> 30 июля 2025 - ставка остаётся на уровне 4,25–4,5%. Это почти гарантировано: 90,7% участников делают ставку на паузу.

> 17 сентября 2025 - первое возможное снижение на 0,25%, до диапазона 4,00–4,25%. Вероятность - 36,6%, ещё 57,9% ждут сохранения текущего уровня.

> 29 октября 2025 - вероятен второй раунд снижения, но рынок пока сомневается: большинство (46,9%) считает, что ФРС ещё подождёт.

> 10 декабря 2025 - тут ожидания усиливаются: 42,7% закладывают ставку в диапазоне 3,75–4,00%, то есть ещё одно снижение.

> Весна 2026 - дальнейшее поэтапное снижение уже становится базовым сценарием.

Interest rates and the crypto market. Pause, then decline?

After the speech of Fed Chief Jerome Powell - rate expectations remained the same, but the signal to the market is received: easing is ahead, just not now.

How the market sees it (according to CME FedWatch Tool):

> July 30, 2025 - rate stays at 4.25-4.5%. This is almost guaranteed: 90.7% of participants are betting on a pause.

> September 17, 2025 - first possible decrease of 0.25%, to a range of 4.00-4.25%. The probability is 36.6%, with another 57.9% expecting the current level to be maintained.

> October 29, 2025 - a second round of cuts is likely, but the market is still hesitant: the majority (46.9%) thinks the Fed will wait.

> December 10, 2025 - expectations are heightened here: 42.7% put the rate in the range of 3.75-4.00%, i.e. another cut.

> Spring 2026 - a further step-by-step decrease is already becoming the base case.

The rate is the price of money. The lower the rate, the cheaper capital → higher interest in risky assets like crypto.

Fed is cautious but leaning towards a reversal. Pause for now, but real action may begin in the fall.

The market is laying optimism ahead. Capital starts flowing to the places where the yields are “accelerating”, and these are alts, ETH, memecoins and young projects.

The rate remains an anchor, but the moorings are starting to let go. If inflation continues to fall and the economy shows a slowdown, the market will get its fuel. And those who are ready early will be at the epicenter of the next wave.

We're waiting, but we're not sleeping. Good luck in the market!

🪙 BTC: $105 788 (+1.07%)

🪙 ETH: $2 549 (+1.17%)

🪙 BNB: $647 (+0.45%)

🪙 SOL: $147 (+1.54%)

Happy last day of work!

The market is breathing steady for now:
BTC: $105,788 (+1.07%)

ETH: $2,549 (+1.17%)

BNB: $647 (+0.45%)

SOL: $147 (+1.54%)

According to the data the market is in the green zone, on the weekend as usual volatility will be small, so you can spend the weekend out of the market))))

How will you have a rest tonight)?

〰️Свежие ончейн-сводки и реакция крупных кошельков

〰️Ликвидации и дисбаланс по уровням

〰️Живые сделки, подробности входов и выходов

〰️Аналитика по объёму, доминации, кластерам и настроениям

〰️ И главное — без крика, шума и бессмысленной суеты

Контент для тех, кто умеет думать и принимать решения, а не слепо повторять.

Ты не робот. Ты трейдер. А значит — человек.

— Открыть сделку "просто посмотреть"
— Зайти в лонг, потому что скучно
— Поторговать на ходу, не в фокусе
— Поймать импульс, забыв про риск

— Отдых — это тоже часть стратегии
— Восстановление — это тоже рост
— Выключить график — это тоже сила

The market is open on weekends. But that doesn't mean you have to be in it.

You're not a robot. You're a trader. That means you're human.

There is less liquidity on weekends. More noise. Less logic means more emotions.
And most importantly — more temptations.
— Open a deal "just to see"
— Go long because it's boring
— Trade on the move, out of focus
— Catch the momentum, forgetting about the risk

But the weekend market doesn't give you an advantage.
He's giving you a test. Checks: Did you come to play or earn money?

You don't have to catch every move.
You have to keep the balance.
— Rest is also part of the strategy
— Recovery is also growth
— Turning off the schedule is also a power

You won't miss the moment. You'll miss the burnout.
Don't break yourself trying not to miss the candle.

A real trader knows that
it is better to enter the market with a clear head on Monday than to burn out without a plan on Saturday.

Remember,
it's not the market that's draining you.
You're consumed by the thirst to be in it 24/7.

🪙 BTC: $103 523 (-1.59%)

🪙 ETH: $2 425 (-4.42%)

🪙 BNB: $640 (+0.88%)

🪙 SOL: $140 (+4.18%)

Happy weekend, friends!

It's time to relax after a busy week!
The market looks like this:
BTC: $103,523 (-1.59%)

ETH: $2,425 (-4.42%)

BNB: $640 (+0.88%)

SOL: $140 (+4.18%)

The world of crypto is in a weekend mood — slow but alert. There's some fluctuation, but no panic)
You don't have to rush — just go with caution. In the world of crypto, it's not about being the fastest, but the most attentive.

What are your plans for the weekend?

Поддержка идёт не в зелёных свечах, а в понимании, что рынок уже готовится к следующему этапу. И ты можешь быть там. если не сдашься сейчас.

ETFs on altcoins - the new wave is coming

Judging by a fresh table from Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, we may see a real breakthrough before the end of 2025: approval of ETFs for altcoins like Solana, XRP, Litecoin, Dogecoin, ADA, DOT and HBAR.

Approval probabilities are high (90-95%) across key assets. Which means there's a reason large institutions are spending resources on legal preparation and filings while the market is still asleep.

- What does this change?

It creates an infrastructure for traditional money to flow in - capital from the fund world will be able to enter alts legally and easily.

Every approval is a FOMO signal. The crowd will buy up everything in anticipation of other ETFs launching.

That's the pressure on bitcoin's dominance. When the first alt-ETF appears, the capital flow from BTC to alts will begin (and then current prices will seem ridiculous).

- Separately worth noting:

All current ETF applications are for assets that the SEC is most likely to recognize as commodities, and that's what opens them up to exchanges.

The least likely candidates for approval are SUI and Tron, where the legal status is not entirely clear.

Moral point

Yes, it's tough right now. Pressured market, slow movement, worrisome news backdrop. But it's all classic. It's all repeating itself. Those who don't break in the quiet will be the first to peak at the peak of the noise.

Support comes not in green candles, but in the realization that the market is already gearing up for the next leg. And you can be there. if you don't give up now.

- The first signals are already in the system. We just have to wait for the launch.

— Только важные и свежие новости из мира крипты
— Обсуждения трендов и нововведений, которые определяют будущее
— Истории взлётов и падений, которые учат
— Розыгрыши и призы для подписчиков

🪙 BTC: $102 708 (-0.75%)

🪙 ETH: $2 282 (-5.89%)

🪙 BNB: $631 (-1.74%)

🪙 SOL: $135 (-3.35%)

The last day of the weekend!

The market is breathing heavily:
BTC: $102,708 (-0.75%)

ETH: $2,282 (-5.89%)

BNB: $631 (-1.74%)

SOL: $135 (-3.35%)

According to the data, the market is in the red zone, and volatility will be minimal over the weekend, so you can spend the weekend out of the market))

How will you spend your day, who will trade and who won't?)

«Боевая нагрузка полностью сброшена. Все самолёты возвращаются. Ни одна армия мира не способна на такое. СЕЙЧАС - ВРЕМЯ ДЛЯ МИРА.»

~20% мирового экспорта нефти;

~30% поставок СПГ;

~24% импорта сжиженного газа в Китай.

Geopolitics on edge: US attack on Iran and Iran's response

Tonight wasn't just tense, it could be a historic night of sorts.

Donald Trump announced on his social media account a successful air operation against three nuclear sites in Iran - Fordow, Natanz and Esfahan. In his words:

"The payload has been completely dropped. All airplanes are coming back. No army in the world is capable of this. NOW IS THE TIME FOR PEACE."

Against this backdrop came a stern warning from Iran:

The commander of the IRGC Navy has announced a readiness to close the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic point of global power. Through it passes:

~20% of the world's oil exports,

~30% of the world's LNG supplies,

~24% of China's LNG imports.

This means:

Shocks to commodity markets, especially oil and gas.

Rising tensions throughout the global economy. (Which has affected BTC...).

A sharp increase in geopolitical risks for investors.

- What for the crypto market?

In the short term, volatility is possible. The market may shrink on the background of fear. Demand for protective assets will increase: gold, bitcoin.

In the medium term - such events may accelerate the Fed's monetary policy reversal and stimulate liquidity inflows, especially if the consequences hit the US markets and economy.

In a world of instability, BTC often becomes not just an asset, but a symbol of autonomy. We are not surprised, perhaps it will be the first to react with growth to growing geopolitical risks.

🪙 BTC: $102 064 (-0.65%)

🪙 ETH: $2 264 (-0.95%)

🪙 BNB: $623 (-1.56%)

🪙 SOL: $134 (-0.73%)

Happy start of the week, friends!

New week — new opportunities!
While the market is breathing smoothly:
BTC: $102,064 (-0.65%)

ETH: $2 264 (-0.95%)

BNB: $623 (-1.56%)

SOL: $134 (-0.73%)

The world of the crypt is still in the red zone, the news is not entirely good, while we wait for more clarity! You need to be careful about transactions now, it's very dangerous, there are a lot of squizs right now (

What are your plans for the week? Share it

> Иран, по сообщениям СМИ, нанёс удар по американской базе в Сирии

> Глобальная напряжённость усиливается, и активы-«убежища» снова оказываются в центре внимания

- Холодная фаза на ончейн-метриках = повышенная вероятность накопления
- Отсутствие давления продаж + потенциальный рост интереса на фоне внешней турбулентности = взрывоопасная смесь для бычьего импульса
- Но не забываем: геополитика может как ускорить рост, так и усилить турбулентность - не забывайте про управление рисками

Bitcoin still in the accumulation phase?

Amid geopolitical instability and a dramatic change in news background, the behavior of major bitcoin holders speaks for itself: they continue to hold. No panic. No massive sell-offs. Just - holding.

What does the chart show?

According to CryptoQuant, the “Binary CDD” metric - one of the key indicators of old wallets' activity - again indicates a decrease in selling pressure from holders. In other words: those who have held bitcoin for years are in no hurry to dump it just yet.

This is the third consecutive decline in long-term holders' activity after spikes - and historically, such moments have preceded strong upward moves when the market loses interest, volatility subsides, and then suddenly a shot is fired.

Meanwhile in the news:

> Iran, according to media reports, struck a US base in Syria

> Global tensions are escalating and safe haven assets are back in the spotlight

What does this mean for the bitcoin?

- Cold phase on onchain metrics = increased probability of accumulation
- Lack of selling pressure + potential increase in interest amid external turbulence = explosive mix for bullish momentum
- But don't forget: geopolitics can both accelerate growth and increase turbulence - don't forget risk management

If history has taught us anything, it is that it is in such periods of silence that the loudest impulses are born. Good luck in the market!

🪙 BTC: $105 213 (+3.18%)

🪙 ETH: $2 402 (+6.40%)

🪙 BNB: $639 (+2.48%)

🪙 SOL: $144 (+7.59%)

🌐

Капитализация рынка: $3.25T

💸

Объём за 24ч: $150B

🔗

Объём DeFi: $37B

🪙

Стейблкоины: $146B

👑

Доминация BTC: 64.5%

Good morning, crypto gang!

The market showed a good rebound in a positive direction last night, I wonder if this trend will continue)

Main Coins:
BTC: $105,213 (+3.18%)

ETH: $2 402 (+6.40%)

BNB: $639 (+2.48%)

SOL: $144 (+7.59%)

Global indicators:
Market capitalization: $3.25T

24h volume: $150B

DeFi volume: $37B

Stablecoins: $146B

BTC dominance: 64.5%

Did you make money from the rise of Bitcoin to $105,000?)

— Всплеск в одну сторону
— Паника в другую
— Свечи без логики
— Спреды без жалости
— И ты — внутри, без шансов на контроль

— Не входить в рынок — это тоже сделка
— Пропустить шум — это тоже позиция
— Сохранять капитал — это тоже прибыль

Тебя сливает не волатильность.
Тебя сливает желание прыгнуть в неё без плана.

News is not a signal. It's a test.

When news comes out, the market doesn't show the truth.
It shows the reaction. And the reaction is chaos.

— A surge in one direction
— Panic in the other
— Candles without logic
— Spreads without mercy
— And you're inside, with no chance of control

You're not an algorithm. You're a human!
Which means you need time to make a decision.
But the news market doesn't give you time. It rips it up.

The fastest people don't win on the news.
The winners are the ones who don't play this roulette.

— Not entering the market is also a trade
— Letting the noise pass is also a position
— Preserving your capital is also a profit

You don't have to guess. You have to survive.
Because trading is a marathon, not a moment of glory on the CPI or NFP.

You are not weak if you stayed out of the market.
You are strong if you kept discipline.

A real trader knows:
News passes. Signals remain.

Remember:
It is not volatility that dumps you.
It is the desire to jump into it without a plan that dumps you.

🪙 BTC: $106 681 (+ 1.34%)

🪙 ETH: $2 448 (+1.91%)

🪙 BNB: $645 (+0.97%)

🪙 SOL: $141 (-2.56%)

Биткоин уверенно держится выше $100K, а эфир радует позитивной динамикой в +2%))

Good morning, friends!

The market looks like this:
BTC: $106,681 (+1.34%)

ETH: $2,448 (+1.91%)

BNB: $645 (+0.97%)

SOL: $141 (-2.56%)

Bitcoin is confidently holding above $100K, and Ethereum is showing positive dynamics of +2%))

The crypto market is showing healthy growth and consolidation amid moderate activity. BTC is confidently above $100K, ETH is stable at $2.4K+, BNB is maintaining balance, SOL is reactivating after the fall.

Will you trade today? Share

- Пауэлл заявил: «Нет признаков рецессии»
- Но: «Если рынок труда ослабеет, ставки снизим»
- Следим за отчётами по инфляции и занятости - теперь они напрямую определяют действия ФРС и волатильность рынков.

The Fed has given the green light to the crypto market. But we won't see the effect of this immediately.

Yesterday's statements by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell are a crucial turnaround for the industry. Here are the key signals that can't be ignored:

Cryptobanking is no longer banned

The Fed is officially allowing banks to provide services to cryptocurrency companies and conduct cryptocurrency transactions.
This is a complete unfreezing of the banking channel that has been blocked since 2022 - now it's not only possible, but legally safe.

This means that any new wave of interest will be able to quickly turn into an influx of capital - access to crypto is easier than ever.

No rate cut - but not because of confidence, but because of caution

The Fed is ready for a rate cut, but is waiting for June-August inflation data.
The reason is simple: the lagged inflationary effect of Trump's tariffs is expected.

The economy is stable for now, but the focus is on the reports

- Powell stated, “There are no signs of a recession.”
- But: “If the labor market weakens, we'll cut rates.”
- Keep an eye on inflation and employment reports - they now directly determine Fed action and market volatility.

The cycle is open

The Fed has lifted the lock on crypto banks, rates will start to be cut at any signal of weakness in the economy, and all investor attention is focused on the summer reports. This is a time when the market will be receptive to the news and could accelerate - up or down.

In the meantime - crypto has received institutional clearance. For the first time in history. The only question that remains is: when will all that money want to come in?

Next stop - July. Good luck in the market!

🪙 BTC: $107 490 (+0.23%)

🪙 ETH: $2 428 (-0.61%)

🪙 BNB: $646 (+0.19%)

🪙 SOL: $145 (+3.04%)

Happy weekend, friends!

BTC: $107,490 (+0.23%)

ETH: $2,428 (-0.61%)

BNB: $646 (+0.19%)

SOL: $145 (+3.04%)

The crypto market is calm today, with moderate movements and no sudden spikes. Bitcoin confidently holds its position, ether is slightly correcting, and Solana is pleased with the vigorous growth))

What are your plans for the weekend?

Хочешь реально понимать рынок, а не просто читать мемы и ждать “пампа”?

• Как

$175 млрд госпроект США

качнёт ликвидность — и почему это может быть ловушкой.
• Почему

Трамп в открытую сливает виновных

за проигрыш в торговой войне с Китаем — и как это ударит по фондовому и крипторынку.
• Как

одна женщина рушит Францию

, а заодно и стабильность в ЕС. Макрон не справляется — рынки реагируют.

🚫

“Топ-3 альта на закуп”

🚫

“Скоро to the moon!”

🚫

“Вот индикатор RSI…”

✅

Аналитика → Понимание → Действие.

> Канада ввела налог на цифровые сервисы, который ударит по американским техногигантам.

> Трамп уже пообещал ввести ответные тарифы в течение 7 дней.

Trump: 'If the U.S. didn't have crypto - China would have it'

Trump's speech once again added fuel to the fire of the crypto market. According to him, bitcoin reduces the pressure on the dollar, and therefore plays a strategic role in the US economy. Previously, such a statement could only come from enthusiasts on forums, but now it is rhetoric at the level of the president.

His speech is no longer about profit or innovation, but about geopolitical supremacy, where cryptocurrency is an instrument of power.

It would seem that after such statements the market should take off... but in fact the alts have reacted sluggishly so far. And it is understandable: institutional capital is still cautious about tokens outside the top-2 (BTC/ETH), and even a green light from the authorities is not a trigger for the alt season.

Additionally, the trade agenda is adding to the tension:

> Canada has introduced a tax on digital services, which will hit US tech giants.

> Trump has already promised to impose retaliatory tariffs within 7 days.

Bitcoin is becoming a tool of US foreign policy. Alts remain in the shadows for now, but geopolitical events and further market reactions could quickly change the balance of power.

🪙 BTC: $107 689 (+0.24%)

🪙 ETH: $2 244 (+0.82%)

🪙 BNB: $649 (-0.61%)

🪙 SOL: $150 (+2.82%)

Have a nice day, friends!

Still in the green zone!
BTC: $107,689 (+0.24%)

ETH: $2,244 (+0.82%)

BNB: $649 (-0.61%)

SOL: $150 (+2.82%)
The volumes are small — a classic weekend: minimum movement, maximum flat.

It's a great time to relax, recharge your brain, and summarize the week.

Are you in hodl, chill, or scalp mode today?

> Требование 100% резервов
> Ежемесячная отчетность
> Финансовые гарантии

>

Официальное определение, что токен НЕ ценная бумага

>

Защита разработчиков

>

Правила игры для фондов, которые до этого стояли на пороге

July could be a key month for crypto. What is the US Congress preparing?

Prominent investor and White House insider David Sachs said:

“July is going to be a very important month for the crypto market”.
What does he mean? Most likely - the launch of votes on two fundamental laws at once:

Genius Act - Stablecoins are coming out of the gray zone

> 100% reserve requirement
> Monthly reporting
> Financial guarantees

Once passed, the document goes straight to Trump for signature, who already personally promotes it.

Clarity Act - crypto gets clear legal rules.

> Official definition that a token is NOT a security
> Protection for developers
> Rules of the game for funds that were previously on the doorstep of the

After the vote, it goes to the Senate. This is the act that could end the “regulatory terror” against projects.

This is no longer just talk. The very fact that the world's largest economy is spending political resources to work out regulation for crypto is a signal: they're preparing for expansion, not a ban.

When the stock market became regulated in 1934 - it began a meteoric rise. It looks like crypto is being prepared for the same fate: from “wild west” to “civilized tool” for global capital.

While the market may not react instantly, but you and I can see: the foundation for a new supercycle is being built, where the really big fish will enter for the first time.

July is not “news noise”, it is the beginning of a new era.