ETH delivered a strong pump today, jumping 7.1% in the last 24 hours. One of the best intraday moves in recent weeks, pushing price to local highs 🔼

Momentum is clearly strong, but looking at the hourly chart, RSI is deep in overbought territory and volume is starting to fade.

📉 Not calling a top, but if you're trading actively, this could be a spot to consider small short setups with tight stops. Just aiming for a quick 1%-2% pullback which is almost guaranteed 💸

Bitcoin just reclaimed $117,000 after a sharp bounce triggered by big news out of Washington 🔼

📝 President Trump has officially signed an executive order allowing crypto access in 401(k) retirement plans, unlocking a $12.5 trillion market for crypto.

For the first time since December 2024, ETH is trading above $4,000 again 🔼

After years of underperformance, the trend has flipped — Ethereum is now leading the market and dominating the narrative.

Will we see a new ATH soon?

Yes — 🐳

No — 🫡

The S&P 500 is now basically a “Top 10 Index.” 📊

Earnings growth for the top 10 is up over 250% since 2019 — the other 490 companies have barely budged.

📈 Since early 2023, the top 10 stocks like MSFT, AAPL, NVDA, have carried nearly all price gains while the rest 490 stocks stayed flat.

This level of concentration is bizarre, and the market has never been more dependent on so few names 😐

If something goes wrong with just a few of these 10 companies...

ETH is on fire — up 53% in the last 30 days and now trading at $4,220 📈

🔍 But today, some big names took profit. Erik Voorhees, early Bitcoin evangelist and ShapeShift founder, sold $27.38M worth of ETH. His last sale was in Dec 2024.

Ethereum co-founder also moved 9,840 ETH ($9.22M) to Kraken. With 95,897 ETH still in his wallet, this could be just the beginning if he decides to offload more 😱

Weekly RSI hit 70. Every single time this happened in recent years, ETH retraced at least 11%, and in some bull market cases the drop exceeded 25% ❗️

The year is 2011. “Bitcoin will never reach $20 again. This is why I have liquidated my position in Bitcoins” 😭

I wonder what this guy is up to now

Newcomers often fall for the constant “we are so early” or “the real bull market hasn’t even started” lines from crypto influencers. These are designed to ignite FOMO within you and push people into buying without thinking, usually at the wrong time ‼️

The truth is different. Let's look at the facts: Bitcoin already did 7x from the cycle's lows, the total market cap is $4 trillion. Five coins are worth over $100 billion. And no, buying ETH when it's already hot will not make you insanely rich, it will at most double or triple your investment.

Contrary to what these influencers want you to believe, the real "once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity" for ETH was at $0.31 per coin during its ICO in 2014, not at today's price of $4,200.

📈 Yes, we are still in a bull market. Prices can go higher, and they likely will. However, we are deep into the cycle, and the easy money phase is behind us. The winners at this point are those who protect their capital and avoid fomo-driven plays.

When prices are low and we're deep in a bear market, you need to accumulate assets and increase your crypto exposure. When we're in a late-stage bull market, you need to slowly decrease your exposure and start exiting your long positions. Sadly, most people do the opposite in both cases 🤷‍♀️

@CoinPost

Spot-perp basis for yield 💰

Choppy market and you still want return without directional exposure? This is my go-to. Go long spot, short the perp in the same size, and harvest the carry while staying neutral. Example 👇

• Let's say you have $20,000
• Go to Hyperliquid perps.
• Buy $15,000 worth of HYPE on spot.
• Open $15,000 HYPE short position with 3x leverage using $5000 in margin.
• Use your spot HYPE coins to earn additional APR by depositing them in Pendle PTs to earn a fixed yield.

🧮 The result:

🟢Spot yield (Pendle PT fixed yield 13.9% on $15,000)
= $2,085 per year ≈ $5.71 per day

🟢Perp funding (18% on $15,000 notional)
= $2,700 per year ≈ $7.40 per day

🟢In total you get paid:

$4,785 per year ≈ $13.11 per day = 23.9% APR 🤔

But be careful: funding can invert. Avoid high leverage, set price alerts to not get liquidated, and prefer splitting spot and perp across wallets or subaccounts.

When I like it: after strong pumps when funding is rich, or during newsy weeks when basis stretches. When funding normalizes or goes negative for a while, I close it and wait for the next window 👀

Don't be discouraged if you're not happy with your results in this market. There is always a next trade 🧠

Price does not matter as much as timing. The best entries show up at inflection points when open interest gets flushed and sentiment flips from despair to euphoria or back. See that clearly and it gets easier to take profits and close a trade without any doubts.

😱 FOMO shows up when you think chances are running out. Treat the market as an endless stream of opportunities and you can act calmly, not reactively. Process over price. Make a plan, execute it, move on. The next trade is just around the corner 🧘

That's what I call a healthy pullback 🤣

Stop buying low cap bundled scams with hope of getting 1,000x. You will be farmed 99% of the time

A forgotten seed phrase just became a billion-dollar lesson 😨

Estonian financier Rain Lohmus was an early believer in Bitcoin and Ethereum. In the 2015 ETH ICO he invested around $75,000.

🔑 He later lost the seed phrase from his wallet and at today’s prices those coins are valued near $1.14B.

Takeaway: self-custody is powerful but unforgiving. Back up seed phrases in multiple secure places ❗️

OKB token of OKX exchange ripped to a new all-time high, up about 205% in thirty minutes 🔼

This happened after OKX announced that it burned 65.2M OKB tokens (around 75% of total supply) to cap max supply at 21M.

❗️ Moves like this are why risk controls matter. One headline can double a coin price in minutes and liquidation chain will follow. If you trade with cross margin and no stop, a single candle can wipe the whole account.

🟢Always set a stop loss order so a surprise pump/dump does not take you out of the game

🟢Prefer isolated margin if possible

🟢Always assume the worst-case scenario is on the table 🧠

BTC HITS A NEW ATH OF $123,500 🔼

Nayib Bukele posted El Salvador’s Bitcoin PnL again. He is the president of El Salvador and this is their national BTC reserve unrealized profit 💸

The last few times he did this, BTC topped within a few days and then corrected 📉

BTC just hit a new ATH after July's previous local top. Will Bukele's curse spoil our fun? 😱

Hot inflation print just hit and market flushed hard 🔽

📊 Producer Price Index rose 0.9% from June and pushed the annual rate to 3.3%. Economists looked for 0.2% in July and 2.4% year over year.

BTC is now down 5.46% from yesterday’s new all time high. That level just turned into resistance again.

More than $546 million in overleveraged long positions were liquidated in the last hour ⚰️

Some yields right now are just too good to ignore 💸

🤑 On Binance Simple Earn, you can park USDC and get 12.2% APR. Fully liquid, withdraw anytime, no lockups.

🤑 ETH maxi? GammaSwap’s gETH vault is pulling in 21.6% APY from AMM yield.

Two plays, all live now. Pick your yield and let the coins do the work. Save for later 📌

Top 5 tools for analyzing crypto projects 🔍

Price charts only tell part of the story. These tools help you dig into real usage, fundamentals, unlocks, and on-chain activity 👇

🔍 Token Terminal — Protocol revenue, fees, and financial ratios. The go-to for fundamentals.

🔍 DeFiLlama — Best free app in crypto. TVL, yield strategies, bridge flows, protofol, fees and L2 activity across nearly every chain.

🔍 Dropstab — Clear unlock schedules and vesting calendars to gauge future sell pressure.

🔍 Skynet — Security dashboards by Certik that provides risk scores, giving you a quick read on a project’s safety.

🔍 Santiment — On-chain, dev, and social data to catch trends and signals before the market does.

📌 Save this list for later

How to Size Your Bets Properly 🤔

Many traders lose in the long term not because they pick bad assets, but because they size their bets badly. Risk too little and you grow slowly. Risk too much and one streak of losses wipes you out. The Kelly Criterion solves this problem.

🧮 It’s a formula from probability theory that shows how much of your capital to risk when you have an edge. The idea is to maximize long-term growth while minimizing the risk of ruin.

The theory also explains why overbetting is fatal: the more you exceed the Kelly amount, the faster your chances of blowing up rise.

Underbetting is safer but leaves profits on the table. That’s why many traders use “half-Kelly” to balance growth and volatility 🤔

For example, say you have a $10,000 portfolio and a strategy that wins 60% of the time at 1:1 R/R ratio.

👉 Kelly would suggest risking about $2,000 per trade. Not $500, which grows too slowly, and not $5,000, which risks ruin — but the balanced middle.

⏺f = the fraction of your bankroll to risk. This is the answer the formula gives.

⏺b = the odds or payout ratio. For example, if you risk $100 to win $100, then b = 1. If you risk $100 to win $500, then b = 5.

⏺p = the probability of winning. This is how often your strategy works (like 60%).

⏺q = the probability of losing, which is simply 1 − p. If p = 0.6, then q = 0.4.

#FAQ