Running #s now. Going to send one that is more available market wide so that you aren't limited to a sportsbook specific price.
👍7❤2
US Open WTA - Outright
Svitolina 60/1 (+6000 or better)
Available:
DK 60/1
FD 65/1
CAE 70/1
MGM 66/1
My sim puts her around 2.2% to win, which implies a fair near 44.5/1, so 34%+ EV depending on what price you find. She is proven in big match environments, and the draw looks workable enough in the early rounds that she can accumulate equity. Later collisions with top seeds will always be a test, but she has a realistic path to contend.
Svitolina 60/1 (+6000 or better)
Available:
DK 60/1
FD 65/1
CAE 70/1
MGM 66/1
My sim puts her around 2.2% to win, which implies a fair near 44.5/1, so 34%+ EV depending on what price you find. She is proven in big match environments, and the draw looks workable enough in the early rounds that she can accumulate equity. Later collisions with top seeds will always be a test, but she has a realistic path to contend.
❤19🔥8👍5👎1
I have two more outrights to send here in-play. I will reference FanDuel price, but give you what its good to so that you can shop around if need be.
🔥10❤3
Kostyuk +20,000 (200/1), good to 150/1
Muchova +10,000 (100/), good to 80/1
Muchova +10,000 (100/), good to 80/1
🔥5❤1
Context: Keys busted early and market hasn’t adjusted properly on her side of the bracket. Around 1/3 to 1/4 of keys tournament win % pre-zarazua has shifted to kostyuk.
Haven’t checked a lot of other outs for in-play because I’m not really betting these myself due to liquidity and what not, but definitely value to be had outside of FD too if you look.
Haven’t checked a lot of other outs for in-play because I’m not really betting these myself due to liquidity and what not, but definitely value to be had outside of FD too if you look.
🔥7❤3