Trading Exercise XC Analysis
54 subscribers
492 photos
25 links
Disclaimer:
These are my personal views and analysis. Please remember that entry and exit decisions are your responsibility. Always ensure you have confirmation before Entry.
Download Telegram
📅 Daily Market Drivers
🕒 Wednesday, 22 Apr 2026, 03:25 PM

⚠️ 1. Hormuz gunfire reports → Oil supply risk ↑ → Crude oil ↑ / Energy stocks ↑.
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 2. Continued Hormuz shipping halt → Global supply chain stress ↑ / Oil supply risk ↑ → Inflation ↑ / Global equities ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 3. Iran war geopolitical concerns → Global risk aversion ↑ → NASDAQ ↓ / USD ↑ / Gold ↑.
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 4. Iran war inflation pressure → UK CPI ↑ → BoE hawkishness ↑ → GBP Bullish ↑.
────────────────────────────────────────

5. Iran war supply disruptions → Indian consumer goods supply chain stress ↑ → NIFTY ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 6. HCLTech weak forecast → Indian IT sector earnings concern → NIFTY IT stocks ↓ / NIFTY ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 7. UnitedHealth strong earnings → US healthcare sector positive sentiment ↑ → UNH ↑ / US healthcare stocks ↑.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 8. Amazon GLP-1 program launch → Pharma GLP-1 competition ↑ → AMZN ↑ / Pharma stocks (e.g., NVO, LLY) ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────



📊 Market Bias:

Currencies & Assets:
USD → Strong ↑
Gold → Bullish ↑
EUR → Bearish ↓
GBP → Mixed-to-Bullish ↑
JPY → Bullish ↑
AUD → Bearish ↓
CAD → Mixed
BTC → Bearish ↓

Equities:
NASDAQ → Bearish ↓
NIFTY 50 → Bearish ↓

Top Stocks:
AAPL → Bearish ↓
AMZN → Bullish ↑
NVDA → Bearish ↓

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
📊 Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
1
alright today i took loss

reason- no clean bos , direction tested multiple times
📅 Daily Market Drivers
🕒 Thursday, 23 Apr 2026, 08:26 PM


🔥 1. China's LNG imports plunge, helping Asia adjust to Iran war losses - Reuters → Oil ↑ → Inflation ↑ → USD ↑ → Gold ↑
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 2. Iran takes seized ships to port, countries check on seafarers' safety - Reuters → Oil ↑ → Inflation ↑ → USD ↑ → Gold ↑
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 3. Oil giant BP suffers shareholder revolt over climate transparency at tense AGM → Energy risk → Inflation ↑ → Safe havens ↑
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 4. Gold slips on inflation concerns as high oil prices and stronger dollar weigh - Reuters → Energy risk → Inflation ↑ → Safe havens ↑
────────────────────────────────────────



📊 Market Bias:
USD → Strong
Gold → Bullish
EUR → Mixed

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
📊 Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
1
missed by some points
📅 Daily Market Drivers
🕒 Friday, 24 Apr 2026, 05:42 PM


⚠️ 1. No US-Iran peace talks in sight, but Islamabad maintains security lockdown - Reuters → Risk eases → Gold ↓ → USD ↓
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 2. China rejects Trump accusation that intercepted Iran ship was 'gift from China' - Reuters → Energy risk → Inflation ↑ → Safe havens ↑
────────────────────────────────────────



📊 Market Bias:
USD → Mixed
Gold → Mixed
EUR → Mixed

🌍 Sources: CNBC | Reuters
📊 Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
📅 Daily Market Drivers
🕒 Saturday, 25 Apr 2026, 01:27 AM

Here are the market drivers and bias:

⚠️ 1. Strait of Hormuz traffic ↓ significantly → Major oil supply disruption fear ↑ → Oil price ↑.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 2. US officials pursue Iran talks → Conflicting signals on Middle East risk → Market uncertainty, mixed signals: Oil price Mixed, Gold Mixed, USD Mixed, JPY Mixed, Equities Mixed.
────────────────────────────────────────

3. Intel and Arm strong earnings, analyst upgrades → Semiconductor sector strength ↑ → Tech optimism: NASDAQ Bullish ↑, NVDA Bullish ↑, ARM Bullish ↑, BTC Bullish ↑, USD Weak ↓, JPY Weak ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 4. Polish PM questions US loyalty / EU plans defense pact → European geopolitical risk ↑, NATO doubts ↑ → EUR Weak ↓, GBP Weak ↓, Gold Strong ↑, USD Strong ↑, JPY Strong ↑, NASDAQ Bearish ↓, NIFTY Bearish ↓, BTC Bearish ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────

5. P&G strong quarter, confident outlook → Consumer staples robust performance ↑ → Defensive sector appeal: P&G Bullish ↑, NASDAQ Mixed, NIFTY Mixed.
────────────────────────────────────────

6. Analyst calls Meta a 'screaming buy' → Tech growth momentum ↑ → NASDAQ Bullish ↑, META Bullish ↑, BTC Bullish ↑, USD Weak ↓, JPY Weak ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 7. Profit-taking in high-performing stocks → Capital rotation from growth to value → NASDAQ Mixed (tech ↓, value ↑), NIFTY Mixed.
────────────────────────────────────────

8. Spirit Airlines distress, potential bailout → Airline sector fragility concern ↑ → Spirit Airlines Bearish ↓, Broader market caution.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 9. VIX 'fear gauge' unusual activity → Implied market volatility ↑ → Investor caution: NASDAQ Mixed, NIFTY Mixed, Gold Bullish ↑, USD Mixed, JPY Mixed.
────────────────────────────────────────



📊 Market Bias:
Currencies & Assets:
USD → Mixed
Gold → Bullish ↑
EUR → Bearish ↓
GBP → Bearish ↓
JPY → Mixed
AUD → Mixed
CAD → Mixed
BTC → Mixed

Equities:
NASDAQ → Mixed
NIFTY 50 → Mixed

Top Stocks:
NVDA → Bullish ↑
ARM → Bullish ↑
META → Bullish ↑
P&G → Bullish ↑
Spirit Airlines → Bearish ↓

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
📊 Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
Bitcoin experiences gradual movement on Sundays, though it remains responsive to Fibonacci levels.
📅 Daily Market Drivers
🕒 Monday, 27 Apr 2026, 02:29 AM

⚠️ 1. Trump signals US openness to Iran talks → Geopolitical de-escalation hopes ↑ → Oil prices ↓, Gold ↓, Risk-on equities ↑ (NASDAQ, NIFTY ↑).
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 2. Iran engages in Oman diplomacy for regional security → Middle East stability efforts ↑ → Oil supply risk ↓, EUR/GBP ↑, JPY ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 3. US intercepts sanctioned merchant vessel → Middle East tensions persist → Oil prices ↑, Gold ↑, USD ↑.
────────────────────────────────────────

4. Cramer warns of AI stock concentration → Tech sector overheating concerns ↑ → NASDAQ ↓, NVDA ↓, AAPL/TSLA profit-taking.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 5. Chipmaker Arm's strong rally & price target raise → Semiconductor sector bullish sentiment ↑ → NVDA ↑, Tech stocks ↑, NASDAQ ↑.
────────────────────────────────────────

6. P&G reports strong earnings & confident outlook → Consumer staples sector resilience ↑ → P&G ↑, Broader market confidence stable.
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 7. Global macro uncertainty (inflation, geopolitics, rates) → Equity market volatility persists → NASDAQ / NIFTY mixed, AUD/CAD mixed.
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 8. Mixed geopolitical signals (de-escalation hope vs. persistent tension) → Overall risk sentiment mixed → USD, Gold, JPY, EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, BTC all Mixed.
────────────────────────────────────────



📊 Market Bias:

Currencies & Assets:
USD → Mixed
Gold → Mixed
EUR → Mixed
GBP → Mixed
JPY → Mixed
AUD → Mixed
CAD → Mixed
BTC → Mixed

Equities:
NASDAQ → Mixed
NIFTY 50 → Mixed

Top Stocks:
AAPL → Mixed
TSLA → Mixed
NVDA → Mixed

🌍 Sources: CNBC | Reuters
📊 Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
not a a+ setup but took it in btc
📅 Daily Market Drivers
🕒 Wednesday, 29 Apr 2026, 02:06 PM


🔥 1. Oil extends rally as market focuses on Hormuz disruption - Reuters → Oil ↑ → Inflation ↑ → USD ↑ → Gold ↑
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 2. Gold steady as markets await Powell's comments on Iran war impact - Reuters → Oil ↑ → Inflation ↑ → USD ↑ → Gold ↑
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 3. Trump says King Charles does not want Iran to have nuclear weapon - Reuters → Oil ↑ → Inflation ↑ → USD ↑ → Gold ↑
────────────────────────────────────────

🔥 4. Stocks rally on earnings optimism as Fed meeting looms - Reuters → Policy outlook uncertain
────────────────────────────────────────

⚠️ 5. Oil ends up nearly 3% as Hormuz disruption outweighs UAE OPEC exit - Reuters → Geopolitical uncertainty → Market volatility ↑
────────────────────────────────────────



📊 Market Bias:
USD → Strong
Gold → Bullish
EUR → Mixed

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC | Investing
📊 Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
Let us explain why our setup failed. To ensure safety, we needed to break the circle swings, but we played too aggressively, and we know the result. 📉🛑
will this reach our tp?
late night took this
this setup looks good have so much confirmation but also a trap m not interested
took a low probability trade see it wiill reach tp or not wilth small lot