🔥 PPI США за август — 15:30
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims — 15:30
🇺🇸 Баланс ФРС — 23:30

🔥 CPI США за август — 15:30

Good evening, guys! Let’s see what the new week has in store for us 👀
The start of the week is about as quiet as it gets: the U.S. and Canada are off on Monday, while Tuesday and Wednesday are giving the market a little break from any major news

But Thursday and Friday could bring the volatility right back!
Thursday, September 10
🔥 U.S. PPI for August — 8:30 AM ET
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims — 8:30 AM ET
🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Balance Sheet — 4:30 PM ET
Friday, September 11
🔥 U.S. CPI for August — 8:30 AM ET

Basically, the main focus this week is fresh U.S. inflation data*. We’ll get PPI on Thursday, followed by CPI on Friday. Those are the two days I’d be watching closely — the market could finally wake up after such a quiet start to the week.

Have a great evening and a productive week, everyone!

Но риски явно растут — октябрь уже хорошо показал, чем заканчивается перегретый рынок)

Things are heating up in altcoins again!!

Open Interest in altcoins has already hit a new 2024 high, climbing above the levels we saw right before the October sell-off.
There’s way too much leverage building up in the market, which means even a small correction could trigger a wave of liquidations and quickly accelerate the move down.

High OI alone doesn’t mean a drop has to happen right now.
But the risks are clearly growing — October already showed us what can happen when the market gets overheated

What are you expecting from altcoins?

$55K is back on the map for BTC

The weekly chart is starting to look pretty ugly: the current candle is engulfing the previous one and basically wiping out all of the previous gains

And here’s the interesting part — we’ve already seen this happen twice this year, and both times BTC went on to correct by around 30–40%

If history repeats even partially and we get a 30% drop from current levels, that puts BTC somewhere around $55K Of course, two previous cases aren’t enough to call it a pattern. But as one possible scenario, $55K is definitely a level worth keeping in mind.

What do you think — will we see $55K?

Решил устроить себе небольшой отпуск, немного перезагрузиться. Но всё, возвращаемся и снова включаемся в рынок!

Good afternoon, guys! It’s been a while since I posted anything.
Decided to take a little break and recharge. But now I’m back and ready to get into the market again!

And while I was away, a pretty interesting scenario started getting a lot of attention. Crypto Twitter is increasingly talking about a possible repeat of the 2023 setup.
The key level right now is $83K for BTC. If Bitcoin can break above it, hold there, and take out one of the key levels in the current bearish structure, some are already calling it the beginning of a new major cycle.

And the targets are pretty wild: 2–3 years of growth with BTC potentially reaching around $400K Sounds great, of course. But there’s still a pretty long way from breaking $83K to hitting $400K So no euphoria just yet. First, let’s see if the market is actually ready to break the current structure for good.

What do you guys think?

При выводе крипты важен не только курс, но и от кого приходят деньги. Перевод, связанный с мошеннической схемой дробления платежей, может обернуться ограничениями по карте и разбирательствами.

Кстати, для бизнеса у команды есть отдельное направление: дизайн, запуск обменного сервиса, настройка хостинга и безопасности сервера.

🇺🇸 Выступление Дональда Трампа в Белом доме по теме AI-технологий — 21:00

🔥 JOLTS — число открытых вакансий в США — 17:00

🇺🇸 ADP Nonfarm Employment — 15:15
🔥 PCE Price Index — 15:30
🔥 ВВП США за II квартал — 15:30
Среда уже выглядит интересно: сразу несколько данных подряд, поэтому волатильность вполне может проснуться ещё до конца недели.

🇨🇳🇭🇰 Китай и Гонконг — нет торгов, Национальный день
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims — 15:30
🇺🇸 S&P Manufacturing PMI — 16:45
🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI — 17:00
🇺🇸 Баланс ФРС — 23:30

🇨🇳 Китай — нет торгов
🔥 Nonfarm Payrolls — 15:30
🔥 Уровень безработицы — 15:30

Friends, hello everyone! Wishing you all a productive week; we’re diving into it with a pretty busy schedule.

We’re starting today: the calendar features a speech by Donald Trump on AI technologies at 9:00 PM. And then we’ll gradually move on to macro topics — the labor market, inflation, and, towards the end of the week, the main block with Nonfarm.

Monday, September 28
🇺🇸 Donald Trump’s speech at the White House on AI technologies — 21:00
Tuesday, September 29
🔥 JOLTS — the number of open job vacancies in the US — 17:00
Wednesday, September 30
🇺🇸 ADP Nonfarm Employment — 15:15
🔥 PCE Price Index — 15:30
🔥 US GDP for the second quarter — 15:30
Wednesday already looks interesting: there are several data points in a row, so volatility may well kick in before the end of the week.
Thursday, October 1
🇨🇳🇭🇰 China and Hong Kong — no trading, National Day
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims — 15:30
🇺🇸 S&P Manufacturing PMI — 16:45
🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI — 17:00
🇺🇸 Fed Balance Sheet — 23:30
Friday, October 2
🇨🇳 China — no trading
🔥 Nonfarm Payrolls — 15:30
🔥 Unemployment Rate — 15:30

In short, the start of the week is gradually picking up steam, and I’d expect the main action from Wednesday to Friday. Pay special attention to the Friday labor market data!

What are your plans for this week?

Последние недели у Bitcoin появилась интересная тенденция: он всё чаще обыгрывает S&P 500 по дневной динамике.

Ещё в июне BTC был сильнее индекса примерно только в 20% торговых сессий, что выглядело довольно слабо. Но уже к концу сентября ситуация заметно изменилась: доля таких дней поднялась выше 50% и пока удерживается там.

BTC is starting to look stronger than the stock market again!

In recent weeks, Bitcoin has shown an interesting trend: it is increasingly outperforming the S&P 500 in terms of daily performance. Back in June, BTC was stronger than the index in only about 20% of trading sessions, which seemed rather weak. But by the end of September, the situation had noticeably changed: the share of such days rose above 50% and has been holding there so far.

And that’s what I like the most! While the US stock market is somewhat stagnating, Bitcoin is beginning to demonstrate its own strength rather than simply following every movement of the indices..
Of course, it’s still too early to talk about BTC completely decoupling from the stock market. But the emergence of separate demand specifically for Bitcoin looks at least interesting.

What do you think — will BTC be able to continue moving faster than the stock market?

⏺ Индекс страха и жадности — 58. Рынок немного остыл, сильной эйфории пока нет.
⏺ BTC закрыл неделю выше $83k. Важный уровень удержали.
⏺ Вернулись выше 200-дневной скользящей после более чем 90 дней под ней. Ранее такие движения предшествовали обновлению ATH.

BTC is once again giving bulls reason for optimism!

The market absorbed the latest correction quite quickly, and a bullish divergence is already beginning to form on the RSI. It seems that the buyer is gradually regaining the initiative

There are three more interesting signals:
The Fear and Greed Index is at 58. The market has cooled down a bit; there’s no strong euphoria yet.
BTC closed the week above $83k. An important level was held.
We’re back above the 200‑day moving average after more than 90 days below it. Previously, such movements preceded an ATH update.

Overall, the picture looks good, but now it’s important to hold onto the gains. So far, there are more arguments in favor of growth.

What do you think — have the bulls already seized the initiative?

Балансы крупных держателей достигли 3,03 млн BTC, обновив максимум с ноября 2025 года.

🟢 $81k — ближайшая поддержка, 50-дневная скользящая.
🔴 $76,5k — следующая возможная цель коррекции, 50-недельная скользящая.

Whales continue to buy BTC while retail investors are waiting.

The balances of large holders have reached 1.03 million BTC, hitting the highest level since November 2025.

However, the chart doesn’t look so rosy yet. Bitcoin has been unable to break above $84k for a week now, so I’m keeping an eye on two levels:
$81k — the nearest support, the 50‑day moving average.
$76,500 is the next possible target for a correction, the 50‑week moving average.

Whales are clearly interested in buying, but that doesn’t mean the correction is over. For now, it’s better to wait for confirmation from the market
What will we see first?

Лично я жду, что в ночь на воскресенье или уже с началом новой недели рынок наконец попробует выбраться из этого диапазона. Главное, чтобы очередной выход не оказался обычным ложным пробоем. Поэтому пока без спешки, просто наблюдаем.

BTC decided to have its weekend earlier than everyone else!

Volatility has practically disappeared, and Bitcoin continues to hover around $81,600. We’ve been stuck in this sideways movement for several days now. First, it’s a slight upward push, then a downward one; they gather liquidity and then push the price back down again. In short, it’s classic But this can’t go on for much longer!

Personally, I’m expecting that on Sunday night or with the start of the new week, the market will finally try to break out of this range. The main thing is that the next exit doesn’t turn out to be just another false breakout. So for now, no rush, just observing.

I think very soon BTC will finally show where it’s planning to go next...

🔴 60,82% — ключевое сопротивление, от которого доминация уже трижды откатывалась. Если пробьём и закрепимся выше, следующая цель — 61,2%. Для альтов такой сценарий выглядит не очень приятно.

А вот если снова получим отбой, у альткоинов появится шанс наконец-то перехватить инициативу.

BTC is once again drawing all the attention to itself!

Bitcoin’s dominance has reached 60.6%, hitting its highest level since May. While the king is taking the liquidity, the altcoins continue to weaken against it! And now we’ve reached a rather interesting moment
60.82% is the key resistance level, from which the dominance has retraced three times already. If we break through and consolidate above, the next target is 61.2%. For altcoins, this scenario doesn’t look very promising.

But if we get a rebound again, altcoins will finally have a chance to seize the initiative.

Moreover, against the backdrop of growing Open Interest in altcoins, the situation becomes even more interesting. A sharp move in dominance could trigger a new wave of liquidations. That’s why I’m keeping a close eye on 60.82% now. It’s here that it might be decided who gets the next portion of liquidity 👀

What are you expecting next?

На 12-часовом графике Bitcoin начинает формироваться довольно интересная картина. Индикатор MFI, который отслеживает денежные потоки с учётом объёмов торгов, снова показывает признаки бычьей дивергенции.

Could BTC reach $90k as early as next week?

A rather interesting pattern is beginning to take shape on the 12‑hour Bitcoin chart. The MFI indicator, which tracks money flows taking into account trading volumes, is once again showing signs of bullish divergence.

In simpler terms, the price is still stagnating and trying to break new lows, while the indicator is already showing an increase in buying pressure 👀 Moreover, last month a similar situation ended with a +14% impulse.

If history repeats itself, the next interesting target becomes $88k, and after that, you can start looking at $90k. Of course, one indicator doesn’t guarantee anything. But personally, I like this scenario. The main thing is to wait for confirmation of the movement.

What do you think — will we see $90k in the near future?