Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
🇺🇸 DATA MACRO U.S 🇺🇸
This week we had some important data to watch regarding the macroeconomic health of the U.S :
🔹PCE
🔹GDP
🔹Durable Goods Orders
🔹Jobless Claims
A quick note on the current macro environment before getting started.
Although a peace agreement was signed between the U.S. and Iran, the situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains unstable, as evidenced by what happened this past weekend.
Following an Iranian drone strike on a tanker crossing the strait, the U.S. conducted str...
🇺🇸 DATA MACRO U.S 🇺🇸
This week we had some important data to watch regarding the macroeconomic health of the U.S :
🔹PCE
🔹GDP
🔹Durable Goods Orders
🔹Jobless Claims
A quick note on the current macro environment before getting started.
Although a peace agreement was signed between the U.S. and Iran, the situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains unstable, as evidenced by what happened this past weekend.
Following an Iranian drone strike on a tanker crossing the strait, the U.S. conducted str...
Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 PCE Inflation
The Fed's #1 index for tracking inflation
This index tracks the evolution of consumer goods prices. It is calculated differently and more frequently than the CPI, and covers a broader basket of goods, such as health insurance.
Core PCE (the Fed's preferred measure) excludes food and energy (reducing volatility).
The higher inflation rises, the more restrictive the Fed will be.
Core PCE MoM : 0.3%, Previous 0.3%, Forecast 0.2% 🚨
Core PCE YoY : 3.4%, Prev...
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 PCE Inflation
The Fed's #1 index for tracking inflation
This index tracks the evolution of consumer goods prices. It is calculated differently and more frequently than the CPI, and covers a broader basket of goods, such as health insurance.
Core PCE (the Fed's preferred measure) excludes food and energy (reducing volatility).
The higher inflation rises, the more restrictive the Fed will be.
Core PCE MoM : 0.3%, Previous 0.3%, Forecast 0.2% 🚨
Core PCE YoY : 3.4%, Prev...
Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 GDP Growth Rate
This is THE headline figure for a country's economic output.
Financial markets use this measure to anticipate economic cycles and adjust their investment strategies.
Q1 final : 2.1%, Previous 0.5%, Forecast 1.6% ✅
👉 These figures are highly significant as they restore visibility we had lost in Q4 due to the government shutdown.
At a time when we are dealing with sticky inflation, it was critical that economic growth held up.
These numbers slightly ea...
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 GDP Growth Rate
This is THE headline figure for a country's economic output.
Financial markets use this measure to anticipate economic cycles and adjust their investment strategies.
Q1 final : 2.1%, Previous 0.5%, Forecast 1.6% ✅
👉 These figures are highly significant as they restore visibility we had lost in Q4 due to the government shutdown.
At a time when we are dealing with sticky inflation, it was critical that economic growth held up.
These numbers slightly ea...
Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 Durable Goods Orders
These are orders for durable goods across sectors such as transportation, defense, aviation, and beyond.
This index can have a significant impact on GDP figures, which is why it is worth monitoring closely.
Durable Goods Orders MoM : -4.5%, Previous 8.5%, Forecast 4% ✅
👉 These are again lagging data points.
It may seem paradoxical to view these figures as a positive, but given that GDP proved solid in Q1, a decline in durable goods orders is not...
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 Durable Goods Orders
These are orders for durable goods across sectors such as transportation, defense, aviation, and beyond.
This index can have a significant impact on GDP figures, which is why it is worth monitoring closely.
Durable Goods Orders MoM : -4.5%, Previous 8.5%, Forecast 4% ✅
👉 These are again lagging data points.
It may seem paradoxical to view these figures as a positive, but given that GDP proved solid in Q1, a decline in durable goods orders is not...
Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊Jobless claims
They are needed depending on inflation, but not too many.
Too many would increase recession risk, which is not the case today.
Unemployment ➡️ Lower purchasing power ➡️ Lower consumption ➡️ Lower inflation.
Weekly initial claims : 215k – Previous 227k – Expected 225k ✅
Continuing claims : 1821k – Previous 1800k – Expected 1815k ✅ (chart)
👉 Given that GDP has demonstrated a degree of resilience, we can hope that rising unemployment will help curb consump...
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊Jobless claims
They are needed depending on inflation, but not too many.
Too many would increase recession risk, which is not the case today.
Unemployment ➡️ Lower purchasing power ➡️ Lower consumption ➡️ Lower inflation.
Weekly initial claims : 215k – Previous 227k – Expected 225k ✅
Continuing claims : 1821k – Previous 1800k – Expected 1815k ✅ (chart)
👉 Given that GDP has demonstrated a degree of resilience, we can hope that rising unemployment will help curb consump...
Julian Goldie SEO:
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Olavo é do Brasil:
A Dominação do Comunismo na Igreja Católica | Olavo de Carvalho
A Dominação do Comunismo na Igreja Católica | Olavo de Carvalho
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A Dominação do Comunismo na Igreja Católica | Olavo de Carvalho
Fuja do senso comum e das narrativas prontas. Este canal é dedicado à preservação e difusão do pensamento de Olavo de Carvalho, mergulhando na filosofia, na alta cultura e na análise das camadas da realidade.
Aqui, a prioridade é a clareza intelectual e…
Aqui, a prioridade é a clareza intelectual e…