์ธ๊ฐ์ด ์ง๊ธ๊น์ง ์ง๊ตฌ๋ฅผ ์ง๋ฐฐํ ์ ์์๋ ์ด์ ๋ ๋ฌธ์๋ฅผ ํตํ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ ๋จ๊น์ผ๋ก์จ ๋ฌธ๋ช
์ ๋ง๋ค์๊ธฐ ๋๋ฌธ์ด๊ณ , ์ด๋ฅผ ํ์ธ๊ฐ ์ฐธ๊ณ ํด์ Shortcut์ ํตํด ํจ์จ์ฑ์ ๊ทน๋ํํ๊ธฐ ๋๋ฌธ์ด๋ค. ์ค์ค๋ก์ ์ถ์ ์์ด์๋, Shortcut์ ์ํ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ ๊ผญ ํ์ํ๋ค. ๊ทธ๊ฒ ํธ์ํฐ๊ฐ ์๋์ง๋ผ๋. ๋ณด๊ด๊ณผ ์ ๊ทผ์ด ์ฉ์ดํ๋ค๋ฉด
July 03, 2022 at 04:13PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543493089309839362
July 03, 2022 at 04:13PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543493089309839362
Twitter
์ธ๊ฐ์ด ์ง๊ธ๊น์ง ์ง๊ตฌ๋ฅผ ์ง๋ฐฐํ ์ ์์๋ ์ด์ ๋ ๋ฌธ์๋ฅผ ํตํ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ ๋จ๊น์ผ๋ก์จ ๋ฌธ๋ช
์ ๋ง๋ค์๊ธฐ ๋๋ฌธ์ด๊ณ , ์ด๋ฅผ ํ์ธ๊ฐ ์ฐธ๊ณ ํด์ Shortcut์ ํตํด ํจ์จ์ฑ์ ๊ทน๋ํํ๊ธฐ ๋๋ฌธ์ด๋ค. ์ค์ค๋ก์ ์ถ์ ์์ด์๋, Shortcut์ ์ํ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ ๊ผญ ํ์ํ๋ค. ๊ทธ๊ฒ ํธ์ํฐ๊ฐ ์๋์ง๋ผ๋. ๋ณด๊ด๊ณผ ์ ๊ทผ์ด ์ฉ์ดํ๋ค๋ฉด
๋ฏธ ์ธ๋ํํ์์ฌ๋ น๋ถ๋ ์ง๋๋ฌ 29์ผ ํํํ์ํ๋ จ์ ์ฐธ๊ฐํ๊ธฐ ์ํด ํ์์ด์ ๋์ฐฉํ ํ๋ฃจ ํด๊ตฐ ์ด๊ณํจ ๊ธฐ์ธ(BAP Guise, CC-28)ํจ์ ๋ชจ์ต์ ์จ๋ผ์ธ์ ๊ณต๊ฐํ๋ค. ํ๋ฃจ์ ์ด๋ ํด๊ตฐ ์ฐธ๋ชจ์ด์ฅ ์ด๋ฆ์ ๋ด ๊ธฐ์ธํจ์ ํ๊ตญ์ด ๊ธฐ์ฆํ ํฌํญ๊ธ ์ด๊ณํจ ์์ฒํจ(PCC-767)์ด๋ค. https://t.co/UuuYsiGnqG
July 03, 2022 at 04:29PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543497137362677760
July 03, 2022 at 04:29PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543497137362677760
์ธ๋ก ์ฌ ๋ทฐ
ํ๊ตญ์ ํด์ญํ ์ด๊ณํจ, ๋จ๋ฏธ ํ๋ฃจ ํด๊ตฐ ์์์ผ๋ก ๋ฆผํฉ ์ฐธ๊ฐ
ํ๋ฃจ ํด๊ตฐ ์ด๊ณํจ ๊ธฐ์ธํจ์ด ์ง๋๋ฌ 28์ผ(ํ์ง์๊ฐ) ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ์์ด์ ์
ํญํ๊ณ ์๋ค. ๋ฏธ ์ธ๋ํํ์์ฌ๋ น๋ถ ์ ๊ณต 30๋
๊ฐ ์ํด์ ๋จํด๋ฅผ ์ํธํ๋ ํ๊ตญ ํด๊ตฐ ์ด๊ณํจ์ด ํํ์ ๊ฑด๋ ๋จ๋ฏธ ํ๋ฃจ์์ ์๋ก์ด ์๋ฌด๋ฅผ ์ํํ๊ณ ์๋ค. ๋ฏธ ์ธ๋ํํ์์ฌ๋ น๋ถ๋ ์ง๋๋ฌ 29์ผ ํํํ์ํ๋ จ(RIMPACยท๋ฆผํฉ)์ ์ฐธ๊ฐํ๊ธฐ ์ํด ํ์์ด์ ๋์ฐฉํ ํ๋ฃจ ํด๊ตฐ ์ด๊ณํจ ๊ธฐ์ธ(BAP Gu
RT @BloombergAsia: A Russian public-relations onslaught in Africa to shift blame for the emerging food crisis has gained traction, alarming European governments https://t.co/1InU1zfY5v
July 03, 2022 at 04:29PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543497234745921536
July 03, 2022 at 04:29PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543497234745921536
Bloomberg.com
Putinโs Media Blitz on Africa Food Crisis Sparks Alarm in Europe
EU diplomats are concerned that a Russian effort to link the food crisis to sanctions is gaining traction in Africa.
@jangwunheui ์ธ๋๋์ง๋ง, ๋ช์ปท ์ฌ๋ ค์ฃผ์ ํผ์ง์ปฌ๋ก ๋ณผ๋ ์ถฉ๋ถํ ๊ฐ๋ฅํด ๋ณด์์ต๋๋ค.
July 03, 2022 at 04:23PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543495634518364162
July 03, 2022 at 04:23PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543495634518364162
์ธ๊ฐ์ ์ธํฌ๋ 7๋
์ด๋ฉด ์์ ํ ์๊ฒ์ผ๋ก ๊ต์ฒด๋๋ค. 20๋
๋ง๋ค ๊ฐ์ถ๋๋ ์ผ๋ณธ์ ์ด์ธ์ ๊ถ์ฒ๋ผ, ๋๋ผ๋ ๊ฐ๋
๋ง ์กด์ฌํ ๋ฟ ๋ฌผ๋ฆฌ์ ์ผ๋ก๋ ๋ค์ ํ์ด๋๋๊ฑฐ๋ค. ์ธ์์ 7๋
๋จ์๋ก ๋์ด์ ๋ฏธ๋์ ๋ด๊ฒ ์ค๋์ ๋ด๊ฐ ๊นจ๋ฌ์ ๊ฒ๋ค์ ์ ํด์ค ์ ์๋ค๋ฉด, ๊ทธ๊ฒ ๊ฐ๋ฅ์ฒ ํ์ผ์ง๋ผ๋ ์๋ฌด๊ฒ๋ ์ํ๋ ๊ฒ๋ณด๋จ ์๋ฏธ๊ฐ ์๋ค. https://t.co/b0g98rCedf
July 03, 2022 at 04:26PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543496313727160320
July 03, 2022 at 04:26PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543496313727160320
Twitter
์ธ๊ฐ์ ์ธํฌ๋ 7๋
์ด๋ฉด ์์ ํ ์๊ฒ์ผ๋ก ๊ต์ฒด๋๋ค. 20๋
๋ง๋ค ๊ฐ์ถ๋๋ ์ผ๋ณธ์ ์ด์ธ์ ๊ถ์ฒ๋ผ, ๋๋ผ๋ ๊ฐ๋
๋ง ์กด์ฌํ ๋ฟ ๋ฌผ๋ฆฌ์ ์ผ๋ก๋ ๋ค์ ํ์ด๋๋๊ฑฐ๋ค. ์ธ์์ 7๋
๋จ์๋ก ๋์ด์ ๋ฏธ๋์ ๋ด๊ฒ ์ค๋์ ๋ด๊ฐ ๊นจ๋ฌ์ ๊ฒ๋ค์ ์ ํด์ค ์ ์๋ค๋ฉด, ๊ทธ๊ฒ ๊ฐ๋ฅ์ฒ ํ์ผ์ง๋ผ๋ ์๋ฌด๊ฒ๋ ์ํ๋ ๊ฒ๋ณด๋จ ์๋ฏธ๊ฐ ์๋ค.
RT @parkthomson075: ๋ช๋
์ ํ๋๋ ๊ฐ์๋.... ํฌ์ฑํค์ ์์ ์นดํ... ๊ทธ ์นดํ์์ ์ฐ์๋... ์ธ์์ ์ธ ๊ธ๊ท..... ํฌ์ฑํค... ๋ด๋ง์ ์๋ค์๋ ๋์... ํ์ ํ๊ธฐ ์ง์ด ์๋ ๊ณณ.... 5์๋๋ฉด ๋ฒ์จ ๋ฌธ ๋ค ๋ซ๊ณ ... ์์ฃผ ์กฐ์ฉํ ์๊ฐ๋ค... ๋ด๋
์ฏค ๋ค์ ๊ฐ๋ณผ๊น๋..... ์๊ฐํด๋ณด๋ ์ฌ ์ฌ๋ฆํด๊ฐ ์ง์ผ๋๋ค... ์ด๋๊ฐ์ง.... https://t.co/Her1RXuEkH
July 03, 2022 at 04:27PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543496645995679749
July 03, 2022 at 04:27PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543496645995679749
RT @rulubyrulu1: ๊ฒฐํผํ๊ณ ์ถ์ง ์๋ค๋๊ฑด ๊ทธ ๊ฒฐ์ฌ์ ๋ฐ๊ฟ๋งํ ์ฌ๋์ ์์ง ๋ง๋์ง ๋ชปํ๊ธฐ ๋๋ฌธ์ด๋ค. - ๋ฃฐ๋ฃจ - https://t.co/ZoljFMObk8
July 03, 2022 at 04:27PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543496701368971264
July 03, 2022 at 04:27PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543496701368971264
RT @richdad_c: ๋
์์ ๊ฑท๊ธฐ์๋ ๋ฌํ ๊ณตํต์ ์ด ์๋ค. ์ธ์์ ๊ผญ ํ์ํ ๊ฒ์ด์ง๋ง โ์ ๋ ๊ทธ๋ด ์๊ฐ ์๋๋ฐ์โ๋ผ๋ ํ๊ณ๋ฅผ ๋๊ธฐ ์ฌ์ด ๋ถ์ผ๋ผ๋ ์ ์ด๋ค. ํ์ง๋ง ์ ์ดํด๋ณด๋ฉด ํ๋ฃจ์ 20์ชฝ ์ ๋ ์ฑ
์ฝ์ ์๊ฐ, ์ผ์ญ ๋ถ๊ฐ๋ ๊ฑธ์ ์๊ฐ์ ๋๊ตฌ์๊ฒ๋ ์๋ค. โ๊ฑท๋ ์ฌ๋, ํ์ ์ฐโ ํ์ ์ฐ
July 03, 2022 at 04:46PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543501514550890497
July 03, 2022 at 04:46PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543501514550890497
Twitter
RT @richdad_c: ๋
์์ ๊ฑท๊ธฐ์๋ ๋ฌํ ๊ณตํต์ ์ด ์๋ค. ์ธ์์ ๊ผญ ํ์ํ ๊ฒ์ด์ง๋ง โ์ ๋ ๊ทธ๋ด ์๊ฐ ์๋๋ฐ์โ๋ผ๋ ํ๊ณ๋ฅผ ๋๊ธฐ ์ฌ์ด ๋ถ์ผ๋ผ๋ ์ ์ด๋ค.
ํ์ง๋ง ์ ์ดํด๋ณด๋ฉด ํ๋ฃจ์ 20์ชฝ ์ ๋ ์ฑ ์ฝ์ ์๊ฐ, ์ผ์ญ ๋ถ๊ฐ๋ ๊ฑธ์ ์๊ฐ์ ๋๊ตฌ์โฆ
ํ์ง๋ง ์ ์ดํด๋ณด๋ฉด ํ๋ฃจ์ 20์ชฝ ์ ๋ ์ฑ ์ฝ์ ์๊ฐ, ์ผ์ญ ๋ถ๊ฐ๋ ๊ฑธ์ ์๊ฐ์ ๋๊ตฌ์โฆ
RT @dlknowles: In the oil crisis of the 1970s, America lowered the speed limit to 55mph, introduced fuel economy standards for new cars and even tried gasoline rationing to try to reduce demand for oil. All to reduce demand and reduce the price. Now? Begging private firms to just charge less https://t.co/zd4pbex0ML
July 03, 2022 at 04:51PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543502567841222656
July 03, 2022 at 04:51PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543502567841222656
Twitter
My message to the companies running gas stations and setting prices at the pump is simple: this is a time of war and global peril.
Bring down the price you are charging at the pump to reflect the cost youโre paying for the product. And do it now.
Bring down the price you are charging at the pump to reflect the cost youโre paying for the product. And do it now.
RT @dlknowles: Per $ of GDP, America uses 55% more oil than countries in the Eurozone. The average American consumes almost 1,000 gallons a year. This has been encouraged for decades! No wonder high prices hurt so much: https://t.co/xitFSUbCyj
July 03, 2022 at 04:51PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543502621209534464
July 03, 2022 at 04:51PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543502621209534464
data.worldbank.org
Energy use (kg of oil equivalent) per $1,000 GDP (constant 2017 PPP) | Data
Energy use (kg of oil equivalent) per $1,000 GDP (constant 2017 PPP) from The World Bank: Data
@Heathen49 ์ด์๋ณด๋ ์ธ์์ ์งํฑํ๋๊ฑด ๋ช๊ฐ์ ์ข์ ์ถ์ต๋ค์ด๋๊ตฐ์. ์กฐ๊ธ ํฐ ๋ฐฉ, ์กฐ๊ธ ํธ์ํ ์ฐจ, ๋ ๋ง์๊ณ ์ ๋ช
ํ ๊ณณ,โฆ. ํด๊ฐ์๋ ๋์ ์๋ผ์ง ์๋๊ฒ ๋ต์ธ๋ฏ ํฉ๋๋ค.
July 03, 2022 at 04:52PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543502847609737216
July 03, 2022 at 04:52PM
via https://twitter.com/Inkuk_Kim/status/1543502847609737216
Twitter
@Heathen49 ์ด์๋ณด๋ ์ธ์์ ์งํฑํ๋๊ฑด ๋ช๊ฐ์ ์ข์ ์ถ์ต๋ค์ด๋๊ตฐ์. ์กฐ๊ธ ํฐ ๋ฐฉ, ์กฐ๊ธ ํธ์ํ ์ฐจ, ๋ ๋ง์๊ณ ์ ๋ช
ํ ๊ณณ,โฆ. ํด๊ฐ์๋ ๋์ ์๋ผ์ง ์๋๊ฒ ๋ต์ธ๋ฏ ํฉ๋๋ค.
RT @C_Barraud: ๐บ๐ธ #Fed | The market is now pricing ~75bps rate cut in 2023 as #recession fears have gained traction. https://t.co/kb6eKD0qqO
July 03, 2022 at 04:55PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503650852466689
July 03, 2022 at 04:55PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503650852466689
Twitter
๐บ๐ธ #Fed | The market is now pricing ~75bps rate cut in 2023 as #recession fears have gained traction.
RT @biancoresearch: 5/5 In fact, since 2011, the average "error rate" between Atlanta Fed GDPnow and actual GDP is miss is -0.3%, meaning the average GDP release is worse than this forecast.
July 03, 2022 at 04:56PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503880075370496
July 03, 2022 at 04:56PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503880075370496
Twitter
RT @biancoresearch: 5/5
In fact, since 2011, the average "error rate" between Atlanta Fed GDPnow and actual GDP is miss is -0.3%, meaningโฆ
In fact, since 2011, the average "error rate" between Atlanta Fed GDPnow and actual GDP is miss is -0.3%, meaningโฆ
RT @biancoresearch: Bonus 1 Remember GDP is "real" GDP. That is AFTER inflation. With the large inflation numbers in 1H 2022, we can see positive nominal, or BEFORE inflation, releases and still be in a recession. So, yes, positive results like retail sales and payrolls can happen in a recession.
July 03, 2022 at 04:56PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503910358302720
July 03, 2022 at 04:56PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503910358302720
Twitter
RT @biancoresearch: Bonus 1
Remember GDP is "real" GDP. That is AFTER inflation. With the large inflation numbers in 1H 2022, we can see pโฆ
Remember GDP is "real" GDP. That is AFTER inflation. With the large inflation numbers in 1H 2022, we can see pโฆ
RT @biancoresearch: Bonus 2 That means nominal growth is positive but less than inflation. Hence negative real growth and a recession. Over the previous decades, inflation was so low that the only way we could have a recession was to see negative nominal results. This is no longer the case.
July 03, 2022 at 04:56PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503978855481344
July 03, 2022 at 04:56PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543503978855481344
RT @EPBResearch: @biancoresearch Jim, I love your work, but you know that 2 quarters of negative GDP is not the definition of a recession. Right now, there are no official job losses. If we get job losses by year-end, then they will retro date the recession to Q1/Q2 but if there are no job losses, no recession https://t.co/BBGbBF4dRY
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504135344906240
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504135344906240
RT @biancoresearch: @EPBResearch Yes, a recession is whatever the NBER cycle dating committee says is a recession. That said, try and find 2 consecutive negative quarters that were NOT part of a recession. Hint, you will not find an example. That is why I think it is a โtechnicalโ definition of a recession.
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504166466641926
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504166466641926
RT @EPBResearch: @biancoresearch It's mostly an irrelevant point but the criteria are clear on their site. There are no recessions without job losses. I think we are starting a recession BUT if we end up not losing jobs, I'm not sure they will count this because the negative numbers in Q1/Q2 are from inventory
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504197420584960
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504197420584960
Twitter
RT @EPBResearch: @biancoresearch It's mostly an irrelevant point but the criteria are clear on their site.
There are no recessions withoutโฆ
There are no recessions withoutโฆ
RT @EPBResearch: @biancoresearch They specifically state they emphasize two metrics. Real income & jobs. Real income is clearly recessionary. I think we'd both argue employment will get there since it's lagging but if somehow we maintain positive job gains I don't think this one will count.
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504243818041344
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504243818041344
Twitter
RT @EPBResearch: @biancoresearch They specifically state they emphasize two metrics. Real income & jobs.
Real income is clearly recessionaโฆ
Real income is clearly recessionaโฆ
RT @EPBResearch: @biancoresearch It's not a material point. The direction of growth is all that matters but employment is certainly a criteria. Has there been a recession w/o job losses?
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504279759073280
July 03, 2022 at 04:57PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504279759073280
Twitter
RT @EPBResearch: @biancoresearch It's not a material point. The direction of growth is all that matters but employment is certainly a criteโฆ
RT @EPBResearch: @locke_or_demos @biancoresearch Usually, we see job losses in the cyclical sectors of the economy before the aggregate headline. We have a slowdown in job gains but no losses just yet. I think it comes, particularly with the housing sector cooling down. https://t.co/tX40z2ytXd
July 03, 2022 at 04:58PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504374621560833
July 03, 2022 at 04:58PM
via https://twitter.com/Alisvolatprop12/status/1543504374621560833