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🌍 M2 Money #Supply #Global and Bitcoin Cycles

Historically, Bitcoin market tops have occurred when Global M2 (YoY) exceeded +14%.

These moments coincided — or were very close — to the ATHs of each cycle.

➡️ This suggests there is still room for liquidity expansion before reaching levels historically associated with peak euphoria.
🔁 The other side of the cycle is also clear:
When M2 turned negative, it aligned with major Bitcoin price bottoms — periods of monetary contraction and macro stress.

⚠️ An important exception:
In 2015, we saw an atypical case.
Global liquidity failed to expand meaningfully, correlation with Bitcoin weakened, and the asset remained in a bear market, even without an extreme monetary contraction.

🧠 Macro-onchain takeaway:
Global liquidity does not define exact timing, but it defines the regime.
The key question now is whether a scenario similar to 2015 is unfolding, or if Bitcoin will maintain its synergy with Global M2 (YoY) in this cycle.

#M2@TutorialBTC

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