Trading Crypto Compass
#US30 Update: #US30 gave a strong move up as expected, reaching new ALL TIME HIGH territory 🚀📈🔥. Index moving back and forth around major levels, currently dropping 🔄📉. If market structure remains bullish, expect it to push into new ATH levels 💪🎯✅.
Market Distribution Analysis:
Long-Term Holders still control 53% of network wealth despite significant distribution this cycle - a key differentiator from previous cycles 📊💪. This occurs alongside already elevated unrealized profit levels across the market 🚀💰.
This dynamic suggests room for additional LTH distribution ahead. As prices rise to compelling levels that unlock dormant supply, greater demand inflows will be needed for absorption 🔄⚡️👀
Long-Term Holders still control 53% of network wealth despite significant distribution this cycle - a key differentiator from previous cycles 📊💪. This occurs alongside already elevated unrealized profit levels across the market 🚀💰.
This dynamic suggests room for additional LTH distribution ahead. As prices rise to compelling levels that unlock dormant supply, greater demand inflows will be needed for absorption 🔄⚡️👀
📊 *Bitcoin Cycle Timing Analysis*
Looking at Bitcoin’s performance from each *cycle low*, a clear pattern emerges:
* In both the *2015–2018* and *2018–2022* cycles, the *all-time highs* were reached roughly *2–3 months later* than where we currently stand in this cycle (by relative timing).
This suggests the *current cycle may still have room to run* before reaching its eventual peak.
Looking at Bitcoin’s performance from each *cycle low*, a clear pattern emerges:
* In both the *2015–2018* and *2018–2022* cycles, the *all-time highs* were reached roughly *2–3 months later* than where we currently stand in this cycle (by relative timing).
This suggests the *current cycle may still have room to run* before reaching its eventual peak.
Trading Crypto Compass
#BTC Weekly Update: #BTC closed the week with a sweep/liquidity hunt of the previous weekly low and is now sustaining above the key support area 📉💪. Price still rejecting the zone on HTF 🔄📊. Need to see sustained candle maintenance above this level for bullish…
Trading Crypto Compass
#GOLD UPDATE : Still not much happened, still inside the range, forming the Falling Wedge pattern. Nothing much clear at the moment, Wait for the break of the $3322 or $3370.
Cost-Basis Distribution Analysis:
Significant concentration of investor cost basis sits around $117k-$122k, highlighting heavy accumulation at elevated levels 📊💪. Notable air-gap exists from $115k-$110k due to rapid price rallies with minimal transaction volume 🔄⚡️.
While not all air-gaps require back-filling, gravitational pull exists in this zone. Key area to watch for potential support confirmation during any pullback 🎯👀📉
Significant concentration of investor cost basis sits around $117k-$122k, highlighting heavy accumulation at elevated levels 📊💪. Notable air-gap exists from $115k-$110k due to rapid price rallies with minimal transaction volume 🔄⚡️.
While not all air-gaps require back-filling, gravitational pull exists in this zone. Key area to watch for potential support confirmation during any pullback 🎯👀📉
#AIXBT Analysis:
Falling wedge pattern forming on 4H chart approaching breakout point 📈🔺. Candle close above $0.12 will confirm bullish scenario 💪✅.
Long position entry planned after confirmed breakout above this key level 🚀⚡👀
Falling wedge pattern forming on 4H chart approaching breakout point 📈🔺. Candle close above $0.12 will confirm bullish scenario 💪✅.
Long position entry planned after confirmed breakout above this key level 🚀⚡👀
Trading Crypto Compass
#BTC Update: #BTC broke below key support with the market turning bearish 📉💪. Price may revisit the $108,000 level before determining the next move 🎯📊. Previous support has now flipped to resistance - watch for rejection at former support levels ⚡🔄👀
Trading Crypto Compass
#BTC.D UPDATE : #BTC.D shows some rejections and fakeouts too, but now still in the range. A Bear Flag forming and can lead further down which can lead in good time for altcoins.
STH Cost Basis Analysis:
Short-Term Holder cost basis bands provide key market structure levels with statistical context 📊💪. Current bands: +2σ at $141.6k, +1σ at $125.1k, baseline at $105.4k, and -1σ at $92.1k 🎯📈.
#BTC trading above STH cost basis signals constructive market strength, though resistance consistently appears near +1σ band across major topping structures ⚡️🔄. Suggests potential range-bound action between $105K-$125K until decisive breakout, with $141K (+2σ) as next major resistance zone 🚀👀💰
Short-Term Holder cost basis bands provide key market structure levels with statistical context 📊💪. Current bands: +2σ at $141.6k, +1σ at $125.1k, baseline at $105.4k, and -1σ at $92.1k 🎯📈.
#BTC trading above STH cost basis signals constructive market strength, though resistance consistently appears near +1σ band across major topping structures ⚡️🔄. Suggests potential range-bound action between $105K-$125K until decisive breakout, with $141K (+2σ) as next major resistance zone 🚀👀💰
Trading Crypto Compass
#BTC Update: #BTC retested resistance and faced rejection with market still lacking strength 📉🔄. Price may revisit the $108,000 level in the near term 🎯📊. However, a breakout above $112,000 could propel price toward the $115,000 zone 🚀💪⚡
Short-Term Holder Momentum Analysis:
STH sub-group cost basis forms a "fast-to-slow" ribbon acting as momentum indicator for short-term sentiment 📊💪. Price remains above all STH cohorts despite current consolidation, showing underlying strength ✅🔄.
Cost basis range from 24hrs-3months spans $110K-$117K, aligning with the light-volume zone in distribution analysis 🎯⚡️. This confluence reinforces this region as key support during potential pullbacks 👀📉
STH sub-group cost basis forms a "fast-to-slow" ribbon acting as momentum indicator for short-term sentiment 📊💪. Price remains above all STH cohorts despite current consolidation, showing underlying strength ✅🔄.
Cost basis range from 24hrs-3months spans $110K-$117K, aligning with the light-volume zone in distribution analysis 🎯⚡️. This confluence reinforces this region as key support during potential pullbacks 👀📉
Trading Crypto Compass
#BTC H4 TF Update: #BTC attempting to flip resistance on H4 but needs Daily TF confirmation 📊🔄. Price forming Bear Flag Pattern - a bearish continuation setup that could push price lower 📉🚩. Market remains truly bearish, so stay alert with altcoin positions…
Trading Crypto Compass
#AIXBT Analysis: Falling wedge pattern forming on 4H chart approaching breakout point 📈🔺. Candle close above $0.12 will confirm bullish scenario 💪✅. Long position entry planned after confirmed breakout above this key level 🚀⚡👀
Market Momentum Analysis:
Equal-weighted composite tracking profitable age-based cohorts shows momentum holding above mean for extended period, trending toward +1σ level 📈💪. This indicates strong market momentum with majority of new investors in profitable positions ✅📊.
Current conditions suggest positive sentiment among recent market participants, reinforcing underlying market strength 🚀⚡️👀
Equal-weighted composite tracking profitable age-based cohorts shows momentum holding above mean for extended period, trending toward +1σ level 📈💪. This indicates strong market momentum with majority of new investors in profitable positions ✅📊.
Current conditions suggest positive sentiment among recent market participants, reinforcing underlying market strength 🚀⚡️👀