Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
NEW YORK
Biden – 5,244,886 (60.9%)
Trump – 3,251,997 (37.7%)
NY drifted 1.5% left in reg. and another 0.7% left in vote, but it appears Biden is 292k votes heavy just based on trends. It is clear DJT did well with registered Ds in NY with 432k vote gain. Clinton improved just 70k over Obama; Biden is strangely 689k over Clinton and 440k over Obama 08.
Trump’s biggest improvements were in NYC, with 4 of 5 trending Republican (Richmond would have if clean). Trump won NEW TWO PARTY votes in NYC 180k to 146k. It appears NY did not account for Trump gains in NYC so Bronx at 0.1% and Manhattan at 4% Dem increase paints picture of true city enthusiasm for Biden throughout the US.
Manhattan, Bronx, Queens are in green DUE TO TREND. My analysis doesn’t detect what is baked in for decades.
High – High/Rampant Fraud
Yellow – Likely Fraud
Green – Low/No Fraud
If Biden is 292k heavy, an accurate margin for him would be 59.5% to 39.0%.
Best audit targets – Richmond, Suffolk, Nassau, Saratoga, Oneida, Onondaga
Biden – 5,244,886 (60.9%)
Trump – 3,251,997 (37.7%)
NY drifted 1.5% left in reg. and another 0.7% left in vote, but it appears Biden is 292k votes heavy just based on trends. It is clear DJT did well with registered Ds in NY with 432k vote gain. Clinton improved just 70k over Obama; Biden is strangely 689k over Clinton and 440k over Obama 08.
Trump’s biggest improvements were in NYC, with 4 of 5 trending Republican (Richmond would have if clean). Trump won NEW TWO PARTY votes in NYC 180k to 146k. It appears NY did not account for Trump gains in NYC so Bronx at 0.1% and Manhattan at 4% Dem increase paints picture of true city enthusiasm for Biden throughout the US.
Manhattan, Bronx, Queens are in green DUE TO TREND. My analysis doesn’t detect what is baked in for decades.
High – High/Rampant Fraud
Yellow – Likely Fraud
Green – Low/No Fraud
If Biden is 292k heavy, an accurate margin for him would be 59.5% to 39.0%.
Best audit targets – Richmond, Suffolk, Nassau, Saratoga, Oneida, Onondaga
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Sydney protest in Victoria park hasn’t even started yet and the police are already throwing people on the ground. I believe there’s another in Hyde park. Wait until more protesters show up.. big numbers is what they need!
Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
MISSOURI
Trump – 1,718,736 (56.8%)
Biden – 1,253,014 (41.4%)
Red – High/Rampant Fraud
Yellow – Likely Fraud
Green – Low/No Fraud
Missouri showed me a few surprises, namely that St. Louis City and Jackson County trended clean. This does not mean no fraud, but rather the trends/registration/population project accurate trend/vote alignment. The same cannot be said for the suburban counties (St. Charles, 10k heavy), and Clay (8k), both with substantial Trump gains and competing Biden record gains to cut margins. I assess 49k excess Biden votes statewide.
Refer to the spreadsheet chart for the yellow counties and remaining counties over 40,000 population. Many of the middle-tier counties are coming in slightly heavy, but not overwhelmingly so.
If Biden is 49k heavy, an accurate margin is 17.3%, or 57.7% to 40.4% - 515k votes.
Best GOP county audit targets – Clay, St. Charles, Jefferson, Greene
Trump – 1,718,736 (56.8%)
Biden – 1,253,014 (41.4%)
Red – High/Rampant Fraud
Yellow – Likely Fraud
Green – Low/No Fraud
Missouri showed me a few surprises, namely that St. Louis City and Jackson County trended clean. This does not mean no fraud, but rather the trends/registration/population project accurate trend/vote alignment. The same cannot be said for the suburban counties (St. Charles, 10k heavy), and Clay (8k), both with substantial Trump gains and competing Biden record gains to cut margins. I assess 49k excess Biden votes statewide.
Refer to the spreadsheet chart for the yellow counties and remaining counties over 40,000 population. Many of the middle-tier counties are coming in slightly heavy, but not overwhelmingly so.
If Biden is 49k heavy, an accurate margin is 17.3%, or 57.7% to 40.4% - 515k votes.
Best GOP county audit targets – Clay, St. Charles, Jefferson, Greene