) If you're waiting for every altcoin to reach new ATHs, it might be time to adjust your expectations. Liquidity isn't infinite, and this cycle's mechanics are fundamentally different. Better finish cycle with smaller profit but in profit than wait x100 for each token and stuck for next 3 years!
For newbies who perceives any non-native post as bearish and capitulation (its not a bearish post, no i dont think its an end of cycle)
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1. Liquidity Flow Has Changed β Unlike previous cycles, where retail money poured in freely, this time institutions, funds, and insiders control the majority of capital. The easy retail-driven pumps are less frequent.
2. Distribution Over Hype β Before, hype alone could send alts to new all-time highs (ATH). Now, many tokens have high FDVs (fully diluted valuations), meaning early investors and insiders have large, unlocked bags to offload on retail.
3. Exit Liquidity is Scarce β If everyone is waiting for ATHs, who will be the new buyers? If the expectation is that altcoins will "eventually" reach previous highs, liquidity might not be there to support it at the levels traders hope for.
Key Differences This Cycle
- ETF-driven liquidity β Bitcoin dominance remains high, with institutional demand focused on BTC and ETH rather than speculative alts.
- Retail participation is weaker β Less fresh capital is entering the market compared to previous bull runs.
- Macro uncertainty β Trade wars, interest rate policy, and liquidity tightening affect overall market flows.
π In 2022 marked, unfortunally during bull run (and yeas we are in a bull run but not in altseason) people will loose the same amount of money like in bear market! And marked not all alts will hit new ath! Showed million times examples on Dash, Iota, BCH (open charts 2018-2021) If you're waiting for every altcoin to reach new ATHs, it might be time to adjust your expectations. Liquidity isn't infinite, and this cycle's mechanics are fundamentally different. Better finish cycle with smaller profit but in profit than wait x100 for each token and stuck for next 3 years!
For newbies who perceives any non-native post as bearish and capitulation (its not a bearish post, no i dont think its an end of cycle)
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6π15β3
Take some time to watch the entire 40-minute podcast from start to finish! You can play it in the background and listen to the insights. Buy, hold, and sell are no longer as simple as they used to be! I'll share my thoughts on what I would do, what I am doing, and what I plan to do. Developing a strategy for investing in the crypto market right nowβincluding the psychology behind investing. #education #crypto #podcast
π₯ Watch FULL video nowπ₯
https://youtu.be/Aq27OQeenqQ
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3π13π₯6
Forwarded from Crypto4light NEWS
π¨ Did Kraken acquire clues to Satoshi Nakamoto's identity? π¨
According to Coinbase CEO Conor Grogan, 24 transactions were recorded from Satoshi-era addresses, with the most common destination linked to the Canadian exchange CaVirtEx.
π Key details:
πΉ CaVirtEx was acquired by Kraken in 2016
πΉ If records were preserved, Kraken may hold key info about Satoshi
πΉ Satoshiβs last recorded activity on the network may date back to 2014
Could Kraken have pieces of the biggest crypto mystery of all time? π€―
#Bitcoin #SatoshiNakamoto #Crypto #BTC #Kraken #Coinbase
crypto4lightnews | Airdrops | Charts
According to Coinbase CEO Conor Grogan, 24 transactions were recorded from Satoshi-era addresses, with the most common destination linked to the Canadian exchange CaVirtEx.
π Key details:
πΉ CaVirtEx was acquired by Kraken in 2016
πΉ If records were preserved, Kraken may hold key info about Satoshi
πΉ Satoshiβs last recorded activity on the network may date back to 2014
Could Kraken have pieces of the biggest crypto mystery of all time? π€―
#Bitcoin #SatoshiNakamoto #Crypto #BTC #Kraken #Coinbase
crypto4lightnews | Airdrops | Charts
5π€―4β‘3
Has the fundamental aspect of the Chia project changed since 2021? No! Have its concept, purpose, or utility changed? No!
A question for those who believe in fundamentals: if this is a project with strong fundamentals, how can its price drop from $2,000 to $7? #chia #xch
When the market starts rising, everyone will say, "See? It's because this is a fundamentally strong project!"βbut in reality, weβll just be moving from one liquidity pool to another, where Tier 1 and Tier 2 funds that bought in during 2020-2021 at unknown prices will simply offload their tokens onto retail investors once again.
Yes, Chia is one of those projects where I might look for an exit at break-even. All key targets remain relevant! But moving forward, Iβve learned one thing: fundamentals have absolutely no impact on price action on the chart.
π₯ Watch FULL video nowπ₯
https://youtu.be/uLkMrBaUwXY
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A question for those who believe in fundamentals: if this is a project with strong fundamentals, how can its price drop from $2,000 to $7? #chia #xch
When the market starts rising, everyone will say, "See? It's because this is a fundamentally strong project!"βbut in reality, weβll just be moving from one liquidity pool to another, where Tier 1 and Tier 2 funds that bought in during 2020-2021 at unknown prices will simply offload their tokens onto retail investors once again.
Yes, Chia is one of those projects where I might look for an exit at break-even. All key targets remain relevant! But moving forward, Iβve learned one thing: fundamentals have absolutely no impact on price action on the chart.
https://youtu.be/uLkMrBaUwXY
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5π€4π₯2
Wow! TradingView just rolled out a new feature!
Now you can create a watchlist and set an alert for all assets in that watchlist at once! For example, I just tested setting an alert for the Buy line level across all assets in my watchlist. Iβm not sure exactly how notifications will be sentβprobably separately for each token when the condition is triggered.
This feature is incredibly useful! Now I can create a watchlist for swing trade tokens, set alerts for key levels like Buy Line or Money Inflow, and get notified when any token reaches the target. It saves a lot of time since there's no need to manually set the same alert for each coin individually!
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Now you can create a watchlist and set an alert for all assets in that watchlist at once! For example, I just tested setting an alert for the Buy line level across all assets in my watchlist. Iβm not sure exactly how notifications will be sentβprobably separately for each token when the condition is triggered.
This feature is incredibly useful! Now I can create a watchlist for swing trade tokens, set alerts for key levels like Buy Line or Money Inflow, and get notified when any token reaches the target. It saves a lot of time since there's no need to manually set the same alert for each coin individually!
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5π8π₯5π³1
Big updates for #ICP $ICP
π₯ Watch FULL video nowπ₯
https://youtu.be/ckGpS5KrKSw
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5π₯5
immutable x updates #imx $IMX
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5π4π₯2
Friends, I want to show a visualization using STRK as an exampleβwhat if we are potentially expecting an altseason, but the token has dropped below the listing price, leading to an invalidation of the IAP model?
According to the rules, yes, the model is invalidated, and below the listing price, there is an absolutely empty zoneβan open space for unrestricted freefall since there is no data to work with. No one knows the exact zone or price level where funds and market makers will decide to stop the decline. However, if the project remains active and continues to be listed on exchanges, all targets remain relevant. This is why visualization is important.
According to the model, if we stop at the first zone, the growth to the profit-taking area would be around 200%.
If the token drops into an optimal buy zone, the potential growth could be 400-500%, followed by new highs similar to the case of TIA and further upward movement.
If we fall even lower, then the growth from the lowest point to the profit-taking zone could bring more than 1200% in returns. This means that while the targets remain the same, the lower we fall, the harder they become to achieve. As a result, 1200% might already act as the final peak since, in percentage terms, this is a significant profit. This is similar to the case where, if the token had stopped in the first zone, a 1200% increase would have brought it to $11.
However, from the current lowest point, an $11 target for STRK would already mean over 6000% growth.
So, friends, after the invalidation of an idea, this visualization serves as a great tool for continuing to work with potential profit in percentage terms.
In previous cycles, altcoins grew conservatively by 2000-5000-10000%.
Now, with a massive number of tokens in the market, it's clear that setting conservative, realistic profit targets based on the last price where the token stabilizes is the best approach. Something to think about!
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According to the rules, yes, the model is invalidated, and below the listing price, there is an absolutely empty zoneβan open space for unrestricted freefall since there is no data to work with. No one knows the exact zone or price level where funds and market makers will decide to stop the decline. However, if the project remains active and continues to be listed on exchanges, all targets remain relevant. This is why visualization is important.
According to the model, if we stop at the first zone, the growth to the profit-taking area would be around 200%.
If the token drops into an optimal buy zone, the potential growth could be 400-500%, followed by new highs similar to the case of TIA and further upward movement.
If we fall even lower, then the growth from the lowest point to the profit-taking zone could bring more than 1200% in returns. This means that while the targets remain the same, the lower we fall, the harder they become to achieve. As a result, 1200% might already act as the final peak since, in percentage terms, this is a significant profit. This is similar to the case where, if the token had stopped in the first zone, a 1200% increase would have brought it to $11.
However, from the current lowest point, an $11 target for STRK would already mean over 6000% growth.
So, friends, after the invalidation of an idea, this visualization serves as a great tool for continuing to work with potential profit in percentage terms.
In previous cycles, altcoins grew conservatively by 2000-5000-10000%.
Now, with a massive number of tokens in the market, it's clear that setting conservative, realistic profit targets based on the last price where the token stabilizes is the best approach. Something to think about!
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5π19π€5
C4L-Ena.jpg
745.2 KB
In simple words explained and create for you #ENA dashboard
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5π5π₯3β2π³1
Bera after listing immediately dump -50%) looks like someone need faster deliver this speculation to zones of interest) #bera #berachain
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5π€―4π3