Trading Exercise XC Analysis
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Disclaimer:
These are my personal views and analysis. Please remember that entry and exit decisions are your responsibility. Always ensure you have confirmation before Entry.
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sometime also happen like this my entry did not trigger only by 5 points 😞
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ Monday, 13 Jul 2026, 01:28 PM

Here are the market drivers:

⚠️ 1. Hormuz traffic slows (US/Iran strikes) β†’ Oil supply disruption risk ↑ β†’ Brent crude ↑, Energy stocks ↑.
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⚠️ 2. Mideast conflict escalation β†’ Global risk-off sentiment ↑ β†’ NASDAQ ↓, Gold Bullish ↑.
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⚠️ 3. Europe jet fuel stocks low + Iran tensions β†’ Energy security concerns ↑ β†’ EUR Bearish ↓, GBP Bearish ↓.
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⚠️ 4. Rising oil prices β†’ India import costs ↑ β†’ INR Weak ↓, NIFTY 50 ↓.
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⚠️ 5. US forces ready in Hormuz + Trump statement β†’ Efforts to ensure navigation / Mixed signals on Strait disruption risk β†’ Oil price volatility ↑.
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⚠️ 6. Attack on vessel off Oman β†’ Mideast maritime security risk ↑ β†’ Global oil prices ↑.
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β€’ 7. Israel election date set β†’ Regional political uncertainty ↑ β†’ JPY Bullish ↑ (safe haven), minor risk-off.
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β€’ 8. India holds out on US trade terms β†’ Potential US-India trade friction ↑ β†’ AUD Bearish ↓ (risk proxy), NIFTY 50 caution.
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β€’ 9. Overall geopolitical risk ↑ β†’ Risk-off across assets β†’ BTC Bearish ↓.
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πŸ“Š Market Bias:

Currencies & Assets:
USD β†’ Strong ↑
Gold β†’ Bullish ↑
EUR β†’ Bearish ↓
GBP β†’ Bearish ↓
JPY β†’ Strong ↑
AUD β†’ Bearish ↓
CAD β†’ Mixed
BTC β†’ Bearish ↓

Equities:
NASDAQ β†’ Bearish ↓
NIFTY 50 β†’ Bearish ↓

Top Stocks:
AAPL β†’ Bearish ↓
TSLA β†’ Bearish ↓
NVDA β†’ Bearish ↓

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ Tuesday, 14 Jul 2026, 01:27 PM

⚠️ 1. US military strikes on Iran *completed* β†’ Immediate escalation pressure ↓, but underlying Middle East tensions persist β†’ Geopolitical risk Mixed, Oil supply risk Mixed, Oil prices Mixed.
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⚠️ 2. Broader geopolitical tensions (e.g., "Iran war" context) persist, but immediate escalation from US strikes capped; coupled with "toxic stew" factors β†’ Overall geopolitical risk Mixed, Risk-off sentiment ↑ β†’ Gold ↑, JPY ↑, Equities ↓ (NASDAQ, NIFTY), BTC ↓. USD Mixed.
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⚠️ 3. China's June oil imports near 10-year low β†’ Global oil demand concerns ↑ β†’ Oil prices ↓, CAD ↓, AUD ↓.
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πŸ”₯ 4. Anticipation of US inflation data β†’ Inflation uncertainty ↑, Rate hike speculation ↑ β†’ Gold ↑, USD Mixed, Equities Mixed.
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⚠️ 5. Trump's Hormuz fee demands met with UN opposition and market skepticism β†’ Formal transit fee likelihood ↓ β†’ Oil prices stabilize, shipping costs stabilize.
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⚠️ 6. DP World plans Hormuz bypass port β†’ Long-term oil supply security ↑ β†’ Oil prices Neutral to Bearish.
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⚠️ 7. Multiple negative factors create "toxic stew" β†’ Risk-off sentiment ↑, Investor uncertainty ↑ β†’ NASDAQ ↓, US stocks ↓, NIFTY ↓, BTC ↓.
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β€’ 8. Jim Cramer recommends buying specific chip stock on dip β†’ Retail investor interest ↑ β†’ NVDA ↑.
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πŸ“Š Market Bias:

Currencies & Assets:
USD β†’ Mixed
Gold β†’ Bullish ↑
JPY β†’ Bullish ↑
AUD β†’ Bearish ↓
CAD β†’ Bearish ↓
BTC β†’ Bearish ↓

Equities:
NASDAQ β†’ Bearish ↓
NIFTY 50 β†’ Bearish ↓

Top Stocks:
NVDA β†’ Bullish ↑

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
took this on 1min
took this
πŸ”₯1
took this not a very higg RR
One observes a significant supply zone. After identifying this supply, it generates a QMR; however, Point of Interest (POI) 1 may present risk because the RTZ price has touched the bottom. Another potential entry exists at 1A, as it forms a double top. The second POI represents a highly favorable entry point due to a clean breakout.
took this after breakout
took this 1:1
Today, I exited the position. The stop-loss was placed in the liquidity zone. The lesson for the day is that a stop-loss should never be placed within a liquidity zone. The trade subsequently moved in my direction after hunting.
today took this bos setup after breaking htf line
I took this after being awake almost all night. I got an alert from TradingView, so I woke up and took this.

Sometimes you wait the whole day and don’t get a single setup, and sometimes you accidentally get one at night.πŸ˜