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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Lloyd's of London is in talks with the United Nations over providing insurance cover for Ukrainian grain shipments if a new Black Sea corridor deal can be reached, its CEO John Neal told Reuters on Thursday.

NATO member Turkey is seeking to convince Russia to return to the so-called UN-brokered Black Sea Grain Initiative after Moscow withdrew in July, ending a year of protected exports from Ukrainian ports amid the war.

"Are we happy and able to continue to provide insurances in the event that a corridor can be re-operated and can be re-established? The answer to that is yes," Neal told Reuters in an interview.

"We are in active discussions with the UN about how that might happen," Neal said, adding that those conversations included the possibility that cover may need to be structured differently than before.

Securing insurance cover is crucial for shipments leaving Ukraine.

"Absent UN intervention and UN clearance, we would not sanction the insurance," Neal said.

The Lloyd's market estimated loss, net of reinsurance, from the Ukraine conflict was 1.4 billion pounds ($1.74 billion), he added.

๐Ÿป Still dreaming of the "grain deal"...

๐Ÿ”ด @DDGeopolitics
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DD Geopolitics
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Lloyd's of London is in talks with the United Nations over providing insurance cover for Ukrainian grain shipments if a new Black Sea corridor deal can be reached, its CEO John Neal told Reuters on Thursday. NATO member Turkey is seeking to convinceโ€ฆ
This is classic cart before horse stuff and emblematic of Western decisionmaking throughout the Ukrainian War - how about get into a position where the resumption of the infamous Grain Deal(tm) is a realistic possibility first and then go talk to Lloyd's about insurance instead of wasting everybody's time planning the details of a scenario that will never happen. Because right now the only grain leaving the Black Sea is Russian.
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According to Julian's employers, people living in the LDPR and even the Crimea are Ukrainians. So he's even wrong on his own terms.
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Forwarded from Levan Gudadze-Opinion (L G)
Austria will not extradite Ukrainian men of military age if Ukraine makes such a request , the country's Interior Ministry told Exxpress.

"It would be a massive encroachment on our statehood, we would never have done this," the ministry said.

According to the publication, there are 14,000 Ukrainians of military age in Austria.
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Forwarded from Geroman (geroman)
I have found a very interesting map where all known troop locations are marked - you can also see some battle history of those units - and the order of battle.
I will try to make a thread this weekend with some conclusions - especially about the northern sector.
(spoiler - that sector is not only being activated by RF "to take back Kupyansk" - the main purpose is to pull AFU reserves there AND train RF formations from "defensive skills" to attack formations - after that they are rotated to other sectors - and the next "less skilled" formations take over - that is why we saw an "operational pause" the last 2 weeks there)
https://google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=180u1IkUjtjpdJWnIC0AxTKSiqK4G6Pez&ll=49.55640120927178%2C38.30447506770795&z=9
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Forwarded from Defense Politics Asia
DeepStateUA's geolocation project - which did indeed show Ukrainian forces is mainly still stuck at Robotyne and some distance to the east of Novoprokopivka.

Of course, its unknown when was the latest update for the above (nor the range of date). But it does show that DeepState's mapping is highly accurate - and that DPA's mapping as a result is also largely accurate
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends
The car tires help camouflage aircraft from satellites filming in the radar range.
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Forwarded from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บIL RUSSO๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ (Ghost of raccoon)
โšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธOn the control of key villages in the south direction for the evening of 08/09/2023 by Boris Rozhin

1. Pentacles: no changes. Most are in the gray area. The enemy failed to take control of Pyatikhatki for 3 months.
2. Rabotinus: the enemy is sitting in the northern part, ours are sitting near the southern outskirts. The rest is a gray area. The enemy cannot take Rabotinus yet.
3. Verbovoe - under the full control of the RF Armed Forces.
4. Harvest โ€“ under the full control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces
5. Staromayorskoye - 2/3 is approximately under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the rest is a gray area.
6. Novodonetskoye - under the full control of the RF Armed Forces
7. Novomayorskoye - under full control of the RF Armed Forces
8. Zavitne Bazhannya - under the full control of the RF Armed Forces

In general, the enemy has not yet managed to establish the support zone of the Russian Armed Forces in the directions of the main attacks. Statements about โ€œpositive dynamicsโ€ and โ€œturning point of the first line of defenseโ€ are aimed at masking the failure of the strategic-operational plans of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the desire to delay the moment of official recognition of the failure of the offensive and the related domestic and foreign policy consequences.

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation confidently leads the strategic defensive operation in the southern direction to victory.

But until its completion, we will wait until the caps are launched. There is still a lot of difficult and bloody work to be doneโšก๏ธโšก๏ธโšก๏ธ
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Forwarded from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บIL RUSSO๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ (.โ€ขยฐ*ยฐโ€ข ะœะพั€ะธั ยฐ*ยฐโ€ข.)
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโšก๏ธโšก๏ธA big concert was held at the Saur-Grave memorial complex to mark the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Donbass from the Nazi invaders.โšก๏ธโšก๏ธ

SHAMAN, Alexander Buinov, Grigory Leps, Alexander Marshal, Olga Kormukhina, Dmitry Dyuzhev, Gosha Kutsenko, Askar Abdrazakov, Azamat Musagaliev, Denis Dorokhov, Rodion Gazmanov and other Russian artists performed at it.โšก๏ธโšก๏ธ
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บIL RUSSO๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
Video
Rather significant that the Russians can just hold a patriotic concert with a number of popular entertainers in the Donbass with no fear of Ukrainian attacks. Smacks of their telling Crimea-bound tourists to just use the MSRs in Zaporozhe over the summer when the bridge was out of service.

And yes, the SBU is exactly petty enough to want to murder Alexander Buinov.
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Forwarded from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บIL RUSSO๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ (Ghost of raccoon)
โ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธIn the heat of the Vremyevsky salient and Rabotino, Marinka was somehow forgotten.

The Ukrainian armed forces are practically eliminated from the remains of the village. A couple of enemy fortifications remain on the outskirts.

The Russian military controls practically the entire village


Best regardsโ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธ
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends (krrypt0s)
Expectation vs Reality. #Counteroffensive

@YepAdam_
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We are now on the third year of the Russians all dying from hypothermia in the winter and I, for one, feel like I am slowly going insane.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Zinderneuf)
Media is too big
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Nebenzya at the UN Security Council - about โ€œmobilizationโ€ in Ukraine:

Most Ukrainians understand perfectly well that the threat to them comes not from Russiaโ€™s actions, but from the criminal policies of the Zelensky regime. Now, in particular, this is a general mobilization, which has long been called โ€œmobilizationโ€ in Ukraine.

The fact is that NATO, as you know, is waging a hybrid war in Ukraine with Russia to the last Ukrainian. And the Ukrainians, after the failed counter-offensive, are already starting to run out and donโ€™t want to end up in a meat grinder. Therefore, military commissars are trying to catch anyone on the street.

Information has emerged that the European Union is ready to hand over men of military age to Kyiv, once again disregarding its principles and values. Ukrainian men quickly realized this and a campaign to move refugees to Russia, where several million Ukrainians have already found shelter, is gaining momentum on social networks.

Video โ€” @dimsmirnov175

#source:
https://t.me/ukraina_ru/168261

@Slavyangrad
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โ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธThe war in Ukraine will be able to end in 2023 - if the Russian army can completely block the entire AFU grouping on the left bank of the Dnieper. It seems that the Russian Federation has the strength for such an operation, blogger and presenter Alexander Semchenko suggested on the air โ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธโ˜„๏ธ

๐Ÿ‘ - he's right

๐Ÿคฌ - nonsense
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Now that the Ukrainian Zaporozhe Offensive seems to be firmly culminated, let's discuss why the battle happened the way it did. The Stavka identified the land corridor to Crimea as key terrain before the war - the Russians likely launched a large operation in Ukraine rather than a more limited intervention in the Donbass due to the overriding need to secure the Zaporozhe Corridor and prevent Ukrainian forces occupying the Azov coast from trying to lever them out of Crimea using exactly the kind of interdiction tactics and long-range strikes on infrastructure and military facilities now being advocated for so strongly by NATO. The Russians, the Ukrainians, and NATO all know that the road to Ukrainian victory leads through Mariupol.

The Russian withdrawals from Kharkov and right-bank Kherson last year - and make no mistake, they were deliberate withdrawals - were conducted in order to ensure that corridor could be defended as strongly as possible for the battle to come. Their chaotic aftermath (and the operational sideshow in Bakhmut) also provided a priceless opportunity to entrench in relative calm over a period of months. This is a basic military principle from Clausewitz - be as strong as possible on the decisive point. Holding Kherson City and Izyum - or even Nikolaev and Kramatorsk - would be profoundly irrelevant if the Ukrainians had been allowed to cut the Zaporozhe Corridor. Absent enough troops to overrun eastern Ukraine in 2022 and foreclose a Ukrainian counteroffensive, retrenchment was ultimately the correct decision - and has largely been proven as such - regardless of any short term damage to Russian prestige.

When this battle is over, the Russians will have the means with which to win the war.
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