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Gold near $5,000 — this is where bull markets turn parabolic

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/N1H5Yu1p-Gold-near-5-000-this-is-where-bull-markets-turn-parabolic/

1.🟡 Gold just printed a new ATH: $4,887.82/oz (Jan 21, 2026) and is hovering around $4,885.
2.🧠 From the 2016 low (~$1,080) to today: ~+352% (≈ 4.5×).
3.🎯 $5,000 is the magnet level: Reuters notes traders are watching/holding for the $5,000 psychological threshold.
4.🏦 This cycle’s signature: central banks remain the anchor buyer — 1,045t added in 2024 (3rd straight 1,000t+ year).
5.💧 ETFs are back: physically backed gold ETFs saw record-setting demand bursts
6.🧨 The 2026 catalyst (right now): fresh safe-haven demand tied to elevated geopolitical/trade stress.
7.🧱 Structure matters: the multi-year base/breakout thesis (2024) has evolved into an “ATH staircase” into 2026.
8.🥈 Silver is also in a historic move: it hit an all-time high around $95.87
9.📊 Relative performance: S&P 500 finished 2025 up ~16.39%, while gold’s 2025 run was widely described as exceptional
10.🔥 Upside framing is now mainstream: some strategists explicitly model paths to $7,500/oz in 2026

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