I think that a lot of people will have a hard landing during Powell's speech on Wednesday.

Markets are looking for hints on when will QE begin, or at least when will QT start to relax. If Powell repeats his , 'we are not in a hurry' routine, they will not react well. Best case scenario, he will be neutral. I think its too early for him to be dovish. He may leave that for May.

Today premiums will get an important video and where we are heading for the next 2 months and beyond.

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Trump is continuing to be unpredictable and vague about tariffs. He now indicated that there might be some discounts. He is basically weaponising tariffs. He wants other countries to move their factories in the US. Hyundai has committed to factories in the US so expect discounts for S.Korea. Other countries are watching and are likely to be forced to do the same. This will ensure strong employment in the US.

I'm slowly turning more bullish today

Simplify your thoughts. The direction of BTC is now determined by this channel. Strong lines of bounce are the top trend line (top of channel) and the mid trend line (dotted line in the middle of the channel). The current sentiment is positive, so look at the levels near the top of the channel and beyond. When the sentiment turns negative (and its natural to do so in order to punish longs), then look at the levels, near the bottom part of the channel. This is your mid term scalping strategy.

In the meantime, we are green and the s&p is red. Not a problem, it's usual as this is common. However in order for this to benefit us, this phenomenon has to continue for about 2 weeks. If this occurs (and I cant remember the last time it did, if ever), then you will see massive liquidity flowing from stocks to BTC. Right now, this has very low confidence of happening.

Today, wall street should not be under too much pressure (unless a crappy announcement is made). Pre markets are slightly in the green so less pressure on stocks=less pressure on crypto.

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Volatility is up nearly 12% and premarkets are down.Expect a red day (at least initially).

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Something is very wrong today. I'm seeing pre markets for the S&P at -2.85% and yet Crypto is green. I have never seen such a bad figure resulting in green BTC. A -2.85% usually translates to -5% to -7% in BTC. Be extra careful today, because I'm not convinced of the charts right now. Its not normal behaviour.