Joao Wedson
Are Bitcoin miners on vacation?
Back in January, I pointed out that Bitcoin mining had not yet capitulated.
Shortly after, price dropped from ~$96K to near $60K.
Hash Rate recovered slightly, but is now weakening again.
In other words, the mining sector is losing momentum, and many ASICs across multiple companies are either idle or turned off.
This trend suggests a decline in total mining power.
There are two possible paths for the mining sector:
1. Hardware innovation
New ASIC architectures with better performance and lower energy consumption.
The challenge is that most companies already made heavy investments between 2023–2024, making another upgrade cycle difficult in the short term.
2. Compute reduction and consolidation
Reducing hash power to survive until capitulation ends.
This would likely crush smaller miners with tight margins, while larger players gain even more control over the network.
As usual, when mining enters capitulation, miners tend to increase selling pressure on BTC.
But one thing must be said:
Miners are among the most resilient participants in the ecosystem.
They are used to enduring -70% to -80% bear markets, more than most.
This is why on-chain mining metrics are so important.
Throughout 2025, signals were already pointing to stress in the sector and it played out: a cycle top followed by a bear phase.
Analysts should pay closer attention to Bitcoin mining dynamics to better anticipate market opportunities.
Data: https://xcancel.com/joao_wedson/status/2012918756368912777
Are Bitcoin miners on vacation?
Back in January, I pointed out that Bitcoin mining had not yet capitulated.
Shortly after, price dropped from ~$96K to near $60K.
Hash Rate recovered slightly, but is now weakening again.
In other words, the mining sector is losing momentum, and many ASICs across multiple companies are either idle or turned off.
This trend suggests a decline in total mining power.
There are two possible paths for the mining sector:
1. Hardware innovation
New ASIC architectures with better performance and lower energy consumption.
The challenge is that most companies already made heavy investments between 2023–2024, making another upgrade cycle difficult in the short term.
2. Compute reduction and consolidation
Reducing hash power to survive until capitulation ends.
This would likely crush smaller miners with tight margins, while larger players gain even more control over the network.
As usual, when mining enters capitulation, miners tend to increase selling pressure on BTC.
But one thing must be said:
Miners are among the most resilient participants in the ecosystem.
They are used to enduring -70% to -80% bear markets, more than most.
This is why on-chain mining metrics are so important.
Throughout 2025, signals were already pointing to stress in the sector and it played out: a cycle top followed by a bear phase.
Analysts should pay closer attention to Bitcoin mining dynamics to better anticipate market opportunities.
Data: https://xcancel.com/joao_wedson/status/2012918756368912777
#SatsPerDollar (Sats/USD)
2026-03-20: 1,438 sats
1 Bitcoin = $69,507 USD
#ATH: -44.08% | $126,272
P2P | Support's | PRIORITY
2026-03-20: 1,438 sats
1 Bitcoin = $69,507 USD
#ATH: -44.08% | $126,272
P2P | Support's | PRIORITY
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