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Forwarded from Megatron
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The head of the CIA, John Ratcliffe, made a surprise visit to Moscow to convince President Putin not to declare mobilization against Ukraine, per WSJ

NATO intelligence had also picked up signals that pointed towards a Russian plan to โ€˜test NATOโ€™s resolveโ€™ by carrying out limited incursions into Europe.

@Megatron_ron
๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1
Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (Andronikos Polychronidis)
๐ŸŒโŒ๐Ÿฃ Global fertility rates fall below the replacement rate for the first time

A new paper called "Terra Incognita: The Economics of a Shrinking World" by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde of the University of Pennsylvania and Patrick Norrick of Northwestern University, prepared for the Annual Review of Economics and circulated this month, concluded: "As of 2026, humanity is likely below replacement fertility. That has never happened before, not in wars or pandemics."

The replacement rate is usually quoted as 2.1 births per woman, which is the figure for a rich country with low child mortality; globally, the authors put it nearer 2.20 to take into account the higher mortality rates in poor countries - and the world's own fertility rate is now at roughly that level. The UN's central projection still has the crossing two decades away.

If Fernandez-Villaverde and Norrick are right, world population peaks at about 9bn around 2056 and then falls, "first slowly, then fast". The UN's medium variant has it rising to about 10.3bn into the mid-2080s. That is not a rounding difference; it is thirty years and 1.3bn people, and it is the difference between a problem for someone else's career and a problem for this one.

Their evidence is that the decline has stopped being a rich-world story. Fitting a single-factor model to 236 countries since 1950, the authors find the common component peaked in 1978; what is driving fertility down now is country-specific, and of those country trends 219 are negative and not one has levelled off. The steepest falls are in low- and middle-income countries and among poorer, less-educated women - the groups every projection assumed would keep the average up. In recent data, 37 countries recorded about 1.65mn fewer births than the UN had projected, a shortfall of 9.3%.

No standard explanation fits. The authors run through several candidates - income, housing costs, childcare, women's education, urbanisation - and conclude none accounts for the pattern, offering instead a conjecture: modernity itself, which makes a third child expensive and childlessness cheap. IntelliNews has tracked the same phenomenon through the baby bust that crept up on everyone and the demographic point of no return as the number of women of child-bearing age is now in decline.

๐Ÿ”— https://www.intellinews.com/global-fertility-rates-fall-below-the-replacement-rate-for-the-first-time-463085/
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It reads as follows:

โ€œIf you use any of this information Iโ€™d like to remain anonymous. I just really feel like the whole truth should be heard.

I wasnโ€™t there at the pub where this all started but I know people who were and was told by eye witnesses about what happened.

Henry and the football society were out at a local pub having some drinks. While in the pub the attacker barged into Henry while walking past. Henry said something to him (paraphrasing here but it was something along the lines of โ€œexcuse youโ€) the attacker turned around a confrontation started, the details of this vary but it got quite heated with the attacker mostly escalating the situation. Some of the football society were able to intervene and defuse the situation, but it was heated enough that police were called (I think due to possible threats made by the attacker). The attacker went away and Henry went back to talking with the lads. He was still quite agitated by what had just happened and after a while his friends convinced him to call it a night.

Henry left the pub and started to walk back to his accommodation and went down Saint Dennyโ€™s Road, while sending snapchats to his friends. On his way he saw the attacker again (at the intersection between Saint Dennyโ€™s and Belmont Road), this time carrying a knife. The rest is the same as what is covered by the news outlets.

The police were already on their way when the attack happened (I think because they were following up from what happened at the pub and they were trying to find him to find out what had happened and see if he was ok). The police got there and the attacker claimed he had been racially abused etc etc.

The attacker and his mother both lived further along Saint Dennyโ€™s Road (past Belmont but before Thomas Lewis way). There is a video (which most of us have seen at this point) of the mother walking back to their house carrying the knife.

The above is all true, I have neglected the parts that have been covered by the BBC etc as it is the same.

The following is our theory of what happened:
The attacker went away after the initial alteration at the pub, weโ€™re unsure whether he stayed and then followed Henry home (implying that he already had the knife on him) or went back to his house to get the knife and just happened to bump into Henry while walking back to the pub. Either way the attackers mother arrived to the crime scene suspiciously quickly to be able to get the knife before the police arrived. Hence we believe the latter option to be most likely.

My housemate walked past about 15min after this all took place and called me outside, by this point half of the police force had swarmed the area and we werenโ€™t able to make out much. We obviously later found out about what had happened which shocked all of us. By the morning the entire road had been taped off and several police officers stood at the entrance to the road guarding it for just over a day.

The point I wanted to make here is that this wasnโ€™t some freak attack. Henry didnโ€™t just get unlucky and stumble across a random murderer when walking home. There was clear intent from the attacker. What happened was tragic and shouldnโ€™t be forgotten with the passing news cycle, the attacker was an evil human with a lack of morals and should under no circumstances be let off with anything other than the maximum in this trial.

I hope this information can provide useful and I hope more people learn about this, as this shouldnโ€™t be a thing that happens in our country. There should be uproar and there need to be real consequences.โ€
๐Ÿ”ฅ5
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Why yes, there are longitudinal electromagnetic waves; they're just not as exciting as some would have you believe. More in my video: "Did Heaviside Delete Maxwell? Scalar Waves and Longitudinal Fields in Radio Science" posting tomorrow.
"WSJ theorizes that the visit may have something to do with the USโ€™s intelligence that Russia is preparing for some large-scale new campaign:
The U.S. has collected intelligence showing Russiaโ€™s early preparations for a possible military mobilization in Ukraine and plans for testing the North Atlantic Treaty Organizationโ€™s resolve, The Wall Street Journal has reported.

Analysts said Ratcliffe could meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin to deliver a warning. โ€œIt could be to say, โ€˜We know what you are thinking about doing, and you better not,โ€™โ€ said Beth Sanner, a former U.S. deputy director of national intelligence for mission integration. โ€œIt could also be about the Iran ceasefire and putting someone else in the discussion,โ€ she said, adding Ratcliffe might also touch upon the Kremlinโ€™s support for Iran following a new U.S. sanctions campaign against the regime.

"Other online aggregators have reported it could have something to do with Russiaโ€™s alleged โ€œdrone incursionsโ€ into NATO territory, though the CIA directorโ€™s personal visit related to this seems a tad far-fetched:
CIA Director Ratcliffeโ€™s visit to the Kremlin was an ultimatum addressing recent drone incursions into NATO territory, aimed at deterring Russia from escalating attacks on Kyiv following Ukrainian strikes on commercial supply chain warehouses, a senior US official has told Faytuks Network.

"Russian RVoenkor channel reports that Ukrainian sources believe the meeting is in response to some โ€œsignificant secret operationโ€ that Russia is preparing:
In Moscow, discussions took place with the Director of the CIA regarding a significant secret operation.

โ–ช๏ธAccording to Kyiv media, the Ukrainian side is aware of certain aspects and issues that were discussed today in Moscow.
โ–ช๏ธThis concerns a significant operation, the preparation of which has been underway in secrecy for a certain period. Its results could have a significant impact on future developments.

"What could such an operation be?
Well, for one there continue to be strong rumors of a major Russian operation to be potentially launched into the Chernigov region of northern Ukraine, bordering Kiev:"

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/cia-directors-mystery-moscow-trip?r=lp6h7
๐Ÿค”2โค1
"Things are afoot, as evidenced by CIA Director John Ratcliffeโ€™s sudden surprise visit to Moscow via C-17 military cargo plane.

"The commentariat is aswirl with rumor as to what his trip could signify. But let us first contextualize with a reminder that this is the first visit to Russia by a CIA director since the fateful November 2021 arrival of CIA Director William Burns, which was marked by the USโ€™s last attempt to thwart Russia from launching its invasion just over two months later."

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/cia-directors-mystery-moscow-trip?r=lp6h7
Forwarded from Science in telegram
๐Ÿ What If Queen Bees Arenโ€™t Made by Royal Jelly Alone?

For decades, the textbook story sounded simple: feed an ordinary honeybee larva royal jelly, and it becomes a queen.

A new study in Nature suggests the real story is far more sophisticated.

Researchers found that future queens are not just fed differently โ€” they are raised inside specially engineered โ€œroyal cribsโ€: peanut-shaped queen cells built from unusual wax, kept warmer and more humid, and maintained by dedicated young worker bees.

These queen cells are not passive containers. Their wax is physically and chemically distinct from ordinary worker-cell wax: softer, less dense, more flexible, and better at holding heat and moisture. In other words, the nursery itself helps shape development.

The key experiment was simple but powerful. Scientists raised queen-destined larvae with the same royal jelly, but changed the wax environment. Larvae exposed to ordinary worker-cell wax were more likely to die and developed into smaller, weaker queens.

So royal jelly matters โ€” but it is not the whole mechanism.

๐Ÿ”น Queen development depends on diet + architecture + microclimate
๐Ÿ”น Queen-cell wax is chemically and physically different from ordinary comb wax
๐Ÿ”น Young โ€œqueen cell buildersโ€ appear specially adapted to construct and maintain these royal nurseries
๐Ÿ”น Extra warmth may help queens mature faster: about 16 days vs about 21 days for workers
๐Ÿ”น Similar patterns were found in western and eastern honeybees, suggesting deep evolutionary roots

Important caveat: this study focused on honeybees, not all social insects. And scientists still need to identify exactly which physical or chemical features of the wax are doing the biological work.

Still, the implication is fascinating: development is not shaped by genes and nutrition alone. Built environments โ€” even tiny wax chambers โ€” can influence what an organism becomes.

If a wax cradle can help decide the fate of a future queen, what other biological outcomes are being shaped by structures we barely notice?

๐Ÿ“„ Source: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10534-3

#Science #Biology #Bees #Nature #Entomology
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” US VP JD Vance in Maine:

"Unfortunately for the Canadians, they rely on our economy โ€” they rely on Maine โ€” a lot more than Maine relies on them... All we're asking for is basic fairness."

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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (FRANCISCVS)
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Vance: We know that Canada allows itself to be used as a backdoor for Chinese goods . They treat Chinese goods. What we've said to Canada is stop it. At the very end, they came in with a bunch of unreasonable last-minute demands.

๐Ÿ“Ž Acyn
Forwarded from Vox Day
The War on US Farmers

The utter idiocy of participating in Israelโ€™s war on Iran is being driven home hard in the negative effects on Americaโ€™s ability to feed itself: US grain farmers have been plunged into their worst financial crisis in four decades as the war with Iran drives up diesel and fertilizer costs, the Financial Times reported on [โ€ฆ]

https://voxday.net/2026/08/26/the-war-on-us-farmers/
Forwarded from Science in telegram
๐Ÿช A Wobbling โ€œPeanutโ€ Asteroid May Still Carry Traces of Ancient Water

NASAโ€™s Lucy mission has revealed one of the strangest small worlds ever seen up close: asteroid Donaldjohanson โ€” a young, peanut-shaped rock in the main asteroid belt that tumbles through space and still preserves chemical hints of liquid water from its distant past.

Lucy flew past Donaldjohanson on April 20, 2025, at about 30,000 mph, coming within just 650 miles of the asteroid. The encounter was meant partly as a rehearsal before Lucy reaches Jupiterโ€™s Trojan asteroids in 2027. Instead, it became a science story of its own.

Donaldjohanson does not rotate like a simple spinning rock. Data from Lucy show that it tumbles end-over-end once every 10.5 Earth days, while also wobbling around its long axis every 26.5 days โ€” more like an unstable top than a normal asteroid.

Its shape is just as unusual. Donaldjohanson is a contact binary: two lobes joined by a narrow neck, giving it a cosmic peanut-like form. Scientists think it formed about 155 million years ago, when fragments from a violent collision gently came back together under their own gravity.

Since then, sunlight has been slowly reshaping it. Through the YORP effect โ€” a tiny torque caused when sun-warmed surfaces radiate heat back into space โ€” Donaldjohansonโ€™s spin appears to have slowed by at least a factor of 10 over the last 20โ€“60 million years. As the rotation changed, loose material likely slid down its slopes, softening craters and reshaping the surface.

But the most intriguing clue came from Lucyโ€™s infrared data: iron-rich clay minerals on the surface. These minerals form in the presence of liquid water, meaning Donaldjohansonโ€™s parent body once experienced aqueous alteration. But unlike Bennu and Ryugu, which contain magnesium-rich clays suggesting longer exposure to water, Donaldjohansonโ€™s chemistry points to a much shorter episode.

๐Ÿ”น Donaldjohanson is a bilobed โ€œcontact binaryโ€ asteroid
๐Ÿ”น It tumbles on two axes, with rotation periods of 10.5 and 26.5 days
๐Ÿ”น Its current body likely formed around 155 million years ago
๐Ÿ”น Sunlight gradually slowed its spin through the YORP effect
๐Ÿ”น Iron-rich clays suggest liquid water was present โ€” but only briefly
๐Ÿ”น The flyby was also a successful rehearsal for Lucyโ€™s Trojan asteroid encounters, beginning with Eurybates in August 2027

Important caveat: this was a fast flyby, not an orbital mission or a sample return. Lucy measured the surface remotely; the asteroidโ€™s interior remains unknown.

Still, Donaldjohanson matters because it gives scientists a rare comparison point. Bennu and Ryugu are near-Earth asteroids with long migration histories. Donaldjohanson is a much younger main-belt object that stayed closer to its birthplace. Its strange shape, unstable spin, and brief water history offer a fresh clue to how small bodies evolved โ€” and how water-rich material may have moved through the early Solar System.

๐Ÿ“„ Sources: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aec0503

#NASA #LucyMission #Asteroid #PlanetaryScience #SolarSystem
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Forwarded from Megatron
NEW: ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran plans to reverse-engineer US stealth JASSM Cruise Missile - Tabnak reports

A largely Intact JASSM Cruise Missile that failed to explode was discovered and seized by the Iranian army during the war

@Megatron_ron
Forwarded from Today I Learned
TIL that after the RMS Lusitania sank, the enquiry recorded that the ship had been struck by two torpedoes, as survivors reported two explosions as it was going down. However, the log of the U-Boat which attacked her was adamant that only one was fired. The source of the second explosion is unknown.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Putin is about to escalate

Russia continues a major military buildup in the Bryansk region of western Russia, fueling speculations that the Russian Armed Forces could potentially reopen the Chernigov front in northern Ukraine.

Belarus has ordered an unplanned nationwide military readiness check.

The public should not assume that something extraordinary is about to happen- Alexander Volfovich, Secretary of Belarusโ€™ Security Council.

@Megatron_ron