โก๏ธ JUST IN: The US Treasury is set to repurchase up to $6 billion in longer-dated debt this Thursdayโsurpassing its stated minimum of $4 billion per operation.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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Chinaโs holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds have dropped to levels not seen since 2001.
Meanwhile, the Peopleโs Bank of China continued to boost its gold reserves in August, buying heavily despite elevated prices. Reserves grew by 650,000 ounces last monthโthe largest single-month increase since 2023. This marks the 22nd consecutive month of net purchases.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
Meanwhile, the Peopleโs Bank of China continued to boost its gold reserves in August, buying heavily despite elevated prices. Reserves grew by 650,000 ounces last monthโthe largest single-month increase since 2023. This marks the 22nd consecutive month of net purchases.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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LAPTOP, a meme coin linked to Bidenโs son, crashed 95% within 30 minutes of launch.
It briefly hit a $100B valuationโpeople actually bought in at that level.
After TRUMP, meme coins launched by celebrities are basically an IQ test.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
It briefly hit a $100B valuationโpeople actually bought in at that level.
After TRUMP, meme coins launched by celebrities are basically an IQ test.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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He turned $200K into $2K betting on the LAPTOP meme.
Pulled $200K from Binance to jump into the BASE launch within seconds of it going live. Fifteen minutes later, his LAPTOP tokens were down to $2K.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
Pulled $200K from Binance to jump into the BASE launch within seconds of it going live. Fifteen minutes later, his LAPTOP tokens were down to $2K.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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โก๏ธ BREAKING: Trump claims every adult U.S. citizen would receive a $5,000 dividend if Republicans win the midterms โ a move projected to cost about $1.2 trillion.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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โก๏ธ BREAKING: U.S. core producer prices increased by 0.2% in August โ below the expected 0.3% rise.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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Jacob Coxon, a former researcher at OpenAI and Anthropic, is stepping away from the AI industryโdriven by growing fears that the rush to build advanced AI could lead to humanityโs downfall.
โPeople building AI genuinely believe it could destroy us all by the end of the decade,โ Coxon said.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
โPeople building AI genuinely believe it could destroy us all by the end of the decade,โ Coxon said.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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๐บ๐ธ US Bonds Lose Their Safe-Haven Status
The long-standing assumption that US Treasuries are a go-to shelter during global turmoil is unraveling. Despite escalating tensions, the usual rush to safety isnโt materializing.
Just hours after the US Treasury revealed plans to triple long-term bond buybacks to $6 billion, yields climbed. The 10-year Treasury rate surged past 4.85% โ its highest since November 2023 โ marking a 15 basis point jump from pre-announcement levels.
Since the onset of the current conflict with Iran, yields have climbed a full 100 basis points. At this pace, the 10-year yield could breach 5% as early as next week โ a troubling signal for American consumers, homebuyers, and anyone relying on borrowed money.
A shift is underway. The marketโs trust in US debt as a stable refuge is being tested like never before.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
The long-standing assumption that US Treasuries are a go-to shelter during global turmoil is unraveling. Despite escalating tensions, the usual rush to safety isnโt materializing.
Just hours after the US Treasury revealed plans to triple long-term bond buybacks to $6 billion, yields climbed. The 10-year Treasury rate surged past 4.85% โ its highest since November 2023 โ marking a 15 basis point jump from pre-announcement levels.
Since the onset of the current conflict with Iran, yields have climbed a full 100 basis points. At this pace, the 10-year yield could breach 5% as early as next week โ a troubling signal for American consumers, homebuyers, and anyone relying on borrowed money.
A shift is underway. The marketโs trust in US debt as a stable refuge is being tested like never before.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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โก๏ธ BREAKING: U.S. core consumer prices climbed 0.3% in August โ edging past the expected 0.2%.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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๐ณ๐ฌ Medicaid Fraud Funds Nigerian Palace
Nigerian chief Nathan Ogobatue allegedly funneled over $36 million from U.S. Medicaid into luxury real estate and a lavish palace in Abatete, Nigeriaโcomplete with gold statues of himself and his wife.
His firm, California Home Health Agency, received $4 million in 2022, $17 million in 2023, and $13 million in 2024. In March, Dr. Mehmet Oz highlighted that one in three U.S. hospice providers is based in Los Angelesโwith many suspected to be shell operations.
Investigative journalist Christopher Rufo flagged red flags in billing patterns and payment irregularities. Ogobatue has declined to respond, labeling Rufo a โracist.โ
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
Nigerian chief Nathan Ogobatue allegedly funneled over $36 million from U.S. Medicaid into luxury real estate and a lavish palace in Abatete, Nigeriaโcomplete with gold statues of himself and his wife.
His firm, California Home Health Agency, received $4 million in 2022, $17 million in 2023, and $13 million in 2024. In March, Dr. Mehmet Oz highlighted that one in three U.S. hospice providers is based in Los Angelesโwith many suspected to be shell operations.
Investigative journalist Christopher Rufo flagged red flags in billing patterns and payment irregularities. Ogobatue has declined to respond, labeling Rufo a โracist.โ
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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Another Anthropic insider has raised alarm: AI could pose a serious threat to humanity. Evan Hubinger estimates the odds of human extinction exceeding 10% within the next decade.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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You can replicate someoneโs trades.
But you canโt replicate their ability to endure the drawdowns that come with them.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
But you canโt replicate their ability to endure the drawdowns that come with them.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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Oil down 3% has entered the historic intervention zone, where both Trump and the IEA have previously stepped in.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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10-year U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the psychologically significant 5% level.
Societe Generale warns that once yields hit 5.5%, equities may start to come under pressure.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
Societe Generale warns that once yields hit 5.5%, equities may start to come under pressure.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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๐บ๐ธ Fed Decision Approaching
Next weekโs rate decision could shape the trajectory of markets leading into the midterms. Right now, everythingโs on pause, watching Wednesday for direction.
Polymarket assigns an 80% probability to a rate hike, and Goldman Sachs has updated its stanceโnow expecting a hike instead of a hold. The move is already nearly fully priced in by the market.
But hereโs the twist: what if Warsh, Trumpโs appointee on the Fed, pushes back against a hike just 1.5 months before the midterms? That could shift the narrative on risk assets fast.
Next week promises to be pivotal.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
Next weekโs rate decision could shape the trajectory of markets leading into the midterms. Right now, everythingโs on pause, watching Wednesday for direction.
Polymarket assigns an 80% probability to a rate hike, and Goldman Sachs has updated its stanceโnow expecting a hike instead of a hold. The move is already nearly fully priced in by the market.
But hereโs the twist: what if Warsh, Trumpโs appointee on the Fed, pushes back against a hike just 1.5 months before the midterms? That could shift the narrative on risk assets fast.
Next week promises to be pivotal.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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โCIA Warnings Before 9/11
Declassified CIA documents reveal repeated alerts to both Clinton and Bush administrations about Al-Qaedaโs plans to strike the U.S. prior to 9/11.
Among the files: a 1998 briefing warning that Al-Qaeda might crash a bomb-filled aircraft into an American city.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
Declassified CIA documents reveal repeated alerts to both Clinton and Bush administrations about Al-Qaedaโs plans to strike the U.S. prior to 9/11.
Among the files: a 1998 briefing warning that Al-Qaeda might crash a bomb-filled aircraft into an American city.
โ @futures
Ebisa Tech
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