SATOSHI ° NOSTR ° AI + CLAW ° LINUX ° ₿2B • OSINT • LEARN | HODLER
1.13K subscribers
20.2K photos
2.68K videos
279 files
101K links
#DTV Não Confie. Verifique.

P&D | MSet's #POW

📚DESMISTIFICANDO
#P2P Pagamentos
#Hold Poupança
#Node Soberania
#Nostr Anticen

#IA LLMs+Prompt
#CLAW Agents Autonomous
#LINUX OS

#B2B Empreender
#OSINT Tools & Opsec
#LEARN Métodos

tutorialbtc.npub.pro
Download Telegram
🌍 M2 Money #Supply #Global and Bitcoin Cycles

Historically, Bitcoin market tops have occurred when Global M2 (YoY) exceeded +14%.

These moments coincided — or were very close — to the ATHs of each cycle.

➡️ This suggests there is still room for liquidity expansion before reaching levels historically associated with peak euphoria.
🔁 The other side of the cycle is also clear:
When M2 turned negative, it aligned with major Bitcoin price bottoms — periods of monetary contraction and macro stress.

⚠️ An important exception:
In 2015, we saw an atypical case.
Global liquidity failed to expand meaningfully, correlation with Bitcoin weakened, and the asset remained in a bear market, even without an extreme monetary contraction.

🧠 Macro-onchain takeaway:
Global liquidity does not define exact timing, but it defines the regime.
The key question now is whether a scenario similar to 2015 is unfolding, or if Bitcoin will maintain its synergy with Global M2 (YoY) in this cycle.

#M2@TutorialBTC