Vampire Six
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇺🇦 Further analysis suggesting a Ukrainian Armed Forces strike on their own citizens in Konstantinovka

If the video is slowed down, we can briefly see a missile reflected on the roof of one of the cars that was targeted.

If the strike had been carried out by the Russian army, the missile would have come from a different direction and would not have appeared in the frame.

Via: @voenacher

🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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This is the state of the VSU reserves: One Mechanized, One Jaeger and One artillery brigade still yet to be committed along with what can best be described as four "Separate Rifle Battalions" that are labeled as Brigades. Understanding what means requires some understanding of Ukrainian Brigade usage.

The VSU uses brigade level units differently than what we imagine, Matt Davies has better analysis than me, but basically summarizing his discoveries: VSU Brigades often attach and detach various elements from them on battalion level. It's a quite schizophrenic version of the American «Brigade Combat Team» with very little cohesion. I will leave Matt to describe this in greater detail another time since he is extremely knowledgeable on this subject.

With all of this in mind, it is safe to say that the recent mobilization of the sick is no coincidence at all. The VSU has started to truly run out of manpower to fill units and if this was the goal of the VSRF, then they succeeded in it.
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Forwarded from 🇷🇺IL RUSSO🇷🇺 (Ghost of raccoon)
☄️☄️☄️When they tell you about the successes of the Ukrainian counter-offensive☄️☄️☄️
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Forwarded from 🇷🇺IL RUSSO🇷🇺 (Ghost of raccoon)
☄️☄️☄️A diplomatic source at RIA Novosti said Washington had informed Moscow in advance of Blinken's trip to Kiev☄️☄️☄️
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends
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🇩🇪“If you get stopped by police and you are a citizen of Ukrainian, you’ll get send to Ukraine.

They have begun sending letters to people’s homes already.”

So … Ukrainian refugees are getting sent back?
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends
🚨‼️ Russian units counterattacked Rabotino yesterday.

The Russian army was able to push the AFU back out of Rabotino. The previously lost southern outskirts are returned.

This happened during a rotation and assault preparation of the AFU. Which was disturbed and canceled.

Since Rabotino is essentially a killing field with no intact buildings, Russian units went back and took their position in the southern outskirts.

The village is in the grey zone again.

All this hype again for 0 progress. Zoom out and look at the progress over a period of time.

There is none, nothing strategically significant.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Zinderneuf)
https://t.me/SLGmaps/391?single

✍️⚡️The situation in the Bakhmut (Artemovsky) direction on 09/06/2023 - analysis from @Multi_XAM

Contrary to expectations, against the backdrop of a decrease in the intensity of fighting, the enemy resumed attacks in the Kleshcheevka area. Pro-Ukrainian publics report that 80% of the settlement is controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which is not true. The situation escalated on September 5, simultaneously with the offensive in the South-Donetsk direction.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine always strive to hide the direction of the main attack. If everything is clear with Novodonetsky - they are rushing to Volnovakha in order to cut the Donetsk-Mariupol highway, then no definitive actions are planned in the Bakhmut area. There is no necessary potential for this, and taking it will give Kyiv nothing but a media effect.

As a result of counterattacks over the past 2 weeks, we managed to squeeze the enemy out of Kleshcheevka and regain control over part of the heights west of the village. It cannot be said that we control Kleshcheevka, rather, most of it is under our fire control, which does not give the Armed Forces of Ukraine a chance to gain a foothold here. The eastern part is behind us.

The enemy is trying to stretch our advanced forces, due to strikes to the south - on Andreevka and Kurdyumovka by the forces of the 28th mechanized brigade, militants of the Belarusian Volunteer Corps, acting with support, 3rd Assault Brigade "Azov" and 3rd Tank Brigade. Conducts constant reconnaissance of our positions ( https://t.me/multi_XAM/755 ).

Northwest of Kleshcheevka, the enemy created supply problems for us by destroying the crossing over the canal, and continues to keep this area under fire control by increasing the arm for the supply of ammunition. It is possible to restrain the activity of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this area due to regular air strikes of the Russian Aerospace Forces on the front line.

On the northern flank - southeast of Soledar - the enemy does not abandon attempts to establish control over the T-13-02 highway. However, in general, the situation in this area is stable. According to the Kirpichi VP channel , positional battles continue in the Berkhovka area ( https://t.me/kirpichiOP/3352 ), where our units partially pushed the enemy further south to the reservoir.

@Multi_XAM


#source

@Slavyangrad
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This is about where I would expect most AFU vehicle losses to start piling up, it's entering the effective range of Russian direct fire weapons and I believe this is confirmed as a Kornet kill.

This is by the way why most fighting further south is just Ukrainian infantry - they're the leading edge of the assaults.
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Slavyangrad
https://t.me/SLGmaps/391?single ✍️⚡️The situation in the Bakhmut (Artemovsky) direction on 09/06/2023 - analysis from @Multi_XAM Contrary to expectations, against the backdrop of a decrease in the intensity of fighting, the enemy resumed attacks in the Kleshcheevka…
I pointed out on Twitter earlier that the earlier Ukrainian mass surrender north of Klescheevka likely handed the Russians a portion of the dominant high ground to the west of town, rendering any gains in the town itself unsustainable. Quite a clever tactical maneuver.
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Why the hell does everyone think my handle is Armchair Warrior.
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At this stage in the war there are teenagers online doing better analysis than the CIA.
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇺🇦🚀💥🇺🇦 Comparing the moment of detonation of the AGM-88 HARM warhead from an old American training video [Photo 1] with the moment of the explosion in Konstantinovka [Photo 2]

As @milinfolive initially suspected, it looks like it was indeed an American "HARM" that struck Konstantinovka today.

🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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Forwarded from 🇷🇺IL RUSSO🇷🇺 (EkaterinA)
💥💬💥 "Where do I click here?"

The UK press is ironising that another buffoon who doesn't even know how to hold a gun in his hand has been appointed to head the Ministry of Defence.💥💥💥
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇬🇧🇺🇳🇺🇦 Lloyd's of London is in talks with the United Nations over providing insurance cover for Ukrainian grain shipments if a new Black Sea corridor deal can be reached, its CEO John Neal told Reuters on Thursday.

NATO member Turkey is seeking to convince Russia to return to the so-called UN-brokered Black Sea Grain Initiative after Moscow withdrew in July, ending a year of protected exports from Ukrainian ports amid the war.

"Are we happy and able to continue to provide insurances in the event that a corridor can be re-operated and can be re-established? The answer to that is yes," Neal told Reuters in an interview.

"We are in active discussions with the UN about how that might happen," Neal said, adding that those conversations included the possibility that cover may need to be structured differently than before.

Securing insurance cover is crucial for shipments leaving Ukraine.

"Absent UN intervention and UN clearance, we would not sanction the insurance," Neal said.

The Lloyd's market estimated loss, net of reinsurance, from the Ukraine conflict was 1.4 billion pounds ($1.74 billion), he added.

🐻 Still dreaming of the "grain deal"...

🔴 @DDGeopolitics
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DD Geopolitics
🇬🇧🇺🇳🇺🇦 Lloyd's of London is in talks with the United Nations over providing insurance cover for Ukrainian grain shipments if a new Black Sea corridor deal can be reached, its CEO John Neal told Reuters on Thursday. NATO member Turkey is seeking to convince…
This is classic cart before horse stuff and emblematic of Western decisionmaking throughout the Ukrainian War - how about get into a position where the resumption of the infamous Grain Deal(tm) is a realistic possibility first and then go talk to Lloyd's about insurance instead of wasting everybody's time planning the details of a scenario that will never happen. Because right now the only grain leaving the Black Sea is Russian.
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According to Julian's employers, people living in the LDPR and even the Crimea are Ukrainians. So he's even wrong on his own terms.
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