Hey everyone, most of you already know me, but for the new faces - I'm Raiku 👋
I’ve been part of Doc‘s VIP since the early days (around 1000), it’s been amazing watching this community grow. Finally taking a moment to introduce myself properly.
I’m a meme hunter through and through. From the start of my crypto journey, memes have been my passion. I’ve invested in thousands of meme coins - seen what works, what rugs and what actually has potential.
💥 Some of my proudest early calls:
$FLOKI – Back then at around 60M. Strong team, perfect narrative. Conviction paid off.
$NEIRO – Shared before Binance listing. Another big win.
$CATBOY – Caught it early, did ~450x. Many in the group profited.
🎯 My mindset is simple:
Meme coins are fun, but they can also be risky. Only invest what you can afford to lose! Some plays win, some don’t - but the goal is to stay in profit overall.
The market has been tough lately, so we have to be careful. I won’t post daily spam, so please don‘t expect that. Just meme calls with strong narrative and timing. If i post it, it’s something i believe in.
Let’s degen smart and ride this wave together.
Your #TraderRaiku 😺
I’ve been part of Doc‘s VIP since the early days (around 1000), it’s been amazing watching this community grow. Finally taking a moment to introduce myself properly.
I’m a meme hunter through and through. From the start of my crypto journey, memes have been my passion. I’ve invested in thousands of meme coins - seen what works, what rugs and what actually has potential.
💥 Some of my proudest early calls:
$FLOKI – Back then at around 60M. Strong team, perfect narrative. Conviction paid off.
$NEIRO – Shared before Binance listing. Another big win.
$CATBOY – Caught it early, did ~450x. Many in the group profited.
🎯 My mindset is simple:
Meme coins are fun, but they can also be risky. Only invest what you can afford to lose! Some plays win, some don’t - but the goal is to stay in profit overall.
The market has been tough lately, so we have to be careful. I won’t post daily spam, so please don‘t expect that. Just meme calls with strong narrative and timing. If i post it, it’s something i believe in.
Let’s degen smart and ride this wave together.
Your #TraderRaiku 😺
❤26👍18
#BTC 10–14th Pivot
For the past six months, BTC has consistently dropped 8%+ after entering the 10–14th window of the month.
The only exception was May, when BTC pushed higher after the 14th. That rally came after a strong correction and the formation of a clear range, conditions similar to what we’re seeing now following the recent –35% pullback.
Because of that, this upcoming 10–14th window is worth watching closely. A deeper correction combined with a developing range means this pivot could mark a local bottom, similar to May, but this ultimately depends on the structure leading into the window.
As always, price action becomes much easier to read once we are at the pivot, not before.
For the past six months, BTC has consistently dropped 8%+ after entering the 10–14th window of the month.
The only exception was May, when BTC pushed higher after the 14th. That rally came after a strong correction and the formation of a clear range, conditions similar to what we’re seeing now following the recent –35% pullback.
Because of that, this upcoming 10–14th window is worth watching closely. A deeper correction combined with a developing range means this pivot could mark a local bottom, similar to May, but this ultimately depends on the structure leading into the window.
As always, price action becomes much easier to read once we are at the pivot, not before.
👍10❤8
#BTC Mondays are often the point where BTC sets its next major pivot, either a short-term high or a short-term low.
The weekend’s price action usually determines which one is more likely.
If the weekend doesn’t show strength or fails to pump, the probability of a pivot low forming on Monday increases.
If the weekend does produce a pump, the chances rise that Monday will form a pivot high.
Clear takeaway: The weekend sets the direction. Monday typically defines the pivot.
The weekend’s price action usually determines which one is more likely.
If the weekend doesn’t show strength or fails to pump, the probability of a pivot low forming on Monday increases.
If the weekend does produce a pump, the chances rise that Monday will form a pivot high.
Clear takeaway: The weekend sets the direction. Monday typically defines the pivot.
❤18👍7
📉 Structural imbalance forming in long positions
Whale positioning is rotating lower while retail participation is increasingly concentrated on the long side.
This divergence historically precedes periods where marginal buyers are exhausted and liquidity becomes asymmetric.
Rate cuts are being interpreted as a directional catalyst, but in practice they often serve as distribution windows for informed participants. When macro optimism collides with skewed positioning, markets tend to revert rather than extend.
Given the current flow dynamics, I’m establishing short exposure in the 95K–99K zone. In this environment, positioning and liquidity conditions carry more weight than narrative-driven sentiment.
Whale positioning is rotating lower while retail participation is increasingly concentrated on the long side.
This divergence historically precedes periods where marginal buyers are exhausted and liquidity becomes asymmetric.
Rate cuts are being interpreted as a directional catalyst, but in practice they often serve as distribution windows for informed participants. When macro optimism collides with skewed positioning, markets tend to revert rather than extend.
Given the current flow dynamics, I’m establishing short exposure in the 95K–99K zone. In this environment, positioning and liquidity conditions carry more weight than narrative-driven sentiment.
❤10
📉 BTC’s weekly EMA warning. A 3-Cycle macro pattern is repeating
Across the last three major Bitcoin cycles from 2018, 2021–2022, and now 2024–2025. The same structural signal has appeared before each deep bear market phase:
The Sequence:
Price closes multiple weeks below the 50-week EMA
BTC attempts a reclaim and fails
The 100-week EMA acts as temporary support
Once that support gives way → macro capitulation unfolds
This behaviour is visible:
In 2018 before the 6k floor broke
In 2022 before the 36k floor broke
And it’s forming again right now in 2025
Bitcoin doesn’t always repeat, but it often rhymes.
When the market structure at the weekly level aligns across three cycles, it becomes a signal worth respecting.
The coming retest of the 50-week EMA will determine the macro direction for the next 6–12 months.
A clean reclaim of the 50-week EMA would technically break the pattern, but based on current structure, liquidity behavior, and weekly momentum, the probability of such a reclaim looks extremely low.
Until the market proves otherwise, the burden of proof is on the bulls, not the bears.
A failure reinforces it.
Across the last three major Bitcoin cycles from 2018, 2021–2022, and now 2024–2025. The same structural signal has appeared before each deep bear market phase:
The Sequence:
Price closes multiple weeks below the 50-week EMA
BTC attempts a reclaim and fails
The 100-week EMA acts as temporary support
Once that support gives way → macro capitulation unfolds
This behaviour is visible:
In 2018 before the 6k floor broke
In 2022 before the 36k floor broke
And it’s forming again right now in 2025
Bitcoin doesn’t always repeat, but it often rhymes.
When the market structure at the weekly level aligns across three cycles, it becomes a signal worth respecting.
The coming retest of the 50-week EMA will determine the macro direction for the next 6–12 months.
A clean reclaim of the 50-week EMA would technically break the pattern, but based on current structure, liquidity behavior, and weekly momentum, the probability of such a reclaim looks extremely low.
Until the market proves otherwise, the burden of proof is on the bulls, not the bears.
A failure reinforces it.
❤12👍10
📉 Bear flag structure developing – strategic short zone
Price is currently forming a textbook bear flag, characterized by:
- A strong impulsive move down (flagpole)
- A controlled, low volume corrective grind upward (flag)
- Gradually weakening momentum as we approach resistance
The grey zone on the chart is my preferred area to scale into shorts. As long as price remains within this rising wedge and fails to reclaim the upper boundary with conviction, the structural bias continues to favor downside.
Base scenario:
- A breakdown from the flag triggers continuation
- Liquidity is targeted in the 80k–82k region, which aligns with prior demand and untested inefficiency
- From that zone, I expect a healthier foundation for the next higher timeframe impulse
Until the structure is invalidated, every slow push upward is treated as a corrective move rather than a trend reversal.
My outlook remains unchanged: a controlled retest of the 80k region before any meaningful upside expansion.
Price is currently forming a textbook bear flag, characterized by:
- A strong impulsive move down (flagpole)
- A controlled, low volume corrective grind upward (flag)
- Gradually weakening momentum as we approach resistance
The grey zone on the chart is my preferred area to scale into shorts. As long as price remains within this rising wedge and fails to reclaim the upper boundary with conviction, the structural bias continues to favor downside.
Base scenario:
- A breakdown from the flag triggers continuation
- Liquidity is targeted in the 80k–82k region, which aligns with prior demand and untested inefficiency
- From that zone, I expect a healthier foundation for the next higher timeframe impulse
Until the structure is invalidated, every slow push upward is treated as a corrective move rather than a trend reversal.
My outlook remains unchanged: a controlled retest of the 80k region before any meaningful upside expansion.
❤10👍8
$BTC Spot Taker CVD (90-Day)
This chart illustrates 90-day Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta, highlighting shifts in aggressive spot market participation.
The recent transition from buyer-dominant to seller-dominant flow while price remains near elevated levels signals absorption rather than strength. Despite continued buy interest, spot demand is increasingly being met by passive supply, preventing meaningful upside continuation.
Historically, when aggressive buying fails to translate into higher prices, it reflects distribution by larger participants and a deterioration in spot market momentum.
This is not a panic signal, but it is a structural warning:
- Spot buyers are no longer in full control
- Demand exists, but it is being absorbed
- Price is supported, yet lacks expansion
For BTC to sustain upside, buyer dominance must return and remain unabsorbed. Until that happens, the spot market is vulnerable to range expansion, liquidity sweeps lower, or a corrective phase before any healthy continuation.
This chart illustrates 90-day Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta, highlighting shifts in aggressive spot market participation.
The recent transition from buyer-dominant to seller-dominant flow while price remains near elevated levels signals absorption rather than strength. Despite continued buy interest, spot demand is increasingly being met by passive supply, preventing meaningful upside continuation.
Historically, when aggressive buying fails to translate into higher prices, it reflects distribution by larger participants and a deterioration in spot market momentum.
This is not a panic signal, but it is a structural warning:
- Spot buyers are no longer in full control
- Demand exists, but it is being absorbed
- Price is supported, yet lacks expansion
For BTC to sustain upside, buyer dominance must return and remain unabsorbed. Until that happens, the spot market is vulnerable to range expansion, liquidity sweeps lower, or a corrective phase before any healthy continuation.
❤6