Aging societies are becoming a defining issue for Eurasia. This analysis discusses how Turkic States, guided by shared values and Türkiye’s policy practices, can advance a credible regional framework for elderly rights and social resilience.
📘 EURASIAN DEMOGRAPHY’S TURNING POINT
🔗 https://tinyurl.com/yc2pttbm

✍️ Teoman Ertuğrul Tulun
#Türkiye #TurkicStates #ElderlyRights #Demography #PolicyAnalysis #ThinkTank 🌐

Regional balance in the South Caucasus depends on realism and strategic consistency. This analysis explores why Türkiye’s support for Azerbaijan is not an obstacle to peace, but a stabilizing factor in a shifting multipolar order.
📘 AZERBAIJAN-ARMENIA PEACE TREATY PROCESS – II
🔗 https://tinyurl.com/5dzdytax

✍️ Mehmet Oğuzhan Tulun
#Türkiye #Azerbaijan #SouthCaucasus #Geopolitics #PeaceProcess #ThinkTank 🌍

The Center for Eurasian Studies (AVİM) wishes you a happy new year!

📌 The Black Sea is increasingly shaped by drones, hybrid pressure, and competing security logics rather than open naval confrontation. 📘 GUARDIANSHIP UNDER PRESSURE: DRONE ESCALATION, RUSSIAN MILITARIZATION, AND TÜRKIYE’S LEGAL ORDER IN THE BLACK SEA ✍️ Dr Teoman Ertuğrul Tulun 🔗 https://shorturl.at/EXtng

The analysis examines how Türkiye’s careful enforcement of the Montreux Convention continues to function as a stabilizing legal framework amid rising militarization.
#BlackSea #Montreux #Türkiye #SecurityStudies #MaritimeLaw

📌 Legal disputes should be assessed through constitutional principles, not dramatized through identity and trauma-based narratives.
📘 ANOTHER INSTANCE OF THE LEMKIN INSTITUTE'S DESTRUCTIVE CONDUCT
✍️ Tuğçe Tecimer
🔗 https://avim.org.tr/en/Yorum/ANOTHER-INSTANCE-OF-THE-LEMKIN-INSTITUTE-S-DESTRUCTIVE-CONDUCT

The analysis discusses how misusing the concept of genocide and externalizing domestic political tensions risks deepening polarization and weakening objective public discourse.
#InternationalRelations #LegalAnalysis #TürkiyePerspective #CriticalStudies

📌 Ecumenism gains meaning when it respects both spiritual unity and constitutional order.
📘 POPE LEO XIV’S NOVEMBER 2025 VISIT TO TÜRKİYE: A PUSH FOR ECUMENISM IN THE CONTEXT OF A SPIRITUAL JOURNEY
✍️ Mehmet Oğuzhan Tulun
🔗 https://avim.org.tr/en/Analiz/POPE-LEO-XIV-S-NOVEMBER-2025-VISIT-TO-TURKIYE-A-PUSH-FOR-ECUMENISM-IN-THE-CONTEXT-OF-A-SPIRITUAL-JOURNEY

The commentary discusses how Türkiye’s historical, legal, and sovereign considerations shape the boundaries of inter-Christian dialogue.
#TürkiyePerspective #Ecumenism #InternationalRelations #RuleOfLaw

📌 Strategic narratives about shared gatekeeping in the Black Sea often overlook legal constraints and regional realities. 📘 FRANCE, TÜRKİYE, AND THE BLACK SEA ORDER: LEGAL REALITIES VERSUS STRATEGIC SHORTCUTTING ✍️ Dr. Teoman Ertuğrul Tulun 🔗 https://shorturl.at/BPtFd� The commentary examines how Montreux’s legal framework and Türkiye’s guardianship shape security dynamics, emphasizing cooperation grounded in law rather than informal reinterpretations. #BlackSea #InternationalRelations #TürkiyePerspective #Montreux

India’s balancing between cooperation and competition with major powers illustrates how strategic autonomy increasingly shapes contemporary security frameworks. The evolving trajectory of QUAD — from humanitarian coordination to broader geopolitical alignment — reveals both opportunities and structural limits in multilateral partnerships. Türkiye’s experience with pragmatic and flexible diplomacy provides a useful comparative lens for understanding such dynamics. 📘 INDIA’S STRATEGIC BALANCING CHALLENGES THE QUAD ✍️ Author: Özge Emine ÖZÇELİK 🔗 https://shorturl.at/wmrce� The analysis examines India’s engagement with China, dependence on Russian energy, tensions with Washington, and how these factors influence the future of Indo-Pacific cooperation. What does this mean for alliance cohesion and regional balance? Share your perspective below. #QUAD #AsiaPacific #StrategicAutonomy #ThinkTank #Geopolitics #Türkiye 🌏📘

Historical diplomacy offers valuable insights into how information warfare, political narratives, and extremist threats evolve over time. The experience of Ottoman Consul Mehmet Refet Bey during WWI highlights early cases of intimidation and propaganda challenges that shaped diplomatic responses and resilience. 📘 FROM DISTANT FRONTIERS TO A LONG CHAIN OF EXTREMISM: MEHMET REFET BEY AND EARLY ARMENIAN TERRORISM (1916) ✍️ Author: Hazel ÇAĞAN ELBİR 🔗 https://shorturl.at/WihyO� This analysis examines how early nationalist violence and media narratives influenced international perceptions and why revisiting such episodes contributes to balanced historical understanding. What lessons can today’s policymakers draw from these historical precedents? Share your thoughts. #History #Geopolitics #Diplomacy #StrategicNarratives #Türkiye 🧭📘

Understanding great-power diplomacy requires examining how trade, security, and technology negotiations intersect in practice. President Trump’s Asia trip illustrates the increasing role of bilateral engagement, critical minerals competition, and mediation initiatives in shaping Indo-Pacific strategic dynamics — offering analytical insights relevant for observers evaluating multipolar diplomacy, including Türkiye’s pragmatic foreign policy approach. 📘 HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE US PRESIDENT TRUMP’S ASIA TRIP ✍️ Author: Seyda Nur OSMANLI 🔗 https://shorturl.at/deiH3� The analysis discusses ASEAN and APEC summits, US-China trade tensions, regional agreements, and strategic implications for future power balances. What lessons emerge for middle powers navigating competing agendas? Share your perspective. #Geopolitics #AsiaPacific #StrategicAutonomy #ThinkTank #Türkiye 🧭🌏

📌 Political discourse within parts of the Armenian diaspora appears to be evolving in response to new regional realities.
📘 STAUNCH ARMENIAN DIASPORA NATIONALISTS ARE MITIGATING THEIR POSITIONS
✍️ Maxime Gauin
🔗 https://shorturl.at/RnGS1⁠
The commentary analyzes emerging support for Armenia’s constitutional sovereignty and the separation of church and state, while contextualizing this shift within broader EU-US engagement and normalization dynamics involving Türkiye. Could this signal a more pragmatic phase in regional politics?
#Armenia #TürkiyePerspective #SouthCaucasus #PeaceProcess #InternationalRelations 🌍📖

📌 Is central coordination of diaspora communities inherently problematic, or a normal feature of sovereign diplomacy?
📘 THE ARMENIAN DIASPORA, STATE CONTROL, AND THE LIMITS OF DIASPORA POLITICS
✍️ Teoman Ertuğrul Tulun
🔗 https://shorturl.at/JmoST⁠�
The commentary examines competing narratives on diaspora governance and highlights how maximalist activism may generate tension between external expectations and Armenia’s sovereign decision-making. A law-based, transparency-focused approach, grounded in mutual respect, offers a more sustainable path.
#DiasporaPolitics #RegionalStability #Türkiye #Armenia #PeaceProcess 🌍⚖️

📌 Recent developments in the Aegean have revived discussions about demilitarization regimes and treaty obligations. What do these developments mean for regional stability?
📘 GREECE’S NEW FAIT ACCOMPLI ATTEMPTS IN THE AEGEAN IN THE NEW WORLD DISORDER
✍️ Dr. Teoman Ertuğrul Tulun
🔗 https://shorturl.at/onG1j⁠�
The analysis evaluates the legal, political, and strategic implications of militarization attempts in the Aegean and underscores Türkiye’s consistent position that treaty-based demilitarized status remains a cornerstone of regional balance and international legal order.
#Aegean #InternationalRelations #TürkiyePerspective #RegionalSecurity 🌍⚖️

📌 The intersection of academic freedom and state policy becomes particularly complex in conflict-prone regions. Where should the limits of institutional representation be drawn?
📘 ACADEMIC FREEDOM, STATE POLICY, AND THE LIMITS OF INSTITUTIONAL REPRESENTATION: REFLECTIONS ON THE GZOYAN CONTROVERSY
✍️ AVİM
🔗 https://avim.org.tr/en/Yorum/ACADEMIC-FREEDOM-STATE-POLICY-AND-THE-LIMITS-OF-INSTITUTIONAL-REPRESENTATION-REFLECTIONS-ON-THE-GZOYAN-CONTROVERSY⁠�
This analysis examines the Gzoyan controversy through international law, institutional accountability, and regional diplomacy, underlining that academic freedom operates within broader governance frameworks—especially in sensitive geopolitical contexts.
#SouthCaucasus #AcademicFreedom #Diplomacy #Türkiye #PolicyAnalysis 📊

📌 When scholarly systems face political and narrative pressures, how resilient is peer review as a mechanism of truth validation?
📘 PEER REVIEW AND SCIENTIFIC GATEKEEPING UNDER PROPAGANDA PRESSURE
✍️ Teoman Ertuğrul TULUN
🔗 https://shorturl.at/HxfDT

This commentary explores how editorial caution, institutional bias, and long-term narrative shaping can influence what is accepted as “knowledge.” It invites reflection on whether academic credibility today depends less on prestige and more on consistency, transparency, and openness to critical inquiry—particularly in sensitive historical debates.
#PeerReview #AcademicFreedom #InformationIntegrity #Eurasia #Türkiye 🌍

Water infrastructure is increasingly becoming part of broader geopolitical and security discussions in the Middle East. In a region where desalination facilities are highly vulnerable to disruptions and conflicts, alternative long-term models are attracting renewed attention. 📘 THE PEACE WATER PIPELINE PROJECT CAN BE UPDATED THROUGH EXPANSION ✍️ Author: Özge Emine ÖZÇELİK 🔗 https://avim.org.tr/en/Yorum/THE-PEACE-WATER-PIPELINE-PROJECT-CAN-BE-UPDATED-THROUGH-EXPANSION⁠� This AVİM analysis discusses how Türkiye’s geographical advantages, existing energy corridor experience, and infrastructure capacity could contribute to a future water and energy corridor model connecting Türkiye and the Gulf region. The commentary also evaluates how projects once considered unrealistic may gain relevance under changing regional conditions. Can water diplomacy become one of the defining strategic instruments of the next decade? #Türkiye #WaterSecurity #EnergySecurity #MiddleEast #RegionalConnectivity #Geopolitics #AVIM 💧📘🌐

Historical debates in the South Caucasus cannot be fully understood without examining the geopolitical context of the Cold War period. The interaction between Soviet foreign policy, intelligence operations, and diaspora politics continues to attract scholarly attention today. 📘 THE USSR AND THE EMERGENCE OF THE “ARMENIAN GENOCIDE” CLAIMS ✍️ Author: Maxime GAUIN 🔗 https://avim.org.tr/en/Yorum/THE-USSR-AND-THE-EMERGENCE-OF-THE-ARMENIAN-GENOCIDE-CLAIMS⁠� This AVİM commentary analyzes the evolution of Armenian genocide allegations within the broader framework of Soviet strategic objectives, ideological competition, and regional diplomacy. The study highlights how political narratives can intersect with international power struggles and information campaigns. To what extent do historical narratives reflect geopolitical realities of their time? #Türkiye #History #ColdWar #Geopolitics #SouthCaucasus #StrategicStudies #AVIM 📚🌐

Küresel ve bölgesel krizler, enerji güvenliği kadar su güvenliğinin de yeni dönemin temel stratejik başlıklarından biri haline geldiğini göstermektedir. Özellikle Körfez ülkelerinde deniz suyu arıtma tesislerine bağımlılık, çatışma dönemlerinde ciddi kırılganlıklar yaratmaktadır. 📘 KALKINMA YOLU VE BARIŞ SUYU PROJESİ ✍️ Yazar: Bora ODABAŞI 🔗 https://avim.org.tr/tr/Yorum/KALKINMA-YOLU-VE-BARIS-SUYU-PROJESI⁠� Bu AVİM yorumunda; Kalkınma Yolu Projesi, hidro-politik bağlantısallık, enerji koridorları ve Türkiye’nin bölgesel bağlantısallık kapasitesi birlikte değerlendirilmektedir. Türkiye üzerinden Körfez’e uzanabilecek alternatif su ve enerji hatları, bölgesel iş birliği ve dayanıklılık açısından yeni bir model oluşturabilir mi? #Türkiye #KalkınmaYolu #SuGüvenliği #EnerjiGüvenliği #Bağlantısallık #OrtaDoğu 💧🌍📘

Population decline has become one of the most debated issues in European politics. But how well do political narratives correspond with demographic evidence? 🌍📊
📘 POPULATION DECLINE IN EUROPE: FERTILE GROUND FOR POPULIST ISLAMOPHOBIA
✍️ Author: Armand SAĞ
🔗 Read the full commentary: https://avim.org.tr/Blog/POPULATION-DECLINE-IN-EUROPE-FERTILE-GROUND-FOR-POPULIST-ISLAMOPHOBIA
Drawing on demographic statistics and academic literature—including the work of Hans Rosling and other leading scholars—this analysis argues that declining fertility is a global socioeconomic phenomenon rather than a religious one. It also examines how demographic concerns are increasingly employed in European populist discourse and what this means for policy, integration, and regional stability.
📚 We welcome your views: How should policymakers address demographic challenges while avoiding polarizing narratives?
#Europe #Demography #Migration #Population #EuropeanPolitics #SocialCohesion #ThinkTank