At this stage in the war there are teenagers online doing better analysis than the CIA.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐บ๐ฆ๐ ๐ฅ ๐บ๐ฆ Comparing the moment of detonation of the AGM-88 HARM warhead from an old American training video [Photo 1] with the moment of the explosion in Konstantinovka [Photo 2]
As @milinfolive initially suspected, it looks like it was indeed an American "HARM" that struck Konstantinovka today.
๐ด @DDGeopolitics
As @milinfolive initially suspected, it looks like it was indeed an American "HARM" that struck Konstantinovka today.
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Forwarded from ๐ท๐บIL RUSSO๐ท๐บ (EkaterinA)
๐ฅ๐ฌ๐ฅ "Where do I click here?"
The UK press is ironising that another buffoon who doesn't even know how to hold a gun in his hand has been appointed to head the Ministry of Defence.๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
The UK press is ironising that another buffoon who doesn't even know how to hold a gun in his hand has been appointed to head the Ministry of Defence.๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ณ๐บ๐ฆ Lloyd's of London is in talks with the United Nations over providing insurance cover for Ukrainian grain shipments if a new Black Sea corridor deal can be reached, its CEO John Neal told Reuters on Thursday.
NATO member Turkey is seeking to convince Russia to return to the so-called UN-brokered Black Sea Grain Initiative after Moscow withdrew in July, ending a year of protected exports from Ukrainian ports amid the war.
"Are we happy and able to continue to provide insurances in the event that a corridor can be re-operated and can be re-established? The answer to that is yes," Neal told Reuters in an interview.
"We are in active discussions with the UN about how that might happen," Neal said, adding that those conversations included the possibility that cover may need to be structured differently than before.
Securing insurance cover is crucial for shipments leaving Ukraine.
"Absent UN intervention and UN clearance, we would not sanction the insurance," Neal said.
The Lloyd's market estimated loss, net of reinsurance, from the Ukraine conflict was 1.4 billion pounds ($1.74 billion), he added.
๐ป Still dreaming of the "grain deal"...
๐ด @DDGeopolitics
NATO member Turkey is seeking to convince Russia to return to the so-called UN-brokered Black Sea Grain Initiative after Moscow withdrew in July, ending a year of protected exports from Ukrainian ports amid the war.
"Are we happy and able to continue to provide insurances in the event that a corridor can be re-operated and can be re-established? The answer to that is yes," Neal told Reuters in an interview.
"We are in active discussions with the UN about how that might happen," Neal said, adding that those conversations included the possibility that cover may need to be structured differently than before.
Securing insurance cover is crucial for shipments leaving Ukraine.
"Absent UN intervention and UN clearance, we would not sanction the insurance," Neal said.
The Lloyd's market estimated loss, net of reinsurance, from the Ukraine conflict was 1.4 billion pounds ($1.74 billion), he added.
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DD Geopolitics
๐ฌ๐ง๐บ๐ณ๐บ๐ฆ Lloyd's of London is in talks with the United Nations over providing insurance cover for Ukrainian grain shipments if a new Black Sea corridor deal can be reached, its CEO John Neal told Reuters on Thursday. NATO member Turkey is seeking to convinceโฆ
This is classic cart before horse stuff and emblematic of Western decisionmaking throughout the Ukrainian War - how about get into a position where the resumption of the infamous Grain Deal(tm) is a realistic possibility first and then go talk to Lloyd's about insurance instead of wasting everybody's time planning the details of a scenario that will never happen. Because right now the only grain leaving the Black Sea is Russian.
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Forwarded from Levan Gudadze-Opinion (L G)
Austria will not extradite Ukrainian men of military age if Ukraine makes such a request , the country's Interior Ministry told Exxpress.
"It would be a massive encroachment on our statehood, we would never have done this," the ministry said.
According to the publication, there are 14,000 Ukrainians of military age in Austria.
"It would be a massive encroachment on our statehood, we would never have done this," the ministry said.
According to the publication, there are 14,000 Ukrainians of military age in Austria.
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Forwarded from Geroman (geroman)
I have found a very interesting map where all known troop locations are marked - you can also see some battle history of those units - and the order of battle.
I will try to make a thread this weekend with some conclusions - especially about the northern sector.
(spoiler - that sector is not only being activated by RF "to take back Kupyansk" - the main purpose is to pull AFU reserves there AND train RF formations from "defensive skills" to attack formations - after that they are rotated to other sectors - and the next "less skilled" formations take over - that is why we saw an "operational pause" the last 2 weeks there)
https://google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=180u1IkUjtjpdJWnIC0AxTKSiqK4G6Pez&ll=49.55640120927178%2C38.30447506770795&z=9
I will try to make a thread this weekend with some conclusions - especially about the northern sector.
(spoiler - that sector is not only being activated by RF "to take back Kupyansk" - the main purpose is to pull AFU reserves there AND train RF formations from "defensive skills" to attack formations - after that they are rotated to other sectors - and the next "less skilled" formations take over - that is why we saw an "operational pause" the last 2 weeks there)
https://google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=180u1IkUjtjpdJWnIC0AxTKSiqK4G6Pez&ll=49.55640120927178%2C38.30447506770795&z=9
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Forwarded from Defense Politics Asia
DeepStateUA's geolocation project - which did indeed show Ukrainian forces is mainly still stuck at Robotyne and some distance to the east of Novoprokopivka.
Of course, its unknown when was the latest update for the above (nor the range of date). But it does show that DeepState's mapping is highly accurate - and that DPA's mapping as a result is also largely accurate
Of course, its unknown when was the latest update for the above (nor the range of date). But it does show that DeepState's mapping is highly accurate - and that DPA's mapping as a result is also largely accurate
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends
The car tires help camouflage aircraft from satellites filming in the radar range.
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Forwarded from ๐ท๐บIL RUSSO๐ท๐บ (Ghost of raccoon)
1. Pentacles: no changes. Most are in the gray area. The enemy failed to take control of Pyatikhatki for 3 months.
2. Rabotinus: the enemy is sitting in the northern part, ours are sitting near the southern outskirts. The rest is a gray area. The enemy cannot take Rabotinus yet.
3. Verbovoe - under the full control of the RF Armed Forces.
4. Harvest โ under the full control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces
5. Staromayorskoye - 2/3 is approximately under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the rest is a gray area.
6. Novodonetskoye - under the full control of the RF Armed Forces
7. Novomayorskoye - under full control of the RF Armed Forces
8. Zavitne Bazhannya - under the full control of the RF Armed Forces
In general, the enemy has not yet managed to establish the support zone of the Russian Armed Forces in the directions of the main attacks. Statements about โpositive dynamicsโ and โturning point of the first line of defenseโ are aimed at masking the failure of the strategic-operational plans of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the desire to delay the moment of official recognition of the failure of the offensive and the related domestic and foreign policy consequences.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation confidently leads the strategic defensive operation in the southern direction to victory.
But until its completion, we will wait until the caps are launched. There is still a lot of difficult and bloody work to be done
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Forwarded from ๐ท๐บIL RUSSO๐ท๐บ (.โขยฐ*ยฐโข ะะพัะธั ยฐ*ยฐโข.)
๐ท๐บโก๏ธโก๏ธA big concert was held at the Saur-Grave memorial complex to mark the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Donbass from the Nazi invaders.โก๏ธโก๏ธ
SHAMAN, Alexander Buinov, Grigory Leps, Alexander Marshal, Olga Kormukhina, Dmitry Dyuzhev, Gosha Kutsenko, Askar Abdrazakov, Azamat Musagaliev, Denis Dorokhov, Rodion Gazmanov and other Russian artists performed at it.โก๏ธโก๏ธ
SHAMAN, Alexander Buinov, Grigory Leps, Alexander Marshal, Olga Kormukhina, Dmitry Dyuzhev, Gosha Kutsenko, Askar Abdrazakov, Azamat Musagaliev, Denis Dorokhov, Rodion Gazmanov and other Russian artists performed at it.โก๏ธโก๏ธ
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๐ท๐บIL RUSSO๐ท๐บ
Video
Rather significant that the Russians can just hold a patriotic concert with a number of popular entertainers in the Donbass with no fear of Ukrainian attacks. Smacks of their telling Crimea-bound tourists to just use the MSRs in Zaporozhe over the summer when the bridge was out of service.
And yes, the SBU is exactly petty enough to want to murder Alexander Buinov.
And yes, the SBU is exactly petty enough to want to murder Alexander Buinov.
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Forwarded from ๐ท๐บIL RUSSO๐ท๐บ (Ghost of raccoon)
The Ukrainian armed forces are practically eliminated from the remains of the village. A couple of enemy fortifications remain on the outskirts.
The Russian military controls practically the entire village
Best regards
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๐ท๐บIL RUSSO๐ท๐บ
Progress is progress!
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