Jack Bauer / @CTU_Legend:
Quando o governo erra a estimativa de arrecadação para cima, ele gasta com base no número errado e depois contingencia, cortando na execução o que prometeu na lei. Quando erra para baixo e sobra dinheiro, o excesso de arrecadação pode ser gasto por crédito suplementar, sem devolver nada a quem pagou. Nos dois cenários, o erro favorece o mesmo lado, pois a superestimativa autoriza a promessa, a subestimativa autoriza o gasto extra. Não existe no orçamento brasileiro nenhum mecanismo que conver...
Quando o governo erra a estimativa de arrecadação para cima, ele gasta com base no número errado e depois contingencia, cortando na execução o que prometeu na lei. Quando erra para baixo e sobra dinheiro, o excesso de arrecadação pode ser gasto por crédito suplementar, sem devolver nada a quem pagou. Nos dois cenários, o erro favorece o mesmo lado, pois a superestimativa autoriza a promessa, a subestimativa autoriza o gasto extra. Não existe no orçamento brasileiro nenhum mecanismo que conver...
misesmedia:
Birthright Citizenship and the Supreme Court
Birthright Citizenship and the Supreme Court
YouTube
Birthright Citizenship and the Supreme Court
Automatic citizenship for the children of foreign nationals on US soil will only further politicize immigration and increase calls for more limits on migrants in the US.
Be sure to follow the Loot and Lobby podcast at Mises.org/LL
Be sure to follow the Loot and Lobby podcast at Mises.org/LL
Ayub | Internet propriamente dita / @ayubio:
R to @ayubio: Vale lembrar que o governo australiano ainda não usou todas as ferramentas para banir adolescentes das redes sociais. A agência análoga a ANPD deles sugere em documento oficial uma lista de critérios para se detectar adolescentes, que envolvem:
- Assuntos de interesse (se são típicos de adolescentes)
- Análise de voz em mensagens de áudio
- Dedução da idade em fotos em que o rosto apareça.
- Vocabulário presente em mensagens
- Diagrama de relacionamentos: se há troca de mensage...
R to @ayubio: Vale lembrar que o governo australiano ainda não usou todas as ferramentas para banir adolescentes das redes sociais. A agência análoga a ANPD deles sugere em documento oficial uma lista de critérios para se detectar adolescentes, que envolvem:
- Assuntos de interesse (se são típicos de adolescentes)
- Análise de voz em mensagens de áudio
- Dedução da idade em fotos em que o rosto apareça.
- Vocabulário presente em mensagens
- Diagrama de relacionamentos: se há troca de mensage...
Ayub | Internet propriamente dita / @ayubio:
R to @ayubio: Esse estudo confirma o que venho apontando sobre a Lei Felca: os resultados positivos são ínfimo e os efeitos adversos são muito severos. Não é um bom remédio para a "doença" que se propõe a tratar.
A revogação integral da Lei Felca ou uma severa reforma para retirada no texto da lei das obrigações sobre sistemas operacionais de código aberto, lojas de apps de código aberto e a exigência de CNPJ no Brasil para que estes possam ser usados no Brasil é de extrema importância.
A p...
R to @ayubio: Esse estudo confirma o que venho apontando sobre a Lei Felca: os resultados positivos são ínfimo e os efeitos adversos são muito severos. Não é um bom remédio para a "doença" que se propõe a tratar.
A revogação integral da Lei Felca ou uma severa reforma para retirada no texto da lei das obrigações sobre sistemas operacionais de código aberto, lojas de apps de código aberto e a exigência de CNPJ no Brasil para que estes possam ser usados no Brasil é de extrema importância.
A p...
CryptoCon
Some metrics like SMII or others which you've seen across X are already bottomed out. Here, that happened in February this year. Not only that... bullish divergence is starting to form.
So, how is this not the cycle bottom then?
Take March 2024 for example. It measured as a cycle top across almost every metric at 74k, but two more highs followed in 2025 at 112k and 124k alongside bearish divergences.
Or June 2022, which measured as a cycle bottom but the real one was not until November that year with a bullish divergence.
There are other logarithmic/rainbow models this cycle that are at their absolute lows and on the verge of collpase. I think these models will fail.
Data interpretation is a tricky game.
Some metrics like SMII or others which you've seen across X are already bottomed out. Here, that happened in February this year. Not only that... bullish divergence is starting to form.
So, how is this not the cycle bottom then?
Take March 2024 for example. It measured as a cycle top across almost every metric at 74k, but two more highs followed in 2025 at 112k and 124k alongside bearish divergences.
Or June 2022, which measured as a cycle bottom but the real one was not until November that year with a bullish divergence.
There are other logarithmic/rainbow models this cycle that are at their absolute lows and on the verge of collpase. I think these models will fail.
Data interpretation is a tricky game.
Joao Wedson
The 1-month Liquidation Levels show something interesting.
Long positions are still dominant, even though shorts have been liquidated in the short term.
But when we filter only the top 50% of the largest levels, the game changes.
Long-heavy positioning: 71%.
Total downside liquidation fuel: $22.13B.
Max pain is around $57,000. 👀
Will Bitcoin really leave all these unliquidated longs behind?
The 1-month Liquidation Levels show something interesting.
Long positions are still dominant, even though shorts have been liquidated in the short term.
But when we filter only the top 50% of the largest levels, the game changes.
Long-heavy positioning: 71%.
Total downside liquidation fuel: $22.13B.
Max pain is around $57,000. 👀
Will Bitcoin really leave all these unliquidated longs behind?
SATOSHI • NOSTR • AI CLAW • LINUX • ₿2B • OSINT | HODLER ∞/21M
Joao Wedson The 1-month Liquidation Levels show something interesting. Long positions are still dominant, even though shorts have been liquidated in the short term. But when we filter only the top 50% of the largest levels, the game changes. Long-heavy…
$49K #StackHarder
Ron Sovereignty Swanson⚡️🗝️ / @RonSwanonson:
Choosing Bitcoin is far more powerful than any electoral vote
Voting essentially does nothing for the people
By the time you get to vote, two completely corrupt candidates have already been selected for you
Choosing bitcoin forces financial fairness, and responsible spending
Voting will literally never achieve this
Choosing Bitcoin is far more powerful than any electoral vote
Voting essentially does nothing for the people
By the time you get to vote, two completely corrupt candidates have already been selected for you
Choosing bitcoin forces financial fairness, and responsible spending
Voting will literally never achieve this
Ron Sovereignty Swanson⚡️🗝️ / @RonSwanonson:
We are 50 times more productive than we were in the 70s and almost nothing has gotten cheaper for us
That’s because society can be as productive as they want and the money printer just erases those productivity gains in the form of higher prices
As humans get better and better at making things you’d think they should cost less, not more
Society has been generationally trained to expect prices to go up no matter how productive we are
This is the most important thing to keep a scam alive
W...
We are 50 times more productive than we were in the 70s and almost nothing has gotten cheaper for us
That’s because society can be as productive as they want and the money printer just erases those productivity gains in the form of higher prices
As humans get better and better at making things you’d think they should cost less, not more
Society has been generationally trained to expect prices to go up no matter how productive we are
This is the most important thing to keep a scam alive
W...