A record 39.3 million barrels of sanctioned crude are sitting on tankers off China's coast.

The stockpile includes 30.2 million barrels from Iran, 5.6 million from Venezuela, and 3.5 million from Russia.

This is up +454% from October and +17% from levels seen prior to the Iran war.

~77% of the crude is Iranian, but fresh offers have declined due to the ongoing war.

Furthermore, ~66% of the tankers are anchored in the Yellow Sea, with the rest in the South China Sea, indicating that most of the supply is parked close to China’s major refining hub

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Bitcoin is shifting from a production-driven market to a float-driven market.

When this transition occurs, even small increases in demand can trigger much sharper price moves.

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U.S. NAVY REFUSES ESCORT REQUESTS THROUGH STRAIT OF HORMUZ

The United States Navy is reportedly refusing requests from oil and shipping companies for naval escorts through the Strait of Hormuz, citing the high risk of potential attacks from Iran.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most critical energy corridors, with roughly 20% of global oil supply passing through the narrow shipping route. Rising military tensions in the region have increased concerns over tanker safety and global energy security.

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MACRO REMINDER:

🇺🇸 CPI data today.
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday.
🇺🇸 US GDP on Friday.

Prepare for volatility!

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This whale just bought 44,888 ETH worth nearly $93 million.

Whales are loading up again.

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#RSR has been trading inside a clear descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows while respecting the broader bearish structure.

Recently, price formed a rounded bottom near 0.00133 and started a recovery move toward the descending channel resistance around 0.00186–0.00198. This region aligns with multiple trendline resistances and acts as a key decision zone.

If buyers manage to break and hold above this resistance, the structure could shift from a corrective bounce into a stronger bullish expansion. In that case, RSR may target 0.0028–0.0030, which represents the next major supply area.

However, if price gets rejected at the channel resistance, the broader downtrend remains intact. A rejection from this level could push price back toward 0.00133, and potentially even lower toward the channel support.

For now, RSR is approaching a major structural resistance, and the reaction at this level will likely determine whether the market transitions into a breakout or continues the downtrend.

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US CPI INFLATION Y/Y OVER THE LAST 12 MONTHS:

•FEB. 2025: +2.8%
•MARCH: +2.4%
•APRIL: +2.3%
•MAY: +2.4%
•JUNE: +2.7%
•JULY: +2.7%
•AUG.: +2.9%
•SEPT.: +3.0%
•NOV.: +2.7%
•DEC.: +2.7%
•JAN. 2026: +2.4%
•FEB.: +2.4%

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MASTERCARD LAUNCHES “CRYPTO PARTNER PROGRAM” FOR GLOBAL PAYMENTS

Mastercard has launched a new Crypto Partner Program, aimed at expanding the use of digital assets for cross border transfers, B2B payments, and global payouts.
The initiative will connect fintech companies, blockchain networks, and payment providers within Mastercard’s infrastructure, enabling faster and more efficient settlement using cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.

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Once we drop a premium signal, it’ll only be up for a short time we’ll delete it shortly after posting.
It’s strictly first come, first served. So turn on your notifications and stay sharp!

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Stablecoin market cap reaches a new all-time high of $312B.

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Iran gives Indian oil tankers permission to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

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POLAND NOW HOLDS MORE GOLD THAN THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Poland has reportedly accumulated more gold reserves than the European Central Bank, highlighting a growing trend of sovereign gold accumulation.

Central banks worldwide have been increasing gold holdings as a strategic reserve asset amid geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and shifting global monetary dynamics.

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ICYMI

• U.S. preparing to release 172M barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve
• Trump looking at Cold War-era authorities to expand oil production off the California coast
• WSJ: Iran exporting more oil through Hormuz than before the war
• U.S. inflation sitting around 2.4%
• Goldman Sachs ($3.5T AUM): equities could see an “extreme” rally scenario
• Trump preparing new Section 301 trade investigations that could trigger tariffs
• SEC & CFTC sign agreement to coordinate crypto regulation
• Ripple buying back $750M in shares at a $50B valuation (Bloomberg)
• FDIC Chair: stablecoins under the GENIUS Act will not qualify for deposit insurance
• Binance suing the Wall Street Journal for defamation
• U.S. Treasury expected to buy back $4B of its own debt starting March 12

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$820,000,000,000 wiped out from the US stock market in the first two hours of trading today.

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The Iran war is now officially causing the largest disruption to oil supplies in history, per FT.

Current oil market situation:

1. Gulf producers have cut oil production by at least 10mn barrels a day
2. The Iran war has driven production to its lowest level in four years, per the IEA
3. The IEA expects world output to fall by 8mn b/d in March as a result
4. This represents a decline of over 7% from the 107 million b/d produced in February

Iran is now requiring "reparations" for a ceasefire deal.

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Brent crude has closed above $100 per barrel for the first time since August 2022.

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President Trump says Powell should be dropping interest rates immediately.

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US MACRO DATA RELEASED!

🇺🇸 GDP (Q4), 0.7% Vs. 1.4% Est. (prev. 4.4%)
🇺🇸 PCE (Jan), 2.8% Vs. 2.9% Est. (prev. 2.9%)
🇺🇸 Core PCE, 3.1% vs. 3.1% Est. (prev. 3.0%)

Growth came in much weaker than expected, while inflation cooled slightly.

That combination could bring Fed rate cuts back into focus again, as softer growth reduces the need for restrictive policy.

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The U.S. Treasury is preparing to formally approve the sale of Russian crude oil, effectively allowing transactions that bypass existing sanctions.

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