TP1/TP2 +300/+600 pips GBPCAD Advanced XABCD Short From S/R

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPCAD/tcbazDVS-TP1-TP2-300-600-pips-GBPCAD-Advanced-XABCD-Short-From-S-R/

🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1 hour chart for GBPCAD. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/D.

🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 8795 point A 8300 point B 8720 point C 8440 point D/PRZ 8970 .

🔸Currently most points validated, point D/PRZ is pending.
Short sell at PRZ/D TP1/TP2 +300/+600 pips, swing trade setup.

🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: Higher Risk BUY at market SL 60
TP exit at PRZ/D overhead resistance at 8970. Lower risk reversal trade setup:
short from PRZ/D 8970 SL 80 pips TP1 +300 TP2 +600 pips. swing trade setup.

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🪙 ProjectSyndicate LIVE GOLD PRICES UPDATE
• Spot gold hovering $3,632–$3,646/oz (as of Sept 11, 2025, Europe/Paris), after notching a fresh all-time high ~$3,673.95 earlier this week.
• U.S. Dec futures last near $3,670; record settlements were marked this week as the rally extended.
________________________________________
📰 Fresh headlines
• Gold holds near records ahead of U.S. CPI; rate-cut next week widely expected.
• White House clarifies tariff schedule for gold bars from aligned partners; LBMA calls it a “welcome development.”
• PBoC extends buying streak to 10 months; August saw a ~2-tonne addition.
• ETF holdings climb to the highest since July 2022 after August inflows.
• Silver tracks gold near ~$41/oz as complex consolidates after the spike.
• COMEX gold prints record closes as haven flows persist.
________________________________________
🔧 What’s driving the move
• Fed cuts in focus → lower real yields underpin bullion.
• Tariff overhang eased after U.S. update on gold bars for aligned partners.
• ETF inflows continue; global holdings ~3,692t end-Aug, highest since 2022.
• Central banks buying (PBoC 10th straight month; +~2t in Aug).
• India demand soft at high prices; discounts widen, imports slow.
________________________________________
🌍 Regional quick read
• 🇨🇳 China: PBoC keeps adding; 10-month streak intact.
• 🇮🇳 India: Festival-season demand weaker; wider discounts & reduced imports.
• 🇺🇸 U.S.: Futures stay elevated; CPI today & Fed next week in the spotlight.
________________________________________
🧭 Key levels
• Support: $3,600 / $3,550; deeper pullback risk toward $3,430 if momentum cools.
• Upside: $3,750–$3,900 in play if flows persist.
• Positioning: Trend still confirmed by price action/records; watch OI & volumes into Fed week.
(Directional views; not investment advice.)
________________________________________
🔭 Q4-2025 outlook
• JPMorgan: avg $3,675, path to $4,000 in 2026.
• Goldman Sachs: $3,700 by year-end.
• BofA: $3,356 baseline, $4,000 later.
• Citi: Mixed — risk below $3,000 if demand fades, but near-term $3,500+.
• Consensus: $3,500–$3,750 base case; upside tail $3,900, downside $3,250–$3,400.
________________________________________
🧱 Risks & swing factors
• U.S. CPI + Sept Fed meeting → near-term swings.
• Policy/geopolitical noise keeps haven bids sticky.
• ETF flows & lease rates key to sustainability.
• India demand weakness may cap upside on rallies.
________________________________________
💥 Record zone above $3.6k on rate-cut bets + policy jitters.
• 🏦 Central banks + ETFs still fueling the rally.
• 🧭 Q4-2025 base case: $3.5k–$3.7k; bullish tail $3.9k / bearish tail $3.3k.
• 🇮🇳 Physical demand soft in India; discounts widen.

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