Chart Commando
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📈 DAILY MARKET UPDATE

📅 Date – 26 August 2026

1️⃣ VERY IMPORTANT NEWS

🛢 Brent Crude falls sharply to ~$86, from above $94 recently — major positive for India’s inflation, rupee and macro outlook.
🇺🇸 US markets closed positive: Nasdaq +0.66%, Dow +0.3%, S&P 500 +0.3%; US 10Y yield fell to 4.625%.
🇮🇳 FII + DII both remained net buyers for the second consecutive day; FII ₹1,600 Cr and DII ₹230 Cr net buying.

🌍 GLOBAL MARKET

✔️ US Markets:
• Dow Jones +0.3%
• S&P 500 +0.3%
• Nasdaq +0.66%
• US 10Y yield at 4.625%, down >7 bps.

✔️ Asia Market Update:
• Overall global setup remains supportive after positive US close and falling crude.

✔️ GIFT Nifty Signal:
• GIFT Nifty around 24,550.
• Indicates approximately 110–130 point positive opening for Nifty.
• Premium around ₹130 vs previous Indian close; premium sustainability is important.

✔️ Crude Oil:
• Brent: ~$86
• WTI: ~$81
• Sharp fall in crude is a major positive for India.


🇮🇳 INDIAN MARKET OVERVIEW

✔️ Sector Trend:
• Banking/Private Banks in focus.
• Semiconductor, AI and industrial investment themes positive after India-Japan discussions.

✔️ Market Sentiment / Trend:
• Mildly to Moderately Positive
• Gap-up opening likely, but first 30–60 minutes will be very important because of the monthly expiry/closing-auction effect.


💰 FII & DII DATA

✔️ FIIs:
• ₹1,600 Cr Net Buying
• However, FII index futures positioning remains heavily short, with nearly 90% of OI on the short side.

✔️ DIIs:
• ₹230 Cr Net Buying

📊 COMMODITIES UPDATE

✔️ Crude:
• Brent ~$86
• WTI ~$81
• Positive for Indian equities.


📊 OPTIONS DATA (OI BUILD-UP)

✔️ Call OI:
• Maximum Call OI: 24,500
• Next: 24,200
• Fresh Call writing: 24,500, followed by 24,600

✔️ Put OI:
• Maximum Put OI: 24,200
• Next: 24,300
• Fresh Put writing: 24,200, followed by 24,100

✔️ PCR:
• Improved from 0.83 → 1.17 after monthly expiry.

📈 NIFTY LEVELS

✔️ Trend:
• Mildly Bullish / Positive above 24,300.

• Immediate Support: 24,200
• Major Support: 24,000

• Immediate Resistance: 24,500
• Strong Resistance: 24,600

📌 Above 24,500–24,600 → bullish momentum can strengthen.
📌 Below 24,300 → consolidation/weakness possible.

📉 BANK NIFTY LEVELS

✔️ Trend:
• Mildly Bullish but below 20-DMA

• Immediate Support: 57,100–57,000
• Major Support: 56,500

• Immediate Resistance: 58,000
• Strong Resistance: 58,300–58,500

📌 Bank Nifty closed around 57,510 and remains above its 50-DMA.

📊 STOCKS / SECTORS IN NEWS

🏦 ICICI Bank – Goldman Sachs preferred pick among stronger large private banks; ADR gained ~2.5%.
🏦 Axis Bank – Goldman Sachs second preference; Bernstein also has Outperform rating.
💻 Infosys – ADR gained ~2–2.5%, indicating positive arbitrage.
🇮🇳 Semiconductor / AI / Industrial themes – India-Japan discussions on deeper cooperation.

📊 STOCK SETUPS TO WATCH

• ICICI Bank – Positive ADR + brokerage support.
• Infosys – Strong ADR indication.
• Axis Bank – Positive brokerage view + banking momentum.

🎯 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE TODAY

✔️ Nifty Range: 24,200 – 24,600

✔️ Bank Nifty Range: 57,000 – 58,000

📅 IMPORTANT DATA / EVENTS TODAY

🇺🇸 US July PCE Inflation – important for Fed expectations.
🇺🇸 US Durable Goods Orders + Crude Oil Inventories – after Indian market close.

🎯 INTRADAY TRADING VIEW

👉 Positive/GAP-UP bias, but avoid chasing the opening move.

Key levels:
• Above 24,500 → bullish breakout possibility toward 24,600+
• 24,300–24,500 → range/consolidation zone
• Below 24,300 → weakness can increase toward 24,200 / 24,000

📌 First 30–60 minutes are critical because yesterday's Nifty closing strength was partly boosted by the new closing-auction mechanism.

📌 QUICK SUMMARY

🟢 Overall Bias: Mildly–Moderately Bullish
🛢 Crude ~$86 + stronger rupee + positive US markets = major positives for India
⚠️ 24,500 is the key Nifty resistance; 24,200 is the key support.
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📈 DAILY MARKET UPDATE

📅 Date – 27 August 2026

1️⃣ VERY IMPORTANT NEWS

🇺🇸 US PCE inflation: July headline PCE inflation remained at 3.7% YoY vs 3.6% expected, keeping Fed rate-cut expectations under pressure.
🤖 Nvidia results: Revenue came around $96.2B vs $92B expected and next-quarter guidance around $108B vs $104B expected — AI investment cycle remains strong.
🛢 Crude falls: Brent around $86.5 and WTI around $81.8, providing some relief to India.
💻 IT weakness: Infosys and Wipro ADRs fell ~3%; HCL Tech was downgraded to Neutral by UBS.
🏦 HDFC Bank: CEO succession uncertainty remains a near-term overhang.
🇮🇳 Indian government: Buffer onions to be sold around ₹35/kg to control seasonal food-price pressure.
🌍 Hormuz: Iran-Oman discussions on a temporary shipping corridor are raising hopes of gradual normalization.

🌍 GLOBAL MARKET
✔️ US Markets:

• Dow Jones: -0.1%
• S&P 500: Near flat, negative bias
• Nasdaq: Near flat, negative bias
• Higher-than-expected PCE created rate-hike concerns, but strong Nvidia results supported the AI theme.

✔️ Asia Market Update:

• Mixed/volatile setup expected as markets digest US inflation, Fed expectations and Nvidia results.

✔️ Gift Nifty Signal:

• Around 24,358.
• Indicates flat to mildly positive opening.
• Yesterday's closing-auction distortion makes the exact gap signal less reliable.

✔️ Crude Oil:

• Brent: ~$86.5/bbl
• WTI: ~$81.8/bbl
• Lower crude is mildly positive for India.

✔️ Dollar Index:

• Strengthening after US PCE inflation data.
• Negative for emerging markets and potentially the INR.

✔️ Volatility (VIX US):

• US volatility remains sensitive to Fed-rate expectations and Jackson Hole commentary.

🇮🇳 INDIAN MARKET OVERVIEW
✔️ Sector Trend:

🔴 IT: Weak
🔴 Private Banks: Mildly weak
🟢 Oil-sensitive sectors: Supported by lower crude
🟢 Rate-sensitive sectors: Mildly supported by lower domestic food-inflation pressure
⚠️ Strong sector-wise divergence likely.

✔️ Market Sentiment / Trend:

• Range-bound with mildly positive opening bias.
• Sellers remain active at higher levels.
• Broader trend remains positive, but short-term momentum has weakened.

✔️ Volatility (India VIX):

• Expected to remain sensitive to global cues and today's Fed commentary.

💰 FII & DII DATA
✔️ FIIs:

• Net Buyers: ~₹500 Cr
• Derivatives: FIIs remain heavily positioned on the short side in index futures despite reducing shorts marginally.

✔️ DIIs:

• Net Buyers: ~₹6,500 Cr
• Strong DII buying remains an important market-support factor.

📊 COMMODITIES UPDATE
✔️ Crude:

• Brent: ~$86.5
• WTI: ~$81.8
🟢 Positive for India if prices remain below $90.

✔️ Gold:

• Monitor global dollar/Fed-rate expectations; stronger dollar can cap upside.

✔️ Silver:

• Sensitive to dollar movement and global risk sentiment.

📊 OPTIONS DATA — OI BUILD-UP
✔️ Call OI:

• 24,500 CE – maximum Call OI
• 24,300 CE – next major Call OI
• Fresh Call addition: 24,400, followed by 24,300

✔️ Put OI:

• 24,200 PE – maximum Put OI
• 24,300 PE – next major Put OI
• Fresh Put addition: 24,000, followed by 24,300

✔️ PCR:

• 0.92, down from 1.17
• Indicates increasing bearish positioning.

📈 NIFTY LEVELS
✔️ Trend:

Range-bound / mildly bearish below 24,350

• Immediate Support: 24,200
• Major Support: 24,130 → 23,900

• Immediate Resistance: 24,350
• Strong Resistance: 24,500

⚠️ Below 24,130: Bearish momentum can accelerate towards 23,900 → 23,700.
🟢 Above 24,350 sustained: Short-term sentiment can turn positive.

📉 BANK NIFTY LEVELS
✔️ Trend:

Positive but range-bound

• Immediate Support: 57,300
• Major Support: 57,000

• Immediate Resistance: 58,000
• Strong Resistance: 58,300–58,500

📌 Bank Nifty remains stronger than Nifty as it is trading above key moving averages.

📊 STOCKS / SECTORS IN NEWS

🔴 Infosys: ADR down ~3%; IT-sector pressure.
🔴 Wipro: ADR down ~3%; H1B + AI productivity concerns.
🔴 HCL Tech: UBS downgraded to Neutral; target raised to ₹2,415.
⚠️ HDFC Bank: CEO succession uncertainty.
🟢 Nvidia: Strong revenue and guidance supports global AI theme.

📊 STOCK SETUPS TO WATCH
11👍1
• Nifty IT: Avoid aggressive longs until IT weakness stabilizes.
• HDFC Bank: Watch 57,300 Bank Nifty support / banking sentiment for confirmation.
• AI/Technology stocks: Nvidia's strong guidance can create selective positive momentum despite near-term IT weakness.

🎯 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE TODAY
✔️ Nifty Range:

24,130 – 24,500

✔️ Bank Nifty Range:

57,300 – 58,000

📅 IMPORTANT DATA / EVENTS TODAY

🇺🇸 Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech at Jackson Hole — major global market event.
🇺🇸 Weekly US jobless claims — important for Fed expectations.
👀 Watch USD/INR, crude and US bond yields during Indian market hours.

🎯 INTRADAY TRADING VIEW

👉 Opening bias: Flat to mildly positive, but highly range-bound.

Nifty Strategy:

Above 24,350 → bullish breakout possibility → 24,500+
24,200–24,350 → range-bound / avoid overtrading
Below 24,130 → bearish → 23,900 → 23,700

Bank Nifty Strategy:

Above 58,000 → bullish continuation
57,300–58,000 → range-bound
Below 57,300 → weakness can increase

📌 Key intraday theme: Don't chase the opening move. Wait for confirmation because today's market can remain volatile ahead of Powell's speech.

📌 QUICK SUMMARY

🟢 Positive: Lower crude + strong DII buying + strong Nvidia AI outlook.
🔴 Negative: Higher US PCE + stronger Dollar + IT weakness + HDFC Bank CEO uncertainty.
⚠️ Overall: Mixed to mildly positive opening, with strong sector-wise divergence.
🎯 Nifty: 24,200 support / 24,350–24,500 resistance.
🎯 Bank Nifty: 57,300 support / 58,000 resistance.
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📈 DAILY MARKET UPDATE

📅 Date – 28 August 2026

1️⃣ VERY IMPORTANT NEWS

• Banking Liquidity Concern: Indian banking-system surplus liquidity has risen sharply after FCNR-related dollar inflows. Market is worried RBI could introduce incremental CRR, although no such measure has been announced yet.

• HDFC Bank Leadership Uncertainty: Current CEO’s tenure ends on 26 October 2026. No clarity yet on extension/new CEO. HDFC Bank ADR fell over 3%, keeping pressure on banking stocks.

• Crude Oil Spike: Brent crude jumped nearly 2% to ~$89, after weaker hopes of an early US-Iran diplomatic breakthrough. $90+ crude would be a fresh negative for India.

• US Tech Rally: Nvidia's strong results/guidance triggered a major technology rally. Nasdaq gained 1.57%, supporting Indian IT sentiment.

• Jackson Hole: Fed officials have sounded increasingly hawkish. Fed Chair Powell's speech tonight is the major global event to watch.

🌍 GLOBAL MARKET

✔️ US Markets:
• Dow Jones: +0.20%
• S&P 500: +0.72%
• Nasdaq: +1.57%
• Nvidia rally supported the entire tech sector.

✔️ Asia Market Update:
• Nikkei: +0.60%
• TOPIX: +0.70%
• ASX 200: +0.30%
• Kospi: ~−1%
• Overall Asian markets: Mixed

✔️ Gift Nifty Signal:
• Around 24,210
• Indicates flat opening with a slight positive bias.

✔️ Crude Oil:
• Brent: ~$89
• WTI: ~$83.5
• $90 is the key psychological level.


🇮🇳 INDIAN MARKET OVERVIEW

✔️ Sector Trend:
• IT – Positive due to Nvidia/US tech rally.
• Banks – Negative/Cautious due to liquidity + incremental CRR concerns.
• Metals – Weak
• PSU Banks – Weak

✔️ Market Sentiment / Trend:
• Mixed to mildly bearish
• Nifty remains below short-term moving averages.
• Expiry-related abnormal volatility should reduce today.
• Banking weakness remains the major concern.

✔️ Volatility (India VIX):
• 11.07
• Up 4.8% → volatility increased.

💰 FII & DII DATA

✔️ FIIs:
• Cash market selling: ₹298 Cr
• After 3 days of buying, FIIs turned sellers.
• FII long-short ratio: 0.11 → strongly bearish positioning.

✔️ DIIs:
• Net buying: ~₹5,000 Cr
• Strong domestic institutional support.

📊 COMMODITIES UPDATE

✔️ Crude:
• Brent: ~$89
• WTI: ~$83.5
• Above $90 = additional negative for Indian equities

📊 OPTIONS DATA (OI BUILD-UP)

✔️ Call OI:
• Highest Call OI: 24,300
• Next: 24,500
• Fresh Call writing: 24,200 → 24,300
• Indicates strong resistance around 24,300.

✔️ Put OI:
• Highest Put OI: 24,000
• Next: 24,200
• Fresh Put addition around 23,800 → 24,000
• 24,000 is important support.

✔️ PCR:
• Nifty PCR declined from 1.17 → 0.91
• Bearish deterioration.

• Bank Nifty PCR: 1.18 → 1.16

📈 NIFTY LEVELS

✔️ Trend:
🔴 Bearish / Weak

• Immediate Support: 24,000
• Major Support: 23,800

• Immediate Resistance: 24,200–24,300
• Strong Resistance: 24,350–24,400

📌 Nifty needs a decisive close above 24,350–24,400 to improve bullish momentum.

📉 BANK NIFTY LEVELS

✔️ Trend:
🔴 Bearish / Cautious

• Immediate Support: 57,000
• Major Support: 56,500

• Immediate Resistance: 57,900–58,000
• Strong Resistance: 58,300+

📌 Banking liquidity concerns + HDFC Bank leadership uncertainty remain key negatives.

📊 STOCKS / SECTORS IN NEWS

• HDFC Bank – CEO succession uncertainty + ADR down >3%.
• Infosys – ADR gained nearly 2%; relative positive IT signal.
• Wipro / ICICI Bank – ADRs showed ~1% negative arbitrage.
• Indian IT sector – Positive global setup due to Nvidia-led tech rally.
• Banks / PSU Banks – Pressure due to surplus liquidity and CRR concerns.

📊 STOCK SETUPS TO WATCH

• IT stocks – Positive setup from strong US tech/Nvidia rally.
• HDFC Bank & Banking stocks – Watch for RBI clarification on incremental CRR.
• Nifty 24,000 zone – Breakdown could increase selling pressure.

🎯 EXPECTED TRADING RANGE TODAY

✔️ Nifty Range:
23,800 – 24,300

✔️ Bank Nifty Range:
57,000 – 58,000

📅 IMPORTANT DATA / EVENTS TODAY

🇺🇸 Jackson Hole Symposium – Fed Chair Powell speech
🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Expectations & Inflation Expectations
🇮🇳 After market close: India July IIP data
🇮🇳 Bank deposit & credit growth data

🎯 INTRADAY TRADING VIEW
9
👉 Bias: Sell on Rise until Nifty sustains above 24,300–24,400.

• Below 24,000 → bearish momentum can increase toward 23,800.
• Above 24,300 → short covering/recovery possible toward 24,350–24,400.
• Above 24,400 → bearish setup weakens significantly.
• Banking stocks may continue to underperform unless RBI provides clarity on the incremental CRR concern.
• IT stocks may remain relatively stronger because of the Nvidia-led US tech rally.
• Keep an eye on Brent $90 and Powell's speech.

📌 QUICK SUMMARY

🟢 Positive: Nvidia + Nasdaq rally → IT sector support.
🔴 Negative: Banking liquidity + HDFC Bank CEO uncertainty.
🔴 Negative: Brent crude near $89, with $90 as key risk level.
🔴 Negative: Hawkish Fed expectations ahead of Powell speech.
📊 Nifty: 24,000 support | 24,300–24,400 resistance.
📊 Bank Nifty: 57,000 support | 58,000 resistance.
🎯 Overall: Mixed → Slightly Bearish, with selective strength possible in IT.
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