Green Forest 🌲

I was watching some trashstream where they craft (read burn) Redos 1 by 1

As you know average success rate when you craft 1 gift is 22%, craft 4 of them it's 88%

Now the question for you guys, what do you choose? Craft 4 at once or craft 4 times 1 by 1?

(I know the question, it's a problem from school)

49 viewsRed Wall, 21:38

Green Forest 🌲

I was watching some trashstream where they craft (read burn) Redos 1 by 1 As you know average success rate when you craft 1 gift is 22%, craft 4 of them it's 88% Now the question for you guys, what do you choose? Craft 4 at once or craft 4 times 1 by 1?…

How would you craft gifts?

Anonymous Quiz

67%

4 gifts at the same time

33%

4 times, 1 by 1

15 voters48 viewsRed Wall, 21:39

Green Forest 🌲

Kallen

🔨 The decision is made. 76% said go.

💎Today, Resistance Dog #1 bought for $90,000 enters the forge with 3 onyx black background Resistance Dogs: #5136 #7892 #9209 worth $3,900.

⏳Almost $94K on one button. Will the craft be successful or not?

Imagine burning those 4 including #1 😆

44 viewsRed Wall, 06:54

Green Forest 🌲

How would you craft gifts?

I see, I need to teach you some math guys. Here we go.

Let's calculate the probability of failure when you craft 4 pieces 1 by 1, like when all of them are burned. It's 0.78 * 0.78 * 0.78 * 0.78 = 0.37. 

The probability of a failed craft when you craft 4 at once is 0.22.

Now you see it's (0.37 - 0.22) * 100% = 15% difference. It's quite a lot.

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51 viewsRed Wall, 07:05

Green Forest 🌲

I came up with a plan of accumulating REDO, like I want to make 100 buys 15 GRAM and hold it up to 100M. I have a plan to accumulate several more coins with lower mcap, you can guess which ones 😏

What if my assumptions were correct? What if they want to start the season from Redo again? @monk I see you!

36/100 (14.000/20.000) I'm almost there, I want to accomplish at least one part!

It would be cool to moon a coin everyone recognizes!

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47 viewsRed Wall, edited 09:07