📰 China's Foreign Ministry has denied US President Donald Trump's claims that trade talks between the countries are ongoing;

📊 Data from the University of Michigan showed that the US consumer sentiment index fell in April from 57 to 52.2, which is one of the lowest values since the late 1970s;

🇬🇧 UK retail sales rose 0.4% in March after rising 0.7% in February;

⚠️ According to a survey of economists conducted by Bloomberg, the likelihood of a recession in the United States has increased from 30% to 45%.

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#eurusd

🇪🇺🇺🇸 The EUR/USD pair is trading at 1.1350.

📊 Market participants are awaiting European data on the harmonized index of consumer prices for April, as well as the report on gross domestic product (GDP) for the first quarter, which will be published this week.

🏛 According to forecasts, inflation in the eurozone will return to the ECB's target level of 2%, which will be the lowest indicator of price pressure since October 2024. Recall that the inflation rate fell to 2.2% in March. At the same time, the eurozone GDP in the first quarter may add 0.2% compared to the previous quarter. The rise in inflation is expected to increase traders' confidence that the ECB will cut interest rates again at its meeting in June. The probability of such a scenario is currently estimated at 80%.

📉 According to analysts, pressure on the euro may increase in the coming days.

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🇨🇳 Chinese online retailers Temu and Shein have raised prices by 300% for American consumers;

⚠️ According to the Wall Street Journal, US President Donald Trump plans to ease auto tariffs;

📰 As polls close in Canada, preliminary results show the ruling Liberal Party has won the federal election;

🇨🇦 Mark Carney will remain as Canada's prime minister;

🏛 Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau said the European Central Bank (ECB) has room to cut interest rates further.

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#usdcad

🇺🇸🇨🇦 The USD/CAD pair is trading at the level of 1.3850.

📰 Canadian media reports that the Liberal Party has won the election, so Mark Carney has been confirmed as Prime Minister. However, the results were much weaker than polls suggested. The Liberals currently control 167 seats in Parliament, which is less than the 172 needed for a majority. This means that they will have to form a coalition government, which could complicate the process of reforming the economy.

⚠️ In addition, Carney has promised to fight hard against US President Donald Trump's tariffs, while his closer ties with European countries could become an obstacle in trade negotiations with the US.

📈 Considering the above, the USD/CAD pair retains growth potential.

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