Despite the beaten down market this week, semicon in the west leads the market higher. TSMC latest earnings provided a bullish guidance boosted by AI investment. We should follow behind the shadows. Once setups appear, this is one industry i want to own more of. This is also the industry i would dance with the devil. Rest of industries i not so keen. Unless a compelling setup appears.
Bursa on sell mode. Good profits must take. Nevermind the market riaes even higher. We wait for setup before buy again. 3 super weeks of gains. Unless you did not follow the rules, sold too early and miss. Now i smell domino effect on penny shares. Good ones maybe dragged down by sentiment too.
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Bursa on sell mode. Good profits must take. Nevermind the market riaes even higher. We wait for setup before buy again. 3 super weeks of gains. Unless you did not follow the rules, sold too early and miss. Now i smell domino effect on penny shares. Good ones maybe dragged down by sentiment too.
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WallStreet All Time High.... expectation on rate cut is very high. So this will lead to severe pull back should the rate cut expectation is tamed by Jerome in the upcoming FOMC on 1 Feb. 26th Jan, we have core CPI data, this one very high risk event as last Month CPI data was up.
Here's a lesson to build on your experience, remember how semicon and tech was shot down severely when bonds yield hit 4%? We are now at 4.15% in the bonds yield and semicons and techs are hitting all time high... so do not believe the headlines, usually they need to find a reason to explain the pull back or non performance. The best is to learn how to use information to form our own opinion and then invest. It is really not that difficult if you can cut out from the noise and greed, focus on where growth and momentum is. Granted, sometimes we will lose, but objective is always to win more when we are correct. I do not focus on being correct, i focus on making more money when i am right. This one i read from Soros, and take years to internalise.
Bursa experience a penny shares crash last week. Seems to have recovered by Friday. However alot of the weekly charts damaged, so now slowly hunt on weekly chart again. Semicon is my focus still. I thought Mi Tech finish strong on the week despite the turmoil.
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Here's a lesson to build on your experience, remember how semicon and tech was shot down severely when bonds yield hit 4%? We are now at 4.15% in the bonds yield and semicons and techs are hitting all time high... so do not believe the headlines, usually they need to find a reason to explain the pull back or non performance. The best is to learn how to use information to form our own opinion and then invest. It is really not that difficult if you can cut out from the noise and greed, focus on where growth and momentum is. Granted, sometimes we will lose, but objective is always to win more when we are correct. I do not focus on being correct, i focus on making more money when i am right. This one i read from Soros, and take years to internalise.
Bursa experience a penny shares crash last week. Seems to have recovered by Friday. However alot of the weekly charts damaged, so now slowly hunt on weekly chart again. Semicon is my focus still. I thought Mi Tech finish strong on the week despite the turmoil.
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Welcome back. Today highlight a stock *. both time frames are BIC. However if you see peeps, it is way above 3rd projection. I know it's been sometime since we talk abt PEEPs. It was because 2022 to 2023, Bursa was plagued with bear market... Many stocks were at 10% projection or below, because growth in earnings was a big question mark. After weeks of rallying, alot of high fliers are above 30% which means poor risk to reward. It can still go up, but poor risk to reward. If can find at 10% is best. Last December alot on offer at 10% and below. Mi tech we have gone through that time when it was doing 1.80, it was actually below the 10%, now it is between 10% to 20%.
Is it common then for stocks to stay abv 30% and keep going higher? yes. when the earnings catalyst is strong, it can. Then if we are convinced the fundamentals is strong, we then wait for multi-week consolidation to happen before we buy.
Is it common then for stocks to stay abv 30% and keep going higher? yes. when the earnings catalyst is strong, it can. Then if we are convinced the fundamentals is strong, we then wait for multi-week consolidation to happen before we buy.
Core CPI last friday reported flattish. High chance Jerome will pause rate. Alot of companies are laying off employees in this high interest environment. A weak labour market will allow Jerome to cut rate.
Oil rallied. breakout of 6M high. Oil and gas stocks like Dayang for example you can see weekly chart is BIC.
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Oil rallied. breakout of 6M high. Oil and gas stocks like Dayang for example you can see weekly chart is BIC.
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Perfect reason to cause a correction after the delayed rate cuts hopes, yet SPY powers ahead. The shooting star on the weekly chart of SMH nullified. I still sticking to my trading plan on the semicons.
With earnings season coming up in the next few weeks, stocks with earnings positivities should start to hold firm and buy up into earnings. The current pull-back in market is already 3 week old, so let us watch for those trend reverses back up.
CNY rally is when market go up green green, there is no reason for it to happen, so when that happens, people call it CNY Rally. Sort of like a religion.
With earnings season coming up in the next few weeks, stocks with earnings positivities should start to hold firm and buy up into earnings. The current pull-back in market is already 3 week old, so let us watch for those trend reverses back up.
CNY rally is when market go up green green, there is no reason for it to happen, so when that happens, people call it CNY Rally. Sort of like a religion.
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This week big risk is that BIG shooting star in SMCI. Together with the higher CPI and PPI reported last week, could have repercussions to next few weeks, NVDA reporting earnings Tuesday and FOMC meeting minutes likely to reinforce 2H interest rate cut. Take note, this is minutes, which is last meeting. The one that they may flip their words will be March FOMC meeting. One consolation is jobs data did not BEAT market expectation, and that retail numbers is damn bad. This week also the US retail earnings like WalMart..etc..
This week plenty of earnings report lunch time and post market. We will be able to see which industry will huat. Also FDI coming in, they will hunt for growth too. So we pay attention to growth industry. Those sexy stories i always avoid, so no need to ask me can buy or not. Charts drawn by bankers how can use? Confirm lose until pants drop if use T.A in those stocks.
This week plenty of earnings report lunch time and post market. We will be able to see which industry will huat. Also FDI coming in, they will hunt for growth too. So we pay attention to growth industry. Those sexy stories i always avoid, so no need to ask me can buy or not. Charts drawn by bankers how can use? Confirm lose until pants drop if use T.A in those stocks.
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Jerome actually said cutting rate soon. Next Tuesday if CPI ticks lower, market will big big rally with high expectations 21 Mar that FOMC will have rate cut no matter how small. Stocks will rally.
Bursa side, i remain optimistic and patience. One sign you can see is the swing down and then swing up.. if u folow closely, u may get seasick. So why not take a broader view and u will see it is consolidating.. building nice bases ready for next leg up. Don't just senselessly look at + or - .... look for BIC setups. We done it before, we will do it again.
Bursa side, i remain optimistic and patience. One sign you can see is the swing down and then swing up.. if u folow closely, u may get seasick. So why not take a broader view and u will see it is consolidating.. building nice bases ready for next leg up. Don't just senselessly look at + or - .... look for BIC setups. We done it before, we will do it again.
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