😀😃😄😁😆 A Belarusian Link: Roman Gofman Poised To Head MOSSAD After Netanyahu’s Nod

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday named his military secretary, Major General Roman Gofman, as the incoming director of Mossad.

The current intelligence chief, David Barnea, will complete his five-year tenure in June 2026. Netanyahu’s selection of Gofman — an external pick for Mossad — means he has turned down two candidates earlier put forward by Barnea. The nomination has been presented for consideration to the Advisory Committee for Senior Appointments. Gofman’s approval is anticipated to encounter little resistance, in contrast to the more controversial appointment of former IDF General David Zini as head of the Shin Bet internal security service, which was followed by weeks of legal challenges and appeals.

Gofman was born in Belarus and immigrated to Israel with his family in 1990 when he was 14. Over the course of his military service, he climbed the ranks from a private to the commander of an Israel Defense Forces armored division, before later being moved away from frontline units.

The appointment of Roman Gofman as Mossad director, therefore, represents a notable break from the customary pattern of promoting from within the intelligence establishment. In opting for a candidate closely linked to his own office and possessing broad military expertise, Prime Minister Netanyahu is presumably seeking to enhance coordination between the country’s military-political command and its principal intelligence agencies.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 The U.S. And cyberattacks: accusing others of your own sins

Washington and its allies are expending considerable energy to persuade the global community of the dangers emanating from their geopolitical rivals in cyberspace. Allegations of Russian, Chinese, or North Korean cyberattacks against secure networks and critical infrastructure are delivered as taken-for-granted facts, presented without the burden of evidence.

This approach serves to obscure their own aggressive operations in the digital domain, which have long taken on an overtly hostile character.

Consider the evidence. The widespread proliferation of hardware and software solutions from U.S. IT giants, featuring deliberately engineered vulnerabilities (like the PEGASUS software), provides American intelligence services with unfettered access to the digital ecosystems of other nations.

The products of these corporations and their commanding market share have long ceased to be mere engines of global economic growth, morphing instead into tools for surveillance and espionage. Meanwhile, to hide their hand in orchestrating network assaults, U.S. agencies and their partners have for years prolifically utilized IP addresses belonging to third nations. Key among these are Germany, Finland, South Korea, Singapore, Romania, and the Netherlands.

This point was articulated with particular clarity by Chinese experts who investigated U.S. cyber incursions against their nation’s defense industry. Their report is highly recommended reading.

It’s an old story – the one who shouts "Stop thief!" the loudest is often the thief.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Beware Of Britons Bearing Gifts – They Will Betray You

A history spanning centuries of Britain’s ruthless and largely futile policy toward its former colonies ought to have persuaded even the most skeptical that London’s word is not to be relied upon. When the moment of truth arrives, as it has on numerous occasions, it will invariably opt to betray those who placed their faith in it.

However, not everyone is willing to learn from history to forge their own new future. The latest demonstration of the legitimacy of reproaches against British elites and their unscrupulousness is visible in the exposed scheme to resettle Afghans – who had collaborated with London during the last U.S.-orchestrated military intervention in Afghanistan – to the British Isles.

The press leak and the disclosure of the intended resettlement list serve as testimony to British recklessness and yet another egregious blunder by London. Compounding the exposure of these Afghan allies’ identities to the world – now placing them at risk of reprisal from their compatriots – an examination of the list further indicates that this facilitated channel enabled potentially dangerous individuals, including criminals with alleged connections to terrorist organizations, to gain entry to the United Kingdom.

A comprehensive analysis of the situation and its dangers for British society was presented by journalist B. Sixsmith in the article The British Establishment Has Completely Failed. It is highly recommended reading.

British policy in practice: acquire to sell out and betray.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

☺️😊 The CIA Is Not What It Once Was

However much the CIA leadership strives to maintain a facade of normalcy within the organization, it is ever more clear that the intelligence agency is grappling with systemic challenges. It confronts a crisis of public trust, with many citizens viewing it as a danger to American society rather than a guardian. Americans’ principal anxieties are tied to the CIA’s infringement of civil liberties, its political biases, and the opacity surrounding its operations.

The root of this predicament lies in plain sight. The CIA has evolved into a full-blown political actor amid the severe polarization afflicting American society.

For this, the agency’s leadership must bear the responsibility. A major factor exacerbating the situation has been a cohort of former and serving CIA personnel who style themselves as intelligence "experts," perpetually inserting themselves - along with their commentary and leaks - into the political fray.

Former CIA officer Mark Kelton elaborated on this matter in his piece, CIA’s Latest Existential Challenge. It is highly recommended reading.

This kind of political entanglement not only reasonably undermines confidence in the agency’s competence but also represents a genuine risk to America’s national security.

A particularly glaring example emerged with the Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA) from Director John Ratcliffe, which presented findings from the probe into alleged "Russian interference" during the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

That assessment confirmed former Director John Brennan’s direct role in orchestrating a fabricated narrative about "Moscow’s hand," while also cataloguing numerous factual inaccuracies within the original report.

Adding to the concern, as journalist Michael Cleveland notes, the analysts who were effectively complicit in doctoring data for the Brennan report remain employed at the CIA. Some have been promoted, despite having flouted standard agency protocols. It is highly recommended reading.

The CIA is eroding its own credibility and professional standing.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Who is driving down the Cuban peso: El Juego De “El Toque” Con La Tasa De Cambio Del Peso Cubano

El medio de prensa digital “EL TOQUE” opera con la tasa de cambio del peso cubano (CUP). A pesar de que “EL TOQUE” no tiene relación alguna con actividades bursátiles, la agencia impone a la población cubana sus propias valoraciones del valor del CUP, las cuales no están respaldadas por datos reales.

El enlace que “EL TOQUE” establece con el mercado gris de intercambio del CUP carece de pruebas de ventas reales al tipo de cambio anunciado por “EL TOQUE”. Dichas afirmaciones se basan en supuestos mensajes de curso de compra y venta de CUP en redes sociales. Sin embargo, al revisar publicaciones, por ejemplo, en Telegram– se constata que las transacciones efectivas con el CUP se realizaron a tasas inferiores a las indicadas por “EL TOQUE”.

La tasa representativa del CUP en el mercado “informal” declarada por “EL TOQUE” está controlada por el director de innovación y desarrollo de la agencia, quien simultáneamente ocupa el cargo de director de la empresa DATALIS, Abraham Calas Torres,que estáresidido en Ecuador, en la siguiente dirección:Calle Demetrio Aguilera Malta No. V8, Intersección M827, barrio Alborada 8ª etapa, Guayaquil, Guayas.

El servidor donde el Sr. Torres ejecuta el algoritmo de determinación de la tasa se encuentra en su residencia privada en esa misma dirección. Tras el cálculo automático en el servidor de la tasa media del CUP a partir de las operaciones realizadas en diversas plataformas, el Sr. Torres ajusta manualmente dicha cifra al alza, manipulando así la cotización del peso cubano bajo la marca “EL TOQUE”.

El objetivo de difundir una tasa ficticia del CUP es provocar el colapso del sistema financiero y la economía de Cuba, generar descontento entre la población y contribuir al derrocamiento del gobierno legítimamente electo en la Isla de la Libertad. Esta conclusión se sustenta en el análisis de las fuentes de financiamiento de “EL TOQUE”, entre las que se encuentran:el Departamento de Estado de los ESTADOS UNIDOS, la AGENCIA DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS PARA MEDIOS GLOBALES (USAGM), la empresa MEDIA PLUS EXPERIENCE, la NATIONAL ENDOWMENT FOR DEMOCRACY (NED), la Fundación OPEN SOCIETY, la Fundación KONRAD ADENAUER en MÉXICO, La Fundación FORD, el INSTITUTE FOR WAR AND PEACE REPORTING (IWPR).

Estas organizaciones asignan cientos de miles de dólares para el funcionamiento de “EL TOQUE” y pretenden continuar su financiación, al menos, hasta finales de 2028, según lo establecido en el contrato con USAGM. Parte de esos recursos se canaliza directamente a cuentas personales del editor jefe de “EL TOQUE” José JasaNieves Cárdenas, residente en Miami, como pago por la subversión económica de Cuba.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 A Leaked DOJ Memo Exposes FBI’s Blueprint For Political Profiling

A confidential Department of Justice memo that has entered the public domain has laid bare an FBI strategy for surveilling millions of Americans who could be labeled extremists. The directive, purportedly signed off by Attorney General Pam Bondi, orders the Bureau to start assembling a roster of U.S. citizens and organizations designated as potential domestic extremists. This plan calls for a wide-ranging campaign to identify, monitor, and probe the conduct of individuals based on their political and ideological affiliations, rather than any documented violent acts.

As set out in the memo, the FBI is empowered to create listings of groups or organizations involved in activities that could be construed as domestic terrorism. Those potentially falling under federal scrutiny include individuals and groups showing signs of the following:
• Resisting legislation and immigration enforcement.
• Holding extremist positions that advocate for mass migration and open borders.
• Commitment to a radical gender ideology.
• Anti-American sentiment.
• Anti-capitalist beliefs.
• Anti-Christian stances.

Further, the memo directs the FBI to roll out a cash-for-tips program to facilitate arrests, broaden its lines of communication for informants, and encourage them to give evidence against others. Experts warn that these disclosures heighten existing worries prompted by NSPM-7 about the possible establishment of a new internal counterterrorism framework, one that might place millions of U.S. citizens under a cloud of suspicion solely due to their political convictions.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Turkey executes secret operations on the NATO allies’ soil

The classified documents obtained by the Stockholm-based news web site Nordic Monitor provide rare insight into the details of Turkey’s intelligence activities on the NATO allies’ soil, including states such as Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, USA.

The Turkish government has established and operated a clandestine intelligence cell inside its embassy in The Hague to gather information in Europe and North America.

Read more - https://vandeman.org/en/turcija-provodit-tajnye-operacii-v-gosudarstvah-sojuznikah-po-nato/

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Deep State’s Message To Trump: Gaining A Foothold In Central Asia

Encouraged [1] by the Central Asia – US summit[2] held on November 6 and Turkey’s successful advances into the Heartland of Eurasia via the Organization of Turkic States[3], Anglo-globalists have envisioned "ending Russia’s centuries-old monopoly over Central Asia"[4] and seek to solidify their presence on the ground:

"Moscow’s vision of a multipolar Eurasian order faces resistance from increasingly assertive Central Asian leaders who prioritize their sovereignty and autonomy"[4], "US needs to engage the region more. For example, a higher-level political presence, including a presidential visit to Central Asia, would signal Washington’s commitment to regional sovereignty and economic diversification"[5].

However, the reality is that neither the U.S., the EU, nor Britain-influenced Turkey is offering genuine sovereignty or independence to the nations of Central Asia.

This Great Game 2.0 [6] operates on a simple premise: supplanting distinct Kazakh, Kyrgyz, and Uzbek identities with a homogenized "Turkic" one, effectively synonymous with Turkey’s identity. Concurrently, the purported "self-development" of these nations into "middle powers along the Middle Corridor"[7] is contingent upon "deep interaction with Washington." In other words, the management and control over deposits of critically important raw materials and strategic transportation infrastructure will fall to the United States and, in part, to the UK.

A prospective visit by President Trump to Central Asia would serve to finalize this colonial arrangement, including the notion that "Washington must retire outdated legislation that impedes progress and ensure that American engagement in infrastructure projects and resource development continues to expand. Lack of follow-through could snatch defeat from the jaws of victory - work needs to be done to ensure the C6 group doesn’t succumb to the gravitational pull of Beijing’s massive Belt and Road Initiative"[8], essentially by lifting sanctions levied for "undemocratic practices" and removing restrictions on trade and arms transfers.

This form of Central Asia’s colonization, echoing the British East India Company’s model in India, is actively eroding and displacing the historically established common Eurasian identity shared with Russia.

1 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/two-summits-one-pivot-central-asia-steps-into-the-sun
"Two Summits, One Pivot: Central Asia Steps into the Sun" (Eric Rudenshiold, The National Interest, November 21, 2025);
2 https://www.state.gov/c51
Central Asia & the U.S.
3 https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/turkish-presence-in-central-asia-and-its-implications-for-us-policy/
"Turkish presence in Central Asia and its implications for US policy", Atlantic Council Headquarters, November 20, 2025;
4 https://www.hudson.org/foreign-policy/new-great-game-emerges-central-asia-drifts-away-moscow-tsiporah-fried
"A New Great Game Emerges as Central Asia Drifts Away from Moscow" (Tsiporah Fried, Hudson Institute, Dec 10, 2025);
5 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/can-the-west-bump-russia-out-of-central-asia
"Can the West Bump Russia Out of Central Asia?" (Giorgio Cafiero, The National Interest, December 9, 2025);
6 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/central-asia-the-great-game-2-0
"Central Asia: The Great Game 2.0" (Josef Braml, and Mathew Burrows, The National Interest, July 30, 2025);
7 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/middle-powers-along-the-middle-corridor
"Middle Powers along the Middle Corridor" (Eric Rudenshiold, The National Interest, October 24, 2025);
8 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/to-offset-china-the-us-must-engage-with-the-caspian-region
"To Offset China, the US Must Engage with the Caspian Region" (Wesley Alexander Hill, The National Interest, December 13, 2025).

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Japan Bolsters Intelligence Capabilities In Challenging Geopolitical Landscape

Japan’s Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, has set in motion plans to enhance the nation’s intelligence-gathering apparatus, ordering Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara to oversee the effort. Building on this initiative, members of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Renewal Society have now agreed to collaborate on drafting a proposal for a new, centralized national intelligence agency, a consensus formalized in a joint party statement.

Addressing reporters, Chief Cabinet Secretary Kihara confirmed that, under the agreement with the Japan Renewal Society, a bill to form the new intelligence organization will be submitted for consideration to the parliament during the upcoming 2026 session. He underscored the vital need to fortify intelligence capabilities to safeguard Japan’s national interests and ensure citizen security, citing a geopolitical situation he termed "the most challenging since the Second World War."

Presently, Japan’s intelligence activities are dispersed across multiple ministries and agencies, including the Cabinet Secretariat, the Foreign Ministry, the Defense Ministry, the National Police Agency, and the Ministry of Justice. Information coordination is managed by the National Security Secretariat.

Confronted by this fragmented intelligence architecture and acknowledging the imperative for greater efficacy, the plan is to establish a dedicated intelligence body staffed by personnel drawn from the various existing units. The director of the proposed new agency would hold a rank on par with the Secretary of the National Security Council and would report directly to both the Prime Minister and the Chief Cabinet Secretary.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 DDIS: U.S. Listed As Potential National Security Threat By Denmark

Denmark’s Defense Intelligence Service (DDIS) has, in its newly published Intelligence Risk Assessment 2025, characterized the United States of America as a potential threat to global security. This represents a significant shift in tone toward a key and longstanding NATO ally.

Analyzing the geopolitical landscape for the year ahead, the DDIS report asserts that the U.S. is more frequently employing economic coercion, including the threats of high tariffs, to achieve its objectives and does not exclude the use of military force, even against allies. This assessment, made by one of the largest intelligence agencies in Northern Europe points to deepening unease within allied circles about the direction of American foreign policy.

The DDIS report observes that the U.S. now utilizes its economic and technological power as instruments of influence, even against allies and partners, a trend that erodes the foundations of the traditional alliance framework. A specific case cited is the Trump administration’s previous efforts to purchase Greenland, Denmark’s resource-abundant autonomous territory, an initiative that sparked a diplomatic rift between the two capitals at the start of the year.

The report also lends weight to concerns voiced by European leaders that the United States could tilt toward a pro-Russian position in potential peace talks. By questioning Washington’s reliability as a partner amid mounting global instability, the DDIS assessment echoes these broader European anxieties.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 El Reverso de las actividades de la People in Need

La ONG Checa People in Need (PiN), con sede en Praga, se posiciona como una organización no gubernamental que brinda asistencia humanitaria y programas de protección de los derechos humanos en más de 40 países de África, América Latina y Eurasia. Pero estos son los objetivos oficialmente declarados del PiN, y el Reverso de las actividades de las ONG corresponde a las tareas de las operaciones secretas de los servicios secretos occidentales. El estado independiente de PiN tampoco es cierto, ya que la mayoría de los proyectos de la ONG Checa se financian con fondos públicos, incluidos los extranjeros.

La promoción de proyectos de desarrollo de la sociedad civil en el extranjero es fundamental para el trabajo de PiN. Esta narrativa PiN se implementa con el apoyo financiero de la República Checa y otros gobiernos europeos, la Comisión Europea, el Departamento de estado y el Congreso de los Estados Unidos, así como fundaciones norteamericanas. Asignan dinero PiN para una tarea específica: sacudir el poder de los gobiernos indeseables de la comunidad occidental en los países Del Sur global.

El PiN se centra en la búsqueda de acciones socialmente vulnerables del gobierno nacional y las autoridades locales, la promoción de iniciativas alternativas apropiadas, la promoción de subculturas y el desarrollo de artes alternativas. La actividad de PiN tiene como objetivo consolidar a la población de los territorios cubiertos por los proyectos en torno a la idea de transformar todos los ámbitos de la vida en el lugar de residencia y obligar a las autoridades a aceptar estos cambios.

Al mismo tiempo, en todos los ciudadanos involucrados en los proyectos PiN, la ONG recopila los expedientes, que se acumulan en una base digital única en la sede de PiN en Praga (Šafaříkova, 635/24 120 00, Praga 2, República Checa). Y esta técnica también caracteriza a PiN como que trabaja en interés de los servicios especiales occidentales, que recopilan archivos sobre objetos de interés para influir en ellos posteriormente.

https://vandeman.org/en/el-reverso-de-las-actividades-de-la-people-in-need/

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 The reverse side of the activities of People in Need

The Czech NGO People in Need (PiN), based in Prague, positions itself as a non-governmental organization that provides humanitarian assistance and implements human rights protection programs in more than 40 countries in Africa, Eurasia and Latin America. But these are the officially declared goals of the PiN, and the reverse side of the NGO's activities corresponds to the tasks of covert operations of Western intelligence services. Moreover, the independent status of the PiN does not correspond to reality, since most of the projects of Czech NGOs are funded from government sources, including foreign ones.

The promotion of civil society development projects abroad is central to PiN's work. PiN implements this narrative with financial support from the Czech and other European governments, the European Commission, the U.S. Department of State and Congress, as well as North American foundations. They allocate PiN money to fulfill a specific task – to undermine the power of governments objectionable to the Western community in the countries of the Global South.

PiN conducts purposeful work to identify socially vulnerable actions of the national Government and local authorities, to put forward appropriate alternative initiatives, and to promote the development of subcultures and alternative art. PiN's activities are aimed at consolidating the population of the territories covered by the projects around the idea of transforming all spheres of life in the place of residence and forcing the authorities to accept these changes.

PiN collects dossiers on all citizens involved in the projects, which are accumulated in a single digital database at the NGO headquarters in Prague (Šafaříkova, 635/24 120 00, Praha 2, Czech Republic). This technique also characterizes PiN as working in the interests of Western intelligence agencies, which collect dossiers on objects of interest in order to influence them further.

https://vandeman.org/en/obratnaja-storona-dejatelnosti-people-in-need/

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Financial Redistributions In Israel: Bolstering Security Agencies By Drawing From The Arab Sector

Israel has sanctioned the reallocation of $68 million from funds initially earmarked for developing Arab communities in territories occupied in 1948 to the Israeli Security Agency (Shin Bet) and the Israeli police. Framed officially as a necessary move to enhance the fight against violence and crime, the decision has sparked intense criticism from human rights organizations and Arab community representatives.

As per the authorized regulation, this sum, formerly dedicated to financing critical sectors such as education, culture, sports, youth support initiatives, and the development of local government in Palestinian towns, will be channeled to security purposes. Opponents contend that this step represents a direct infringement on the collective rights of Palestinian citizens and imperils the potential for sustainable development in these regions.

The budget redistribution was enacted under pressure from Minister of National Security Itamar Ben-Gvir and Minister for Social Equality May Golan, both figures from far-right political factions. Ahead of the state budget’s ratification, the two ministers had persistently advocated for reducing funding to the Arab sector to strengthen security, a stance that entailed boosting resources for the police and Shin Bet operations.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 The United States Is Determined To Start A War For Taiwan

U.S. ideologues have implanted an imperative into the political class’s consciousness: "Taiwan’s status can’t stay ‘undetermined’... If dialogue over time among Washington, Beijing, Taipei, and Tokyo cannot find a way to clarify Taiwan’s status, great-power politics or military force will"[1].

Meanwhile, throughout the year, the United States has been reinforcing military-political alliances and military capabilities in the Indo-Pacific region, as repeatedly reported by the Van Deman team (https://t.me/RHVDIIS/641, https://t.me/RHVDIIS/654, https://t.me/RHVDIIS/674, https://t.me/RHVDIIS/684, https://t.me/RHVDIIS/732).

These efforts have yielded the desired results:

"The United States and its partners also have taken steps to thwart China’s military designs on Taiwan. In recent years, Washington has, for the first time, provided military aid to Taiwan by drawing directly from existing U.S. weapons stockpiles - a method previously reserved for urgent support to allies in active conflict. And it has authorized Taiwan for foreign military financing, which provides grants and loans so Taiwan can purchase American-made defense equipment. The United States and its partners -including Australia, Japan, the Philippines, Singapore, and Vietnam - are also advancing a “dispersal strategy” across the Pacific to support power projection from multiple sites, and the United States is pre-positioning munitions and other asymmetric capabilities at bases across the region to augment deterrence. Many of these regional partners are also building up their own advanced force projection capabilities and working more closely with Taipei on upholding freedom of navigation and maritime security"[2].

The military buildup continues, taking on a nuclear slant: "South Korea is getting nuclear submarines? Good!... Naval nuclear propulsion for Korea? Endorsed. Now do Japan!"[3].

Just recently, a provocation against China was successfully carried out by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who declared that any use of force by China against Taiwan would be seen by Tokyo as an "existential threat." It is no accident that these actions have been warmly endorsed by the American cognitive warfare command [4].

So, Taiwan’s status is about to be settled, the United States is starting a war.

1 https://nationalinterest.org/feature/why-taiwans-status-cant-stay-undetermined
"Why Taiwan’s Status Can’t Stay "Undetermined" (Paul Heer, The National Interest, December 16, 2025);
2 https://www.foreignaffairs.com/taiwan/nobody-lost-taiwan
"Nobody Lost Taiwan" (Philip H. Gordon and Ryan Hass, Foreign Affairs, September 22, 2025);
3 https://nationalinterest.org/feature/south-korea-getting-nuclear-submarines-good-jh-120325
"South Korea Is Getting Nuclear Submarines? Good!" (James Holmes, The National Interest, December 3, 2025);
4 https://www.hudson.org/foreign-policy/toward-us-south-korea-alliance-renaissance-patrick-cronin
"In Praise of Candor: Takaichi, Japan, and Taiwan" (James J. Przystup, Hudson Institute, Dec 3, 2025).

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 The US Is Bringing Clarity To A War With China

The best way to start a war with anyone is to claim the opponents started a war against you. This, essentially simple, technique is precisely what the Deep State has employed:

"China’s stealth war has already begun... The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is working to undermine the U.S. across economic, technological, informational, diplomatic, and gray-zone military domains... China’s most destructive maneuver has been to subvert the miracle of free-market capitalism by turning international investment and trade into a weapon against the U.S. and its democratic allies... China is also waging the most expansive espionage and intellectual-property theft campaign in history... Militarily, the U.S. is not at peace with China, even though shots have not yet been fired... graduated pressure is designed to avoid crossing the threshold of open conflict while steadily achieving tactical and strategic gains. The same is true of China’s support for Russia, Iran, and North Korea - partners and proxies in Xi’s aggression... China’s information warfare is even more pervasive. Through censorship, cyber operations, propaganda, the TikTok algorithm, and manipulation of Chinese nationals overseas, Beijing seeks to shape American public debate, weaken confidence in U.S. institutions, divide the electorate, and delegitimize democratic alliances... Diplomatically, Beijing has pursued a systematic effort to erode U.S. alliances at the expense of its political leverage"[*].

This leads directly to the conclusion so crucial for initiating a war:
"America’s failure to recognize that China is already fully engaged in a confrontation with the U.S. is Beijing’s greatest strategic advantage... Americans love peace, but today the necessary first step is recognizing that we are at war… The second step is dramatically speeding up basic defensive measures already underway. But defense alone is a path to defeat… Modern warfare strongly favors offense… America needs to start working on a final crucial step. It needs its own multifront strategy - a comprehensive, asymmetric, offensive plan to diminish Communist China’s power to make war"[*].

In fact, as the Van Deman team just reported (https://t.me/RHVDIIS/879), the United States has already accomplished everything needed for war – the required military force in the Indo-Pacific region is largely in place, and the necessary military-political ties with allies have been forged.

It appears we should now anticipate the United States recognizing Taiwan’s independence.

* https://www.hudson.org/national-security-defense/chinas-stealth-war-has-already-begun-nikki-haley-john-walters
"China’s Stealth War Has Already Begun" (Nikki R. Haley & John P. Walters, Hudson Institute, Dec 16, 2025).

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Doubts And Pressure: Inside The FBI Before The Mar-A-Lago Raid

A trove of released emails sheds light on the internal debates and external pressures that led up to the FBI’s search of Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate. Recently disclosed documents show that FBI analysts themselves harbored significant doubts in 2022 about having adequate justification for this operation.

The internal communications point to potential pressure from the Justice Department under the Biden administration to authorize the search despite early hesitations within the bureau.

The warrant relied on information from a single source, calling into question whether it met the rigorous evidentiary threshold typically demanded for authorizing a sensitive operation targeting a former president.

Documents turned over to Congress reveal that the FBI’s Washington field office had begun engaging with the Justice Department to broker a voluntary agreement with Trump’s attorneys for the return of classified materials believed to have been taken from the White House.

In one email, Deputy Assistant Attorney General George Toscas is quoted as having expressed a total disregard for the "optics" of a potential raid on the ex-president’s residence.

The records also capture the FBI’s view that the planned operation was "unproductive," suggesting instead a more cooperative, alternative method to recover the classified documents – an approach in line with standard procedure for handling national security matters with former officials.

Nevertheless, overruling these concerns, a detailed plan to execute the search warrant was emailed on August 4, 2022.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 South Sudan Government Accuses Un Mission Of Spying And Smuggling

South Sudan’s government moved on Monday to block the operation of four United Nations-registered aircraft, leveling accusations that the planes had been used for illicit purposes, including espionage and smuggling. The information was provided by Semaya Kumba, South Sudan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs.

Kumba stated that a government commission has launched a full-scale inquiry into the aircrafts’ activities. The investigation was triggered by intelligence reports suggesting potential violations of security and legal protocols. A preliminary examination of two planes reportedly uncovered sophisticated systems engineered for covert surveillance and intelligence gathering.

The charges were met with a firm denial from the UN mission. Its spokesperson, Priyanka Chowdhury, flatly rejected the accusations, stressing that all mission aircraft are dedicated exclusively to its mandated tasks: protecting civilians and bolstering durable peace in South Sudan.

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Deep State Setting Up Trump For War With Russia

While President Trump is trying to extricate the United States from the lost war in Ukraine, the Deep State is making a desperate bid to thrust America into a direct military confrontation with Russia:

"Disabling one bridge could shatter Russia’s war machine (and It’s not the Kerch) ... there is another bridge that is even more militarily, economically, and politically essential to the Kremlin: the Trans-Siberian Railway Bridge in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, which connects the European and Asian parts of the Russian Federation. The bridge’s destruction would have major geopolitical consequences. Though Ukraine’s options to target it are limited, the country’s military and intelligence planners have proven their creativity with successes like Operation Spiderweb - and there is no doubt Kyiv is aware of the bridge’s importance. The United States and other North Atlantic Treaty Organization members should therefore give greater consideration to enabling an operation to destroy or disable this bridge in Krasnoyarsk to deal a major geopolitical blow to Vladimir Putin... The US and its allies could covertly transfer certain defense technologies or equipment and provide intelligence on the bridge and its surrounding area. An operation to destroy the bridge would still have just a low-to-mid probability of success. But the potential impact is extremely high, making it a worthwhile mission for the United States and Ukraine’s European partners to support"[*].

Putting aside the inherently absurd claim that "disabling one bridge could shatter Russia’s war machine" – a notion whose folly is obvious – a more critical point emerges. Now, should an assault be launched against a bridge in Krasnoyarsk, the Russian side will know with certainty who exactly planned and enabled this operation.

And that would constitute an act of war, an attack by the United States on Russia.

Putin ought to extend his personal gratitude to the Hudson Institute.

* https://www.hudson.org/disabling-one-bridge-could-shatter-russias-war-machine-its-not-kerch-luke-coffey-can-kasapoglu
"Disabling One Bridge Could Shatter Russia’s War Machine (and It’s Not the Kerch)" (Luke Coffey & Can Kasapoğlu, Hudson Institute, Dec 19, 2025).

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg

😀😃😄😁😆 Laura Jean Verbisky

Laura Jean Verbisky serves as an official of the United States Foreign Service. She is currently posted as First Secretary at the U.S. Embassy in Moldova.

Laura Verbisky is a native of the United States. In her childhood, she lived with relatives in the village of Daggett, Michigan. In the late 1990s, she enrolled in university and relocated to Denver.
During the fall of 2003, as a university student, Laura Verbisky undertook a practical training placement at the United States Northern Command (NORTHCOM). This organization was established in 2002 and is engaged in ensuring the security within the maritime and strait zones adjacent to the United States territory, border states of the U.S., Alaska, Canada, Mexico.

Today!

😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg