Trading Exercise XC Analysis
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These are my personal views and analysis. Please remember that entry and exit decisions are your responsibility. Always ensure you have confirmation before Entry.
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eth go 100 points/pips very slow in sat/sunday still i manged some tp
took this no time to share i m not used to gold it moves very fast
Let’s see if I pass the second step
i have three challenges let see
i took this and close becoz its sl is too big for me
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ 18 Apr 2026, 01:34 AM

⚠️ 1. Strait of Hormuz open β†’ Geopolitical risk ↓ β†’ Risk sentiment ↑ β†’ USD ↓, JPY ↓, Gold ↓, BTC ↑
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⚠️ 2. Trump's Israel/Lebanon comments β†’ Middle East de-escalation ↑ β†’ Risk sentiment ↑ β†’ USD ↓, JPY ↓, Gold ↓, BTC ↑
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β€’ 3. Wall Street indexes rally β†’ Broad risk appetite ↑ β†’ USD ↓, JPY ↓, BTC ↑
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πŸ”₯ 4. MidEast energy output recovery long β†’ Oil supply concerns ↑ β†’ Oil prices ↑ β†’ CAD ↑, AUD ↑, Inflation ↑
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πŸ”₯ 5. Panama Canal congestion worries β†’ Supply chain pressure ↑ β†’ Inflationary pressure ↑
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β€’ 6. Banks weathered war storm β†’ Financial system resilience ↑ β†’ Risk appetite ↑
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β€’ 7. USD drops after Hormuz open β†’ USD bearish momentum confirmed
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β€’ 8. USD set for second weekly decline β†’ USD bearish trend continues
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πŸ“Š Market Bias:
USD β†’ Weak
Gold β†’ Bearish
EUR β†’ Bullish
GBP β†’ Bullish
JPY β†’ Weak
AUD β†’ Bullish
CAD β†’ Bullish
BTC β†’ Bullish

🌍 Sources: CNBC | Reuters
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
πŸ‘1
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ 18 Apr 2026, 03:01 PM

β€’ 1. Trump prioritizing economy β†’ Pressure to de-escalate Iran tensions β†’ Risk-on sentiment ↑
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β€’ 2. Trump's "good news" on Iran + Hormuz open β†’ Geopolitical de-escalation β†’ Safe haven demand ↓
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⚠️ 3. Ships testing Strait of Hormuz, seeking assurances β†’ Mixed signals for immediate oil supply β†’ Oil price uncertainty
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⚠️ 4. IEA: MidEast energy recovery 2 years β†’ Long-term oil supply risk ↑ β†’ Oil prices supported (long-term)
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β€’ 5. Increased risk-on sentiment + USD weakness β†’ CAD ↑
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β€’ 6. Trump prevents Israel-Lebanon conflict β†’ Regional stability ↑ β†’ Risk-on sentiment ↑
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β€’ 7. Overall "dollar remains under pressure" β†’ USD ↓ against major pairs
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⚠️ 8. Increased risk-on sentiment β†’ Gold ↓, JPY ↓
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β€’ 9. Increased risk-on sentiment + USD weakness β†’ EUR ↑, GBP ↑, AUD ↑
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πŸ“Š Market Bias:
USD β†’ Weak
Gold β†’ Bearish
EUR β†’ Bullish
GBP β†’ Bullish
JPY β†’ Bearish
AUD β†’ Bullish
CAD β†’ Bullish
Oil β†’ Mixed

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ 19 Apr 2026, 07:14 PM

⚠️ 1. Strait of Hormuz attacks ↑ β†’ Geopolitical risk ↑ β†’ Oil prices ↑
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β€’ 2. Iran tensions persist β†’ Global shipping safety concerns ↑
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⚠️ 3. Mideast instability ↑ β†’ Safe-haven demand ↑ β†’ USD ↑, Gold ↑
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β€’ 4. Risk-off sentiment ↑ β†’ Equities ↓ β†’ BTC ↓
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β€’ 5. US-Iran deal stalled β†’ Persistent regional uncertainty
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β€’ 6. International calls for Hormuz security β†’ Potential for broader involvement
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πŸ”₯ 7. Oil supply disruption fear ↑ β†’ Energy inflation risk ↑
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β€’ 8. Global risk aversion ↑ β†’ EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD ↓
────────────────────────────────────────

β€’ 9. Geopolitical uncertainty ↑ β†’ JPY safe-haven flows ↑
────────────────────────────────────────



πŸ“Š Market Bias:
USD β†’ Strong
Gold β†’ Bullish
EUR β†’ Weak
GBP β†’ Weak
JPY β†’ Strong
AUD β†’ Weak
CAD β†’ Weak
BTC β†’ Bearish

🌍 Sources: Reuters | Bloomberg | CNBC
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
let see, btc is bearish but we still take bullish setup
Trading Exercise XC Analysis
let see, btc is bearish but we still take bullish setup
Set BE and partially closed positions. The long trade was taken against the Market Bias because the lower timeframe indicated a retracement phase
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ 19 Apr 2026, 08:03 PM

⚠️ 1. Hormuz shipping attacks β†’ Middle East geopolitical risk ↑ β†’ Oil supply risk ↑ β†’ Crude Oil prices ↑, Energy stocks ↑.
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⚠️ 2. Hormuz tensions β†’ Global risk aversion ↑ β†’ USD Strong ↑ (safe-haven), Gold Bullish ↑ (safe-haven).
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β€’ 3. Hormuz tensions β†’ Global risk aversion ↑ β†’ Global equities (NASDAQ Bearish ↓, NIFTY 50 Bearish ↓), BTC Bearish ↓.
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β€’ 4. Hormuz attacks on Indian ships β†’ India-specific geopolitical risk ↑ β†’ NIFTY 50 Bearish ↓.
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πŸ”₯ 5. Oil price ↑ (Hormuz) β†’ Inflation expectations ↑ β†’ Global growth concerns ↑ β†’ EUR Bearish ↓, GBP Bearish ↓.
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β€’ 6. US-Iran tensions (deal fears, Starlink arrests) β†’ Geopolitical uncertainty ↑ β†’ JPY Bullish ↑ (safe-haven), AUD Bearish ↓ (risk-sensitive).
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⚠️ 7. International involvement in Hormuz mission β†’ Escalation potential ↑ β†’ Safe-haven demand ↑ β†’ Gold Bullish ↑, USD Strong ↑.
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⚠️ 8. Sustained oil price rise β†’ Consumer spending pressure ↑ β†’ Tech stock valuation risk (e.g., AAPL, TSLA) ↓ β†’ NASDAQ Bearish ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────



πŸ“Š Market Bias:

Currencies & Assets:
USD β†’ Strong ↑
Gold β†’ Bullish ↑
EUR β†’ Bearish ↓
GBP β†’ Bearish ↓
JPY β†’ Bullish ↑
AUD β†’ Bearish ↓
CAD β†’ Mixed (Oil supportive, but risk-off negative)
BTC β†’ Bearish ↓

Equities:
NASDAQ β†’ Bearish ↓
NIFTY 50 β†’ Bearish ↓

Top Stocks:
AAPL β†’ Bearish ↓
TSLA β†’ Bearish ↓
NVDA β†’ Bearish ↓

🌍 Sources: CNBC | Reuters | Bloomberg
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ 20 Apr 2026, 12:38 PM

β€’ 1. US seizes Iranian cargo ship & US-Iran tensions β†’ Mideast ceasefire uncertainty ↑ β†’ Global geopolitical risk ↑.
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β€’ 2. Global geopolitical risk ↑ β†’ Risk aversion ↑ β†’ Global equities ↓, NASDAQ ↓, NIFTY 50 ↓.
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⚠️ 3. Attacks on ships in Strait of Hormuz β†’ Key shipping lane risk ↑ β†’ Oil supply disruption fears ↑.
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πŸ”₯ 4. Oil supply disruption fears ↑ β†’ Crude oil prices ↑ β†’ Inflation concerns ↑.
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⚠️ 5. Crude oil prices ↑ β†’ Energy sector stocks ↑ (e.g., Oil majors).
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β€’ 6. Global geopolitical risk ↑ β†’ Safe-haven demand ↑ β†’ USD Strong ↑.
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⚠️ 7. USD Strong ↑ amid Mideast tensions β†’ Gold falls (FX effect) / JPY Mixed (safe-haven vs. risk-off).
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β€’ 8. Risk aversion ↑ β†’ Lower global growth outlook β†’ EUR ↓, GBP ↓, AUD ↓, CAD ↓.
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β€’ 9. Risk aversion ↑ β†’ Reduced speculative appetite β†’ BTC ↓.
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πŸ“Š Market Bias:

Currencies & Assets:
USD β†’ Strong ↑
Gold β†’ Bearish ↓
EUR β†’ Bearish ↓
GBP β†’ Bearish ↓
JPY β†’ Mixed
AUD β†’ Bearish ↓
CAD β†’ Bearish ↓
BTC β†’ Bearish ↓

Equities:
NASDAQ β†’ Bearish ↓
NIFTY 50 β†’ Bearish ↓

Top Stocks:
Oil majors β†’ Bullish ↑

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC | Bloomberg
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
lets see if it will reach my tp
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ Tuesday, 21 Apr 2026, 03:03 PM


β€’ 1. War in Iran is causing biggest energy crisis in history, IEA says - Reuters β†’ Geopolitical uncertainty β†’ Market volatility ↑
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πŸ”₯ 2. Iran executes man over burning of mosque during January protests, Mizan reports - Reuters β†’ Energy risk β†’ Inflation ↑ β†’ Safe havens ↑
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πŸ“Š Market Bias:
USD β†’ Strong
Gold β†’ Bullish
EUR β†’ Mixed

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
I missed😒
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ Wednesday, 22 Apr 2026, 03:25 PM

⚠️ 1. Hormuz gunfire reports β†’ Oil supply risk ↑ β†’ Crude oil ↑ / Energy stocks ↑.
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πŸ”₯ 2. Continued Hormuz shipping halt β†’ Global supply chain stress ↑ / Oil supply risk ↑ β†’ Inflation ↑ / Global equities ↓.
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⚠️ 3. Iran war geopolitical concerns β†’ Global risk aversion ↑ β†’ NASDAQ ↓ / USD ↑ / Gold ↑.
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πŸ”₯ 4. Iran war inflation pressure β†’ UK CPI ↑ β†’ BoE hawkishness ↑ β†’ GBP Bullish ↑.
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β€’ 5. Iran war supply disruptions β†’ Indian consumer goods supply chain stress ↑ β†’ NIFTY ↓.
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⚠️ 6. HCLTech weak forecast β†’ Indian IT sector earnings concern β†’ NIFTY IT stocks ↓ / NIFTY ↓.
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⚠️ 7. UnitedHealth strong earnings β†’ US healthcare sector positive sentiment ↑ β†’ UNH ↑ / US healthcare stocks ↑.
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⚠️ 8. Amazon GLP-1 program launch β†’ Pharma GLP-1 competition ↑ β†’ AMZN ↑ / Pharma stocks (e.g., NVO, LLY) ↓.
────────────────────────────────────────



πŸ“Š Market Bias:

Currencies & Assets:
USD β†’ Strong ↑
Gold β†’ Bullish ↑
EUR β†’ Bearish ↓
GBP β†’ Mixed-to-Bullish ↑
JPY β†’ Bullish ↑
AUD β†’ Bearish ↓
CAD β†’ Mixed
BTC β†’ Bearish ↓

Equities:
NASDAQ β†’ Bearish ↓
NIFTY 50 β†’ Bearish ↓

Top Stocks:
AAPL β†’ Bearish ↓
AMZN β†’ Bullish ↑
NVDA β†’ Bearish ↓

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
❀1
alright today i took loss

reason- no clean bos , direction tested multiple times
πŸ“… Daily Market Drivers
πŸ•’ Thursday, 23 Apr 2026, 08:26 PM


πŸ”₯ 1. China's LNG imports plunge, helping Asia adjust to Iran war losses - Reuters β†’ Oil ↑ β†’ Inflation ↑ β†’ USD ↑ β†’ Gold ↑
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πŸ”₯ 2. Iran takes seized ships to port, countries check on seafarers' safety - Reuters β†’ Oil ↑ β†’ Inflation ↑ β†’ USD ↑ β†’ Gold ↑
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πŸ”₯ 3. Oil giant BP suffers shareholder revolt over climate transparency at tense AGM β†’ Energy risk β†’ Inflation ↑ β†’ Safe havens ↑
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πŸ”₯ 4. Gold slips on inflation concerns as high oil prices and stronger dollar weigh - Reuters β†’ Energy risk β†’ Inflation ↑ β†’ Safe havens ↑
────────────────────────────────────────



πŸ“Š Market Bias:
USD β†’ Strong
Gold β†’ Bullish
EUR β†’ Mixed

🌍 Sources: Reuters | CNBC
πŸ“Š Calendar: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

⚠️ Disclaimer: This market commentary is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
❀1
missed by some points