Bull Case
π¨2Y YIELDS BOUNCE OFF EFFR, BIG MONEY KEEPS DUMPING TREASURIES AND GOES RISK ON The higher PPI has raised the inflation expectations of big money. If the Fed hikes then we go risk off. As long as the Fed doesn't hike the reflation trade picks up and moreβ¦
π¨BITCOIN, ETH HAVE OUTPERFORMED SAFEHAVENS GOLD, YEN SINCE START OF US-ISRAELI IRAN WAR
For big money the war signaled the start of the reflation trade. They've always known the Druckenomics duo, Bessent and Warsh, plan to run it hot this year.
The Iran war is the perfect asymmetric inflation shock.
For big money the war signaled the start of the reflation trade. They've always known the Druckenomics duo, Bessent and Warsh, plan to run it hot this year.
The Iran war is the perfect asymmetric inflation shock.
πΎ3π2π₯1π1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
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π¨TRADERS FULLY PRICE IN TWO 25BPS ECB RATE HIKES IN 2026
ICYMI:
*Traders aren't pricing in any Fed hikes in 2026
*Macquire expects US Fed to hike interest rates in H1 2027 vs prior forecast in Q4 2026
These odds are ultrabullish for the 2026 reflation trade. Don't forget that with Warsh at the Fed rate cuts in 2026 will probably be back on the table.
[BTFD before everything rips later this year!]
ICYMI:
*Traders aren't pricing in any Fed hikes in 2026
*Macquire expects US Fed to hike interest rates in H1 2027 vs prior forecast in Q4 2026
These odds are ultrabullish for the 2026 reflation trade. Don't forget that with Warsh at the Fed rate cuts in 2026 will probably be back on the table.
[BTFD before everything rips later this year!]
π€―2πΏ2π€©1π€ͺ1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨US ASSESSES CHINA IS NOT CURRENTLY PLANNING TO INVADE TAIWAN IN 2027
*US Intelligence: China, despite its threat to use force to compel unification if necessary and to counter what it sees as βa β US attempt to use Taiwan to undermine China's rise, prefers to β achieve unification without the use of force, if possible.
[Excusatio non petita, accusatio manifesta. BTFD!]
*US Intelligence: China, despite its threat to use force to compel unification if necessary and to counter what it sees as βa β US attempt to use Taiwan to undermine China's rise, prefers to β achieve unification without the use of force, if possible.
[Excusatio non petita, accusatio manifesta. BTFD!]
π€―3π1π€ͺ1
Bull Case
π¨US ASSESSES CHINA IS NOT CURRENTLY PLANNING TO INVADE TAIWAN IN 2027 *US Intelligence: China, despite its threat to use force to compel unification if necessary and to counter what it sees as βa β US attempt to use Taiwan to undermine China's rise, prefersβ¦
π¨BLOOMBERG: CHINA IS CLOSELY STUDYING THE US WAR WITH IRAN TO LEARN FROM AMERICAN MILITARY TACTICS AND WEAKNESSES, PARTICULARLY IN ANTICIPATION OF A POTENTIAL FUTURE CONFLICT OVER TAIWAN.
Nice try CIA.
[BTFD before everything rips this year! Sell before everything dumps in 2027]
Nice try CIA.
[BTFD before everything rips this year! Sell before everything dumps in 2027]
π€£4π1
Bull Case
π¨2Y YIELDS BOUNCE OFF EFFR, BIG MONEY KEEPS DUMPING TREASURIES AND GOES RISK ON The higher PPI has raised the inflation expectations of big money. If the Fed hikes then we go risk off. As long as the Fed doesn't hike the reflation trade picks up and moreβ¦
π¨FED LEAVES INTEREST RATE UNCHANGED
Like we explained earlier today this adds a lot of fuel to the 2026 reflation trade.
Big money will keep going risk on. BTC's pump should resume soon.
[No change is bullish here, BTFD!]
Like we explained earlier today this adds a lot of fuel to the 2026 reflation trade.
Big money will keep going risk on. BTC's pump should resume soon.
[No change is bullish here, BTFD!]
π4π3π1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨JAPAN REJECTS US INTELLIGENCE ASSESSMENT OF A 'SIGNIFICANT SHIFT' IN ITS TAIWAN STANCE
This what the US 2026 Annual Threat Assessment report that was released yesterday said:
In 2026 China will try to get Taiwan peacefully if it can.
Then it will be 'forced' to make a move in 2027, like Russia with Ukraine.
[BTFD now before everything explodes as they run it hot. Sell before the Taiwan crisis materializes in 2027]
This what the US 2026 Annual Threat Assessment report that was released yesterday said:
Her comments represent a significant shift for a sitting Japanese prime minister. In response, China is employing multidomain coercive pressure that probably will intensify through 2026, aimed both at punishing Japan and deterring other countries from making similar statements about their potential involvement in a Taiwan crisis
In 2026 China will try to get Taiwan peacefully if it can.
Then it will be 'forced' to make a move in 2027, like Russia with Ukraine.
[BTFD now before everything explodes as they run it hot. Sell before the Taiwan crisis materializes in 2027]
π€―2π©1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨THE GAP BETWEEN 1Y INFLATION SWAPS (3%) AND BREAKEVENS (5%) KEEPS WIDENING
Breakevens are pricing in 5% inflation in the next year.
It seems like the people actually holding US debt aren't buying Trump's "this war will end soon, oil will drop like a rock when it ends".
Translation: Big money is going risk on on expectations of much higher inflation.
[Crypto will moon hard, BTFD!]
Breakevens are pricing in 5% inflation in the next year.
It seems like the people actually holding US debt aren't buying Trump's "this war will end soon, oil will drop like a rock when it ends".
Translation: Big money is going risk on on expectations of much higher inflation.
[Crypto will moon hard, BTFD!]
π5π1π1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨GOLD AND SILVER IN COLLAPSE MODE
This dump will free up a lot of liquidity.
Once big money rotates out metals in this environment, there is simply nowhere else to go but crypto.
[Let's print those God candles, BTFD!]
This dump will free up a lot of liquidity.
Once big money rotates out metals in this environment, there is simply nowhere else to go but crypto.
[Let's print those God candles, BTFD!]
πΎ5π2π₯1π1π1
Bull Case
π¨GOLD AND SILVER IN COLLAPSE MODE This dump will free up a lot of liquidity. Once big money rotates out metals in this environment, there is simply nowhere else to go but crypto. [Let's print those God candles, BTFD!]
π¨1Y INFLATION SWAPS UP ANOTHER 10% THIS MORNING TO 3.3. GOLD DOWN 4%. STAGNATION BROS IN DISBELIEF. THEY CAN'T EXPLAIN IT!
This is not stagflation, this is the 2026 reflation trade in action.
Big money knows and is rotating out of gold for the final blow off in risk assets. Then it will flow back in Treasuries in 2027 when Warsh wages financial war on China.
[Crypto will moon, BTFD ASAP!]
This is not stagflation, this is the 2026 reflation trade in action.
Big money knows and is rotating out of gold for the final blow off in risk assets. Then it will flow back in Treasuries in 2027 when Warsh wages financial war on China.
[Crypto will moon, BTFD ASAP!]
π€£7π1
Bull Case
π¨1Y INFLATION SWAPS UP ANOTHER 10% THIS MORNING TO 3.3. GOLD DOWN 4%. STAGNATION BROS IN DISBELIEF. THEY CAN'T EXPLAIN IT! This is not stagflation, this is the 2026 reflation trade in action. Big money knows and is rotating out of gold for the final blowβ¦
π¨GOLD CRASHES UNDER $4600
Crypto is about to moon hard. A lot of money will be coming our way as more gold holders see the writing on the wall.
Crypto is about to moon hard. A lot of money will be coming our way as more gold holders see the writing on the wall.
π€―3π2πΎ2
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨HYPERINFLATION FOR THEE, NOT FOR ME: OPERATION EPIC FURY IS A MASTER STROKE OF SHEER GENIUS BY TRUMP; CRYPTO WILL PUMP HARD FUELLED BY THE GLOBAL INFLATION HEDGE TRADE
Look at the chart to understand why Trump doesn't want this war to end.
In the US, the inflation shock is manageable, cushioned by AI led productivity gains. US oil prices will increase just enough to trigger the 2026 reflation trade, not rate hikes.
In Europe and Asia, the situation is quite different. Capital is already flowing into the USD, while central banks are scrambling to raise rates in an effort to rein in inflation.
[Crypto melt up inbound, BTFD!]
Look at the chart to understand why Trump doesn't want this war to end.
In the US, the inflation shock is manageable, cushioned by AI led productivity gains. US oil prices will increase just enough to trigger the 2026 reflation trade, not rate hikes.
In Europe and Asia, the situation is quite different. Capital is already flowing into the USD, while central banks are scrambling to raise rates in an effort to rein in inflation.
[Crypto melt up inbound, BTFD!]
π3π2π₯1
Bull Case
π¨HYPERINFLATION FOR THEE, NOT FOR ME: OPERATION EPIC FURY IS A MASTER STROKE OF SHEER GENIUS BY TRUMP; CRYPTO WILL PUMP HARD FUELLED BY THE GLOBAL INFLATION HEDGE TRADE Look at the chart to understand why Trump doesn't want this war to end. In the US,β¦
π¨GOLDMAN: THE HORMUZ SHOCK IS THE LARGEST OIL SUPPLY SHOCK ON RECORD
[It's jet fuel for crypto, I can tell you that much. BTFD!]
[It's jet fuel for crypto, I can tell you that much. BTFD!]
πΎ2π€―1π1π
1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨BTC BACK ABOVE $71200, NOW GREEN ON THE WEEK
Every dip will be bought. This is the year of the blow off tops.
Every dip will be bought. This is the year of the blow off tops.
π₯5π2
Bull Case
π¨HYPERINFLATION FOR THEE, NOT FOR ME: OPERATION EPIC FURY IS A MASTER STROKE OF SHEER GENIUS BY TRUMP; CRYPTO WILL PUMP HARD FUELLED BY THE GLOBAL INFLATION HEDGE TRADE Look at the chart to understand why Trump doesn't want this war to end. In the US,β¦
π¨IF YOU WANT TO KNOW WHERE BITCOIN IS HEADED JUST LOOK AT BLACKROCK'S ETF FLOWS SINCE SOH SHUTDOWN
The Strait of Hormuz shutdown officially started a global asymmetric inflationary shock.
IBIT started snapping up BTC as soon as transit through Hormuz halted.
Smart money knows the inflation hedge trade will come back on steroids and crypto will moon.
[BTFD ASAP!]
The Strait of Hormuz shutdown officially started a global asymmetric inflationary shock.
IBIT started snapping up BTC as soon as transit through Hormuz halted.
Smart money knows the inflation hedge trade will come back on steroids and crypto will moon.
[BTFD ASAP!]
π€―2π2π₯°1π1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨FED'S BOWMAN: I HAVE WRITTEN IN THREE CUTS FOR THIS YEAR; WARSH WILL HAVE STRONG IMPACT ON FED IF CONFIRMED
Bowman is another hawk turned dove after Trump got elected. Confirming her call for 3 rate cuts here means she is fully aligned with Warsh's AI led productivity boom thesis.
Regime change incoming at the Fed and there is nothing anyone can do to stop it.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
Bowman is another hawk turned dove after Trump got elected. Confirming her call for 3 rate cuts here means she is fully aligned with Warsh's AI led productivity boom thesis.
Regime change incoming at the Fed and there is nothing anyone can do to stop it.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
π4π€―1π1
Bull Case
π¨FED'S BOWMAN: I HAVE WRITTEN IN THREE CUTS FOR THIS YEAR; WARSH WILL HAVE STRONG IMPACT ON FED IF CONFIRMED Bowman is another hawk turned dove after Trump got elected. Confirming her call for 3 rate cuts here means she is fully aligned with Warsh's AI ledβ¦
π¨FED'S WALLER: THOUGHT I'D BE DISSENTING AFTER LAST JOBS REPORT; CLOSURE OF HORMUZ SUGGESTED MORE INFLATION PRESSURE; WOULD ADVOCATE CUTS AGAIN LATER IN YEAR IF LABOR WEAK
Waller is a dove that has been slightly less dovish since Warsh was announced.
He is pissed Trump didn't pick him as Fed Chair.
[The Fed will cut moar this year, BTFD before everything rips!]
Waller is a dove that has been slightly less dovish since Warsh was announced.
He is pissed Trump didn't pick him as Fed Chair.
[The Fed will cut moar this year, BTFD before everything rips!]
π€£4π2
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨US INTERIOR SEC. BURGUM: PRESIDENT TRUMPβS ENERGY STRATEGY IS 'BUILT FOR THIS MOMENT'
The strategy is an asymmetric inflationary shock to kickstart the 2026 reflation trade.
2026 is the year to reflate everything.
[BTFD don't listen to panicans, we will moon hard soon!]
The strategy is an asymmetric inflationary shock to kickstart the 2026 reflation trade.
2026 is the year to reflate everything.
[BTFD don't listen to panicans, we will moon hard soon!]
π4β€1π1π€£1