Some yields right now are just too good to ignore 💸

🤑 On Binance Simple Earn, you can park USDC and get 12.2% APR. Fully liquid, withdraw anytime, no lockups.

🤑 ETH maxi? GammaSwap’s gETH vault is pulling in 21.6% APY from AMM yield.

Two plays, all live now. Pick your yield and let the coins do the work. Save for later 📌

Top 5 tools for analyzing crypto projects 🔍

Price charts only tell part of the story. These tools help you dig into real usage, fundamentals, unlocks, and on-chain activity 👇

🔍 Token Terminal — Protocol revenue, fees, and financial ratios. The go-to for fundamentals.

🔍 DeFiLlama — Best free app in crypto. TVL, yield strategies, bridge flows, protofol, fees and L2 activity across nearly every chain.

🔍 Dropstab — Clear unlock schedules and vesting calendars to gauge future sell pressure.

🔍 Skynet — Security dashboards by Certik that provides risk scores, giving you a quick read on a project’s safety.

🔍 Santiment — On-chain, dev, and social data to catch trends and signals before the market does.

📌 Save this list for later

How to Size Your Bets Properly 🤔

Many traders lose in the long term not because they pick bad assets, but because they size their bets badly. Risk too little and you grow slowly. Risk too much and one streak of losses wipes you out. The Kelly Criterion solves this problem.

🧮 It’s a formula from probability theory that shows how much of your capital to risk when you have an edge. The idea is to maximize long-term growth while minimizing the risk of ruin.

The theory also explains why overbetting is fatal: the more you exceed the Kelly amount, the faster your chances of blowing up rise.

Underbetting is safer but leaves profits on the table. That’s why many traders use “half-Kelly” to balance growth and volatility 🤔

For example, say you have a $10,000 portfolio and a strategy that wins 60% of the time at 1:1 R/R ratio.

👉 Kelly would suggest risking about $2,000 per trade. Not $500, which grows too slowly, and not $5,000, which risks ruin — but the balanced middle.

⏺f = the fraction of your bankroll to risk. This is the answer the formula gives.

⏺b = the odds or payout ratio. For example, if you risk $100 to win $100, then b = 1. If you risk $100 to win $500, then b = 5.

⏺p = the probability of winning. This is how often your strategy works (like 60%).

⏺q = the probability of losing, which is simply 1 − p. If p = 0.6, then q = 0.4.

#FAQ

What Is a Swing Failure Pattern? 📉

😨 An SFP happens when price pushes above a key high (or below a key low), only to reverse and close back inside the range. It’s a classic fake-out: liquidity gets taken from stop orders, but the breakout fails.

🤑 Right now BTC just locked in a weekly bearish SFP. That means price tried to break higher, swept liquidity above the highs at $123k, but failed to hold. Historically, this has been one of the most reliable reversal signals.

🗓 Over the last 5 years, this exact setup has appeared many times and almost always it led to strong downside reactions. It doesn’t always guarantee a dump, but the odds are stacked against continuation once a weekly SFP forms.

If you have many leveraged longs — better cut now than later. But hey, NFA, DYOR, you know... 🧠

#FAQ

Top 5 ways people get rekt in crypto 😭

After a few cycles, I noticed that most losses people have don’t come from black swans, but from stupid stuff people repeat over and over 👇

🔜 First is leverage. Crypto markets are thin and volatile, so a 10% wick can wipe out 10x leverage traders. Liquidation cascades make the move even sharper. Leverage is the most dangerous thing for most people when it comes to trading and is tied to most sad stories in crypto.

🔜 Emotional trading. Herding behavior makes people chase momentum, then capitulate when it reverses. Short-term holders are always the ones realizing the heaviest losses in selloffs. Price speculation is simply unnatural for humans, your psychology works against you in most market scenarios.

🔜 Third is high FDV low float tokens. A tiny circulating supply lets push prices high up, but unlocks flood the market with new supply. Dilution eventually drags valuations back to where real demand can sustain them. People who marry such bags often hold them for multiple years until it's down -99%

🔜 CEX listing hype. New listings often open mispriced because liquidity is thin and informed sellers unload into demand. Retail buyers are effectively betting against both time and insiders. With leverage, the risk is multiplied.

🔜 Illiquid bets. NFTs or low cap altcoins look attractive when rising, but when the bid side disappears, there’s simply no exit. Most collections and small tokens drift to zero once attention fades, it can happen over 1 month, or week, or even overnight.

📌 Save for later

Bitcoin is trading at $113,500, Bukele 'indicator' is working as always 😁

For the first time since January of this year short-term BTC holders have started selling for a loss 🔽

😱 It means momentum cracked and weak hands are puking, which often clears leverage and transfers coins to stronger owners.

If SOPR stays sub 1 for weeks I treat it as trend deterioration, but a quick reset with rising spot bids often marks a low which you can buy after the retest 🔍

💣 Israel calls up another 50,000 reservists for a military operation to completely capture Gaza and destroy Hamas.

😭 The altcoin season is over (no)

Interest in altcoins on Google has returned to its initial position amid the Bitcoin correction. And market sentiment has once again entered a bearish phase, according to Santiment data.

This is a normal reaction to the crypto market's correction from its peak. We always think that prices will only go down from here. But so far, there is no real confirmation of the start of a bear market; all you see in the market right now is emotion:

⏺ Emotions from FOMO.
⏺ Emotions from red numbers in your portfolio.
⏺ Emotions from not understanding what is happening.

And then there are analysts scaring people with the conflict between the White House and the Fed ahead of Jerome Powell's speech on August 22 🤬

Always DYOR and remember about the NFA. But before you do anything:

🟢 Read Coinbase's report on the prospects for altcoins.
🟢 Remember the 85% chance of Bloomberg approving an altcoin ETF this fall.
🟢 Imagine what would happen if Trump forced the Fed to lower rates, ignoring the threat of rising inflation 😊

@CoinPost

Top 5 signs a token launch will dump 📉

Most new tokens pump on day one, then fade hard. Here’s how to spot the ones most likely to bleed 👇

1️⃣Low float, high FDV. Tiny circulating supply makes price look strong early, but unlocks crush it later. Market cap increases or stays the same while price stagnates forever.

2️⃣Big VC allocations. When early backers hold a huge share at cents-on-the-dollar, guess who’s selling into your “entry.”

3️⃣Heavy unlock schedule ahead. Large cliffs and emissions mean constant new supply. Price rarely keeps up.

4️⃣Exchange listing fake hype. Day-one listings are often mispriced. Liquidity is thin, insiders exit, sometimes without even selling spot, but by hedging on perps, and retail becomes exit liquidity.

5️⃣No real users or revenue. If the product isn’t being used, token demand can’t absorb the selling pressure.

📌 Save this list. It’ll keep you from holding bags you never meant to buy

@CoinPost

Bearish signal for BTC on 1W 🐻

Bearish divergence is a signal of a trend reversal and appears when the price updates its high, while the peaks of the RSI indicator decline.

Such a signal on the higher timeframe is a serious warning, but it is not a guarantee of the end of the bull market 😏

Here's what we can understand from this signal:

⏺ BTC still has a chance to return to $124k and even a new ATH. But it is unlikely that the price will rise above $130k unless the bearish divergence is broken.

⏺ If your analysis indicates that BTC will rise to $150k and above, then confirmation of this movement will be an RSI above 70.

@CoinPost

What a beautiful day 🔼

As I wrote on August 20:

Imagine what would happen if Trump forced the Fed to lower rates, ignoring the threat of rising inflation.

For now, we cannot dream of a 3% reduction in the Fed rate, as Trump demands. But today, Jerome Powell in Jackson Hole explicitly stated the Fed's readiness to review its monetary policy in favor of easing 🍴

The probability of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17 is back to 99% — this indicator is almost always right.

Let's enjoy the green market today, but let's not get carried away. The key factor for the Fed in making its decision will be the state of the labor market.

The data will be released on September 5, and the more Americans lose their jobs, the higher the chances of a rate cut and continued growth in BTC 💸

@CoinPost

Don't touch this 💩

Yesterday Kanye West launched his own token, today it fell by 72%. One of the rapper's fans lost 50% of his deposit in a matter of hours on a stream.

The rest of the celebrity tokens crashed by 96-99%. The token creators and insiders successfully unloaded on a crowd of gullible fans.

If you want to support a star, buy a concert ticket, but don't touch their shitcoins ‼️

@CoinPost

What Is the Puell Multiple Indicator? 📊

The Puell Multiple looks at Bitcoin from the miners’ side of the economy. Since miners have fixed costs and must regularly sell coins to cover them, their revenue patterns often influence broader market cycles ⛏

🟠 It is calculated by dividing the daily issuance value of Bitcoin in USD by the 365-day moving average of that value. This shows whether the amount of new Bitcoin entering the market is unusually high or unusually low compared to history.

🔼 When the Puell Multiple falls into the green zone (check the chart above), miner revenue is depressed relative to long-term norms. These conditions have historically aligned with market lows and strong buying opportunities.

🔽 When the indicator enters the red zone or is very close to it (red line enters the red rectangle), miner revenue is far above average, often marking overheated conditions.

The Puell Multiple works ONLY on high time frames. Use this indicator to navigate market cycle lows and highs. Here you can use it for free 🕯

#FAQ

@CoinPost

Waiting for the altcoin season: let's look at TOTAL3 💵

TOTAL3 is a cryptocurrency market indicator that shows capitalization excluding BTC and ETH. It is believed that in the current market cycle, TOTAL3 best reflects the dynamics of altcoin movements.

Analysis of the TOTAL3 chart gives a 60% probability that the indicator will maintain an upward trend and will soon try to break through the resistance at $1.10 trillion, followed by sideways trading with an upper limit of $1.15 trillion 🔼

It is important to monitor the RSI on 1W:
🔜 There is a hint of bearish divergence, similar to the BTC chart. If the RSI remains below 70, altcoins will show a 30-80% growth and then go into correction.
🔜 If the RSI breaks above 70, the bearish divergence is canceled, TOTAL3 enters the ATH zone and we get a chance for a full-fledged altcoin season.

Remember BTC, without its growth, nothing will happen. NFA, DYOR, you know... 😏

@CoinPost

BTC lost all of Friday's gains, but we have a gap in the $116,900–$113,600 range 🥺

NFA. Remember, the price is not required to close gaps, but it does so in 90% of cases. Don't panic 😩

@CoinPost

How to use Bitcoin Long Term Holder SOPR indicator?

🔍 LTH-SOPR tracks whether long-term Bitcoin holders are selling at a profit or a loss. It measures the profit ratio of coins that have been dormant for at least 155 days when they move on-chain.

Values above 1 mean long-term holders are realizing profits. Values below 1 show they are selling at a loss 💸

This metric is important because long-term holders are considered the strongest hands in the market 🐳

📉 When they start selling heavily into profit, it has often aligned with cycle tops. When they sell at a loss, it tends to happen near cycle bottoms.

Buy when the green line is below 1, sell when it's around 9-13. Use this indicator here for free 🕯

#FAQ

@CoinPost

What Is the Net Unrealized Profit Loss Indicator? 😮

Short name is NUPL, it's a metric that tracks Bitcoin market sentiment by showing whether investors as a whole are sitting on unrealized profits or losses. It is calculated as (Market Cap – Realized Cap) divided by Market Cap 🧮

📊 When NUPL is positive, most investors are in profit. When it is negative, the majority of coins are held at a loss. This simple relationship has proven effective for mapping out market cycles, yes, this is another indicator for high time frames.

High positive readings, especially above 0.75, have historically aligned with phases of euphoria where market tops often form. Negative readings typically appear during fear and capitulation, which have marked strong long-term buying opportunities.

Buy Bitcoin when the yellow enters green zone, sell when it enters the red zone, everything in between is mid-cycle price action 👍

By monitoring these shifts, investors can better understand the psychology of the market. NUPL helps frame whether conditions reflect greed at the top or despair at the bottom. Don't use this indicator to for day trading or scalping 🙅‍♂️

You can find this indicator here for free ⬅️

📌 Save for later

#FAQ

Bitcoin is repeating the pattern of gold and will go to $320k 💸

A beautiful chart, let's analyze the reasons for the growth of gold:
⏺ A 10% decline in the dollar index since the beginning of the year.
⏺ Trump's tariffs have created the threat of recession in the US.
⏺ Countries are buying up gold for their reserves to replace the dollar.

From this list, only the weakening of the USD works in favor of Bitcoin.

BTC has not yet gained the status of a safe-haven asset, and central banks are in no hurry to add the first cryptocurrency to their gold and foreign exchange reserves 😒

For this forecast to come true, Bitcoin must obtain the status of a safe-haven and reserve asset. So far, we only have a Bitcoin reserve in the US, which is formed exclusively from confiscated assets.

A paradigm shift for Bitcoin has begun, but we are only at the beginning of the way 👌

@CoinPost

New scam from Trump on Monday 😡

On September 1, trading will begin for the WLFI token, a DeFi project from Donald Trump's family.

Similar to the official meme token of the 47th president, TRUMP, a hype pump is expected, followed by insiders (including Trump's sons) dumping on gullible retail investors 😁

The chart shows the pump and dump of the TRUMP meme token, which temporarily drained liquidity from the crypto market and led to a drop in BTC. Then there was a second phase — insiders cashing out at the expense of retail investors.

The WLFI token unlocking schedule indicates that a similar scenario is in the works 😐

In this situation:
⏺ Participating in the pump on the listing looks like a high-risk idea; you simply won't have time to lock in your profits.
⏺ It seems interesting to short Trump's new cryptocurrency when insiders start selling.

@CoinPost

Price manipulation in the XPL perp market left many traders completely ruined 😱

🕯 XPL token is not live yet. There is no spot market. A few venues listed a premarket contract so presale buyers could hedge and speculators could bet before TGE.

Then Hyperliquid became the whole story. One wallet bought with roughly $16M and ripped price nearly 200% in minutes on that one venue. Almost all hedgers were liquidated 💀

After the spike the manipulator sold his longs into thin liquidity after forced deleveraging of most traders and walked with an estimated $15M profit.

🔍 Why it worked. The order book was thin and the perp was illiquid, so one big player could set the tape. With no spot market there was no arb anchor to pull price back.

How not to fall victim to such manipulation in the future or at least minimize your loses:

1️⃣Keep size small on premarket perps.

2️⃣Use isolated margin, not cross.

3️⃣Always place a stop loss.

@CoinPost