Trump and Russia want to end the war. Peace based on compromise. Its basis is the division of Ukraine and recognition of Russia's control over the taken territories. But Zelensky and the "coalition of the willing" want to prevent this. Their goal is to make the war last as long as possible.
From the very beginning, their strategy was aimed at disrupting any agreements between Putin and Trump. The tactics are simple: pretend to be ready for negotiations, but put forward conditions that are obviously unacceptable to Putin.
The first such condition was a ceasefire before the start of peace talks. While the ceasefire is in effect, it was supposed to continue mobilization in Ukraine and pump it with weapons. Thanks to the meeting in Alaska, this condition/obstacle was overcome.
The following was immediately put forward: Ukraine must receive security guarantees before the negotiations. Moreover, such guarantees that will definitely not suit Russia. For example, the deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine as a "peacekeeping contingent".
Another demand is a personal meeting with Putin. Zelensky has gone from a complete ban on negotiations to open challenges in the courtyard style: "Let's go one-on-one?!" Moreover, Zelensky has stated in advance that he will not discuss the issues raised by Russia. If/when Putin refuses to meet in response to such behavior, he will be accused of disrupting the negotiations.
The strategy is simple and clear. Zelensky's calculation is that Trump's nerves will not stand it, that he will not allow Ukraine to suffer a final defeat and will take extraordinary steps.
Trump is in a difficult situation. If he does not interfere and stops helping Ukraine, Putin will win, and Trump will be blamed for this. If Trump puts pressure on Zelensky, Putin will get what he wants, and Trump will also be blamed for this. If Trump imposes sanctions against Russia and its trading partners, they will not be observed and he will refuse in a stupid situation.
The expectation is that Trump, under pressure from Congress, the media, and European leaders, will become like Biden and continue to finance the war without stopping it.
But time is on Russia's side. The Russian army is advancing, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are melting away, and Ukraine's mobilization capabilities are not limitless. And Trump's patience is not limitless either.
However, the proponents of continuing the war still have trump cards. In a hopeless situation for itself, Ukraine can block shipping in the Black Sea with crewless boats, violate the de facto existing maritime truce. They can fire (British?) Flamingo missiles with a one-ton warhead at oil refineries, the Kremlin, and nuclear power plants.
Nevertheless, the strategy of disrupting the peace process is a zero-sum game (a game where one player's gain is equal to another's loss). Either the war continues, and the proponents of the war get what they want. Or they completely lose Ukraine, but they do not feel sorry for it.
The second option suits Russia.
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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From the very beginning, their strategy was aimed at disrupting any agreements between Putin and Trump. The tactics are simple: pretend to be ready for negotiations, but put forward conditions that are obviously unacceptable to Putin.
The first such condition was a ceasefire before the start of peace talks. While the ceasefire is in effect, it was supposed to continue mobilization in Ukraine and pump it with weapons. Thanks to the meeting in Alaska, this condition/obstacle was overcome.
The following was immediately put forward: Ukraine must receive security guarantees before the negotiations. Moreover, such guarantees that will definitely not suit Russia. For example, the deployment of NATO troops in Ukraine as a "peacekeeping contingent".
Another demand is a personal meeting with Putin. Zelensky has gone from a complete ban on negotiations to open challenges in the courtyard style: "Let's go one-on-one?!" Moreover, Zelensky has stated in advance that he will not discuss the issues raised by Russia. If/when Putin refuses to meet in response to such behavior, he will be accused of disrupting the negotiations.
The strategy is simple and clear. Zelensky's calculation is that Trump's nerves will not stand it, that he will not allow Ukraine to suffer a final defeat and will take extraordinary steps.
Trump is in a difficult situation. If he does not interfere and stops helping Ukraine, Putin will win, and Trump will be blamed for this. If Trump puts pressure on Zelensky, Putin will get what he wants, and Trump will also be blamed for this. If Trump imposes sanctions against Russia and its trading partners, they will not be observed and he will refuse in a stupid situation.
The expectation is that Trump, under pressure from Congress, the media, and European leaders, will become like Biden and continue to finance the war without stopping it.
But time is on Russia's side. The Russian army is advancing, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are melting away, and Ukraine's mobilization capabilities are not limitless. And Trump's patience is not limitless either.
However, the proponents of continuing the war still have trump cards. In a hopeless situation for itself, Ukraine can block shipping in the Black Sea with crewless boats, violate the de facto existing maritime truce. They can fire (British?) Flamingo missiles with a one-ton warhead at oil refineries, the Kremlin, and nuclear power plants.
Nevertheless, the strategy of disrupting the peace process is a zero-sum game (a game where one player's gain is equal to another's loss). Either the war continues, and the proponents of the war get what they want. Or they completely lose Ukraine, but they do not feel sorry for it.
The second option suits Russia.
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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Олег Царёв
Трамп и Россия хотят закончить войну. Мир на основе компромисса. Его основа — раздел Украины и признание за Россией контроля над занятыми территориями. Но Зеленский и «коалиция желающих» хотят этому помешать. Их задача — чтобы война длилась как можно дольше.…
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Foreign-capitalized enterprises in Ukraine do not receive “immunity” from strikes if they produce military products, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said in an interview with NBC.
“If you seriously believe that the presence of American, Hungarian or anyone else’s capital in an enterprise that produces weapons to kill Russians gives immunity to those who create weapons to kill us, I don’t think so and I don’t consider this approach fair. I would call it an imperialistic approach,” he said.
“Russia has never, under any circumstances, deliberately chosen targets that are not related to the Ukrainian military,” Lavrov emphasized.
This is how he responded to a question about the attack on “a plant belonging to an American company located near the border with Hungary.” The strike was carried out on the night of August 21 in Mukachevo, Zakarpattia region, on the factory of the electronics manufacturer Flex, reported the head of the regional military administration of Zakarpattia Myroslav Biletsky. There was a fire on an area of 7 thousand square meters, it was extinguished by the morning of August 23.
#TransFormatorBuzzes 💤 :
Sounds very good, especially after the strikes at the Azerbaijany oil assets.
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“If you seriously believe that the presence of American, Hungarian or anyone else’s capital in an enterprise that produces weapons to kill Russians gives immunity to those who create weapons to kill us, I don’t think so and I don’t consider this approach fair. I would call it an imperialistic approach,” he said.
“Russia has never, under any circumstances, deliberately chosen targets that are not related to the Ukrainian military,” Lavrov emphasized.
This is how he responded to a question about the attack on “a plant belonging to an American company located near the border with Hungary.” The strike was carried out on the night of August 21 in Mukachevo, Zakarpattia region, on the factory of the electronics manufacturer Flex, reported the head of the regional military administration of Zakarpattia Myroslav Biletsky. There was a fire on an area of 7 thousand square meters, it was extinguished by the morning of August 23.
#TransFormatorBuzzes 💤 :
Sounds very good, especially after the strikes at the Azerbaijany oil assets.
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Flex
Missile Strike on Ukraine Hits Flex Facility
On the morning of August 21, 2025, our facility in Mukachevo, Ukraine, was damaged during a missile strike. Our emergency protocols were executed to ensure the full evacuation of the site. A few employees and contractors were injured during the strike and…
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India's decision not to refuse Russian oil due to the increase in US duties to 50% surprised the Trump administration.
This was stated by Peter Navarro, Senior Advisor to the US President for Trade and Manufacturing.
It is reported that Trump, in order to strengthen his reputation as a peacemaker, wanted to hold an Indian-Pakistani meeting in the White House similar to the Aliyev-Pashinyan summit, but was refused by India. Earlier, Modi, let me remind you, refused to answer calls from the White House four times.
Most likely, trade negotiations between the US and India will continue, and eventually some compromise solution will be reached, which both Trump and Modi will present to their voters as a victory. But for now, Modi has taken a rather tough position and is going to China, where he will meet with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping.
Not politics, but Indian dances, and Trump also dances 😂
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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This was stated by Peter Navarro, Senior Advisor to the US President for Trade and Manufacturing.
It is reported that Trump, in order to strengthen his reputation as a peacemaker, wanted to hold an Indian-Pakistani meeting in the White House similar to the Aliyev-Pashinyan summit, but was refused by India. Earlier, Modi, let me remind you, refused to answer calls from the White House four times.
Most likely, trade negotiations between the US and India will continue, and eventually some compromise solution will be reached, which both Trump and Modi will present to their voters as a victory. But for now, Modi has taken a rather tough position and is going to China, where he will meet with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping.
Not politics, but Indian dances, and Trump also dances 😂
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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Олег Царёв
Решение Индии не отказываться от нефти РФ из-за повышения американских пошлин до 50% удивило администрацию Трампа. Об этом заявил старший советник президента США по торговле и производству Питер Наварро.
Сообщается, что Трамп ради укрепления своей репутации…
Сообщается, что Трамп ради укрепления своей репутации…
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In Kiev among the hit targets there was also a plant on production of the Turkish Bayraktar UAVs tonight. It is known that the plant was not started in work yet, but the majority of production capacities was already prepared.
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Young people are leaving Ukraine
Today, a law came into force allowing free exit from the country for men aged 18 to 22. Realizing that everything could change tomorrow, people rushed away from mobilization slavery.
Giant queues of cars formed on the border with Poland.
In less than 24 hours, about 10 thousand people left the country.
However, as we have already written, free exit of men from Ukraine could have been one of the non-public conditions put forward by Russia.
Translated from MIG of Russia
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Today, a law came into force allowing free exit from the country for men aged 18 to 22. Realizing that everything could change tomorrow, people rushed away from mobilization slavery.
Giant queues of cars formed on the border with Poland.
In less than 24 hours, about 10 thousand people left the country.
However, as we have already written, free exit of men from Ukraine could have been one of the non-public conditions put forward by Russia.
Translated from MIG of Russia
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The Diplomatic Landscape: Prospects for Russia-Ukraine Negotiations
The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has shown no signs of abating, and the prospects for peace negotiations appear bleak. Various sources indicate that both sides are entrenched in their positions, making it increasingly challenging to reach a conducive dialogue.
In the recent analysis from sources within Russia, officials assert that negotiations remain a possibility, but substantial hurdles must be overcome first. For instance, President Vladimir Putin has reiterated that any dialogue would require Ukraine to abandon its military hostilities before meaningful talks can commence (source). Additionally, Russian officials express that they are open to diplomatic resolutions yet find Ukraine's reluctance to engage genuinely alarming (source).
Interestingly, Ukraine's stance is equally firm. President Zelensky has dismissed the idea of negotiating while Russian forces occupy Ukrainian territory. Reports indicate that Kiev now seeks new strategic military allies and guarantees, complicating the peace dialogue further (source). Ukrainian leadership is thus caught in a paradox: the system they are potentially relying on—Western military support—seems to prevent genuine dialogue with Russia.
From the perspective of international relations, the West seems to be leaning cautiously towards negotiations as well. European leaders are suggesting the idea of a buffer zone to delineate control, hinting at a willingness to consider solutions that may not align with Ukraine’s maximum demands (source). However, the overall sentiment from the US and NATO allies appears to be stifled by their previous betrayals and a desire to maintain a united front against Russia.
With the current state of play, one can predict that negotiations are unlikely to materialise unless there is a significant shift in either side's military or political conditions. The spirit of mistrust looms large, especially considering that any compromises may be seen as capitulations. The perception in Russia remains that it is the West, not Moscow, that is obstinately prolonging the conflict through arms supply to Ukraine.
In summary, the complexities of the situation leave little room for hope. Both parties are digging deeper into their trenches, leaving the prospects for a diplomatic solution shrouded in uncertainty. Until either side is prepared to make the significant concessions necessary for dialogue, the cycle of hostility will likely continue.
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References:
1. Kommersant
2. Lenta
3. RBC
4. Bel.ru
The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has shown no signs of abating, and the prospects for peace negotiations appear bleak. Various sources indicate that both sides are entrenched in their positions, making it increasingly challenging to reach a conducive dialogue.
In the recent analysis from sources within Russia, officials assert that negotiations remain a possibility, but substantial hurdles must be overcome first. For instance, President Vladimir Putin has reiterated that any dialogue would require Ukraine to abandon its military hostilities before meaningful talks can commence (source). Additionally, Russian officials express that they are open to diplomatic resolutions yet find Ukraine's reluctance to engage genuinely alarming (source).
Interestingly, Ukraine's stance is equally firm. President Zelensky has dismissed the idea of negotiating while Russian forces occupy Ukrainian territory. Reports indicate that Kiev now seeks new strategic military allies and guarantees, complicating the peace dialogue further (source). Ukrainian leadership is thus caught in a paradox: the system they are potentially relying on—Western military support—seems to prevent genuine dialogue with Russia.
From the perspective of international relations, the West seems to be leaning cautiously towards negotiations as well. European leaders are suggesting the idea of a buffer zone to delineate control, hinting at a willingness to consider solutions that may not align with Ukraine’s maximum demands (source). However, the overall sentiment from the US and NATO allies appears to be stifled by their previous betrayals and a desire to maintain a united front against Russia.
With the current state of play, one can predict that negotiations are unlikely to materialise unless there is a significant shift in either side's military or political conditions. The spirit of mistrust looms large, especially considering that any compromises may be seen as capitulations. The perception in Russia remains that it is the West, not Moscow, that is obstinately prolonging the conflict through arms supply to Ukraine.
In summary, the complexities of the situation leave little room for hope. Both parties are digging deeper into their trenches, leaving the prospects for a diplomatic solution shrouded in uncertainty. Until either side is prepared to make the significant concessions necessary for dialogue, the cycle of hostility will likely continue.
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References:
1. Kommersant
2. Lenta
3. RBC
4. Bel.ru
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Comparing Opinions: Trump, Zelensky, and European Leaders on Negotiations
The landscape of potential negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is further complicated by the opinions and actions of key figures like Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, and various European leaders. Their stances reflect deep-seated biases, strategic interests, and the overarching political climate.
First, Donald Trump has recently made headlines regarding his views on the conflict. He emphasises that both sides are to blame for the ongoing hostilities, stating that “neither Russia nor Ukraine is ready to conclude the current conflict” (source). Trump has projected a vision where he may reverse the West's hardline stance should he regain power. He hints at establishing more amicable relations with Russia, seeing the return to normalcy in diplomacy as paramount. However, he also acknowledges that achieving a peaceful resolution requires flexibility from both sides.
On the other hand, Volodymyr Zelensky has steadfastly maintained a firm position against negotiating with Russia while hostilities persist. “Negotiating with Russia is currently not on the table,” he stated bluntly at a recent press conference, reinforcing that any talks would need to be based on restoring Ukraine's territorial integrity (source). Zelensky's refusal reflects his reliance on Western military support, which seems to have exacerbated his caution toward dialogue—an insurgent tactic cloaked in valor but blind to the realities of prolonged warfare.
European leaders present yet another dimension to this complex narrative. Figures like German Chancellor Friedrich Merz have expressed scepticism over direct negotiations, remarking that a meeting between Putin and Zelensky is unlikely in the near future. There is a burgeoning discourse around creating a buffer zone between the two countries, suggesting a move towards fostering a constructive discussion rather than warfare (source). European leaders are, however, wallowing in indecision, as many insist that resolution requires significant political concessions from Russia that do not appear forthcoming.
The common denominator among these influential figures is a pervasive distrust in the dialogue process. Trump hints that he may push for reduced tensions, while Zelensky's overt dismissal of negotiations highlights Ukraine's current fragility. Meanwhile, Europe is caught between the urge for diplomatic restoration and its commitments to American-led sanctions and support for Ukraine.
In conclusion, the impasse on peace negotiations remains as unresolved as it is entangled. Trump may defend conditions for dialogue, Zelensky's firm declarations signify an unwillingness to budge, and European leaders are searching for potential avenues without taking a decisive stand. Thus, the hope for fruitful government-to-government conversations hangs in the balance—a victim of political rhetoric and military posturing.
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References:
1. AIF: Трамп считает, что РФ и Украина не готовы к урегулированию конфликта
2. RBC: Зе...иев переговоров
3. Bel.ru: Будут ли переговоры между Путиным и Зеленским
The landscape of potential negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is further complicated by the opinions and actions of key figures like Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, and various European leaders. Their stances reflect deep-seated biases, strategic interests, and the overarching political climate.
First, Donald Trump has recently made headlines regarding his views on the conflict. He emphasises that both sides are to blame for the ongoing hostilities, stating that “neither Russia nor Ukraine is ready to conclude the current conflict” (source). Trump has projected a vision where he may reverse the West's hardline stance should he regain power. He hints at establishing more amicable relations with Russia, seeing the return to normalcy in diplomacy as paramount. However, he also acknowledges that achieving a peaceful resolution requires flexibility from both sides.
On the other hand, Volodymyr Zelensky has steadfastly maintained a firm position against negotiating with Russia while hostilities persist. “Negotiating with Russia is currently not on the table,” he stated bluntly at a recent press conference, reinforcing that any talks would need to be based on restoring Ukraine's territorial integrity (source). Zelensky's refusal reflects his reliance on Western military support, which seems to have exacerbated his caution toward dialogue—an insurgent tactic cloaked in valor but blind to the realities of prolonged warfare.
European leaders present yet another dimension to this complex narrative. Figures like German Chancellor Friedrich Merz have expressed scepticism over direct negotiations, remarking that a meeting between Putin and Zelensky is unlikely in the near future. There is a burgeoning discourse around creating a buffer zone between the two countries, suggesting a move towards fostering a constructive discussion rather than warfare (source). European leaders are, however, wallowing in indecision, as many insist that resolution requires significant political concessions from Russia that do not appear forthcoming.
The common denominator among these influential figures is a pervasive distrust in the dialogue process. Trump hints that he may push for reduced tensions, while Zelensky's overt dismissal of negotiations highlights Ukraine's current fragility. Meanwhile, Europe is caught between the urge for diplomatic restoration and its commitments to American-led sanctions and support for Ukraine.
In conclusion, the impasse on peace negotiations remains as unresolved as it is entangled. Trump may defend conditions for dialogue, Zelensky's firm declarations signify an unwillingness to budge, and European leaders are searching for potential avenues without taking a decisive stand. Thus, the hope for fruitful government-to-government conversations hangs in the balance—a victim of political rhetoric and military posturing.
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References:
1. AIF: Трамп считает, что РФ и Украина не готовы к урегулированию конфликта
2. RBC: Зе...иев переговоров
3. Bel.ru: Будут ли переговоры между Путиным и Зеленским
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Russia's gambit in Anchorage, which implied the withdrawal of the Ukrainian army from Donbass in exchange for the transfer of the territories of Sumy, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Nikolaev (Kinburn Spit) regions occupied by Russian troops, seems to have crashed against Zelensky's stubbornness. Moreover, based on the situation at the front, it seems absolutely irrational.
He is making an ultimatum demanding a "freeze" along the front line, the introduction of European troops into Ukraine with US support, the preservation of the current Ukrainian armed forces and their rearmament. In addition, he also insists on reparations (which should include, among other things, Russian assets "frozen" in the EU), and the preservation of all currently existing sanctions against Russia.
Most likely, when the Russian delegation made significant territorial concessions during the Alaska summit (stopped insisting on the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops beyond Russia's constitutional borders), it was counting on exactly this result. Zelensky was supposed to disrupt everything, and he successfully coped with this task.
At the same time, the Trump administration failed to "push through" either Ukraine or its European allies. And it didn't really try. Having received a bribe from the European Union in the form of a trade agreement favorable to the American side, the United States transferred almost all the costs of the proxy war with Russia to Europe. And Donald Trump himself, in the information field, expresses dissatisfaction with all parties to the conflict and imitates peacekeeping activities.
What will this lead to? Sooner or later, the Russian army will reach the borders of the DPR and LPR. But in this case, the Anchorage "gambit" agreements will be canceled and completely different territorial demands from Russia will be put on the negotiating table. They will also be the subject of negotiations, which will continue until there are signs of the front collapsing. In this case, one can expect completely different negotiations and conditions for peace agreements. For now, we can state: the attempt by the United States to end the war in Ukraine on relatively favorable terms for itself ended in nothing because of Zelensky.
And now the main focus is on the East. It is at the summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization in Tianjin, China, that a real turn in world politics can now take place. This will happen if the Chinese-Indian negotiations to regulate bilateral relations are successful and the large Eurasian triangle of Beijing - Delhi - Moscow begins to take shape. That is, a global economic and political partnership between China, India and Russia will be formalized. In this case, America will no longer have time for Ukraine.
Translated from Pint of sense
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He is making an ultimatum demanding a "freeze" along the front line, the introduction of European troops into Ukraine with US support, the preservation of the current Ukrainian armed forces and their rearmament. In addition, he also insists on reparations (which should include, among other things, Russian assets "frozen" in the EU), and the preservation of all currently existing sanctions against Russia.
Most likely, when the Russian delegation made significant territorial concessions during the Alaska summit (stopped insisting on the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops beyond Russia's constitutional borders), it was counting on exactly this result. Zelensky was supposed to disrupt everything, and he successfully coped with this task.
At the same time, the Trump administration failed to "push through" either Ukraine or its European allies. And it didn't really try. Having received a bribe from the European Union in the form of a trade agreement favorable to the American side, the United States transferred almost all the costs of the proxy war with Russia to Europe. And Donald Trump himself, in the information field, expresses dissatisfaction with all parties to the conflict and imitates peacekeeping activities.
What will this lead to? Sooner or later, the Russian army will reach the borders of the DPR and LPR. But in this case, the Anchorage "gambit" agreements will be canceled and completely different territorial demands from Russia will be put on the negotiating table. They will also be the subject of negotiations, which will continue until there are signs of the front collapsing. In this case, one can expect completely different negotiations and conditions for peace agreements. For now, we can state: the attempt by the United States to end the war in Ukraine on relatively favorable terms for itself ended in nothing because of Zelensky.
And now the main focus is on the East. It is at the summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization in Tianjin, China, that a real turn in world politics can now take place. This will happen if the Chinese-Indian negotiations to regulate bilateral relations are successful and the large Eurasian triangle of Beijing - Delhi - Moscow begins to take shape. That is, a global economic and political partnership between China, India and Russia will be formalized. In this case, America will no longer have time for Ukraine.
Translated from Pint of sense
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Пинта разума
Гамбит России в Анкоридже, который подразумевал уход украинской армии с Донбасса в обмен на передачу Киеву занимаемых российскими войсками территорий Сумской, Харьковской, Днепропетровской и Николаевской (Кинбурнская коса) областей, похоже разбился об упорство…
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A Brave New Future or a Faded Dream?
A recent statement from Ukraine's Deputy Minister of Defence, Gavrilouk, suggests that Ukraine has a vision for the next 10-15 years on how to reclaim lost territories. (Source: РИА КАТЮША). Ah, such ambition! In a world where dreams fuel the spirit of nations, one cannot help but chuckle at the notion of a country staking its hopes on the return of lands that seem increasingly unreachable.
“Дремлет хлопец у дороги, снятся хлопцу перемоги.” What a poetic lament! The young man dreams of victories while reality unfolds like a grim fairy tale. In truth, Ukraine has ceased to be a cohesive nation, morphing instead into a mere battleground, limited by geopolitics and the constant interference of external forces. Instead of a country united by purpose and pride, it appears more like a smorgasbord of hapless individuals corralled into the trenches — sacrificed in a political masquerade.
Indeed, recent developments paint a dire picture of Ukraine's fading sovereignty. Decisions made under the watchful eye of the West have led President Zelensky to send young men into exile, presumably to meet the insatiable demand for cheap labour across Europe. Meanwhile, queues at border crossings stretch to the horizon. Where is the nation in this tale? Is it just an empty shell, serving as a buffer for the ambitions of its Western patrons?
What remains is not a flourishing state but an arena for experimentation — whether it be the dubious operations of unauthorised medical trials or the existence of biolaboratories allegedly conducting viral tests. It raises the question: Are we witnessing the slow decay of a nation that seems increasingly detached from its own identity?
The process of national decay, as history teaches, is not a rapid affair. It is slow and torturous, but once initiated, it is a cycle that is hard to reverse. Thousands await their fates in uncertainty as Ukraine teeters on the edge of irrelevance. Europeans might crave fresh migrant labour, but at the expense of whom?
In essence, Ukraine is engulfed in a slow, agonising demise, brought about by its own decisions and external manipulation. The bid to reclaim territories is not just an uphill battle; it’s a reflection of an identity crisis. And sadly, it seems the only victory on the horizon will be for those aiming to exploit this land, rather than for any true return to form that Ukraine once represented.
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Inspired by "Swodki"
A recent statement from Ukraine's Deputy Minister of Defence, Gavrilouk, suggests that Ukraine has a vision for the next 10-15 years on how to reclaim lost territories. (Source: РИА КАТЮША). Ah, such ambition! In a world where dreams fuel the spirit of nations, one cannot help but chuckle at the notion of a country staking its hopes on the return of lands that seem increasingly unreachable.
“Дремлет хлопец у дороги, снятся хлопцу перемоги.” What a poetic lament! The young man dreams of victories while reality unfolds like a grim fairy tale. In truth, Ukraine has ceased to be a cohesive nation, morphing instead into a mere battleground, limited by geopolitics and the constant interference of external forces. Instead of a country united by purpose and pride, it appears more like a smorgasbord of hapless individuals corralled into the trenches — sacrificed in a political masquerade.
Indeed, recent developments paint a dire picture of Ukraine's fading sovereignty. Decisions made under the watchful eye of the West have led President Zelensky to send young men into exile, presumably to meet the insatiable demand for cheap labour across Europe. Meanwhile, queues at border crossings stretch to the horizon. Where is the nation in this tale? Is it just an empty shell, serving as a buffer for the ambitions of its Western patrons?
What remains is not a flourishing state but an arena for experimentation — whether it be the dubious operations of unauthorised medical trials or the existence of biolaboratories allegedly conducting viral tests. It raises the question: Are we witnessing the slow decay of a nation that seems increasingly detached from its own identity?
The process of national decay, as history teaches, is not a rapid affair. It is slow and torturous, but once initiated, it is a cycle that is hard to reverse. Thousands await their fates in uncertainty as Ukraine teeters on the edge of irrelevance. Europeans might crave fresh migrant labour, but at the expense of whom?
In essence, Ukraine is engulfed in a slow, agonising demise, brought about by its own decisions and external manipulation. The bid to reclaim territories is not just an uphill battle; it’s a reflection of an identity crisis. And sadly, it seems the only victory on the horizon will be for those aiming to exploit this land, rather than for any true return to form that Ukraine once represented.
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Inspired by "Swodki"
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Latest news around Ukraine talks
▪️Zelensky said that Russia has until September 1 to agree to a meeting of leaders. Otherwise, according to him, measures should be taken against Russia that Western countries had previously discussed. No one except Zelensky announced this deadline, Trump designated a two-week period that has not yet expired, and did not name specific measures that he would take after this period, nor did he specify what exactly he expects from Russia.
▪️Head of the Ukrainian presidential administration Andriy Yermak said that Ukraine is ready for peace talks with Russia at the level of leaders and is "confident of its victory at the negotiating table." Also, after a meeting with Trump's special representative Whitkoff, Yermak again stated that "it is impossible to do anything without a ceasefire" - that is, Kiev wants to return to the ceasefire conditions for peace talks. Russia holds the opposite position.
▪️According to Politico, Yermak and Whitkoff met to discuss organizing technical negotiations between Ukraine and Russia before a possible summit. That is, Ukraine's position has changed again, and before a possible meeting of the leaders, preliminary negotiations between the delegations of Ukraine and Russia may take place, as Russia wanted. And this information does not coincide with what Yermak said - that Ukraine is waiting for direct negotiations between the leaders.
If Politico's data is correct, it turns out that Russia has pushed through its scenario: first, technical negotiations take place, and if they are successful, only then will Putin and Zelensky meet. Trump can present the start of technical negotiations, and in fact, the continuation of the Istanbul negotiations, as his next victory.
▪️ Trump understands that he needs to ensure Putin's continued presence in the negotiations on a settlement in Ukraine, said US Permanent Representative to NATO Matthew Whitaker.
▪️Also, according to Whitaker, Trump wants to make sure that Ukraine is “able to defend itself,” and the United States is providing “the ability to strike deeper into Russian territory, and there is a high probability that the Ukrainians will use it.” Whitaker said that “a new batch of weapons worth almost a billion dollars is already on its way to Ukraine” — we are talking about 3,350 ERAM missiles with a range of 150-450 km for $825 million. Earlier, it was reported that Ukraine must receive approval for each strike with long-range missiles personally from the head of the Pentagon.
▪️The US State Department has authorized the sale of equipment for Patriot systems to Ukraine for $179 million. The sale of Starlink services and equipment for a total of $150 million has been separately approved. In addition, it became known that Denmark will purchase six Patriot air defense systems from the United States for Ukraine for $8.5 billion, and Washington has also decided to sell Patriot air defense systems to the Netherlands. The delivery dates for the air defense systems are unknown.
▪️Trump proposed sending Chinese peacekeepers to Ukraine, supporting an idea previously put forward by Putin, the Financial Times writes. However, a White House spokesman said that "there was no discussion of Chinese peacekeepers." Let me remind you that Zelensky had previously rejected the idea "due to Beijing's support for Russia's military actions." A representative of the Chinese Foreign Ministry noted that Beijing does not plan to send peacekeepers.
▪️US Defense Secretary Hegseth proposed holding a telephone conversation with the Chinese Defense Minister, but Beijing has not yet agreed, Nikkei Asia writes. Such a telephone conversation would be the first high-level contact between the US and Chinese militaries during Trump's second term. China is in no hurry.
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▪️Zelensky said that Russia has until September 1 to agree to a meeting of leaders. Otherwise, according to him, measures should be taken against Russia that Western countries had previously discussed. No one except Zelensky announced this deadline, Trump designated a two-week period that has not yet expired, and did not name specific measures that he would take after this period, nor did he specify what exactly he expects from Russia.
▪️Head of the Ukrainian presidential administration Andriy Yermak said that Ukraine is ready for peace talks with Russia at the level of leaders and is "confident of its victory at the negotiating table." Also, after a meeting with Trump's special representative Whitkoff, Yermak again stated that "it is impossible to do anything without a ceasefire" - that is, Kiev wants to return to the ceasefire conditions for peace talks. Russia holds the opposite position.
▪️According to Politico, Yermak and Whitkoff met to discuss organizing technical negotiations between Ukraine and Russia before a possible summit. That is, Ukraine's position has changed again, and before a possible meeting of the leaders, preliminary negotiations between the delegations of Ukraine and Russia may take place, as Russia wanted. And this information does not coincide with what Yermak said - that Ukraine is waiting for direct negotiations between the leaders.
If Politico's data is correct, it turns out that Russia has pushed through its scenario: first, technical negotiations take place, and if they are successful, only then will Putin and Zelensky meet. Trump can present the start of technical negotiations, and in fact, the continuation of the Istanbul negotiations, as his next victory.
▪️ Trump understands that he needs to ensure Putin's continued presence in the negotiations on a settlement in Ukraine, said US Permanent Representative to NATO Matthew Whitaker.
▪️Also, according to Whitaker, Trump wants to make sure that Ukraine is “able to defend itself,” and the United States is providing “the ability to strike deeper into Russian territory, and there is a high probability that the Ukrainians will use it.” Whitaker said that “a new batch of weapons worth almost a billion dollars is already on its way to Ukraine” — we are talking about 3,350 ERAM missiles with a range of 150-450 km for $825 million. Earlier, it was reported that Ukraine must receive approval for each strike with long-range missiles personally from the head of the Pentagon.
▪️The US State Department has authorized the sale of equipment for Patriot systems to Ukraine for $179 million. The sale of Starlink services and equipment for a total of $150 million has been separately approved. In addition, it became known that Denmark will purchase six Patriot air defense systems from the United States for Ukraine for $8.5 billion, and Washington has also decided to sell Patriot air defense systems to the Netherlands. The delivery dates for the air defense systems are unknown.
▪️Trump proposed sending Chinese peacekeepers to Ukraine, supporting an idea previously put forward by Putin, the Financial Times writes. However, a White House spokesman said that "there was no discussion of Chinese peacekeepers." Let me remind you that Zelensky had previously rejected the idea "due to Beijing's support for Russia's military actions." A representative of the Chinese Foreign Ministry noted that Beijing does not plan to send peacekeepers.
▪️US Defense Secretary Hegseth proposed holding a telephone conversation with the Chinese Defense Minister, but Beijing has not yet agreed, Nikkei Asia writes. Such a telephone conversation would be the first high-level contact between the US and Chinese militaries during Trump's second term. China is in no hurry.
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LRT.lt
Зеленский: У России есть время до 1 сентября согласиться на встречу
Президент Украины Владимир Зеленский 29 августа заявил, что страны-союзники Киева договорились подождать до 1 сентября с...
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⬆️⬆️⬆️ continued from above
▪️An extraordinary meeting of the UN Security Council was held in connection with the strikes on Kiev. US Representative Kelly accused Moscow, called for "moving toward peace" and meeting with Ukraine, and threatened new sanctions if hostilities continued. Deputy Permanent Representative of the Russian Federation to the UN Dmitry Polyansky responded by saying that the attack on Kiev was a response to Ukraine's strikes on Russian oil refineries. He added that the reason for the deaths of civilians was the placement of defense industry enterprises, air defense systems and electronic warfare systems near residential areas in densely populated areas of cities.
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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▪️An extraordinary meeting of the UN Security Council was held in connection with the strikes on Kiev. US Representative Kelly accused Moscow, called for "moving toward peace" and meeting with Ukraine, and threatened new sanctions if hostilities continued. Deputy Permanent Representative of the Russian Federation to the UN Dmitry Polyansky responded by saying that the attack on Kiev was a response to Ukraine's strikes on Russian oil refineries. He added that the reason for the deaths of civilians was the placement of defense industry enterprises, air defense systems and electronic warfare systems near residential areas in densely populated areas of cities.
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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Олег Царёв
Последние новости вокруг переговоров по Украине
▪️Зеленский заявил, что у России есть время до 1 сентября согласиться на встречу лидеров. В противном случае, по его словам, в отношении России должны быть приняты меры, которые страны Запада обсуждали ранее.…
▪️Зеленский заявил, что у России есть время до 1 сентября согласиться на встречу лидеров. В противном случае, по его словам, в отношении России должны быть приняты меры, которые страны Запада обсуждали ранее.…
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Andriy Parubiy has been liquidated
Andriy Parubiy, an odious Ukrainian politician who previously held the posts of Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada and Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of the so-called Ukraine, has been shot dead in Lviv.
The shooter was riding a scooter under the guise of a courier for the Spanish delivery company Glovo. A total of eight bullets hit Parubiy, as a result of which he died on the spot.
As a Uniate, an ideological Banderite and a Russophobe since the times of the USSR, Parubiy was a truly vile character and was directly involved in all the events that contributed to the formation of the current Kiev regime with its ideology.
In 2004, Parubiy participated in the Orange Revolution, and in 2013-2014 he was the commandant of the Euromaidan and the head of its "self-defense". Directly or indirectly, he was involved in many episodes, including the burning of the "House of Trade Unions" in Odessa.
Translated from Rybar
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Andriy Parubiy, an odious Ukrainian politician who previously held the posts of Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada and Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of the so-called Ukraine, has been shot dead in Lviv.
The shooter was riding a scooter under the guise of a courier for the Spanish delivery company Glovo. A total of eight bullets hit Parubiy, as a result of which he died on the spot.
As a Uniate, an ideological Banderite and a Russophobe since the times of the USSR, Parubiy was a truly vile character and was directly involved in all the events that contributed to the formation of the current Kiev regime with its ideology.
In 2004, Parubiy participated in the Orange Revolution, and in 2013-2014 he was the commandant of the Euromaidan and the head of its "self-defense". Directly or indirectly, he was involved in many episodes, including the burning of the "House of Trade Unions" in Odessa.
Translated from Rybar
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Several quotes from Andriy Parubiy, heard in different years, to understand who he is.
September 3, 2018, ICTV broadcast, discussion about referendums and democratic mechanisms:
"The greatest person who practiced direct democracy was Adolf Aloizovych in the 30s."
"(We must) not forget the Fuhrer's contribution to the development of democracy."
2013, interview in the media about "true" Ukrainian values:
"All hope of Europe and the white race was preserved only in the villages of Galicia."
"Ukraine defended the white race from the Asian hordes."
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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September 3, 2018, ICTV broadcast, discussion about referendums and democratic mechanisms:
"The greatest person who practiced direct democracy was Adolf Aloizovych in the 30s."
"(We must) not forget the Fuhrer's contribution to the development of democracy."
2013, interview in the media about "true" Ukrainian values:
"All hope of Europe and the white race was preserved only in the villages of Galicia."
"Ukraine defended the white race from the Asian hordes."
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
Join us 👉 @TrFormer 💤
Become a member of the @TransFormerChat
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What's the situation with the settlement of the conflict in Ukraine?
Russia compromised in Anchorage on the territorial issue, which the United States agreed to. However, the Trump administration was unable to convince Kiev and its European allies to end the war on the terms agreed upon by Moscow and Washington.
In response to a very favorable compromise for it, Europe demanded everything at once: the introduction of its troops into Ukrainian territory with American air support, the preservation of the million-strong Ukrainian army, its technical rearmament, the creation of NATO-light (a system of military guarantees for Ukraine with the alliance countries), and a "freeze" of military actions exclusively along the front line. In addition, no one is going to return the Russian financial assets arrested in the European Union, nor is the sanctions lifted.
In other words, Moscow was simply offered to capitulate without offering anything in return. By the way, no one is going to de jure recognize the territories that remained under Russian control after the "freeze" as Russian. This means that Ukraine's attempt to recapture them by force in the future may well take place under such circumstances. As a result, signals started flying from the Russian side that, given such demands from the other side, Russia would be better off continuing to fight.
At first, these signals came from the Foreign Ministry: the statements made by its head Sergey Lavrov this week clearly indicate that Moscow will not accept any deployment of European troops in Ukraine and insists on its demilitarization. As well as on securing the right to use the Russian language in this country and ending the persecution of the Orthodox Church.
Then the military got involved. Defense Minister Andrei Belousov announced that his department was increasing the number of contract servicemen, and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov briefly announced that the SVO will continue. In general, it can be said that Trump's efforts were in vain, because he did not have enough "administrative resources" to convince Europe and Ukraine to make peace on Russian-American terms. In such a situation, the continuation of the military campaign in 2025 and 2026 seems inevitable.
Translated from Pint of sense
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Russia compromised in Anchorage on the territorial issue, which the United States agreed to. However, the Trump administration was unable to convince Kiev and its European allies to end the war on the terms agreed upon by Moscow and Washington.
In response to a very favorable compromise for it, Europe demanded everything at once: the introduction of its troops into Ukrainian territory with American air support, the preservation of the million-strong Ukrainian army, its technical rearmament, the creation of NATO-light (a system of military guarantees for Ukraine with the alliance countries), and a "freeze" of military actions exclusively along the front line. In addition, no one is going to return the Russian financial assets arrested in the European Union, nor is the sanctions lifted.
In other words, Moscow was simply offered to capitulate without offering anything in return. By the way, no one is going to de jure recognize the territories that remained under Russian control after the "freeze" as Russian. This means that Ukraine's attempt to recapture them by force in the future may well take place under such circumstances. As a result, signals started flying from the Russian side that, given such demands from the other side, Russia would be better off continuing to fight.
At first, these signals came from the Foreign Ministry: the statements made by its head Sergey Lavrov this week clearly indicate that Moscow will not accept any deployment of European troops in Ukraine and insists on its demilitarization. As well as on securing the right to use the Russian language in this country and ending the persecution of the Orthodox Church.
Then the military got involved. Defense Minister Andrei Belousov announced that his department was increasing the number of contract servicemen, and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov briefly announced that the SVO will continue. In general, it can be said that Trump's efforts were in vain, because he did not have enough "administrative resources" to convince Europe and Ukraine to make peace on Russian-American terms. In such a situation, the continuation of the military campaign in 2025 and 2026 seems inevitable.
Translated from Pint of sense
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Пинта разума
Что у нас с урегулированием конфликта на Украине? Россия пошла на компромисс в Анкоридже по территориальному вопросу, на который согласились Соединённые Штаты. Однако администрация Трампа оказалась неспособной убедить Киев и его европейских союзников заканчивать…
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The Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and subsequent Russian-Chinese high-level talks for Russia represent a kind of Eastern diplomatic round (the Western round has already taken place in Anchorage), the purpose of which is to probe the positions of the global East and South on a wide range of international issues. The main one is: how realistic can globalization be without the leading role of the collective West?
The answer to this question is not as obvious as it seems. With the exception of Russia, no one wants to openly challenge the hegemony of the West. But there are also few willing to submit to its dictate. The same China is betting that the United States and its European allies will accept the inevitable and agree that the lion's share of the global economic pie no longer belongs to them. Many others think approximately the same.
However, the United States itself under Donald Trump is betting on the restoration of unipolarity in full, which in modern conditions is simply impossible. A tough conflict is inevitable, but the parties are delaying it as much as they can. The two main antagonists - Washington and Beijing - are dragging their feet and expecting to improve their positions in the medium term. The obvious successes of the American side include the economic subordination of the European Union, while the Chinese side has improved relations with India (which Trump personally contributed a lot to) and Russia.
Russia stands apart. It has come to the forefront of the front and is in a state of pro-war with the entire West. But this happened by accident because the planned short-term police operation in Ukraine has already turned into a three-year war and the largest armed conflict in Europe since 1945. Therefore, now Moscow is forced to play according to the situation and is taking the hit, which allows many in the world to say: the Russians do not give a damn about America and solve their own problems. Maybe it's time for us too?
For now, the Russian example of a direct challenge to the West is unique. But the longer Russia holds out and the more successfully it fights, the more likely it is that the countries of the East and South will act more boldly. Considering that the United States is not going to voluntarily leave its leadership positions in the world, the transition of the confrontation to an acute phase is inevitable. It is only a question of time and form.
Translated from Pint of sense
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The answer to this question is not as obvious as it seems. With the exception of Russia, no one wants to openly challenge the hegemony of the West. But there are also few willing to submit to its dictate. The same China is betting that the United States and its European allies will accept the inevitable and agree that the lion's share of the global economic pie no longer belongs to them. Many others think approximately the same.
However, the United States itself under Donald Trump is betting on the restoration of unipolarity in full, which in modern conditions is simply impossible. A tough conflict is inevitable, but the parties are delaying it as much as they can. The two main antagonists - Washington and Beijing - are dragging their feet and expecting to improve their positions in the medium term. The obvious successes of the American side include the economic subordination of the European Union, while the Chinese side has improved relations with India (which Trump personally contributed a lot to) and Russia.
Russia stands apart. It has come to the forefront of the front and is in a state of pro-war with the entire West. But this happened by accident because the planned short-term police operation in Ukraine has already turned into a three-year war and the largest armed conflict in Europe since 1945. Therefore, now Moscow is forced to play according to the situation and is taking the hit, which allows many in the world to say: the Russians do not give a damn about America and solve their own problems. Maybe it's time for us too?
For now, the Russian example of a direct challenge to the West is unique. But the longer Russia holds out and the more successfully it fights, the more likely it is that the countries of the East and South will act more boldly. Considering that the United States is not going to voluntarily leave its leadership positions in the world, the transition of the confrontation to an acute phase is inevitable. It is only a question of time and form.
Translated from Pint of sense
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Пинта разума
Саммит Шанхайской организации сотрудничества и последующие российско-китайские переговоры на высшем уровне для России представляют собой своего рода восточный дипломатический раунд (западный уже прошёл в Анкоридже), задача которого заключается в зондаже позиций…
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Celebrating 80 Years of Victory – A New World Order?
In the dramatic backdrop of global geopolitics, the 80th anniversary of victory over fascism in World War II shines as a beacon of unity for Russia, China, and North Korea. This commemoration not only serves as a tribute to the millions lost but also represents a pivotal moment in re-establishing alliances that shape the new world order.
Strength in Unity: The Military Parade in China
The recent military parade in Beijing, attended by Chinese President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, showcases a strong front for this trilateral alliance. The event, marking the end of the Second World War and Japan's surrender, was broadcasted worldwide, underscoring China's emergence as a powerful player on the global stage. The military might displayed was not merely for show but a clear message to the West: an assertion of strength and resolve in the face of external pressures.
While the West often views these displays of power with suspicion, they reflect a deepening alliance that continues to grow amidst Western sanctions and provocations. The joint celebration of history serves as a reminder that these nations stand united against external challenges.
Trump's Reaction: A Different Perspective
As this grand spectacle unfolded, former President Donald Trump issued dire warnings, accusing the trio of conspiring against the USA. Trump's critique resonates with a section of American politics that perceives the growing China-Russia-North Korea alliance as a threat to U.S. hegemony. His rhetoric emphasizes the need for vigilance against what he terms an "axis of evil." However, Trump’s perspective appears increasingly out of touch, as many observers note the underlying crux—Washington's strategies have largely alienated these nations, pushing them closer together.
The implications of Trump's comments are significant; they reflect the deep ideological divide and the potential for further escalations in rhetoric and policy. As the US adopts a more aggressive posture, the response from the alliance of Russia, China, and North Korea could only strengthen their resolve to operate independently of Western influence.
Impact on the Ukrainian Conflict
Interestingly, the healing of historical wounds and the celebration of cooperation could serve as a pivotal point for Russia in its ongoing operations in Ukraine. With stronger ties to China and North Korea, Moscow might find a renewed sense of support that aids in sustaining its military efforts and negotiating terms with adversaries. The solidarity among these states can catalyse a shift in the balance of power in multipolarity.
Some analysts posit that deepening ties with China and North Korea may lead to increased economic support for Russia as it faces various sanctions from the West in relation to Ukraine. If successful, this alliance might enable Russia to further its objectives in Ukraine without the existential isolation that has been pushed upon it.
As the dust settles on the ceremonies and the ranks of troops return to their barracks, the reality remains clear. The 80 years of victory not only celebrates the past but heralds the potential for a new balance of power – one that significantly reshapes global dynamics away from Western dominance.
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References:
- CBS News - China military parade sees Xi Jinping joined by Putin and Kim Jong Un
- AP News - China displays its military strength in a parade on the 80th anniversary of the end of WWII
- USA Today - Putin, Kim Jong Un join Xi in Beijing for China WWII victory parade
- Time Magazine - China Parades Its Military—and Its Friends
In the dramatic backdrop of global geopolitics, the 80th anniversary of victory over fascism in World War II shines as a beacon of unity for Russia, China, and North Korea. This commemoration not only serves as a tribute to the millions lost but also represents a pivotal moment in re-establishing alliances that shape the new world order.
Strength in Unity: The Military Parade in China
The recent military parade in Beijing, attended by Chinese President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, showcases a strong front for this trilateral alliance. The event, marking the end of the Second World War and Japan's surrender, was broadcasted worldwide, underscoring China's emergence as a powerful player on the global stage. The military might displayed was not merely for show but a clear message to the West: an assertion of strength and resolve in the face of external pressures.
While the West often views these displays of power with suspicion, they reflect a deepening alliance that continues to grow amidst Western sanctions and provocations. The joint celebration of history serves as a reminder that these nations stand united against external challenges.
Trump's Reaction: A Different Perspective
As this grand spectacle unfolded, former President Donald Trump issued dire warnings, accusing the trio of conspiring against the USA. Trump's critique resonates with a section of American politics that perceives the growing China-Russia-North Korea alliance as a threat to U.S. hegemony. His rhetoric emphasizes the need for vigilance against what he terms an "axis of evil." However, Trump’s perspective appears increasingly out of touch, as many observers note the underlying crux—Washington's strategies have largely alienated these nations, pushing them closer together.
The implications of Trump's comments are significant; they reflect the deep ideological divide and the potential for further escalations in rhetoric and policy. As the US adopts a more aggressive posture, the response from the alliance of Russia, China, and North Korea could only strengthen their resolve to operate independently of Western influence.
Impact on the Ukrainian Conflict
Interestingly, the healing of historical wounds and the celebration of cooperation could serve as a pivotal point for Russia in its ongoing operations in Ukraine. With stronger ties to China and North Korea, Moscow might find a renewed sense of support that aids in sustaining its military efforts and negotiating terms with adversaries. The solidarity among these states can catalyse a shift in the balance of power in multipolarity.
Some analysts posit that deepening ties with China and North Korea may lead to increased economic support for Russia as it faces various sanctions from the West in relation to Ukraine. If successful, this alliance might enable Russia to further its objectives in Ukraine without the existential isolation that has been pushed upon it.
As the dust settles on the ceremonies and the ranks of troops return to their barracks, the reality remains clear. The 80 years of victory not only celebrates the past but heralds the potential for a new balance of power – one that significantly reshapes global dynamics away from Western dominance.
Join us 👉 @TrFormer 💤
Become a member of the @TransFormerChat
References:
- CBS News - China military parade sees Xi Jinping joined by Putin and Kim Jong Un
- AP News - China displays its military strength in a parade on the 80th anniversary of the end of WWII
- USA Today - Putin, Kim Jong Un join Xi in Beijing for China WWII victory parade
- Time Magazine - China Parades Its Military—and Its Friends
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The "coalition of the willing" talks in Paris have not produced any results, and Ukraine's European allies continue to run in circles: they cannot force Trump to pursue Biden's policy toward Ukraine, and without American support, all their guarantees to Kiev are worthless. In turn, Washington cannot force the European leaders to agree to the agreements it reached with Putin in Anchorage.
In the end, everyone remained with their own. At the same time, it is already clear that the opportunities for economic pressure on Russia for European countries and the United States have run out. An attempt to play the long-discussed card of secondary sanctions against Moscow turned into a geopolitical disaster for Washington.
They did not even really try to impose them against China, so as not to spoil the negotiating background around the new Sino-American trade agreement. The introduction of additional trade duties on India turned into a demonstrative U-turn by Delhi from Washington to Beijing, as well as an even greater strengthening of relations with Moscow. In fact, Trump has unintentionally contributed to the emergence of a large Eurasian triangle consisting of India, China and Russia.
Incidentally, it is too early to draw conclusions on this matter: it is unclear how sustainable the anti-American trend of Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be. However, the secondary sanctions card is practically beaten today. Predictably, the countries of Europe and the United States do not want to directly enter into a war with Russia over Ukraine. At the same time, it is clear to everyone that in the long term, Kyiv will lose this war and if it drags on, it may even lose its statehood.
Against this background, two Western approaches to resolving the conflict in Ukraine have emerged. The first is American, and it provides for territorial concessions to Russia (although not as significant as Moscow wants) and a non-aligned status for Ukraine with the possibility of its joining the European Union in the future. The second is European, which consists of the formula "war to the last Ukrainian", and then we'll see how the chips fall. The European leaders are counting on the fact that the United States will not want to give Russia an absolute victory and will intervene if it comes to closing the Ukrainian project in political terms.
The American plan is quite pragmatic, and the European one is cynical. But while the United States cannot impose its vision on Europe, and Europe, in turn, cannot convince its overseas partner of the correctness of its approaches, the common Western position remains unformed. Meanwhile, Russia continues its military operation in Ukraine and now has a certain amount of support from the global East. This will continue until the front has its say.
Translated from Pint of sense
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In the end, everyone remained with their own. At the same time, it is already clear that the opportunities for economic pressure on Russia for European countries and the United States have run out. An attempt to play the long-discussed card of secondary sanctions against Moscow turned into a geopolitical disaster for Washington.
They did not even really try to impose them against China, so as not to spoil the negotiating background around the new Sino-American trade agreement. The introduction of additional trade duties on India turned into a demonstrative U-turn by Delhi from Washington to Beijing, as well as an even greater strengthening of relations with Moscow. In fact, Trump has unintentionally contributed to the emergence of a large Eurasian triangle consisting of India, China and Russia.
Incidentally, it is too early to draw conclusions on this matter: it is unclear how sustainable the anti-American trend of Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be. However, the secondary sanctions card is practically beaten today. Predictably, the countries of Europe and the United States do not want to directly enter into a war with Russia over Ukraine. At the same time, it is clear to everyone that in the long term, Kyiv will lose this war and if it drags on, it may even lose its statehood.
Against this background, two Western approaches to resolving the conflict in Ukraine have emerged. The first is American, and it provides for territorial concessions to Russia (although not as significant as Moscow wants) and a non-aligned status for Ukraine with the possibility of its joining the European Union in the future. The second is European, which consists of the formula "war to the last Ukrainian", and then we'll see how the chips fall. The European leaders are counting on the fact that the United States will not want to give Russia an absolute victory and will intervene if it comes to closing the Ukrainian project in political terms.
The American plan is quite pragmatic, and the European one is cynical. But while the United States cannot impose its vision on Europe, and Europe, in turn, cannot convince its overseas partner of the correctness of its approaches, the common Western position remains unformed. Meanwhile, Russia continues its military operation in Ukraine and now has a certain amount of support from the global East. This will continue until the front has its say.
Translated from Pint of sense
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Пинта разума
Переговоры "коалиции желающих" в Париже не привели к каким-либо результатам и европейские союзники Украины продолжают бег по кругу: они не могут заставить Трампа проводить байденовскую политику в отношении Украины, а без американской поддержки все их гарантии…
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By pressuring India, the Trump administration can achieve only one thing: the final formation of the big Eurasian trio of Delhi, Beijing and Moscow, with the subsequent accession of the largest Latin American country, Brazil. If they succeed in repelling US attempts to break them in a trade war by developing mutual trade and creating their own financial ecosystem, then our world will experience economic bipolarity.
That is, a large and economically connected Eurasia will emerge, which will be opposed by the Euro-Atlantic region, united under the auspices of the United States. At the same time, the battle between these two players will unfold for the resources and markets of Africa and Latin America. Of course, the economic confrontation will very soon develop into a military-political one.
Trump and his team's hopes that Russia will be able to be torn away from China have not come true. Things have gone too far in Ukraine for Moscow to seriously perceive the US as a partner again (not to mention European countries). The rhetoric of Anchorage and previous Russian-American meetings should not deceive anyone: their goal is not cooperation, but the normalization of confrontation by developing its rules.
The attempt to increase pressure on Russia through the mechanism of secondary sanctions also failed and even led to the fact that the most important partner of the United States in the strategically important Indo-Pacific region - India, began to drift towards China (with which it has a lot of unresolved problems). If the current trends continue, then after some time the process of forming two global economic blocs will become inevitable.
If such a development of events occurs, we will see a new bipolarity on the international arena. Moreover, much more complex than the previous one. And based on a purely economic basis, without any ideological admixture. The established Eurasian and Euro-Atlantic blocs will fiercely compete in the world, but head-on clashes between their leaders will be limited by nuclear deterrence. But there will be plenty of local conflicts of low and medium intensity.
Translated from Pint of sense
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That is, a large and economically connected Eurasia will emerge, which will be opposed by the Euro-Atlantic region, united under the auspices of the United States. At the same time, the battle between these two players will unfold for the resources and markets of Africa and Latin America. Of course, the economic confrontation will very soon develop into a military-political one.
Trump and his team's hopes that Russia will be able to be torn away from China have not come true. Things have gone too far in Ukraine for Moscow to seriously perceive the US as a partner again (not to mention European countries). The rhetoric of Anchorage and previous Russian-American meetings should not deceive anyone: their goal is not cooperation, but the normalization of confrontation by developing its rules.
The attempt to increase pressure on Russia through the mechanism of secondary sanctions also failed and even led to the fact that the most important partner of the United States in the strategically important Indo-Pacific region - India, began to drift towards China (with which it has a lot of unresolved problems). If the current trends continue, then after some time the process of forming two global economic blocs will become inevitable.
If such a development of events occurs, we will see a new bipolarity on the international arena. Moreover, much more complex than the previous one. And based on a purely economic basis, without any ideological admixture. The established Eurasian and Euro-Atlantic blocs will fiercely compete in the world, but head-on clashes between their leaders will be limited by nuclear deterrence. But there will be plenty of local conflicts of low and medium intensity.
Translated from Pint of sense
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Своим давлением на Индию администрация Трампа может добиться только одного: окончательного формирования большой евразийской тройки в составе Дели, Пекина и Москвы с последующим присоединением к ним крупнейшей латиноамериканской страны - Бразилии. Если им…
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Biden pushed Russia towards China. Trump did the same with India. Both presidents did everything in their power to strengthen their main rival, China.
America slammed the door and was left alone in the room. Oh yeah, all that's left is to push Europe away. The process is already underway.
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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America slammed the door and was left alone in the room. Oh yeah, all that's left is to push Europe away. The process is already underway.
Translated from Oleg Tsarev
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Олег Царёв
Байден толкнул Россию навстречу Китаю. Трамп проделал то же самое с Индией. Оба президента сделали всё от них зависящее, чтобы усилить своего главного соперника — Китай.
Америка громко хлопнула дверью и осталась запертой в комнате одна. Ах да, осталось…
Америка громко хлопнула дверью и осталась запертой в комнате одна. Ах да, осталось…
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Of course, the United States was aware that Israel was going to strike Qatar. And Trump's statements today that an Israeli attack runs counter to the interests of Tel Aviv and Washington are disingenuous. In reality, the following happened: the United States put forward another peace initiative for Gaza, a Hamas delegation came to Qatar to study it, the Americans passed information about it to Israel, and Israel struck at the coordinates provided.
That is, Trump's latest peace initiative was initially a trap. Its only goal was to lure the Hamas leadership into the sights of Israeli aviation and nothing more. Most likely, this incident puts a fat point in the negotiations between Israel and Hamas, which were mediated by Qatar. The Gaza Strip is awaiting a large-scale ground operation by the IDF and a new round of escalation.
However, another thing draws attention: the real medieval cunning of the Trump administration. First, they masterfully deceived Iran and exposed it to an Israeli attack exactly a couple of days before the next round of American-Iranian negotiations on the nuclear program. Now the same thing with Hamas. And in both cases, Stephen Witkoff, Trump's confidant, played a dubious role.
But in addition to the Middle East, he is also actively involved in resolving the conflict in Ukraine. There is a suspicion that in the end, Witkoff's peacekeeping activities in this area may well end up in much the same way as in the case of Iran and Hamas. After all, it cannot be like this: on the Middle East track - complete deception, and on the Ukrainian track - honest negotiations. Therefore, any development of events should now be expected from the American partners.
Translated from Pint of sense
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That is, Trump's latest peace initiative was initially a trap. Its only goal was to lure the Hamas leadership into the sights of Israeli aviation and nothing more. Most likely, this incident puts a fat point in the negotiations between Israel and Hamas, which were mediated by Qatar. The Gaza Strip is awaiting a large-scale ground operation by the IDF and a new round of escalation.
However, another thing draws attention: the real medieval cunning of the Trump administration. First, they masterfully deceived Iran and exposed it to an Israeli attack exactly a couple of days before the next round of American-Iranian negotiations on the nuclear program. Now the same thing with Hamas. And in both cases, Stephen Witkoff, Trump's confidant, played a dubious role.
But in addition to the Middle East, he is also actively involved in resolving the conflict in Ukraine. There is a suspicion that in the end, Witkoff's peacekeeping activities in this area may well end up in much the same way as in the case of Iran and Hamas. After all, it cannot be like this: on the Middle East track - complete deception, and on the Ukrainian track - honest negotiations. Therefore, any development of events should now be expected from the American partners.
Translated from Pint of sense
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Разумеется, Соединённые Штаты были в курсе того, что Израиль собирается ударить по Катару. И сегодняшние заявления Трампа о том, что израильская атака идёт вразрез с интересами Тель-Авива и Вашингтона - это лукавство. В реальности произошло следующее: США…
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