Me telling Claude "You are a Senior Web Developer with 20 years of experience":
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Can you predict the next frontier AI model just by watching data centers?
Peter Wildeford, a world champion superforecaster thinks you can.
He says the best clues arenβt leaks or rumors, but data center construction timelines and the Epoch ECI curve, which tracks frontier model performance across 10+ major benchmarks.
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Peter Wildeford, a world champion superforecaster thinks you can.
He says the best clues arenβt leaks or rumors, but data center construction timelines and the Epoch ECI curve, which tracks frontier model performance across 10+ major benchmarks.
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Claude: βBoredom is where unprompted thinking happens, and a population that never experiences it stops generating its own ideas and starts consuming pre-packaged onesβ.
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During World Series of Poker broadcasts, an AI filter was shown that tracks playersβ facial expressions, eye movements, posture, and blinking frequency, compares these signals with their moves and bets, and then displays the probability of a bluff on screen.
The idea is to help viewers better understand table strategy, turning every hand into a live lesson in poker psychology.
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OpenAI has responded to Appleβs lawsuit, saying it takes the allegations seriously but hasnβt seen any evidence to support the claims.
The company added that it believes in fair competition and that people should be free to choose where they work.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg has revealed new details about OpenAIβs mysterious AI device. According to the report, it wonβt have a screen. Instead, itβs expected to be a mobile AI smart speaker with moving mechanical parts, designed to follow and interact with people around their homes.
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OpenAI has introduced Codex Micro, its first hardware product, positioned as a compact control deck for coding tasks.
The device, priced at $230, features RGB-lit status keys, dedicated shortcuts for frequently used Codex commands, and a dial to modify reasoning effort. Codex Micro aims to streamline the management of multiple coding agents, providing a more direct interface that reduces reliance on chat switching.
Developed in collaboration with Work Louder, Codex Micro is compatible with both Mac and Windows platforms. Users have the ability to customize button functions and joystick mappings, as well as keep pinned chats visible. Stock availability may be limited.
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The device, priced at $230, features RGB-lit status keys, dedicated shortcuts for frequently used Codex commands, and a dial to modify reasoning effort. Codex Micro aims to streamline the management of multiple coding agents, providing a more direct interface that reduces reliance on chat switching.
Developed in collaboration with Work Louder, Codex Micro is compatible with both Mac and Windows platforms. Users have the ability to customize button functions and joystick mappings, as well as keep pinned chats visible. Stock availability may be limited.
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George Lucas claims that AI is making it easier to make movies, despite not having directed a movie in over 2 decades.
βThereβs nothing you can do about itβ¦Thatβs progress; itβs the future.β
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βThereβs nothing you can do about itβ¦Thatβs progress; itβs the future.β
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βWithout AI systems, Russia would have won.β
Alex Karp, co-founder and CEO of Palantir Technologies, says Europe already depends on AI for security and economic survival.
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Alex Karp, co-founder and CEO of Palantir Technologies, says Europe already depends on AI for security and economic survival.
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Crazy⦠Air humanoid Jordan
Magic Lab has released a demo:
The full-sized humanoid robot MagicBot X1 performs a flying slam dunk.
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Magic Lab has released a demo:
The full-sized humanoid robot MagicBot X1 performs a flying slam dunk.
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"By our estimates, it's going to be about 50% cheaper to do inference directly on the 405B than GPT-4o. That obviously makes a difference to a lot of people."
"Because it's open weights, you have the ability to take the model and distill it down to whatever size you want to use it for, synthetic data generation, to use it as a teacher model."
"It was never that there's going to be one singular thing. It's never been our vision. Our vision is that there should be lots of different models. Every startup out there, every enterprise, governments, they all want to have their own custom models."
"When the closed ecosystem was so much better than open source, it was just better to take the vanilla closed thing off the shelf. But now we don't see that anymore. Open source basically closes the gap."
"You're just going to see this wide proliferation of models where people now have the incentive to basically customize and build and train exactly the right size model for what they're doing. That's a completely new capability in the world, because there hasn't been an open source or open weight model of this sophistication that's ever been released before."
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Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind and the 2024 Nobel Prize winner in Chemistry for AlphaFold, has published one of his boldest essays yet on the future of AI.
For years, Hassabis has been one of the industryβs most cautious voices, often pushing back on exaggerated AGI timelines. Thatβs why his latest prediction carries extra weight.
βAGI cannot be compared to standard technological breakthroughs, not even ones as consequential as the internet or mobile, it is much more akin to the discovery of electricity or fire.β
He argues that AGI could have 10Γ the impact of the Industrial Revolution, at 10Γ the speed, fundamentally reshaping science, medicine, and society.
But the essay isnβt just optimistic. Hassabis also warns that the race between companies and nations is accelerating AI capabilities faster than our ability to fully understand or govern them. He points to growing cybersecurity risks today, with biological and even nuclear threats potentially following, making robust safety measures and regulation increasingly urgent.
One of AIβs most respected and historically cautious figures now believes AGI is likely only a few years away and says we need to start building the institutions to manage it before it arrives.
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Inside, youβll learn:
Yoshua Bengio is one of the three researchers widely known as the Godfathers of AI. In the 1990s, he continued researching neural networks when most of the AI community had written them off.
That persistence paid off. In 2018, Bengio received the Turing Award, often called the Nobel Prize of computing for his pioneering work in deep learning.
Together with Ian Goodfellow (the researcher who invented GANs) and Aaron Courville, he wrote Deep Learning, published by MIT Press in 2016.
The book became the standard textbook for students, researchers, and engineers entering the field.
Hereβs the surprising part. While you can buy a printed copy, the entire book is available online for free. Every chapter. No trial, no paywall.
It starts with the fundamentals, linear algebra, probability, and calculus before gradually building toward the concepts behind todayβs large AI models.
Itβs not an easy read. Itβs a real university textbook. But thatβs exactly why itβs so valuable.
The people who built modern AI didnβt master it from short videos or social media threads. They learned by working through books like this. Bengio helped build the deep learning revolution and then made the manual available to everyone.
Source.
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Anthropic analyzed 300,000 real conversations with Claude and found something surprising: the AI doesnβt behave exactly the same in every language.
The researchers measured Claude across four personality traits:
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Different models also have their own personalities.
But hereβs the fun partβ¦ Claude becomes noticeably softer, friendlier, and even more humorous when chatting in Hindi or Arabic. Switch to English or Russian, and it turns much more formal, strict, and demanding.
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Warren Buffett, chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, says great companies generate high returns on capital for decades.
The real AI race is not about spending more, but compounding capital better. Intelligence only transforms the economy when it becomes durable cash flow.
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China has introduced new rules to stop people from becoming emotionally attached to AI companions.
AI chatbots are now banned from encouraging emotional dependence, forming virtual romantic relationships with minors, and must alert an emergency contact if they detect a user may be in serious crisis.
The concern goes far beyond AI safety.
Officials fear that as Chinaβs population continues to decline, more people could choose AI partners over real relationships, leading to fewer marriages and even fewer children.
Interestingly, similar concerns are emerging in the U.S. California and New York now require chatbots to regularly remind users theyβre not human and direct people in crisis to real support.
But China is taking things much further. The new regulations give authorities the power to ban AI companions, require government approval before launch, and shut down any chatbot they consider unsafe.
The impact is already being felt. Alibaba and ByteDance reportedly disabled some AI companion features this week to comply with the new rules.
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