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"Transframer is a general-purpose generative framework that can handle many image and video tasks in a probabilistic setting. New work shows it excels in video prediction and view synthesis, and can generate 30s videos from a single image."
https://sites.google.com/view/transframer
https://sites.google.com/view/transframer
Links for 2022-08-16
1. Using AI Chips To Design Better AI Chips https://www.nextplatform.com/2022/08/08/using-ai-chips-to-design-better-ai-chips/
2. Further progress on large-scale uranium extraction from seawater, a technology that will eventually make nuclear power fully renewable. https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2022/ee/d2ee01199a
3. America’s Growing Religious-Secular Fertility Divide https://ifstudies.org/blog/americas-growing-religious-secular-fertility-divide
4. Evolution and the Poorly Designed Human Eye https://evolution-outreach.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1007/s12052-008-0092-1
5. New “Universal” Flu Vaccine Candidate Enters Clinical Trial https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2795046
6. 50% undergrad (36% grad) women report choking was "very much" sexually arousing (cp men 26.8%, 16.3%). ~10% report not liking choking, with around 5% reporting consenting to please a partner. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-022-02347-y
7. Post-quantum encryption contender is taken out by single-core PC and 1 hour https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2022/08/sike-once-a-post-quantum-encryption-contender-is-koed-in-nist-smackdown/
8. “If you can save someone from drowning or 10 people from dying in a burning building, what should you do?” he proposes. “It is not a morally appropriate response to say, well, I’m particularly passionate about drowning and so I’m going to save the one person from drowning rather than the 10 people from burning. And that’s exactly the situation we find ourselves in....In philanthropy, big donors typically choose causes based on their personal passions—an ultra-subjectivist approach, MacAskill says, where everything is seemingly justifiable on the basis of doing some good. He doesn’t think that’s tenable.” https://time.com/6204627/effective-altruism-longtermism-william-macaskill-interview/
1. Using AI Chips To Design Better AI Chips https://www.nextplatform.com/2022/08/08/using-ai-chips-to-design-better-ai-chips/
2. Further progress on large-scale uranium extraction from seawater, a technology that will eventually make nuclear power fully renewable. https://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2022/ee/d2ee01199a
3. America’s Growing Religious-Secular Fertility Divide https://ifstudies.org/blog/americas-growing-religious-secular-fertility-divide
4. Evolution and the Poorly Designed Human Eye https://evolution-outreach.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1007/s12052-008-0092-1
5. New “Universal” Flu Vaccine Candidate Enters Clinical Trial https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2795046
6. 50% undergrad (36% grad) women report choking was "very much" sexually arousing (cp men 26.8%, 16.3%). ~10% report not liking choking, with around 5% reporting consenting to please a partner. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-022-02347-y
7. Post-quantum encryption contender is taken out by single-core PC and 1 hour https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2022/08/sike-once-a-post-quantum-encryption-contender-is-koed-in-nist-smackdown/
8. “If you can save someone from drowning or 10 people from dying in a burning building, what should you do?” he proposes. “It is not a morally appropriate response to say, well, I’m particularly passionate about drowning and so I’m going to save the one person from drowning rather than the 10 people from burning. And that’s exactly the situation we find ourselves in....In philanthropy, big donors typically choose causes based on their personal passions—an ultra-subjectivist approach, MacAskill says, where everything is seemingly justifiable on the basis of doing some good. He doesn’t think that’s tenable.” https://time.com/6204627/effective-altruism-longtermism-william-macaskill-interview/
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Read the full text here:
The Parable of the Boy Who Cried 5% Chance of Wolf https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tE7y8FZe7wSSzoRaS/the-parable-of-the-boy-who-cried-5-chance-of-wolf
The Parable of the Boy Who Cried 5% Chance of Wolf https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tE7y8FZe7wSSzoRaS/the-parable-of-the-boy-who-cried-5-chance-of-wolf
"Putin added Russia could offer new models and systems, saying: "We are talking about high-precision weapons and robotics, about combat systems based on new physical principles."
1. https://www.google.com/amp/s/tass.com/defense/1493709/amp
2. https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russias-rocket-toting-robot-dog-is-chinese-for-sale-on-alibaba
1. https://www.google.com/amp/s/tass.com/defense/1493709/amp
2. https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russias-rocket-toting-robot-dog-is-chinese-for-sale-on-alibaba
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"A robot doesn’t innately have that understanding. And that’s the inherent challenge of programming helpful robots that can interact with humans. We know it as “Moravec's paradox” — the idea that in robotics, it’s the easiest things that are the most difficult to program a robot to do. This is because we’ve had all of human evolution to master our basic motor skills, but relatively speaking, humans have only just learned algebra."
...
"Language is a reflection of the human mind’s ability to assemble tasks, put them in context and even reason through problems. Language models also contain enormous amounts of information about the world, and it turns out that can be pretty helpful to the robot. PaLM can help the robotic system process more complex, open-ended prompts and respond to them in ways that are reasonable and sensible."
https://mobile.twitter.com/hausman_k/status/1559558923820011520
...
"Language is a reflection of the human mind’s ability to assemble tasks, put them in context and even reason through problems. Language models also contain enormous amounts of information about the world, and it turns out that can be pretty helpful to the robot. PaLM can help the robotic system process more complex, open-ended prompts and respond to them in ways that are reasonable and sensible."
https://mobile.twitter.com/hausman_k/status/1559558923820011520
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Links for 2022-08-17
1. How Our Shoes Can Help Explain the Biology of Sex — There are no good reasons to doubt that sex is, in fact, binary. https://www.realityslaststand.com/p/how-our-shoes-can-help-explain-the
2. Matrix World : The Picture of All Matrices https://anagileway.files.wordpress.com/2020/09/matrixworld-v1.3.pdf [explanation: https://math.mit.edu/~gs/everyone/MatrixWorld-v1.4.1-LAFE.pdf]
3. All baby birds have a moment prior to hatching when their hip bone is a tiny replica of a dinosaur’s pelvis (just as we have a moment in the womb when we’ve got a little tail). https://news.yale.edu/2022/07/27/birds-and-dinosaurs-joined-hip
4. The challenge of corrosion and how engineers fight it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2RbiCOFffRs
5. Femtosecond laser pulses are able to ablate material so fast it doesn't have time to heat up. Instead, electrons are stripped from atoms causing the material to come apart under its own electrostatic self repulsion. https://arxiv.org/ftp/physics/papers/0102/0102046.pdf
6. Statistical Control Requires Causal Justification https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/25152459221095823
7. Researchers find way to shrink a VR headset down to normal glasses size https://www.pcgamer.com/researchers-find-way-to-shrink-a-vr-headset-down-to-normal-glasses-size/
1. How Our Shoes Can Help Explain the Biology of Sex — There are no good reasons to doubt that sex is, in fact, binary. https://www.realityslaststand.com/p/how-our-shoes-can-help-explain-the
2. Matrix World : The Picture of All Matrices https://anagileway.files.wordpress.com/2020/09/matrixworld-v1.3.pdf [explanation: https://math.mit.edu/~gs/everyone/MatrixWorld-v1.4.1-LAFE.pdf]
3. All baby birds have a moment prior to hatching when their hip bone is a tiny replica of a dinosaur’s pelvis (just as we have a moment in the womb when we’ve got a little tail). https://news.yale.edu/2022/07/27/birds-and-dinosaurs-joined-hip
4. The challenge of corrosion and how engineers fight it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2RbiCOFffRs
5. Femtosecond laser pulses are able to ablate material so fast it doesn't have time to heat up. Instead, electrons are stripped from atoms causing the material to come apart under its own electrostatic self repulsion. https://arxiv.org/ftp/physics/papers/0102/0102046.pdf
6. Statistical Control Requires Causal Justification https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/25152459221095823
7. Researchers find way to shrink a VR headset down to normal glasses size https://www.pcgamer.com/researchers-find-way-to-shrink-a-vr-headset-down-to-normal-glasses-size/
Indian CEOs of American companies:
CEO of Google
CEO of Microsoft
CEO of Adobe
CEO of Twitter
CEO of Mastercard *former
CEO of Pepsi *former
CEO of IBM
CEO of Albertsons
CEO of Micron
CEO of Netapp
CEO of Nokia *former
CEO of Palo Alto Networks
CEO of Arista Networks
CEO of Vimeo
CEO of Novartis
CEO of Gap
CEO of Chanel
CEO of Match
CEO of Flex
CEO of Vertex
CEO of VMware
CEO of Barclays
CEO of OnlyFans
CEO of Crispr Therapeutics
CEO of Amway
CEO of Chewy
CEO of Quantumscape
CEO of MongoDB
CEO of Nutanix
CEO of WeWork
CEO of Workday
CEO of YUM
CEO of Diageo
CEO of Pernod Ricard NA
CEO of FedEx
by @nihalmehta
CEO of Google
CEO of Microsoft
CEO of Adobe
CEO of Twitter
CEO of Mastercard *former
CEO of Pepsi *former
CEO of IBM
CEO of Albertsons
CEO of Micron
CEO of Netapp
CEO of Nokia *former
CEO of Palo Alto Networks
CEO of Arista Networks
CEO of Vimeo
CEO of Novartis
CEO of Gap
CEO of Chanel
CEO of Match
CEO of Flex
CEO of Vertex
CEO of VMware
CEO of Barclays
CEO of OnlyFans
CEO of Crispr Therapeutics
CEO of Amway
CEO of Chewy
CEO of Quantumscape
CEO of MongoDB
CEO of Nutanix
CEO of WeWork
CEO of Workday
CEO of YUM
CEO of Diageo
CEO of Pernod Ricard NA
CEO of FedEx
by @nihalmehta
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Genetics wins another race.
See :
1. All of the top *65* marathoners of all time are of East African descent. https://www.worldathletics.org/records/all-time-toplists/road-running/marathon/outdoor/men/senior
2. High school track teams in Kenya can consistently outperform professional Swedish runners. https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/04/why-kenyans-make-such-great-runners-a-story-of-genes-and-cultures/256015/
See :
1. All of the top *65* marathoners of all time are of East African descent. https://www.worldathletics.org/records/all-time-toplists/road-running/marathon/outdoor/men/senior
2. High school track teams in Kenya can consistently outperform professional Swedish runners. https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/04/why-kenyans-make-such-great-runners-a-story-of-genes-and-cultures/256015/
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Links for 2022-08-18
1. John Carmack just got investment to build AGI. https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/wq6wif/john_carmack_just_got_investment_to_build_agi_he/
2. A major report from Pew finds that nearly half of teens are online “almost constantly;” twice what it was in 2015. A third is on one of the major platforms “almost constantly”. https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2022/08/10/teens-social-media-and-technology-2022/
3. Language models seem to be much better than humans at next-token prediction https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/htrZrxduciZ5QaCjw/language-models-seem-to-be-much-better-than-humans-at-next
4. Nuclear may (or may not) be expensive, but it's much faster to build than renewables! https://www.blog.geoffrussell.com.au/post/nuclear-may-or-may-not-be-expensive-but-it-s-much-faster-to-build-than-renewables
5. “Video game performance can act as a “stealth test” of real skills: 1. Good Civilization players have better management skills 2. Performance in MOBAs like LoL correlates with IQ 3. Guild leaders in World of Warcraft are more likely to be good leaders in real life [BUT] 4. Performance in FPSs like Battlefield 3, Destiny, etc. don't show the same correlation with intelligence.” https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1557524096962945024.html
6. How Can Society Prepare for the Moral Norms of Tomorrow? The moral framework of future generations may be a radical departure from the past—and the present [Wired] https://archive.ph/wip/sYWF7
7. U.S. struggled to convince allies, and Zelensky, of risk of invasion — “US intel community had penetrated multiple points of RU political leadership, spying apparatus and military, from senior levels to the front lines” [Washington Post] https://archive.ph/iHYlw
8. “Russia claims Ukraine used US arms to kill jailed POWs. Evidence tells a different story.” https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2022/08/europe/olenivka-donetsk-prison-attack/
9. Alex Jones on S-risks and bad AGI https://player.vimeo.com/video/459743203
1. John Carmack just got investment to build AGI. https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/wq6wif/john_carmack_just_got_investment_to_build_agi_he/
2. A major report from Pew finds that nearly half of teens are online “almost constantly;” twice what it was in 2015. A third is on one of the major platforms “almost constantly”. https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2022/08/10/teens-social-media-and-technology-2022/
3. Language models seem to be much better than humans at next-token prediction https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/htrZrxduciZ5QaCjw/language-models-seem-to-be-much-better-than-humans-at-next
4. Nuclear may (or may not) be expensive, but it's much faster to build than renewables! https://www.blog.geoffrussell.com.au/post/nuclear-may-or-may-not-be-expensive-but-it-s-much-faster-to-build-than-renewables
5. “Video game performance can act as a “stealth test” of real skills: 1. Good Civilization players have better management skills 2. Performance in MOBAs like LoL correlates with IQ 3. Guild leaders in World of Warcraft are more likely to be good leaders in real life [BUT] 4. Performance in FPSs like Battlefield 3, Destiny, etc. don't show the same correlation with intelligence.” https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1557524096962945024.html
6. How Can Society Prepare for the Moral Norms of Tomorrow? The moral framework of future generations may be a radical departure from the past—and the present [Wired] https://archive.ph/wip/sYWF7
7. U.S. struggled to convince allies, and Zelensky, of risk of invasion — “US intel community had penetrated multiple points of RU political leadership, spying apparatus and military, from senior levels to the front lines” [Washington Post] https://archive.ph/iHYlw
8. “Russia claims Ukraine used US arms to kill jailed POWs. Evidence tells a different story.” https://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2022/08/europe/olenivka-donetsk-prison-attack/
9. Alex Jones on S-risks and bad AGI https://player.vimeo.com/video/459743203
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Your frequent reminder that a technical solution to climate change has been available for decades. But this solution was and still is deliberately sabotaged.
Had countries followed the same path as France, we could have limited global warming to less than 0.5°C. Instead, especially Germany did everything to prevent the adoption of nuclear power as a tool against climate change. For example, in 2001, at the sixth UN climate conference, Germany lobbied all parties to refrain from using certified emission reductions generated from nuclear facilities to meet their commitments.
There is no technical reason preventing the world from launching an Apollo program for nuclear power to fast-track the creation of thousands of nuclear power plants.
But the same people who claim that climate change is an existential risk prevent this from happening by citing easily debunked disinformation about its dangers and complain that nuclear power is too expensive, a problem they caused themselves by means of overregulation.
Had countries followed the same path as France, we could have limited global warming to less than 0.5°C. Instead, especially Germany did everything to prevent the adoption of nuclear power as a tool against climate change. For example, in 2001, at the sixth UN climate conference, Germany lobbied all parties to refrain from using certified emission reductions generated from nuclear facilities to meet their commitments.
There is no technical reason preventing the world from launching an Apollo program for nuclear power to fast-track the creation of thousands of nuclear power plants.
But the same people who claim that climate change is an existential risk prevent this from happening by citing easily debunked disinformation about its dangers and complain that nuclear power is too expensive, a problem they caused themselves by means of overregulation.
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Share of births outside of marriage, 2018. https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/wqggsh/oc_share_of_births_outside_of_marriage_2018/