@PanzerWaffle analyses Ukrainian losses based on the number of amputees and recipients of prosthetic limbs among the Ukrainian fighters. @Slavyangrad has summarized the numbers based on the calculations suggests by the channel in the chart above.

PART I | PART II

► Why is this important?

Over the past century and a half, humanity has accumulated and tabulated a huge amount of data on losses in the two World Wars and in dozens of smaller conflicts. The number of soldiers with amputated limbs is an indicator which allows one to estimate the losses of the AFU as a whole.

For France in World War I, for example, this figure was about 2-2.5 percent of the total number of wounded. There is also more recent data. For example, the U.S. lost 7,076 servicemen killed (KIA) and 53,337 wounded (WIA) during the 20 years of the "war on terrorism" in Iraq and Afghanistan. Between 2001 and 2011, 2,037 US troops lost one or more limbs in combat. The total results in a killed-to-wounded ratio of 1 to 7.5 and an amputation rate of 4 percent.

The ratio has increased because the medical evacuation system and field medicine in general have evolved greatly over the last century. A significant number of those wounded in the battles of World War I did not survive to evacuation or hospitalization.

Among the first things that the AFU sought to change to approximate Western standards was the medical evacuation system. So the American figures can be used as a base for the calculations, with the caveat that the conflict in Ukraine is heavily dominated by the artillery, which is reflected in the number of casualties and the nature of injuries.

If we assume that the WSJ's lower estimate of 20,000 amputees represents 4% of all wounded, then 100% of the wounded will be 500,000 people. Applying the traditional one-to-three casualty ratio to the resulting data—since that is what would be typical for an artillery war in the style of WWI and WWII—we get 150-160 thousand killed AFU servicemen.

Thus, the sanitary and irrecoverable losses of Ukrainian armed formations can range from 550 thousand to 650 thousand people, using just the minimum estimated figures.

► Is this estimate realistic?

Quite. It is supported by the number of Ukrainian cemeteries that have grown over the past 17 months (and by their rampant growth), the desperate permanent mobilization in Ukraine, and the noticeably decreased quality of the military personnel. Mobilized men aged 45-50—without a military specialty but with a long list of chronic diseases—have become the norm over the past two months.

The last two criteria—age and quality—are clear indicators of the depletion of mobilization reserves, as well as one of the signs of the growth of another problem—the depletion of the reserve of specialists, without whom modern industrial warfare cannot be conducted.

@Slavyangrad
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🇺🇦In Ukraine, all regional military commissars will be fired, Zelensky said following the meeting of the National Security and Defense Council.

"This system should be managed by people who know exactly what war is and why cynicism and bribery during the war is treason. Warriors who went through the front or cannot be in the trenches because they lost their health, lost limbs, but retained their dignity and do not have cynicism - they can be trusted with this recruitment system," Zelensky said.

Zaluzhny was instructed to choose new military commissars. Before their appointment, the SBU will check them.

🐻 Too much corruption and military commissars were making too much money for not sending people to the front by being bribed,now they will be replaced with someone more willing to send people to the fronts... To the last Ukrainian

🔴 @DDGeopolitics

🇺🇦☠️⚰️Economist: remains of dead Soviet soldiers are exhumed in Lvov for the funeral

In Lvov, it is necessary to exhume the remains of the dead of the Soviet period in order to bury the Ukrainian soldiers, who could not find a place in the cemetery, the Economist reports.

Earlier, the Lvov City Hall reported that the remains of 653 people were exhumed at the memorial cemetery on the Field of Mars, where the graves of fallen soldiers of the First World War and the Soviet period were located. According to the Lvov authorities, the remains are planned to be moved to another cemetery.

The magazine tells about Vitaly Chekovsky, who, along with two colleagues, was buried on August 4 at the Lychakovsky cemetery. According to the newspaper, a few weeks ago someone else was buried in this grave.

🔴 @DDGeopolitics