https://theprint.in/opinion/bihar-migrates-500-year-old-answer-mughal-taxpayers-peasant-warriors/2798080/
#BIHARspecial
#BIHARspecial
ThePrint
Why Bihar migrates has a 500-year old answer — from Mughal taxpayers to peasant warriors
Migration in North India isn’t just due to lack of development today. It was shaped by the evolution of labour markets under Sher Shah, Mughals, and the East India Company.
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What Has Increased Dollar Demand (Why USD demand rose)
—>Widening trade deficit: Imports rising faster than exports; US tariffs made Indian goods less competitive.
—>FPI outflows: Investors selling Indian assets to chase higher US returns; global risk-off sentiment.
—>Debt servicing & remittances abroad: Corporates repaying USD loans; outward remittances for education/investments rising.
—>Speculative demand & hedging: Importers/banks buying USD forwards due to volatility; overvalued REER encouraged correction bets.
What Has Reduced Dollar Supply (Why USD inflow fell)
—>US tariffs & trade tensions: Hurt Indian exports; no new trade deal.
—>Weak FDI inflows: Global uncertainty slowed new investments.
—>Modest remittances & services receipts: Steady but not surging.
—>RBI’s limited intervention: Selling fewer dollars, allowing rupee depreciation.
#GS1mains
—>Widening trade deficit: Imports rising faster than exports; US tariffs made Indian goods less competitive.
—>FPI outflows: Investors selling Indian assets to chase higher US returns; global risk-off sentiment.
—>Debt servicing & remittances abroad: Corporates repaying USD loans; outward remittances for education/investments rising.
—>Speculative demand & hedging: Importers/banks buying USD forwards due to volatility; overvalued REER encouraged correction bets.
What Has Reduced Dollar Supply (Why USD inflow fell)
—>US tariffs & trade tensions: Hurt Indian exports; no new trade deal.
—>Weak FDI inflows: Global uncertainty slowed new investments.
—>Modest remittances & services receipts: Steady but not surging.
—>RBI’s limited intervention: Selling fewer dollars, allowing rupee depreciation.
#GS1mains
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Why is the rupee weak even when the Indian economy is strong?
The rupee is weakening not because India’s economy is weak, but because external-sector pressures outweigh domestic strength.
A large trade deficit, FPI outflows, higher USD debt repayments, and hedging have sharply increased dollar demand, while US tariffs, weak FDI, moderate remittances, and limited RBI intervention have reduced dollar supply.
Thus, exchange rate pressure is arising from global and trade dynamics- not from India’s GDP performance.
The rupee is weakening not because India’s economy is weak, but because external-sector pressures outweigh domestic strength.
A large trade deficit, FPI outflows, higher USD debt repayments, and hedging have sharply increased dollar demand, while US tariffs, weak FDI, moderate remittances, and limited RBI intervention have reduced dollar supply.
Thus, exchange rate pressure is arising from global and trade dynamics- not from India’s GDP performance.
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