All it takes is $686, a dream, and a bit of insider knowledge 🤣

What Is the Bitcoin Power Law Model?

The Power Law model applies a simple linear regression on Bitcoin’s log price over time, then extends it into two parallel bands. The lower band acts as long-term support, while the upper band represents resistance. Bitcoin’s price has historically oscillated within this channel for over a decade 🟠

📈 The model implies a gradual but predictable growth curve. According to its projection.

After 2028, the model suggests Bitcoin should never fall below $100,000 again. Extending further, it points to $1,000,000 being reached between 2028 and 2037, after which the price would remain above that level.

🧮 While the Power Law offers an elegant way to contextualize Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory, it is based entirely on past performance. Structural shifts could break the model. It should be seen as a framework for understanding long-term price trends, not some kind of forecast ❗️

This indicator is only usable for high-timeframe investing. You can use it for free here 🔗

#FAQ

The Sunk Cost Fallacy in Crypto 😐

The sunk cost fallacy is one of the most common traps in investing. It makes us hold something only because we already put money, time, or effort into it, instead of judging it by current reality ℹ️

Think of a hyped altcoin. The team is late, the chart is bleeding, BTC and ETH are stronger. Rationally you should rotate out, yet many keep holding because selling feels like admitting defeat 🙅‍♂️

🤦 This is the sunk cost fallacy. We anchor to past effort rather than comparing better opportunities. Loss aversion and commitment bias make it even harder to let go.

The solution is simple. Ask yourself: if you sold today, would you buy this coin back tomorrow. If the answer is no, you are only holding because of sunk costs.

❗️ Focus on future potential, not past mistakes. The next decision matters more than the last one.

@CoinPost

The World Liberty Financial ($WLFI) token is officially tradable with an FDV of $26.4 billion 🤩

🤔 Even given that the Trump family is backing this project (nominally), there's a 99% chance the chart will look like the sketch above in a few years/months 📉

Should You Use Leverage in Crypto Trading? ⚖️

Leverage is what ruins most traders. The problem is not the tool itself but the way people use it. Too much risk, too much size, and the account is gone 😣

🧠 Used correctly, leverage can optimize your capital. Imagine you have $20,000. Without leverage, you could simply buy $20,000 of BTC on spot.

With 5x leverage, you only need $4,000 in margin to get the same exposure. That leaves $16,000 free in stablecoins. You can farm yield with them and add margin if BTC pulls back 20% 🧮

This way, instead of going all-in and locking you liquidity in BTC, leverage gives you more flexibility. It is a capital efficiency tool, not a shortcut to riches. I would advise beginners never to use leverage greater than 10x ❗️

#FAQ

The Ultimate 5 Indicators for Timing Bitcoin Cycles 📊

Here are the five indicators that matter most if you want to buy Bitcoin near the lows and sell into euphoria 👇

⏺ MVRV Ratio – Compares market value to realized value to show when BTC is over or undervalued.

⏺ Puell Multiple – Tracks miner revenue against yearly averages to highlight stress or relief in mining.

⏺ Long Term Holder SOPR – Measures if long-term holders are selling at a profit or a loss.

⏺ Net Unrealized Profit/Loss – Shows overall market psychology by comparing unrealized profits vs losses.

⏺ Bitcoin Power Law Model – Uses regression bands to frame BTC’s long-term price path.

These indicators are designed for long-term investing. They help you spot cycle bottoms and tops that happen every few years. They’re not useful for day trading or short-term moves ⚠️

📌 Save for later and share with a friend

@CoinPost

Never Join Presales on X 👎

If an influencer posts a wallet address for presale or just token contract address, you are not early. You are being exit liquidity ❗️

Yesterday’s example says it all. Crypto influencer “kook” (presumably it was him) launched a presale and got away with around $140k after selling. He then rugged one more coin, deleted all tweets and started saying he was hacked.

🗣 This is the pattern. Random memecoin presales and rushed calls to “ape in.” This type of KOLs exist only to extract money from followers.

Protect your capital. In crypto there are no refunds 😐

In the last 30 years, $1 lost half its value 📉

But $1 in the S&P 500 grew into $19, even after inflation 📈

Find opportunities to increase your earnings and invest them, or doom yourself to poverty due to the endless devaluation of fiat money 🤷‍♀️

Why You Shouldn’t Try to Pick Stocks 🧠

On paper it always seems obvious which companies will win. Tech giants look unstoppable. Consumer brands look boring. The rational choice feels clear 🤔

But markets don’t work that way. In May 2010, Intel was a core player in computing while Monster was “just” an energy drink maker.

📈 Fifteen years later, a $1000 investment in Intel grew only 8% to $1080. The same $1000 in Monster grew 3169% to $31,690. All while the dollar itself lost 48% of its value.

Stories like this repeat across the market. What looks safe often underperforms. What looks trivial sometimes creates fortunes. Very few people can consistently predict which will be which.

😏 That is why, unless you are extremely skilled or an insider, trying to pick the next winner stock is usually a losing game. For most investors, the smarter path is to diversify and simply buy the index.

#FAQ

WLFI team freezes Justin Sun 😐

Trump’s backed World Liberty Financial just blacklisted Justin Sun’s wallet.

🔓 He now sits on 540M unlocked $WLFI tokens and 2.4B locked tokens, all frozen because the team claims “an exchange was using user tokens to dump and push down the price.”

🔍 The freeze came right after Sun moved $9M worth of WLFI to a CEX. And since launch just 3 days ago, the token is already down 46.7%.

There are rumors that Justin “borrowed” Huobi users’ WLFI tokens at 20% APR so he could dump them and exit his vesting bag early, cashing out nearly 80% of the presale allocation while the valuation of this worthless token was still high. But don’t worry, WLFI team has a “solution” 🤣

Not every day you see this kind of volatility on hourly candles 🔽

In just the past 60 minutes, $115M was liquidated across the crypto market. BTC alone dropped more than 2k in one move 🟠

📊 The trigger may have been today’s US jobs data. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in August, the highest since October 2021. This was easily the ugliest jobs report relative to expectations since Covid.

Two things stand out:

⏺ First, the numbers were so bad they likely threw everything in at once, knowing revisions are coming next week.

⏺ Second, the report now likely cements a 0.25% rate cut by the Fed and even puts 0.5% cut on the table in September 🇺🇸

The end: he lost it all 😵

Back in May I wrote about James Wynn — the guy who held the largest public perp DEX position ever worth over $1 billion.

💸 At the ATH he had over $100 million in liquid capital but he then gambled it all away.

After today's market dump, his last ETH long position was liquidated, leaving him with only $2,300 🫡

Michael Saylor’s Strategy will not be included in the S&P 500 😫

This decision shocked markets because inclusion would have forced massive passive inflows into the stock and, by extension, into Bitcoin exposure 🤑

Many traders were betting on this as a near guarantee 😣

Is Crypto a Ponzi Scheme? 🤔

A Ponzi scheme is a fraud where early investors are paid “returns” directly from deposits of new investors. There is no business, no external value. The operator promises profits, recycles incoming money, and the whole thing collapses once inflows dry up ❗️

🕯 Markets are different. Profits come from buying low and selling high in open exchange. There is no promise of payout, only voluntary trades at agreed prices.

🤑 Bitcoin and Ethereum fall into this second category. They are assets with open markets. Early buyers made money because later buyers valued them higher, just like with equities or real estate. That dynamic is speculation, not fraud.

🤷‍♀️ Even meme coins and rugs are not Ponzis. They are bad assets with no fundamental value. Early insiders dump on later buyers, but there is no operator promising fixed returns from new deposits. That makes them pump-and-dumps, not Ponzis.

The distinction is clear. Ponzi = guaranteed returns paid from new money. Markets = open price discovery where some win and some lose ❗️

#FAQ

In the past 17 years, total U.S. payroll employment has only turned negative three times 👇

⏺The 2008–09 financial crisis

⏺The COVID-19 shock in spring 2020

⏺June 2025 👀

Every previous time this has happened during a major market correction 📉

@CoinPost

Russia accuses US of debt trick with crypto 🏦

Putin’s adviser Anton Kobyakov claims Washington is using crypto to manage its $35 trillion debt. He argues the US promotes stablecoins to boost demand for Treasuries, then could devalue the dollar and wipe away part of its debt burden 🤔

🗓 He compared it to 1933, when the US "hiked" gold prices to devalue the dollar, and to 1971, when Nixon cut the gold peg. In both cases, debt pressures were eased by devaluation.

🤔 IMO, the theory makes some sense but is exaggerated. Stablecoins do create demand for Treasuries and extend dollar dominance, but they are far too small ($290B) to impact $35T in debt, for now...

But I still do think the US will push for USD stablecoins as a private-sector alternative to CBDCs, while China and the EU will rely on central bank issued digital fiat 💶

@CoinPost

Massive NPM Hack in Progress 🚨

A well-known open-source developer’s NPM account was hacked. The attacker published malicious updates to several popular software packages. These packages are not niche tools — they are buried deep inside almost every modern web app and together have billions of downloads.

💻 Because these packages are so widely used, any project or app depending on them could unknowingly carry the malicious code. This makes it one of the most dangerous supply chain attacks in recent years.

The malware is nasty. It specifically targets crypto users. The code is a “crypto-clipper” — it looks for wallet addresses in transactions and secretly replaces them with the attacker’s addresses 🧑‍💻

If you send funds using a compromised app or service, you might think you are sending to your own address, but the transaction will be altered and your crypto will end up in the attacker’s wallet.

😌 If you use a hardware wallet, you are safe as long as you carefully check the recipient address before signing. If you use a software wallet, it is safest to pause on-chain transactions until this attack is fully contained.

One of the biggest hacks in recent history resulted in the attacker receiving $504 worth of various tokens. Honestly, this is hilarious 🤣

Everything should be safe now. The companies behind the biggest web crypto wallets have confirmed that they were not affected by yesterday's NPM hack ✅

Apple unveiled the iPhone 17, Air, Pro, and Pro Max, with prices starting at $799. Apple stock dropped 1.5% after the reveal. I don't remember a single time when it didn't go down on the day a new product was released, lol 🍎

A reminder that the relative value of Bitcoin priced in iPhones has never been so high, and this gap will only grow 🤑

Most people don’t have an extra $1,000 in their bank account, yet they always seem to have a new iPhone. Really makes you think 😂

Bitcoin Pumps on PPI Data 🔼

Bitcoin jumped back above $113,400 after fresh US inflation numbers.

📊 August Producer Price Index (PPI) came in at 2.6% year over year — the lowest since June. That is below expectations of 3.3%.

Lower inflation prints ease pressure on the Fed, and the market reacted instantly 🤑