Commodity Focus By Kotak Securities
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Our dedicated channel on commodities gives you access to the latest happenings in the commodity market.
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KCALRT: INTRADAY UPDATE: BUY MCX SILVER JUL, BOOK PROFIT & EXIT AT (CMP- 97320)
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COMEX gold holds firm near $3300/oz after retreating 2 percent in the previous session, amid stronger US dollar and improving risk appetite among investors

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday advocated for holding interest rates unchanged until there is greater clarity on the inflationary impact of higher tariffs

WTI crude holds edged higher to $61.43/bbl, recovering from losses of the previous session amid rising concerns over potential new US sanctions on Russia and anticipation ahead of the upcoming OPEC+ committee meeting

LME base metals declined as global economic and trade uncertainties fueled a risk-off mood across markets

Investors are now looking ahead to the release of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes and an upcoming speech by an FOMC member for clues on the central bank’s interest rate outlook

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Commodity Focus By Kotak Securities
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Potential for Operation Twist 2.0?

If the Federal Reserve were to announce an Operation Twist—a policy move where it sells short-term U.S. Treasuries (91 days to 2 years maturity) and buys long-term Treasuries (10 to 30 years maturity)—it could lead to a temporary drop in long-term yields without expanding the money supply or significantly weakening the U.S. Dollar.

Based on the current maturity profile (as of May 21, 2025), the Fed holds approximately $600 billion in Treasuries maturing between 91 days and 2 years, which could be used to finance the purchase of longer-dated bonds. Such an operation could help flatten the yield curve and address concerns around the recent steepening or rise in long-term yields.

🔁 Operation Twist is not a new concept. It was previously implemented in 1961 and again during 2011–2012. While the Fed has not hinted at any such move recently, the strategy remains a historical tool the central bank could consider if yield curve dynamics or long-term borrowing costs become a concern.

Key advantage: Adjusts the maturity composition of Fed holdings without changing the size of the balance sheet or injecting new liquidity—thus avoiding excess pressure on the dollar.


Disc: https://www.kotaksecurities.com/disclaimer/commodities - Kotak Securities
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KCALRT: INTRADAY : BUY MCX CRUDEOIL JUN 5250 CE BETWEEN 191 – 193 TP 230 SL 170 (CMP-191)

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KCALRT: INTRADAY : BUY MCX SILVERM JUN 98000 CE BETWEEN 2250 – 2270 TP 2650 SL 2000 (CMP-2250)

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KCALRT: SHORT TERM: BUY MCX GOLD AUG BETWEEN 96550 – 96580 TP 98000 SL 95700 (CMP-96550)

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KCALRT : INTRADAY: BUY MCX NATURAL GAS JUN 320 PE BETWEEN 22.45 – 22.60 TP 25.45 SL 20.45 (CMP-22.45)
Disc: https://www.kotaksecurities.com/disclaimer/commodities - Kotak Securities
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KCALRT : INTRADAY: BUY MCX CRUDEOIL JUN BETWEEN 5260 – 5265 TP 5327 SL 5215 (CMP-5260) 
Disc: https://www.kotaksecurities.com/disclaimer/commodities - Kotak Securities
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KCALRT : INTRADAY: SELL MCX NATURAL GAS MAY BETWEEN 317.50– 317.20 TP 315.60 SL 318.75 (CMP-317.50)
Disc: https://www.kotaksecurities.com/disclaimer/commodities - Kotak Securities