π€ Canadaβs 50% tariff on certain U.S. goods has officially come into effect.π€ The measure is a retaliatory response to U.S. tariffs imposed on Canadian goods.π€ President Trump responded by excluding Canadian goods from U.S. government procurement.
πΊπΈ - π¨π¦ THE U.S.βCANADA TRADE WAR IS NO LONGER JUST ABOUT TARIFFS β IT HAS NOW EXPANDED INTO GOVERNMENT PROCUREMENT CONTRACTS.
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JAPANβS 10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD BREAKS ABOVE 3% FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 1996
- The yield on Japanβs 10-year government bond has risen above 3%.
- This is the first time it has reached that level since 1996.
- Key drivers: the BOJ is reducing bond purchases, while expectations for further rate hikes are increasing.
π―π΅ Japanβs era of ultra-low interest rates is coming to an end β 3% is no longer a βforbidden zone.β
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- The yield on Japanβs 10-year government bond has risen above 3%.
- This is the first time it has reached that level since 1996.
- Key drivers: the BOJ is reducing bond purchases, while expectations for further rate hikes are increasing.
π―π΅ Japanβs era of ultra-low interest rates is coming to an end β 3% is no longer a βforbidden zone.β
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π€ Chinaβs CPI inflation rose to 0.8% year-on-year in August.π€ The reading matched expectations and was higher than Julyβs 0.5%.π€ August PPI also increased 3.8%, reflecting price pressures from energy and commodities.π€ Food prices continued to decline, while non-food prices rose more strongly.
π¨π³ Chinaβs inflation is gradually picking up from very low levels, but it is still far from being as βhotβ as in the U.S.
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π£ PPI Y/Y: forecast 5.3% (previous = 4.7%)π€ Core PPI Y/Y: forecast 4.6% (previous = 4.2%)
πΊπΈ The hotter the PPI, the harder it will be for the Fed to βpauseβ β markets are likely to react immediately after the data.
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The hotter oil gets, the stronger the risk-off mood becomes β BTC is finding it hard to stay unaffected as geopolitical tensions flare up again.
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BESSENT: βNOW IβM THE HOUSEβ
π U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared: βNow Iβm the houseβ¦ and you can bet against me if you want.β
Bad news has piled up for two straight weeks, but BTC is still holding on β at least it hasnβt βcollapsedβ alongside stocks yet.
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π€ The remark was aimed at the possibility of U.S. Treasury intervention to support the Yen.π€ The U.S. will increase the size of its bond buybacks to $6 billion tomorrow.π€ Future buyback operations will be at least $4 billion each.π€ Even so, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to its highest level since 2023.
Bad news has piled up for two straight weeks, but BTC is still holding on β at least it hasnβt βcollapsedβ alongside stocks yet.
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TRUMP: IRAN WAR COULD END AFTER THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS
π President Trump said the war with Iran could end shortly after the midterm elections.
π€ He left the door open to negotiations, but said they are not a priority.
π€ According to Trump, Iran is trying to influence the U.S. election and cannot withstand economic pressure for much longer.
π€ Trump also said oil prices could cool once the conflict ends.
β This is not a ceasefire order yet, but it is the clearest signal from the White House that November 3 is becoming a key deadline for the war.
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π¨π³ Beijing is still quietly accumulating gold β adding another layer of protection each month against USD volatility and geopolitical risks.
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β The Fedβs interest rate decision will be announced at 18:00 UTC on Sep 16.
Inflation is still refusing to cool β and the Fed is moving increasingly closer to another rate hike.
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π° Gold futures touched the $4,400 area before cooling as expectations for another Fed rate hike remained high.π° BTC nearly reached $79K, then reversed back to around $77.8K.
πΊπΈ U.S. stocks still closed in the green:
Dow +0.98%
S&P 500 +0.86%
Nasdaq +0.96%
The market bounced strongly, but pressure from the Fed has not gone away.
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TRUMP PROMISES $5,000 TO EVERY AMERICAN IF GOP WINS THE MIDTERMS
πΊπΈ Trump said that if Republicans retain control of both the House and Senate, every adult U.S. citizen would receive a $5,000 βTrump Dividend.β
π² Estimated total cost: ~$1.35 trillion.
π Key conditions mentioned:
π€ The money must be spent in the U.S.
π€ JD Vance suggested wealthy Americans could be excluded
π€ Tariff revenue has been mentioned as a potential funding source
π¨ However, the plan still lacks a clear funding mechanism and could require Congressional approval.
If implemented, it would be one of the largest direct cash-payment programs in U.S. history.π¨βπΌ
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πΊπΈ Trump said that if Republicans retain control of both the House and Senate, every adult U.S. citizen would receive a $5,000 βTrump Dividend.β
π Key conditions mentioned:
If implemented, it would be one of the largest direct cash-payment programs in U.S. history.
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πΊπΈ U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the Senate to resume negotiations and advance the CLARITY Act immediately after the August recess.
The U.S. increasingly views crypto regulation as both a technology race and a national security issue.
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π Markets calmed somewhat as headline CPI matched expectations, but:
Yields have eased, but interest-rate pressure has not disappeared.
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