Polymarket data says there's 98% chance of no rate cut in tomorrow's FOMC meeting
No rate cut this month means next #FOMC we will have high chances of a rate cut
Powell's speech after FOMC announcement will drive the main move in the market.
No rate cut this month means next #FOMC we will have high chances of a rate cut
Powell's speech after FOMC announcement will drive the main move in the market.
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Polymarket data says there's 98% chance of no rate cut in tomorrow's FOMC meeting No rate cut this month means next #FOMC we will have high chances of a rate cut Powell's speech after FOMC announcement will drive the main move in the market.
🔥#FOMC #FED: no changes in rates.
#Breaking 🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, keeping the upper bound at 4.50%, in line with expectations of 4.50% and unchanged from the previous level of 4.50%.
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (6/18/2025):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 4th straight meeting
2. Fed says uncertainty has diminished, but is still elevated
3. Fed lowers 2025 GDP estimate to 1.4%, lifts inflation estimate to 3%
4. Median Fed forecast shows 50 basis points of rate cuts in 2025
5. Median Fed forecast shows rates at 3.6% in 2026, 3.4% in 2027
6. Interest rate futures increase likelihood of rate cuts beginning in September
The Fed pause continues even as Trump calls for 100 bps rate cuts.
SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR POWELL'S COMMENTS (6/18/25):
1. Will likely get to a place where rate cuts are appropriate
2. Fed will make “smarter” decisions if they wait a couple of months
3. Fed expects “meaningful” amount of inflation in coming months
4. Unemployment remains in a “reasonable” place
5. It will take time to see how large inflation effects will be
6. Fed’s inflation forecast for this year is higher due to tariffs
This Fed meeting is the definition of a “Fed pause.” | Insider
PS. BTC will continue in side zone, following the trend of #M2 Global.
⚡️@TutorialBTC
#Breaking 🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, keeping the upper bound at 4.50%, in line with expectations of 4.50% and unchanged from the previous level of 4.50%.
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (6/18/2025):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 4th straight meeting
2. Fed says uncertainty has diminished, but is still elevated
3. Fed lowers 2025 GDP estimate to 1.4%, lifts inflation estimate to 3%
4. Median Fed forecast shows 50 basis points of rate cuts in 2025
5. Median Fed forecast shows rates at 3.6% in 2026, 3.4% in 2027
6. Interest rate futures increase likelihood of rate cuts beginning in September
The Fed pause continues even as Trump calls for 100 bps rate cuts.
SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR POWELL'S COMMENTS (6/18/25):
1. Will likely get to a place where rate cuts are appropriate
2. Fed will make “smarter” decisions if they wait a couple of months
3. Fed expects “meaningful” amount of inflation in coming months
4. Unemployment remains in a “reasonable” place
5. It will take time to see how large inflation effects will be
6. Fed’s inflation forecast for this year is higher due to tariffs
This Fed meeting is the definition of a “Fed pause.” | Insider
PS. BTC will continue in side zone, following the trend of #M2 Global.
⚡️@TutorialBTC
🔥 #FOMC #FED : sem alterações nas taxas.
#Breaking 🇺🇸 O Federal Reserve anunciou sua decisão sobre a taxa de juros, mantendo o limite superior em 4,50%, em linha com as expectativas de 4,50% e inalterado em relação ao nível anterior de 4,50%.
RESUMO DA DECISÃO FED (18/06/2025):
1. Fed mantém taxas inalteradas pela 4ª reunião consecutiva
2. Fed diz que a incerteza diminuiu, mas ainda está elevada
3. Fed reduz estimativa do PIB de 2025 para 1,4% e eleva estimativa da inflação para 3%
4. A previsão mediana do Fed mostra 50 pontos-base de cortes nas taxas em 2025
5. A previsão média do Fed mostra taxas de 3,6% em 2026 e 3,4% em 2027
6. Futuros de taxas de juros aumentam a probabilidade de cortes de juros a partir de setembro
A pausa do Fed continua mesmo com Trump pedindo cortes de 100 bps nas taxas.
RESUMO DOS COMENTÁRIOS DO PRESIDENTE DO FED, POWELL (18/06/25):
1. Provavelmente chegará a um ponto em que os cortes nas taxas serão apropriados
2. O Fed tomará decisões “mais inteligentes” se esperar alguns meses
3. Fed espera um nível “significativo” de inflação nos próximos meses
4. O desemprego mantém-se num nível “razoável”
5. Levará tempo para ver quão grandes serão os efeitos da inflação
6. A previsão de inflação do Fed para este ano é maior devido às tarifas
Esta reunião do Fed é a definição de uma “pausa do Fed”.
PS. O BTC continuará na zona lateral, seguindo a tendência do #M2 Global.
⚡️ @TutorialBTC
#Breaking 🇺🇸 O Federal Reserve anunciou sua decisão sobre a taxa de juros, mantendo o limite superior em 4,50%, em linha com as expectativas de 4,50% e inalterado em relação ao nível anterior de 4,50%.
RESUMO DA DECISÃO FED (18/06/2025):
1. Fed mantém taxas inalteradas pela 4ª reunião consecutiva
2. Fed diz que a incerteza diminuiu, mas ainda está elevada
3. Fed reduz estimativa do PIB de 2025 para 1,4% e eleva estimativa da inflação para 3%
4. A previsão mediana do Fed mostra 50 pontos-base de cortes nas taxas em 2025
5. A previsão média do Fed mostra taxas de 3,6% em 2026 e 3,4% em 2027
6. Futuros de taxas de juros aumentam a probabilidade de cortes de juros a partir de setembro
A pausa do Fed continua mesmo com Trump pedindo cortes de 100 bps nas taxas.
RESUMO DOS COMENTÁRIOS DO PRESIDENTE DO FED, POWELL (18/06/25):
1. Provavelmente chegará a um ponto em que os cortes nas taxas serão apropriados
2. O Fed tomará decisões “mais inteligentes” se esperar alguns meses
3. Fed espera um nível “significativo” de inflação nos próximos meses
4. O desemprego mantém-se num nível “razoável”
5. Levará tempo para ver quão grandes serão os efeitos da inflação
6. A previsão de inflação do Fed para este ano é maior devido às tarifas
Esta reunião do Fed é a definição de uma “pausa do Fed”.
PS. O BTC continuará na zona lateral, seguindo a tendência do #M2 Global.
⚡️ @TutorialBTC
#Fomc #FED: no changes in rates.
🇱🇷The Fed holds rates at 4.5%
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (7/30/2025):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 5th straight meeting
2. Fed voted 9-2 to keep interest rates unchanged
3. Indicators suggest growth of economy moderated
4. Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"
5. Unemployment rate remains low and labor market is "solid"
6. Waller and Bowman dissent, preferring a 25 bps rate cut
The Fed pause continues even as Trump calls for 300 bps of rate cuts.
ALL during the Fed interest rate decision just now:
1. Trump implements additional 40% #tariff on #Brazil
2. Trump imposes universal 50% tariffs on imports of semi-finished copper products
3. Trump imposes universal 50% tariffs on imports of copper-intensive derivative products
4. Trump says he is going to have "a very clear deal" with China
5. Trump says BRICS is an attack on the US Dollar
6. Trump says he is negotiating with India
Is the timing of these announcements a coincidence?🤔
SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR POWELL'S COMMENTS (7/30/25):
1. Current policy stance "leaves us well positioned"
2. Moderation of growth reflects a slowdown in consumer spending
3. Activity in the US housing sector remains weak
4. Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"
5. Tariffs are "pushing up prices" in some goods
6. "Changes to government policy continue to evolve"
The Fed pause continues.
🇱🇷The Fed holds rates at 4.5%
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (7/30/2025):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 5th straight meeting
2. Fed voted 9-2 to keep interest rates unchanged
3. Indicators suggest growth of economy moderated
4. Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"
5. Unemployment rate remains low and labor market is "solid"
6. Waller and Bowman dissent, preferring a 25 bps rate cut
The Fed pause continues even as Trump calls for 300 bps of rate cuts.
ALL during the Fed interest rate decision just now:
1. Trump implements additional 40% #tariff on #Brazil
2. Trump imposes universal 50% tariffs on imports of semi-finished copper products
3. Trump imposes universal 50% tariffs on imports of copper-intensive derivative products
4. Trump says he is going to have "a very clear deal" with China
5. Trump says BRICS is an attack on the US Dollar
6. Trump says he is negotiating with India
Is the timing of these announcements a coincidence?🤔
SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR POWELL'S COMMENTS (7/30/25):
1. Current policy stance "leaves us well positioned"
2. Moderation of growth reflects a slowdown in consumer spending
3. Activity in the US housing sector remains weak
4. Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"
5. Tariffs are "pushing up prices" in some goods
6. "Changes to government policy continue to evolve"
The Fed pause continues.