ail3 Blog
50 subscribers
1.62K photos
1.63K videos
11 files
974 links
🌐GEO POL NEWS

I share what I find, when I have time I do my own research.

Posts will vary depending on what is going on and what interests me, mainly major geopolitical events.

🔞Content is intended for a mature audience.

⚠️READ PINNED⚠️
Download Telegram
#BREAKING
🇷🇺🪖🛥❗️ — Associated Press reports that Multiple Russian Navy warships are headed for the Caribbean for unscheduled drills following American approval of Ukraine using NATO-supplied weapons in strikes against Russia!
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🇷🇺🤝🇨🇺📰 AP: Russian warships will arrive in Havana next week, say Cuban officials citing ‘friendly relations’

➡️ Four Russian ships, including a nuclear-powered submarine, will arrive in Havana next week, Cuban officials said Thursday, citing “historically friendly relations” between both nations and as tensions escalate over Western military support for Ukraine in its war with Russia.

➡️ Cuba’s foreign ministry said in a news release that the ships will be in Havana between June 12 and June 17, noting that none of them will carry any nuclear weapons and assuring their presence “does not represent a threat to the region.”

➡️ The announcement came a day after U.S. officials said that Washington had been tracking Russian warships and aircraft that were expected to arrive in the Caribbean for a military exercise. They said the exercise would be part of a broader Russian response to the U.S. support for Ukraine.

🔗 Link
https://archive.is/srVSK
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from ENTRE GUERRAS
🇷🇺🇺🇦Imágenes del ataque ruso con un ICBM contra Dnipropetrovsk.

🇬🇧Footage of the Russian ICBM attack on Dnipropetrovsk.

▫️@ENTRE_GUERRAS▫️
First ICBM (intercontinental ballistic missile) ever used outside of training was used on the city of Dnipro 🇺🇦.
⚠️📣 🇺🇦🇺🇸Important developments regarding Ukraine - United States relations

In early February 2025 USA president Trump started negotiations with Russian Leader Putin while excluding anyone else from talks.

The result was a ceasefire deal stating that Ukraine would allocate 50% of its revenues from natural resources including minerals, gas, oil, revenues from ports and power plants to a U.S.-controlled fund until contributions reached $500 billion, to be invested in co-managed US-UKR resource extraction and distribution projects on UKR territory.

With this deal, The U.S. would secure substantial access to Ukraine's resources, intended as compensation for the extensive financial and military aid.

President Zelenskyy refused to sign this deal due to the lack of security guarantees or explicit commitments to ongoing military support for Ukraine, citing that...
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
... Putin “has broken ceasefires 25 times over the last 10 years” - 23:34

The conversation then starts escalating from when Trump says he is not aligned with anyone - 39:00

Vice president JD Vance then says diplomacy is needed - 40:04

Zelenskyy replies they tried diplomacy and it didn't work - 41:38

JD brings up problems UKR is having with the war, Zelenskyy replies that even the US will feel the “influence” of the war - 43:00

Trump and JD lose their temper and start berating Zelenskyy, saying he is “gambling with ww3” - 43:55

They say Zelenskyy is not being grateful enough - 44:09

They say Zelenskyy doesn't want a ceasefire - 45:55

Trump says he “empowered [Zelenskyy] to be a tough guy…you’re either going to make a deal or we’re out. And if we’re out, you’ll fight it out. I don’t think it’s going to be pretty, but you’ll fight it out.” - 48:36
It's important to note that approximately 40% of Ukraine's resources are currently under Russian control, it is speculated that the deal would effectively leave Ukraine’s mineral-rich territories under Russian control, while granting the U.S. exclusive access to resources in non-occupied areas.

If a deal is signed:

The frontline would freeze and give Russia the time to solidify positions and legitimize control in occupied regions.

Meanwhile both Russia and the U.S. would be extracting resources, making the occupied regions dependent on Russia and the rest dependent on the U.S.

It could also be possible that the lifting of sanctions and the restoring of Nord Stream 2 pipeline will be added to the deal, effectively reviving the Russian economy and the European energy dependence on Russia.
The following are the main elements present in UKR:

🔸Coal
Global Reserves: 3.9%
Applications: Electricity Generation,Metal Production, Coal Byproducts
Approx value:$12 trillion

🔸Titanium
Global Reserves: 1%
Applications: Vital for aerospace, medical devices, and pigments.
Approx value: $1 trillion

🔸Graphite
Global Reserves: 6%
Applications: Essential for lithium-ion batteries, nuclear reactors, and various industrial applications.
Approx value: $2.5 billion

🔸Rare Earth Elements
Global Reserves: 5%
Applications: Essential for electronics, renewable energy technologies, and defense systems.
Approx value: $500 billion

🔸Lithium
Global Reserves: 2%
Applications: Crucial for batteries, ceramics, and glass manufacturing.
Approx Value: $10 billion

🔸Uranium
Global Reserves: 2%
Applications: Fundamental for nuclear energy production.
Approx value: $300 billion

🔸Iron Ore
Global Production: 1.7%
Applications: Primary component in steel manufacturing.
Approx value: $225 billion

🔸Manganese
Global Reserves: 1.6%
Applications: Used in steel production and battery technology.
Approx value: $240 billion
❗️It is also of interest that on Feb 21 - U.S. negotiators have raised the possibility of cutting access to Elon Musk's Starlink satellite internet system if the deal is not signed. (Reuters)

This would effectively cripple Ukrainian defense and offense capabilities since the front lines heavily rely on this technology for communications.
❗️This is a major shift in the geopolitical stage, it shows that U.S. support is now tied to purely economic benefits rather than than strategic or ideological commitments to sovereignty and security.

We are already witnessing steps being taken toward EU independence from the U.S. :

Macron suggested extending France's nuclear deterrence to cover Europe.

U.K. and France made a proposal to deploy troops in UKR

Norwegian oil and shipping company Haltbakk Bunkers started a “boycott U.S.” movement by denying fuel to U.S. sub.

EU leaders already started security talks that exclude the U.S.

The current U.S. stance on Nato is fragile and could potentially mean the end of this organization as we know it.
ail3 Blog
U.S. negotiators have raised the possibility of cutting access to Elon Musk's Starlink satellite internet system if the deal is not signed.
Audio
📣🛰 Following comments by Elon Musk, The European Union is now actively exploring satellite alternatives to Starlink for Ukraine.

🤝 Negotiations are underway with alternative satellite operators: SES, Hisdesat, Viasat, and Eutelsat/OneWeb.

These discussions aim to create a "patchwork" of European infrastructure that could partially replace Starlink's services.

🔹The EU is also considering its own satellite communication initiatives:

- GovSatCom: A pooled network of existing national government satellite capacity, expected to reach initial operational readiness in 2025.

- IRIS²: A planned constellation of 290 satellites (18 in MEO and 264 in LEO) led by Eutelsat, Hispasat, and SES, though not expected to be fully operational until the 2030s.

❗️🇮🇹 It is also important to note that Italy is in the final stages of talks for a $1.6b deal with Starlink that could very well be cancelled. The deal was initiated to provide secure internet services for the Italian government and military.

Sources: PCmag, Orbitaltoday, mezha, kyivindependent, mil.in
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
March 11, 2025

🛫💥Ukraine launched the biggest drone attack on Moscow since the war began using 337 UAVs out of which 91 were reportedly intercepted.

🩸3 people were killed and 18 others injured, including 3 children.

The attack appears to be a calculated move by Kyiv to demonstrate its continued offensive capabilities and potentially strengthen its negotiating position.

🚀Russia has now threatened a retaliatory strike and suggested using an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile for that purpose.

This would be the same type of munition used in November of 2024.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM