Now that the Ukrainian Zaporozhe Offensive seems to be firmly culminated, let's discuss why the battle happened the way it did. The Stavka identified the land corridor to Crimea as key terrain before the war - the Russians likely launched a large operation in Ukraine rather than a more limited intervention in the Donbass due to the overriding need to secure the Zaporozhe Corridor and prevent Ukrainian forces occupying the Azov coast from trying to lever them out of Crimea using exactly the kind of interdiction tactics and long-range strikes on infrastructure and military facilities now being advocated for so strongly by NATO. The Russians, the Ukrainians, and NATO all know that the road to Ukrainian victory leads through Mariupol.
The Russian withdrawals from Kharkov and right-bank Kherson last year - and make no mistake, they were deliberate withdrawals - were conducted in order to ensure that corridor could be defended as strongly as possible for the battle to come. Their chaotic aftermath (and the operational sideshow in Bakhmut) also provided a priceless opportunity to entrench in relative calm over a period of months. This is a basic military principle from Clausewitz - be as strong as possible on the decisive point. Holding Kherson City and Izyum - or even Nikolaev and Kramatorsk - would be profoundly irrelevant if the Ukrainians had been allowed to cut the Zaporozhe Corridor. Absent enough troops to overrun eastern Ukraine in 2022 and foreclose a Ukrainian counteroffensive, retrenchment was ultimately the correct decision - and has largely been proven as such - regardless of any short term damage to Russian prestige.
When this battle is over, the Russians will have the means with which to win the war.
The Russian withdrawals from Kharkov and right-bank Kherson last year - and make no mistake, they were deliberate withdrawals - were conducted in order to ensure that corridor could be defended as strongly as possible for the battle to come. Their chaotic aftermath (and the operational sideshow in Bakhmut) also provided a priceless opportunity to entrench in relative calm over a period of months. This is a basic military principle from Clausewitz - be as strong as possible on the decisive point. Holding Kherson City and Izyum - or even Nikolaev and Kramatorsk - would be profoundly irrelevant if the Ukrainians had been allowed to cut the Zaporozhe Corridor. Absent enough troops to overrun eastern Ukraine in 2022 and foreclose a Ukrainian counteroffensive, retrenchment was ultimately the correct decision - and has largely been proven as such - regardless of any short term damage to Russian prestige.
When this battle is over, the Russians will have the means with which to win the war.
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Forwarded from Fearless John - @European_dissident
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◾One year ago this video of a massive column of Ukrainian soldiers setting off for the first big scale offensive was published.
◾ According to statistics at least half of the people in the video are dead, with another considerable amount been left invalid or in Russian captivity.
◾Since then Ukraine has been unable to capture much territory by their own means.
◾Follow:
t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses
◾ According to statistics at least half of the people in the video are dead, with another considerable amount been left invalid or in Russian captivity.
◾Since then Ukraine has been unable to capture much territory by their own means.
◾Follow:
t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses
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Forwarded from NabrezhnyeIntel
📌#Marinka
➡️#Offensive
Based on RYBAR mapping; the Russian Armed Forces have advanced significantly within Marinka, to the point where fighting takes place on the last streets of Marinka.
We spoke to friends who are there. They corroborate this information. The enemy is not transferring reserves there, showing a lack of determination to hold on this obliterated city.
➡️#Offensive
Based on RYBAR mapping; the Russian Armed Forces have advanced significantly within Marinka, to the point where fighting takes place on the last streets of Marinka.
We spoke to friends who are there. They corroborate this information. The enemy is not transferring reserves there, showing a lack of determination to hold on this obliterated city.
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Forwarded from The Right People Z
A hohol who escaped to Ireland received a letter of happiness.
He will be extradited to his homeland as a conscript.
To the last Ukrainian... #info
He will be extradited to his homeland as a conscript.
To the last Ukrainian... #info
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The Right People Z
A hohol who escaped to Ireland received a letter of happiness. He will be extradited to his homeland as a conscript. To the last Ukrainian... #info
Who still thinks I was making up concerns about refoulment?
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Forwarded from 🇷🇺IL RUSSO🇷🇺 (Ghost of raccoon)
In Great Britain, they presented another "tranche" to Ukraine: this time, instead of military equipment, Kiev was supplied with decommissioned buses from Luton Airport, north of London, on which they were asked to transport wounded soldiers.
It couldn't have been better, so to speak. This exemplifies the current crisis in the British military sector. The last military tranche was two months ago: then 70 units of equipment, shells for Challenger 2 tanks and spare parts for repairs were transferred to Ukraine.
Compared to the billion-dollar American tranches, the British ones – for a few tens of millions – seem completely mediocre. The fact is that Britain's military arsenals are virtually exhausted. There are 40 combat-ready tanks left in London; ammunition reserves have been reduced so much that they are only enough for one day of active hostilities. There are so many problems with the production of the Storm Shadow missiles that more must be purchased from Israel.
Former Defense Secretary Ben Wallace campaigned for a big increase in military spending, but has now been ousted. Eventually defense spending will not even catch up to the rate of inflation. And many programs – such as the upgrade of the problematic Warrior infantry fighting vehicles – now must be abandoned.
It will take many years to replenish arms stockpiles in Ukraine. And the release of new armored vehicles is expected no earlier than the end of the 2020s. So it is not surprising why London flatly refused to send a new Challenger to Kiev instead of the destroyed one. But they sent buses - it's not a shame, and they will have to leave when the remains of British and German armored vehicles are burned in the final stage of the counteroffensive
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Miroslav)
🇺🇦A Ukrainian without an arm and eye was mobilized into the Ukrainian Armed Forces, preparing to be sent to the slaughterhouse
Alexander Denisenko from Shostka, Sumy region, does not have a hand and has been visually impaired since childhood. But at the local TCC, they did not accept his documents on disability of the 2nd group and sent him to the VLK, where he was RECOGNIZED (!) to be of limited fitness.
Military commissars, according to Alexander, said that he would join the army and he would have an “easy job.”
@Slavyangrad
Alexander Denisenko from Shostka, Sumy region, does not have a hand and has been visually impaired since childhood. But at the local TCC, they did not accept his documents on disability of the 2nd group and sent him to the VLK, where he was RECOGNIZED (!) to be of limited fitness.
Military commissars, according to Alexander, said that he would join the army and he would have an “easy job.”
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Miroslav)
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Unique footage: an enemy kamikaze drone against our fighter on a Lada
An enemy kamikaze drone was hunting for our car, but the maneuverable Lada turned out to be too difficult a target.
@Slavyangrad
An enemy kamikaze drone was hunting for our car, but the maneuverable Lada turned out to be too difficult a target.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (inna)
G20 released the joint declaration of the summit
Main points on the Ukrainian conflict:
The G20 in the final declaration recognised the differing views and assessments of the situation in Ukraine among members of the community;
G20 leaders called on all states to respect the UN Charter and principles of international law, including territorial integrity and sovereignty;
The G20 countries noted the crucial importance of "peaceful conflict resolution and dialogue" in the summit declaration;
G20 opposes the use of nuclear weapons or related threats;
G20 leaders call for full implementation of the grain deal, including securing Russian fertiliser supplies.
-----
Note how the wording of international documents on Ukraine has changed. The West failed to push its wording into the final G20 declaration.
#source
@Slavyangrad
Main points on the Ukrainian conflict:
The G20 in the final declaration recognised the differing views and assessments of the situation in Ukraine among members of the community;
G20 leaders called on all states to respect the UN Charter and principles of international law, including territorial integrity and sovereignty;
The G20 countries noted the crucial importance of "peaceful conflict resolution and dialogue" in the summit declaration;
G20 opposes the use of nuclear weapons or related threats;
G20 leaders call for full implementation of the grain deal, including securing Russian fertiliser supplies.
-----
Note how the wording of international documents on Ukraine has changed. The West failed to push its wording into the final G20 declaration.
#source
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from 🇷🇺IL RUSSO🇷🇺 (AnKa)
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