Ты не контролируешь рынок.
Ты не контролируешь монету.
Ты не контролируешь новость, которая выскочит ночью.

— Паника, когда свеча идёт не туда

— Жадность, когда позиция в +20%

— Обида, когда выбили по стопу

— Эйфория, когда случайно попал в x2

Вот они — настоящие риски. Не свечи. А твоя реакция на них.

Холодная голова > любая стратегия.

Системность > любые сигналы.

План > предчувствие.

The main risk is not volatility. It's you.

People are afraid that the market will crash. That the alt will go to -50%. That Bitcoin won't hold its level. But that's not scary.

What's scary is when you don't know what you're going to do if it happens.

You don't control the market.
You don't control the coin.
You don't control the news that pops up overnight.

But you do have a responsibility to control yourself.

- Panic when a candle goes the wrong way.

- Greed when the position is +20%.

- Resentment when you've been beaten on a stop.

- Euphoria when you accidentally hit x2.

These are the real risks. Not the candlesticks. It's your reaction to them.

Cool head > any strategy.

Systematicity > any signals.

Plan > anticipation.

If you fight yourself every day - you are already on the right track.If you are draining every day because of yourself - the market has nothing to do with it.

Remember:
It's not the volatility that's getting you down.
It's the chaos in your head that brings you down.

🪙 BTC: $104,786 (-2.71%)

🪙 ETH: $2,520 (-8.58%)

🪙 BNB: $657 (-1.58%)

🪙 SOL: $144 (-9.18%)

🌐

Капитализация рынка: $3.25T

💸

Объём за 24ч: $354B

🔗

Объём DeFi: $42.3B

🪙

Стейблкоины: $260B

👑

Доминация BTC: 61.6%

Good day, crypto gang!

Main coins:
BTC: $104,786 (-2.71%)

ETH: $2,520 (-8.58%)

BNB: $657 (-1.58%)

SOL: $144 (-9.18%)

Global performance:
Market capitalization: $3.25T

24h volume: $354B

DeFi volume: $42.3B

Stablecoins: $260B

BTC dominance: 61.6%

How do you spend your weekend?

> Трамп сообщил о только позитивных сигналах по переговорам с Китаем
> Переговоры США и Китая в Лондоне идут продуктивно, есть шанс продолжения уже завтра
> GameStop удивила рынки, добавив в свои резервы ещё 4,710 BTC

BTC above $100K isn't just a number, it's a signal

As the market clings to the six-figure zone, important details are emerging in onchain data from Glassnode:

- Psychology on the edge:
Bitcoin continues to hold above the important psychological level of $100,000 - signaling high investor confidence despite volatile infosec.

- Pressure zone:
A large cluster of coins lies near the current price - indicating heightened expectations of volatility.
The short-termers' baseline value of $97,600 remains critical: its loss could change the entire short-term momentum.

- Ceiling on the horizon:
The next notable resistance is $115,400. That's where the price could go if the market gets another boost of positivity.

Now to the fundamentals:

> Trump reported only positive signals on talks with China
> US-China talks in London are going productively, there is a chance of continuation as early as tomorrow
> GameStop surprised the markets by adding another 4,710 BTC to its reserves

The market is not yet in euphoria, but is in a state of concentration.
The price is in the alert zone, the mood is on the verge of exploding. And if the 97.6K support holds and the news continues to please, $115K could be a matter of time.

This post is for your consideration, but not a motive to buy. So we stay with a cool head and watch, taking risks with personal confidence in growth. Good luck in the market!

🔻 резкий сброс по фондовому рынку
🔻 коррекцию по BTC
🔻 рост волатильности и увеличение открытого интереса

BTC: market in news panic mode, but bullish momentum is alive and well

Today is Friday the 13th "real horror". And if the charts still looked confident yesterday, the news background took over again. Let's break it down in order:

BTC: technical picture

- The price is holding above the important support zone - 104 - 105K
- This is where liquidations are concentrated, plus the CME gap, which often attracts the price
- Until the 103 - 104K zone is broken, it is premature to talk about a reversal.
- In the short-term scenario - downward pullback and sharp redemption is possible.

Fundamentally: global flows and macroeconomics are working in the plus side

Global M2 (money supply) is still on the rise - a strong support for risky assets
Gold growth is a worrying indicator for traditional markets, but historically bullish for BTC (people are fleeing from fiat - into limited assets)
The chart shows: BTC price is catching up with M2 growth with a lag of ~70 days - and this cycle is not yet fully played out.

Geopolitics intervened again

> Israel strikes Iran's nuclear program sites
> Media reports that the operation was coordinated with the US - though officially denied
> Iran threatens to retaliate - market instantly reacts by fleeing risk

- This is why today we are seeing:

sharp reset on stock market
correction on BTC
increase in volatility and increase in open interest

Market didn't crash, it just cooled amid panic
Tech support holds, major levels not yet broken
Signals remain bullish on the range despite localized turbulence
Global players (including the US and China) are still engaged in trade talks and their outcome could be a new trigger for a rally

The news may shake the market, but it does not override the logic of the cycle.
As long as the BTC price is above the 104 - 105K zone, it's just a shakeup in a healthy market.
And, as it often happens, the panic of the weak becomes a gift for the strong.

> Arbitrum стал домом для ключевых DeFi-игроков: Hyperliquid, GMX, Radiant, и десятков других.
> Активность не спонсируется эйфорией - она устойчива и связана с рабочими протоколами.
> Нагрузка на сеть - следствие живого трейдинга, а не стимуляционных кампаний.

🌎

WorldChain

- глобальный амбициозный проект от Worldcoin, ориентированный на массовое применение

💰

Base от Coinbase

- крупнейшая централизованная биржа США строит свою экосистему именно на

OP Stack

И да, монеты с доходной моделью, направляющей часть прибыли на обратный выкуп и сжигание, могут стать следующими звёздами цикла.

Arbitrum collects almost $1 billion in commissions. And is this just the beginning?

Arbitrum's network isn't just showing growth - it's dominating the revenue race. According to DeFiLlama, Arbitrum users paid nearly $990 million in commissions in June 2025 alone. By comparison, its closest L2 competitor Optimism collected just $65 million in the same period.

- Why such a gap?

The reason is real demand and infrastructure:

> Arbitrum has become home to key DeFi players: Hyperliquid, GMX, Radiant, and dozens of others.
> Activity is not sponsored by euphoria - it's sustainable and tied to working protocols.
> Network strain is a consequence of live trading, not stimulus campaigns.

But don't write Optimism off either
Albeit modest in fees so far, OP SuperChain is the foundation for two monsters:

WorldChain, a globally ambitious project from Worldcoin focused on mass adoption

Base from Coinbase - the largest centralized exchange in the U.S. is building its ecosystem on OP Stack

When these projects become fully operational, the numbers could change dramatically.

- What does this mean for the market?

Today DeFi, NFT and tokenization (RWA) are just gaining momentum. When the whole market returns to the growth phase, chains with real revenue and a working economy (not just history) will get the most powerful upside.

And yes, coins with a revenue model that directs a portion of profits to buyback and burn could be the next stars of the cycle.

Arbitrum is now the undisputed leader in terms of utilization and revenue.
Optimism is building infrastructure.
And the market is just waking up. Not the right time to be sleeping on its own.

🎁30 USDT за участие (только для СНГ)

Первые 200 человек получат по $30 за выполнение трёх простых шагов:

1. Пройти KYC на бирже

2. Сделать торговый объём от $1000

3. Заполнить гугл-форму: [ссылка]

Быстро, просто и без подводных — я уже участвую.

⚔️ Tap & Trade Challenge

GRVT запускает глобальный конкурс с призовым фондом 8 500 USDT + Trader Points (внутренний рейтинг). Отличная возможность заявить о себе и заработать:

• Торгуйте через мобильное приложение (Android) или веб-версию

• Сделки через API не учитываются

• Зарегистрируйтесь по ссылке:
👉 grvt.io/exchange/liquidity-league/TDC:2xzLvdpVwpdqLp1OkFmS5ai2bHk

• Подробнее тут: help.grvt.io

Я уже на борту — сам протестировал: всё работает стабильно, интерфейс быстрый, а участие даёт шанс на неплохие призы.

💎Бонусы

• 20% от всех токенов GRVT будут розданы активным участникам

• За каждую неделю активности — бейджи, которые потом можно обменять на токены

• Платформа в будущем добавит торговлю акциями, ETF и другими активами

• Регистрируйся:

grvt.io

(мой рефкод:

355OXKK

)

• Присоединяйся к комьюнити:

t.me/grvt_io

• Успей до дедлайна:

23 июня, 23:59 UTC

🪙 BTC: $105 197 (+0.16%)

🪙 ETH: $2 523 (–0.19%)

🪙 BNB: $648 (-0.34%)

🪙 SOL: $145 (-0.12%)

🌐

Капитализация рынка: 3.38T

💸

Объём за 24ч: $78.4B

🔗

Объём DeFi: $28.9B

🪙

Стейблкоины: $73.9B

👑

Доминация BTC: 61.7%

Happy weekend, friends!

Major coins:
BTC: $107,975.08 (-0.14%)

ETH: $2,553.51 (-0.02%)

BNB: $670.61 (+0.21%)

SOL: $173.92 (-0.31%)

Global performance:
Market capitalization: $3.4T

24h volume: $152.77B

DeFi Volume: $41.76B

Stablecoins: $144.94B

BTC domination: 63.08%

What will you do today?)

Капа очень небольшая, риск высокий, DYOR🎁

Изучайте, я взял по наводке в одной из випок, сильно не грузимся 💯

Смещение на 68 дней - ближе всего к текущему BTC-прайсу, корреляция 76.9%

Смещение на 76 дней - лучше для долгосрочной картины, корреляция 76.6%

За последние 2 года корреляция достигала 86–92% - это не случайность

Global money supply M2 - the key to the future of BTC?

On the charts, an unusual but extremely curious observation:
if you shift the growth curve of the global money supply (M2) by 68-76 days, you can see a strikingly high correlation with the bitcoin price.

Facts by the numbers:

Offset at 68 days - closest to the current BTC price, 76.9% correlation

Offset at 76 days - better for the long term picture, correlation 76.6%

Over the last 2 years, the correlation has been as high as 86-92% - this is no coincidence

- The simple conclusion is that bitcoin follows liquidity.

As soon as global central banks increase the supply of money, BTC starts to catch up after 2-2.5 months. This is especially visible in recovery phases after crises or during monetary policy easing.

Since the early spring of 2025, global M2 has grown again - aggressively, confidently, without pullbacks.
Which means, if the pattern continues, we are now at the point before the next spurt.

The BTC price is not detached from reality, it is tenaciously tied to liquidity flows.
So while global money supply continues to grow, bitcoin hasn't had its last word yet. Perhaps we are on the cusp of a new momentum, triggered not by emotions but by economics.

Good luck in the market!

🪙 BTC: $106 802 (+ 1.52%)

🪙 ETH: $2 612 (+3.54%)

🪙 BNB: $653 (+0.77%)

🪙 SOL: $155 +6.12%)

Happy start of the week, friends!

New week - new opportunities!
For now, the market is breathing steady:
BTC: $106,802 (+ 1.52%)

ETH: $2,612 (+3.54%)

BNB: $653 (+0.77%)

SOL: $155 (+6.12%)

The world of crypto is leisurely but vigorous - it's time to act wisely: update goals, explore ideas, keep your finger on the pulse and, most importantly, don't forget to rest)

What are your plans for the week? Share

Посты про покупки:
https://t.me/cryptic_crypto_en/1174
https://t.me/cryptic_crypto_en/1165
https://t.me/cryptic_crypto_en/1138

Что в итоге получилось:
Если оглянуться на входы, они кажутся почти смешными. А теперь же почти все подарки дали 5–10x, а некоторые — и больше.

1. Часы
Купил: 13 штук по 5 TON
Продажа: около 40 TON
Чистая прибыль: около $1200

2. Чёрная кепка
Купил: около 100 TON
Продажа: около 700 TON
Чистая прибыль: около $1500

3. Сумки
Купил: 5 штук по 7 TON
Текущая цена: от 165 TON
Чистая прибыль: около 600-700$

4. Прочие предметы
Сигары, грибы и прочие коллекционные штуки тоже дали неплохой рост. Это была вторая волна, но результат ощутим свыше 2000$

Шлем я купил за 5к звезд (80$) и сейчас они стоят минимум по 450 тон и это так же около +1500$, пока буду держать хоть и руки чешуться, думаю шлем вырастит еще

Ну и крайняя покупка это золотая рука, по факту это самый редкий и дорогой подарок, на минуточку лягушка пепе стоила 2к звезд, а руку я брал за 10к звезд + саплай очень мелкий и в потенциле этот шлем будет торговаться минимум за 3-5к$

Сейчас внимание смещается на стикеры. Тема разогревается, но рынок уже насыщен. Я наблюдаю без резких входов. Потенциал есть, но нужен расчёт.

Если вы следили за движом, собирали идеи, входили вовремя — вы уже в плюсе. Подарки стали не просто коллекцией, а активом с динамикой. Это редкий случай, когда Web3-механика, комьюнити и фактор Telegram сошлись в одну точку роста.

Gifts that shoot. How one Idea Turned into Thousands of Dollars

Recently, I shared that I was buying gifts and took several dozen of them, more out of interest than for profit. Back then, few people believed in the potential. Today, the picture is completely different.

Shopping posts:
https://t.me/cryptic_crypto_en/1174
https://t.me/cryptic_crypto_en/1165
https://t.me/cryptic_crypto_en/1138

What happened in the end:
If you look back at the entrances, they seem almost ridiculous. But now almost all the gifts were given 5–10x, and some — even more.

1. The clock
Bought: 13 pieces of 5 TON each
Sale: about 40 TON
Net profit: about $1,200

2. Black cap
Bought: about 100 TON
Sale: about 700 TON
Net profit: about $1,500

3. Bags
Bought: 5 pieces of 7 TON each
Current price: from 165 TON
Net profit: about $600-700

4. Other items
Cigars, mushrooms and other collectible items also gave a good growth. It was the second wave, but the result is tangible over $2,000

But now the most interesting thing is that I snatched some large gifts for the stars.

I bought a helmet for 5k stars ($ 80) and now they cost at least 450 tons and it's also about $ 1,500, while I'll keep my hands itching, I think the helmet will grow more

Well, the last purchase is a golden hand, in fact it is the rarest and most expensive gift, for a moment Pepe's frog cost 2k stars, and I took the hand for 10k stars + the price is very small and this helmet will potentially be traded for at least 3-5k$

What is important to understand:

Now the focus is shifting to stickers. The topic is heating up, but the market is already saturated. I observe without sudden entrances. There is potential, but calculation is needed.

If you've been following the progress, collecting ideas, and logging in on time, you're already in the black. Gifts have become not just a collection, but an asset with dynamics. This is a rare case where Web3 mechanics, the community, and the Telegram factor have converged into a single point of growth.

🪙 BTC: $106 489 (-0.57%)

🪙 ETH: $2 570 (-2.14%)

🪙 BNB: $657 (+0.37%)

🪙 SOL: $151 (-3.01%)

🌐

Капитализация рынка: $3.34T

💸

Объём за 24ч: $76.7B

🔗

Объём DeFi: $34.18B

🪙

Стейблкоины: $261B

👑

Доминация BTC: 63.95%

Good day, crypto gang!

Main coins:
BTC: $106,489 (-0.57%)

ETH: $2,570 (-2.14%)

BNB: $657 (+0.37%)

SOL: $151 (-3.01%)

Global performance:
Market capitalization: $3.34T

24h volume: $76.7B

DeFi Volume: $34.18B

Stablecoins: $261B

BTC domination: 63.95%

How is trading going?) Share in the comments

21:00 - Решение ФРС по ставке

21:30 - Пресс-конференция Пауэлла

Намёк на снижение ставки летом? → рынок в зелёной зоне

Жёсткая риторика и страх инфляции? → инвесторы уходят в защитные активы, альты под давлением

> Фондовый и крипторынок смотрят на ФРС
> Институционалы - на стейблкоины
> Крупный капитал - ждёт сигнала на риск

The calm before the storm? Or the calm before the rally?

According to on-chain analytics, BTC inflows on Binance are minimal throughout the current bull cycle. Neither retailers nor big-money traders are in a hurry to get their coins onto exchanges. And this can only mean one thing - no one is in a hurry to sell now.

Recall that in March and December 2024 we saw a surge of activity - coins flew to exchanges and were fixed on growth. Now? An absolute pause.

It looks like accumulating tension. It remains to be seen whether the market will shoot up or just wait for what Powell will say.

Key events of the week:

Tuesday (June 17).

Final Senate vote on the Genius Act - possible legalization and standardization of Stablecoins.
This isn't just regulation - it's a doorway into the crypto market for traditional capital. (Previously did a post about this.)

Wednesday (June 18).

21:00 - Fed rate decision

21:30 - Powell press conference

- What's important to hear:

Hint of a rate cut in the summer? → market in the green zone

Tough rhetoric and inflation fears? → investors move into defensive assets, alts under pressure

Thursday (June 19)

Officially it's Juneteenth. But in reality - low liquidity, perfect environment for manipulation. Be careful with your position on this day.

We are in a period where the market is not so much moving as listening.

> Stock and crypto markets look to the Fed
> Institutionalists look to Stablecoins
> Large cap - waiting for a risk signal

Which means we could see a strong move in the next 72 hours - depending on Powell's tone and the outcome of the Senate vote.

Summer is the season when the market looks sluggish, but it's at times like these that bursts of turbulence occur.

Calm is also a position!

✔ Круглосуточная работа — обменивай в любое время, выходные и праздники, даже ночью!
✔ Максимально просто — с верификацией или без, как тебе удобнее.
✔ Молниеносные операции — твои деньги приходят мгновенно.

•

Гибкое API

— легко интегрируй наш сервис в свой проект.
•

Массовые выплаты

— мы поможем организовать удобные и безопасные транзакции для твоего бизнеса.

🪙 BTC: $105 000 (+ 1.75%)

🪙 ETH: $2 527 (+2.26%)

🪙 BNB: $651 (-1.01%)

🪙 SOL: $147 (-3.85%)

Биткоин уверенно держится выше $100K, а эфир радует позитивной динамикой в +2%)) Солана снова в числе лидеров падения — -4% за сутки. BNB слегка упал, но без резких движений.

Happy midweek, friends!

The market looks like this:
BTC: $105,000 (+ 1.75%)

ETH: $2 527 (+2.26%)

BNB: $651 (-1.01%)

SOL: $147 (-3.85%)

Bitcoin is confidently holding above $100K, and ether is pleased with the positive dynamics of +2%)) Solana is again among the leaders of the drop -4% per day. BNB dropped slightly, but without sudden movements.

The crypto market is in a "confident waiting" mode today — without sudden jumps, but with steady growth in key assets.

Are you trading or relaxing today? Share it

📈 2013: +5,549%

📉 2014: -59,2%

📈 2015–2017: последовательный рост

📉 2018: -72,2%

📈 2019–2021: снова рост

📉 2022: -64,4%

📈 2023–2024: два зелёных года подряд

> накоплений китов

> ослабления давления со стороны регуляторов

> запуска Ethereum-ETF

> институциональной экспансии через stablecoins

The chart that whispers “The cycle is not over yet”

CryptoQuant found an interesting pattern - annual BTC returns since 2011 clearly fit into the structure:
three green years → one red
And yes, these phases coincide suspiciously well with the halving rhythm.

If you trust history:

2013: +5,549%

2014: -59,2%

2015-2017: consistent growth

2018: -72,2%

2019-2021: growth again

2022: -64,4%

2023-2024: two green years in a row

- What does this say about 2025?

Unless the model fails (and so far it's working like a Swiss watch), 2025 should be the third year of growth, as it was in 2017 and 2021.
Potential Yield (+120%)
That is from a notional $93,226 towards $200,000+ per BTC.

Against the backdrop of:

> whale accumulation

> easing regulatory pressure

> Ethereum-ETF launch

> institutional expansion via stablecoins.

- we get technical and fundamental confirmation that the party's not over yet.

- Yes, there was a downturn in 2022 and it was painful. But after every red year there are three green years and so far we're only on our second.

If 2023 and 2024 are the warm up, 2025 could be the high point. The important thing is not to get out before the final climb sounds. Good luck in the market

> Простой и понятный интерфейс - обмен за пару кликов.

> Поддержка без задержек - всегда на связи.

> Никакой регистрации - максимум приватности.

> Актуальные резервы - работаем с крупными суммами.

> Безопасность и скорость - заявки обрабатываются быстро и прозрачно.

🪙 BTC: $105 126 (-0.43%)

🪙 ETH: $2 529 (-0.43%)

🪙 BNB: $645 (-3.08%)

🪙 SOL: $146 (-1.01%)

🌐

Капитализация рынка: $3.27T

💸

Объём за 24ч: $112.3B

🔗

Объём DeFi: $29.8B

🪙

Стейблкоины: $279B

👑

Доминация BTC: 64%

Good day, crypto gang!

Main Coins:
BTC: $105,126 (-0.43%)

ETH: $2 529 (-0.43%)

BNB: $645 (-3.08%)

SOL: $146 (-1.01%)

Global indicators:
Market capitalization: $3.27T

24h Volume: $112.3B

DeFi Volume: $29.8B

Stablecoins: $279B

BTC Dominance: 64%

The middle of the week, how's it going?) Share it in the comments

• Рекомендации, которые реально работают, от нейронки, которая каждую неделю подбирает гемы недели с конкретными уровнями по монете
• Еженедельный разбор макроэкономики
• Все действия китов, кто куда переливает ликвидность в рынке и это всего лишь малая часть, что там есть!

> 30 июля 2025 - ставка остаётся на уровне 4,25–4,5%. Это почти гарантировано: 90,7% участников делают ставку на паузу.

> 17 сентября 2025 - первое возможное снижение на 0,25%, до диапазона 4,00–4,25%. Вероятность - 36,6%, ещё 57,9% ждут сохранения текущего уровня.

> 29 октября 2025 - вероятен второй раунд снижения, но рынок пока сомневается: большинство (46,9%) считает, что ФРС ещё подождёт.

> 10 декабря 2025 - тут ожидания усиливаются: 42,7% закладывают ставку в диапазоне 3,75–4,00%, то есть ещё одно снижение.

> Весна 2026 - дальнейшее поэтапное снижение уже становится базовым сценарием.

Interest rates and the crypto market. Pause, then decline?

After the speech of Fed Chief Jerome Powell - rate expectations remained the same, but the signal to the market is received: easing is ahead, just not now.

How the market sees it (according to CME FedWatch Tool):

> July 30, 2025 - rate stays at 4.25-4.5%. This is almost guaranteed: 90.7% of participants are betting on a pause.

> September 17, 2025 - first possible decrease of 0.25%, to a range of 4.00-4.25%. The probability is 36.6%, with another 57.9% expecting the current level to be maintained.

> October 29, 2025 - a second round of cuts is likely, but the market is still hesitant: the majority (46.9%) thinks the Fed will wait.

> December 10, 2025 - expectations are heightened here: 42.7% put the rate in the range of 3.75-4.00%, i.e. another cut.

> Spring 2026 - a further step-by-step decrease is already becoming the base case.

The rate is the price of money. The lower the rate, the cheaper capital → higher interest in risky assets like crypto.

Fed is cautious but leaning towards a reversal. Pause for now, but real action may begin in the fall.

The market is laying optimism ahead. Capital starts flowing to the places where the yields are “accelerating”, and these are alts, ETH, memecoins and young projects.

The rate remains an anchor, but the moorings are starting to let go. If inflation continues to fall and the economy shows a slowdown, the market will get its fuel. And those who are ready early will be at the epicenter of the next wave.

We're waiting, but we're not sleeping. Good luck in the market!