Crypto pumps on Trump’s tariff twist 🔼

After Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs (lowering them to 10%), over $3.5 trillion flooded into the US stock market 📈

🤑 Bitcoin and other crypto assets followed as investors rotated into risk-on assets.

🗣 Trump says this is part of a “targeted” trade war against China, not a full retreat. Tariffs on Chinese goods were hiked to 125% effective immediately.

According to Treasury Sec. Bessent, the timing was intentional. No panic — just strategy 🧠

Has Bitcoin Peaked Yet? These 3 Indicators Say No 😏

While sentiment is heating up, data says the current cycle still has room to run 👇

📊 Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply

The lower this number, the closer we are to the top. Right now it sits at 14.59 million BTC. Danger starts when it drops below 13.5 million BTC, it means long-term holders begin exiting.

📊 Bitcoin Bubble Index

This index measures speculative behavior. It currently reads 13.48. Historically, tops occur when it pushes above 80, signaling peak euphoria.

📊 Bitcoin MVRV Ratio

The ratio between market value and realized value. It’s at 1.95 now. A value over 3.0 has often marked the final stage of bull markets.

Many of the best market top indicators are tracked on this page 🔍

#FAQ

After Trump announced a 90-day pause on new tariffs, the US market had its third-best day since 1990. Major indexes jumped over 7% in a single session. But history says: be careful 😨

🗓 These massive one-day rallies tend to happen during the worst possible times — not in healthy markets, but during bear markets, crashes, and financial crises.

The chart shows it clearly: almost every time the market surged 7–8% in one day, it made new lows shortly after. In some cases, within 24 hours.

Big green candles feel good. But in volatile regimes, they’re often just dead cat bounces 🐈‍⬛

Will this time be different? Or is the real pain still ahead?

7 years later. Same coin. Same price 😭

In January 2018, at the peak of the bull market, Ethereum hit $1,450, now — it’s back to the same price level.

🙁 Not during a bear market but in the middle of a supposedly bullish cycle. And that’s before adjusting for inflation — which means long-term holders are actually underwater in real terms.

It’s not just about the number. It’s about the underperformance. If you had bought Bitcoin at the same 2018 peak, you’d be up over 300% today ❤️

Do you still believe ETH has a chance for comeback?

Top 10 tools for on-chain sleuths 🔍

The blockchain is public — but making sense of it takes the right tools. If you’re tracking stolen funds, mapping wallets, tracking whales or trying to understand your PNL to calculate taxes, these are the platforms you need to use 👇

🔍 Cielo — Tracks wallets across EVM, Bitcoin, Solana, Tron, and more. Great for monitoring whales or watching suspicious moves in real time.

🔍 TRM — Used by law enforcement and big firms. Lets you build full transaction graphs and trace complex fund flows.

🔍 MetaSleuth — A more accessible option for visualizing wallet activity. Ideal for retail investigators.

🔍 Arkham — Combines a block explorer with AI-powered labeling and alerts. Helps uncover who's really behind each wallet.

🔍 Blockchair — A fast, lightweight explorer that covers Bitcoin and multiple chains. Great for simple lookups outside EVM.

🔍 Pulsy — Tracks cross-chain bridge activity with clean visuals. Useful for spotting hidden exits or token flows.

🔍 Debank — You can check full token balances, DeFi positions, and even view wallet balance history over time.

🔍 BubbleMaps — Visualizes token holder relationships. Perfect for spotting insider clusters and suspicious token distributions.

🔍 Dune — Build your own dashboards with SQL. Everything from token distribution to protocol usage — if it's on-chain, you can chart it.

🔍 CryptoTaxCalculator — Helps track profit/loss per wallet. Not just for taxes — great for seeing your full history across protocols.

📌 Save this list for later

CryptoPunk #3100 was bought for 4,000 ETH today — that's about $6 million 💰

🖼 Roughly a year ago, it sold for 4,500 ETH. Back then, that was worth $16 million.

Same NFT. Almost for the same ETH amount. Just $10 million less 🤣

Why Bond Yields Matter More Than You Think 💲

Most traders ignore the bond market. Big mistake! If you want to understand where the economy is headed — or what’s really driving risk assets like crypto — you need to watch yields 📊

💸 Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions. When investors buy bonds, prices go up and yields fall.

When they sell bonds, prices drop and yields rise. A spike in yield means investors are dumping government debt — usually because they want higher returns or see rising risks.

🔍 Recently, the 10-year US Treasury yield jumped sharply, from 3.88% to over 4.5% in just a few days. That kind of move in bonds is rare and serious.

It suggests that the market is losing confidence in the stability of US debt or expecting inflation to stay high 😱

If large bondholders like China are selling, it's likely to be a response to rising trade tensions and Trump's tariffs.

Higher yields mean higher borrowing costs for the US government, tighter credit, and more pressure on the Fed. And when the bond market breaks — everything else does too.

This surge in yields also breaks Trump’s plan to refinance US debt at lower rates 🫤

#FAQ

Chinese embassy's official account is trolling US for tariff 'bullying' 😁

It's trendy to blame US for all the world's ills, but a tool like tariffs is used by literally all nations.

This is not some invention of Donald Trump, they existed around 4,000 years ago and are largely abused by China itself 🤷‍♀️

5 rules to avoid becoming a bagholder 🧠

A "bagholder" is someone left holding a token after the hype dies and the price crashes — often to near zero. It usually happens when they buy late, ignore red flags, and hold on “just in case it pumps again.”

The psychology is simple: denial, hope, and fear of locking in a loss. Here's how to avoid being that person 👇

💰 Don’t chase green candles — if a token already did 5x this week, odds are you're buying into exit liquidity. Hype fades fast.

💰 Check unlock schedules — many tokens crash not because of “the market,” but because insiders unlock and dump. Always study tokenomics.

💰 Avoid low-liquidity traps — a $10M market cap looks good until you realize there's only $100k of real liquidity. Getting in is easy, getting out isn't.

💰 Look beyond influencers — if your only reason to buy is because someone on Twitter said “don’t fade this,” you’re probably being used as exit liquidity.

💰 Have an exit plan — if your strategy is just “hold until it moons,” you're not investing, you're gambling. Know your targets before you enter, and set realistic goals.

A spot in New York is offering diners a unique kind of relief: the more money you’ve lost in the stock market, the less you pay for your meal 😮

📉 Lose 25%, get 25% off. Down 50%? Half-price dinner. Lost everything? You eat for free 🍔

Great idea for TradFi. But if they tried this with crypto folks they’d be out of business by lunch 💯

4 books to understand the new world disorder 📚

David Sacks, the White House advisor on AI and crypto under President Trump, shared in a post on X four books that help make sense of today’s global volatility — rising conflict between great powers, economic fragmentation, and the slow unraveling of US-led order 👇

🔖 The Clash of Civilizations by Samuel P. Huntington

Argues that future conflicts will be driven not by ideology or economics, but by cultural and civilizational divides. A foundational read to understand why global tension today runs deeper than politics.

🔖 The Tragedy of Great Power Politics by John Mearsheimer

Presents a realist view of international relations, where great powers are doomed to clash due to the logic of survival. Explains why peace is often just a pause between struggles.

🔖 Destined for War by Graham Allison

Warns that when an established power faces a rising one, war is historically likely. Through the lens of US and China, it shows how hard it is to escape Thucydides’s Trap.

🔖 A Republic, Not an Empire by Patrick Buchanan

Makes the case for an end to endless foreign interventions. Written decades ago, it feels even more relevant in an age of overreach, overstretch, and public fatigue.

📌 Save this list for later

The $OM token lost 78% of its value in just one hour 😱

The market capitalization of the Mantra token fell from $6 billion to $1.3 billion during an obscure price collapse 🔽

The team hasn't commented on this yet and it looks like we're dealing with some kind of unauthorized mass token sale or even a rug pull 👀

Gold hits all-time high — and Goldman says it could go much higher ↗️

📈 Gold surged above $3,245 an ounce setting a new record before pulling back slightly. It’s now up over 6% in just one week, boosted by a weaker dollar and mounting concerns over trade tensions.

Goldman Sachs has responded by raising its price target again — now forecasting $3,700 by year-end, with a “plausible” upside scenario of $4,500 🌉

Your stocks aren’t mooning. Your money is shrinking 🔍

💵 We’re used to pricing everything in dollars — stocks, salaries, assets. But the dollar isn’t a fixed yardstick. It loses value over time due to inflation.

This chart shows how many ounces of gold you’d get if you sold one unit of the S&P 500 index. Back in 2000, during the dot-com bubble, that number peaked above 5.5 ounces. Since then, it’s never recovered to those levels 📉

Today, the S&P 500 buys you less than 2 ounces. In gold terms, the market hasn’t made a new high in over two decades.

Sometimes prices don’t rise because things are more valuable — they rise because your money buys you less. What looks like growth might just be hidden debasement 🧠

Last week, a helicopter broke apart mid-air over New York. Everyone on board died — including Agustín Escobar, CEO of Rail Infrastructure at Siemens Mobility Spain, his wife from Siemens Energy, and their three children. Surprisingly, there was no black box. No flight data. No cockpit recording.

🔍 Escobar was the top figure in Siemens’ Spanish division, overseeing major infrastructure projects. He was a vocal advocate for deepening Siemens’ investments in the U.S. — aligning closely with American strategic interests.

But just two days before the crash, the Spanish government publicly rejected U.S. pressure to reduce economic ties with China, defending deeper cooperation with China. Siemens stood directly in the crossfire — with strategic exposure to both sides 🤔

And Siemens had been here before. In 2023, it signed a major rail deal with Turkey. The contract included a clause requiring the company to boycott Israel — a condition demanded by Saudi financiers.

😒 The following year, Siemens' energy division was fined over $100 million in the U.S. for stealing industrial secrets. The federal prosecutor who led the case died suddenly in her sleep last month. She was only 43.

What do you think — coincidence, or something else? Leave a commend with your thoughts 🗯

What is M2 money supply 💰

The chart shows Bitcoin’s price alongside global M2 — a measure of how much money is in the system. M2 includes cash, bank deposits, and other easily accessible funds. When it rises, it means there’s more liquidity looking for a home.

It is used to gauge the money available for spending and investment, influencing economic activity and inflation. And the pattern is hard to ignore. When M2 rises, Bitcoin usually follows 📊

Why? Because M2 reflects how much liquidity is sloshing around the system. When central banks expand the money supply, those new dollars look for returns — and they often end up in scarce assets.

🤑 Bitcoin is exactly that. With a hard cap of 21 million, it’s the opposite of fiat. When money printers go brrrrr, Bitcoin becomes the safe heaven.

This happened in 2020–2021 during aggressive quantitative easing. M2 surged, and Bitcoin ripped higher. The chart shows that relationship clearly.

📈 And now? M2 is spiking again. History suggests Bitcoin is lagging a few months behind and might reach a new ATH this year.

#FAQ

DCA into Bitcoin without losing your mind 💰❤️

DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) means buying a fixed dollar amount of an asset at regular intervals, no matter the price. It removes emotion, smooths out volatility, and protects you from going all-in at the top.

🧮 Let’s say you started buying $100 worth of Bitcoin every week starting from the 2021 top — around $69,000. Brutal, right?

But if you kept going through the bear market, your average entry would now be somewhere around $35,000. You’d be in profit, even if you started at the worst possible time 🧠

DCA works because time in the market beats timing the market — especially with volatile assets like BTC.

Ask yourself: "Will BTC be worth more in 10 years from now?" If the answer is "Yes", then just choose your DCA amount. Pick your schedule. Stick to it. Don’t check the price every day. That’s the whole point 🥂

Don't be this guy 😅

How to Make $70 Million in 29 Minutes 😲

⏱ On April 9, 2025, one trader dropped $2.5 million on SPY call options at 1:01 pm.

⏱By 1:30 pm, Trump announced a tariff pause, and the market surged.

Those zero-day calls, priced at $0.85, shot to over $25, turning that stake into $70+ million in under an hour 💰

People are still asking how this timing was so perfect. SPY share volume also spiked in that same minute, hinting at another nine-figure profit. Was it pure luck, or did someone act on information the public did not yet have?

The answer is obvious 🙄

Gold sets a new record trading now above $3,340 per ounce 🔼

🥇 In an era of global economic instability, money is flowing out of depreciating fiat currencies and into hard money.

❤️ Many have positioned Bitcoin as a commodity that is scarce but does not require physical transportation

Well, what seems to be happening now is a test of whether BTC is a speculative risk asset or a true digital commodity.

🤔 If the latter is the case, then we are in for a rapid re-pricing as BTC catches up.

Cut losers, let winners run 🧠

One of the hardest lessons in crypto — and investing in general — is learning to accept losses.

🤷‍♀️ And you know what? Most people do the opposite of what works. They average down into fading altcoins, doubling down on losses, telling themselves it's just temporary.

Meanwhile, they shave off profits from their best trades the moment they start working, I've seen this happen so many times 😐

Every bag doesn’t need to be saved. Some trains take you in the wrong direction — the smart move is to get off 🚂