Vampire Six
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Anime waifus; Military news, updates and analysis
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If anyone's curious about the channel name, Vampire Six was my old callsign.
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Yes, I actually went down to the the 1st Armored Division's commo shop and had them change my company's callsign to Vampire. Six is the traditional US designation for the commander.
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Rob Lee blocked me, what a lolcow
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad
The Severodonetsk Cauldron Update—Vladislav Ugolny SitRep, May 8, 2022

1—The ambassador of LNR (Lugansk People’s Republic) to Russia has reported about the withdrawal of a Ukrainian brigade from Lisichansk and the clashes in Belogorovka, Shipilovka, and Privolye. This area is marked with (1) on the map.

2—This information confirms that the Allied forces have crossed the Seversky Donets river. It appears that the river crossing to the west of Serebryanka, which the Ukrainians destroyed, was nothing more than a ruse and cover for the real operation to traverse the river.

3—This development significantly worsens the operations situation for the Ukrainian troops in Lisichansk. The ability of the Russian forces to strike the highway between Lisichansk and Artyomovsk and suppress enemy activity along this supply route makes the situation for the Ukrainian troops even worse. For greater control, the Russian army needs to establish a bridgehead on the right (western) bank of Donets in this area, but the Ukrainian side is already in panic.

4—In the south, despite the Allied forces’ liberation of Popasnaya and forward movement in the Bakhmutka area, the Ukrainian army retains a stronghold in Zolotoy (which has added symbolism, as a place where Biletsky’s neo-Nazi National Corps organized the “Last Checkpoint” campaign to protest Poroshenko’s “capitulation” and the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops. He said, at the rally in 2019, “This is our last checkpoint, and we will never leave it.”) Notwithstanding Biletsky’s protestations, Zolotoy will be surrounded in the event Toshkovka and Vrubovka are taken. The Zolotoy strongpoint is marked with (2) on the map.

5—The success of the offensive in this area depends on the Ukrainian troops numbers. It is not entirely clear where the units of the Ukrainian 24th Mechanized Brigade retreated to [while some reports claimed that the remnants of the brigade headed to Artyomovsk (Bakhmut), Ukrainian sources claim that the 24th Brigade has retreated to nearby fortified positions previously prepared for the purpose]. It is also not clear which unit has withdrawn from Lisichansk and where it is headed.

6—The defence of Severodonetsk no longer has any operational significance for the Ukrainian army. The fact that troops were kept here indicates only the Ukrainian desire to erase the city off the map in the course a protracted battle. However, the Ukrainian Nazis have already provoked a humanitarian catastrophe: The Popasnaya water canal has been damaged and its restoration will take a long period of time.

7—For the Russian forces, these developments have the following significance:

a) The long-awaited reduction of the line of front, with the ability either to transfer reserves to other directions or to increase the density of the troops concentrations in the direction of Seversk and Artyomovsk.

b) A important victory and achievement in the form of complete liberation of the territory of the Lugansk People’s Republic.

c) Any delay by the Ukrainian forces in retreating will increase the chances of their encirclement.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad
Zmeiny Island Update—Combined Sources—May 9, 2019

1—The battle for the Zmeiny Island and the losses of the Ukrainian forces there are being compared, sardonically, to the Battle of Midway. The Ukrainian army has lost 8 (eight) aircraft and 10 (ten) helicopters over the course of one day.

2—It is likely that most of the helicopters were struck while at an intermediate jump landing site, en route to Zmeiny, by four Onyx missiles launched by the Russian forces from Crimea. Unlike Kalibr, Onyx missiles are supersonic, with speed up to 3,000 km/hour. That is why they were used to attack the helicopters, so as not to allow them time to escape the strike.

3—As a result, the Ukrainian air force never made it to Zmeiny island today. After the attack using Onyx missiles on the Chervonoglinsky aerodrome, the Ukrainian Su aircraft turned around halfway to the island. From the intermediate jump landing site in Izmail, the Ukrainian air assets were flown to the north.

4—The Zmeiny island is once again under the control of the Russian forces. [GB: although, judging from a closer reading of the statement of the Russian Ministry of Defence, the defending unit of the Russian army may never have left the island in the first place.]

5—The significant losses of the Ukrainian army are reflected in Rybar's most recent report, for May 9, 2022, as based on the internal conservative estimate reports of the Ukrainian General Staff.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad
The Severodonetsk Cauldron Update—Vladislav Ugolny SitRep, May 8, 2022

1—The ambassador of LNR (Lugansk People’s Republic) to Russia has reported about the withdrawal of a Ukrainian brigade from Lisichansk and the clashes in Belogorovka, Shipilovka, and Privolye. This area is marked with (1) on the map.

2—This information confirms that the Allied forces have crossed the Seversky Donets river. It appears that the river crossing to the west of Serebryanka, which the Ukrainians destroyed, was nothing more than a ruse and cover for the real operation to traverse the waterway.

3—This development significantly worsens the operational situation for the Ukrainian troops in Lisichansk. The ability of the Russian forces to strike the highway between Lisichansk and Artyomovsk and suppress enemy activity along this supply route makes the situation for the Ukrainian troops even worse. For greater control, the Russian army needs to establish a bridgehead on the right (western) bank of Donets in this area, but the Ukrainian side is already in panic.

4—In the south, despite the Allied forces’ liberation of Popasnaya and forward movement in the Bakhmutka area, the Ukrainian army retains a stronghold in Zolotoy (which has added symbolism, as a place where Biletsky’s neo-Nazi National Corps organized the “Last Checkpoint” campaign to protest Poroshenko’s “capitulation” and the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops. He said, at the rally in 2019, “This is our last checkpoint, and we will never leave it.”) Notwithstanding Biletsky’s protestations, Zolotoy will be surrounded in the event Toshkovka and Vrubovka are taken. The Zolotoy strongpoint is marked with (2) on the map.

5—The success of the offensive in this area depends on the Ukrainian troops numbers. It is not entirely clear where the units of the Ukrainian 24th Mechanized Brigade retreated to [while some reports claimed that the remnants of the brigade headed to Artyomovsk (Bakhmut), Ukrainian sources claim that the 24th Brigade has retreated to nearby fortified positions previously prepared for the purpose]. It is also not clear which unit has withdrawn from Lisichansk and where it is headed.

6—The defence of Severodonetsk no longer has any operational significance for the Ukrainian army. The fact that troops were kept here indicates only the Ukrainian desire to erase the city off the map in the course a protracted battle. However, the Ukrainian Nazis have already provoked a humanitarian catastrophe: The Popasnaya water canal has been damaged and its restoration will take a long period of time.

7—For the Russian forces, these developments have the following significance:

a) The long-awaited reduction of the line of front, with the ability either to transfer reserves to other directions or to increase the density of the troops concentrations in the direction of Seversk and Artyomovsk.

b) An important victory and achievement in the form of complete liberation of the territory of the Lugansk People’s Republic.

c) Any delay by the Ukrainian forces in retreating will increase the chances of their encirclement.
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Donbass Devushka reposting my Twitter analysis. ;)
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics (Scott)
Russia appears to be solidly across the Seversky Donets near Belgorovka.

This shuts down the main supply route (MSR) into Severodonetsk-Lisichansk and basically unhinges the entire position. Between this move and Nizhyn the AFU's going to be off-roading soon to move in/out.

@armchairW
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
🇺🇦 Ukrainian telegram channel

"Our source in the OP said that in the last two weeks we have lost more Bayraktar TB2s than in the entire war. The failure of the operation to storm the Snake island and unsuccessful flights to military facilities in Russia cost us 50 Bayraktar. The Turkish side has already expressed its dissatisfaction with the use of drones, but the General Staff has its own vision on the use of Bayraktar TB2"
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