🇺🇸🇮🇱⚔️🇮🇷 US-Israel Coalition Strikes on Iran Drop Sharply: Combined Daily Volume Down 55-65%

Official data indicate a significant reduction in the daily volume of American and Israeli airstrikes against Iran following the initial days of the operation launched on February 28, 2026.

According to the (ISW) report of March 5, 2026, the campaign entered a second phase following the initial suppression of Iranian air defenses and command. This suppression did not occur fully as planned, as Iran continues to operate air defenses in certain areas and the command structure has been decentralized.

The US was unable to maintain the initial pace. American forces alone recorded 1,250 targets hit in the first 48 hours and 1,700 in the first 72 hours, according to the CENTCOM Fact Sheet.

The CSIS, in an analysis published the same day, estimates that the peak occurred within the first 100 hours, with 2,000 targets struck by American munitions. From March 4 onward, the report already points to a sharp decline in attacks.

Airwars, in its March 6 report, confirms an initial “record pace” of combined US and Israeli strikes exceeding 1,000 targets per day during the first four days, but also observes that this volume was not sustained as the operation progressed.

All these think tanks claim it is natural for the first phase to be more intense. However, I state that if Iran continues launching missiles and drones, and operating air defenses to the point of shooting down two high-value drones just yesterday, this reduction was not due to objectives achieved, but due to planning problems.
It is also possible that it involves aircraft maintenance and low stocks of certain munitions.

On the first day, Israel carried out the largest aerial operation in its history, hitting 500 targets in 24 hours.

By March 5 (day 6 of the operation), it reported 2,500 strikes, showing a drop to 300 attacks per day.

By March 7 (day 8 of the war), Israel’s accumulated total is 3,400 strikes, a daily average of 425, or 15% reduction compared to the start of the operation.

In the case of the US, the estimated percentage reduction, based on official cumulative numbers, is as follows:

Total targets hit by the US until day 8 (March 7): 3,000.

Initial average daily pace (days 1–2): 1,250 strikes.

Average pace from day 3 onward: 300–400 strikes per day.

This represents an estimated 76% drop in the daily volume of U.S. attacks following the initial peak which, when combined with Israel’s data, reflects an overall coalition reduction of 55-65%.

🔗 Patricia Marins